My son is a police officer on duty in Kittery tonight. Thoughts are with law enforcement/first responders as they work to apprehend the suspect, and my heart breaks 💔💔 for the victims & wounded in Lewiston.
#LewistonStrong
If we took a picture of the Sun every day of the year at noon, it would make a trace like this in the sky. We are at the bottom of the analemma at 10:27 tonight. Welcome to winter! ❄️⛷️🏔️
Nor'easter? Youbetcha.
Damaging wind? Certainly poss.
Rain? At the coast (to start).
Snow? Heavy & wet. Foot poss.
Surf? Is way up.
Start? Monday night
End game? Not sure, Thanos. Tue. night? Wed. AM?
This is big.
Profound sadness in the weather community as a bright light has gone out. Mish Michaels was as amazingly wonderful in life as she was on-air. Peace and comfort to her family in this time of sorrow. Touching tribute by
@TerryWBZ
THE DROUGHT WILL GO ON UNTIL IT RAINS AND THEN YOU'LL COMPLAIN IT'S RAINING TOO MUCH THEN IT WILL GET COLD AGAIN AND SNOW AND YOU'LL WISH IT WAS SUMMER AGAIN.
We’re just minutes away from the Sun beginning it’s journey back to the Northern Hemisphere. If the noontime sun were to trace a path in the sky over a year, it would look like this. We are at the very bottom of the analemma as it’s called.
From
@NWSBoston
regarding this afternoon’s storm threat: “We anticipate that this will be the highest impact severe event we have experienced certainly this summer, if not in the last few years.” Stay weather aware today.
People who are planning on “riding out”
#HurricanceFlorence
despite mandatory evacuations are naive. Ask anyone who’s done it if they’d do it again. The sheer sound of howling, incessant wind can be terrifying.
Some roads will be impassable during the height of the storm from 8am-2pm Tuesday.
White-outs and
#thundersnow
are possible in that time.
Improving LATE evening Tuesday.
Gusts on coast 40-55+. Cape gusts to 60+
This is a
#noreaster
with
#bombogenesis
- expect the worst
Early thoughts 4 Tue
- You said nor'easter, why am I getting rain?? (Nor'easters can be wet.)
- It's days away, you'll be wrong. (Guidance is uncommonly consistent.)
-Why can't you tell me how much I'm getting right now? (I'm not that nuts.)
- I hate snow. (Try forecasting it.)
Sweet Mother...
Nature about to put on a clinic on how to make it snow.
Worst of the this BLIZZARD will be Saturday from mid-morning through the evening.
Very difficult travel, gusts to 60-70 along the coast. Flooding Saturday AM high tide. It's going to be a long ride.
Nothing but Valentines ❤️ for you trolls. Nope, didn’t see this much snow coming Friday. Nope, I’m not happy about it. Sometimes Mother Nature sneaks one by you. As my college professor once said, “If you’re gonna bust, bust BIG.”
💯wrong. Misguided. In error. Off track. But seeing what I saw - with the confidence backing it - would do it again. People don't want apologies, they either want a pound of flesh or they want you to shut up & move on.
@PeteNBCBoston
Why not just admit "Hey, we overshot the target on this one. Sorry, folks. We'll try to get it right next time"? Why is admitting a mistake so wrong?
I mean, predicting 8-12 and then shifting to 2-4 isn't an adjustment, it's wrong.
Shell shocked at the violence in our time. My generation has failed. It's up to the next to root out the special interests that have steered the narrative of policy & response in government.
Happy New Year! Welcome to the new pattern, which includes a few flakes Thursday and a potential nor'easter next weekend. Here comes 5 days of hand-wringing & social media hype. Some guidance is all in, some is not. Prob of 6" or more snow ⬇️
After ONLY 4 dry weekends (out of 17) since Memorial Day, could this be our time?
Pattern relaxes with a stagnant upper level high (in orange) through early October. Favors dry (and for some, mild) weather.
Snowfall rates (how quickly the snow accum in 1 hour) during the storm seem most intense...
1st in Central Mass on Tuesday morning...
then in Eastern Mass Tuesday afternoon/night.
Unpopular opinion: this ups the ante for an 8-12" closer to the coast and even in Greater Boston.
You know her well, but now she’s ours...all ours! Super warm welcome to meteorologist
@Pamelanbcboston
!!! We already have her cooking up a nice nor’easter for Christmas.
Big thanks today to all the brave men & women (including my dad!) who have served & continue to serve our country far and near.
#RespectTheTroops
#VeteransDay2018
More confidence with this map. Snow will have a hard time sticking in the first several hours of the storm (into Sunday AM). After noon, the cold comes sweeping in. Slickest roads in the afternoon Sunday. Let's gooooo....
Winter arrived at 5:02 this morning. At that time, Earth reverses its lean and begins to tilt toward the Sun until the summer solstice.
We gained approximately 1 second of daylight today. Use it wisely.
Omar has formed FAR offshore from N. Carolina. However, since it's heading harmlessly out to sea, it shall be henceforth dubbed NOmar in the eyes of meteorologists.
There is growing concern about a storm off the Eastern Seaboard late this weekend into Valentine's Day. Seemed like it would swing far and away, but it's inching closer to us.
24 TRILLION gallons.
That's the amount of water that has fallen in California over the last 16 days.
At a capacity of 600 billion gallons, that's the equivalent of 400 Lake Winnipesaukees.
Scaling way back. Critical band of snow that was going to hit overnight is fizzling. Still some tricky travel overnight and early AM. Now, onto spring.
The weekend has now trended MUCH drier. Our storm has shifted south (thanks to a storm over the Maritimes), and the chances for rain have greatly diminished. This is not a drill.
It's a great time to be a meteorologist. Kinda.
Rain tonight switches to snow tomorrow...along the coast, it may switch MANY times between rain & snow. Totals there, not so deep. Winds 45-65 at/near coast, 35-45 elsewhere.
Let's go. (Back to spring.)
To be clear, there is *NO* threat for a landfalling tropical system in Southern New England. This will be a close brush with Lee. Away from the coast, this is a breezy, rainy Saturday. Along the coast, we'll take the brunt of the wind/rain. Quick wrap Sat. PM/night.
Track shift south...totals coming down from Boston north. Still seems like a solid storm SE Mass. These numbers likely to lower to the north if trends continue. Starts rolling in the 7-9am. Never really intense north of the Pike, so travel will be slippery, but not impossible.
8-12” is the snow range for the storm. (Coast too.) Exceptions are south & east of a line from Plymouth to Providence where 4-8” will fall. 2-4” from the Canal to the outer Cape.
Bigger question is where the 12-16” will be. 🤔 Favoring points N&W of I-128 right now.
Positive stroke lightning on far left. Note how the lightning flickers/holds longer. The charge is ~10x that of negative (more common) stroke lightning. Higher charge, longer discharge. (Also more deadly...although NO lightning is safe.)
Trade secret: trickiest part of ramping down a snowfall forecast is whether the forecast has stabilized OR whether the trend continues right up until the storm's arrival.
Almost 4 years since our last blizzard (3/13/18) and the numbers keep going up.
This should be the last number upgrade, but maybe some line adjustments ahead.
Be safe, stay off the roads, & ventilate your generator. Keep the boiler exhaust pipes clear/ice free too.
Before I start the tweet maelstrom about our pending nor'easter, let's reflect on the gorgeous (some say best in years) foliage now peaking in Northern New England:
@JamesSmith617
@growingwisdom
Sure it smarts. Sure we'd like to present the exactly correct forecast, but to apologize for it implies we intentionally misled people about the forecast. We conveyed the potential, the risk, the scenarios. Difficult forecast to say the least.