NFT Alpha Beta 🔮☕
@NFTAlphaBeta
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Truthsayer🔮 | Alpha Cafe Founder☕ | Yuga Maxi | With AI's help and 12 years of Finance experience, I craft easy to read posts and 🧵 on Web3 topics.
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Joined November 2020
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🌟How I turned 10e into a 70e Portfolio🌟
A general thread on NFT strategies I follow and personal views. 🧵⬇️
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If ETH goes to 3-digits, will you still be here? Why?
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13. End thoughts
Price is nothing with volume
Always sell into volume
Resist FOMO
Profit is profit; nobody lost money taking profit
Go diamond during low interest
Avoid gas wars
Invest in people
Hindsight can be a curse
There will be new opp
Build connections
Be kind
WAGMI
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If you liked/hated what you read or have any feedback/suggestions, please let me know here or on any of my tweets.
Appreciate a like, retweet, and follow!♥️
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1. Volume is more important than Price.
Price in itself means nothing. A floor w/o any real volume is as feeble as an elephant on thin ice. It can crash easily.
Vol stability is crucial for projects to moon, otherwise it will correct itself quickly when new sellers appear.
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🌟Anime Metaverse gave me 2 SPEED Passes🌟
I want to give the passes to my followers!
To join:
1. Follow
@AnimeMetaverse_
and
@NFTAlphaBeta
2. RT, Like, Tag 3 Friends
2 Winners will be announced in 36 hours!
#AnimeMetaverse
#AMSpeedPass
#NFTGiveaways
#AnimeNFT
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Every time I took a profit, I never look back. Even if it moons later so be it. It could easily have crashed too.
Sold a 1/1 pre-reveal? Never wanna find out.
Quit thinking about what-ifs. They are irrelevant & unproductive. Move on. Make conviction plays. Stick to your plan.
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There is no overnight moon.
If you like the project and wish to hodl, buy back in after a couple of days/weeks when there is less hype and lower interest. Better still, buy it post reveal for a cheaper price.
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3. Always sell into volume
I almost always sell into volume.
The first 24-48hours after any successful project launch will always see the most volume, hype, and price action, and this is the best time to sell, even for the ones I am bullish on and like.
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Couldn't wait for Xmas. I just did it.
Biggest purchase ever.
MAYC
#15272
Is
#apefollowape
still a thing? Could I have a shout out from fellow apes so that we can connect?
@BoredApeYC
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Which is why the people makes all the difference, and why any NFT I hodl stems from the team behind it.
Ask me about any NFT project I hodl, and I'll tell you about the team behind it.
Art, utility, and price aside, I bet on people.
That's the only long term play.
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10. Portfolio Management
Once you have a portfolio, try to hold a good % of eth.
This should be at least 30%, such that when eth moons and NFTs get cheaper with some lag time, it's time to buy.
When eth tanks, and NFTs moon, take profits.
Rinse and repeat.
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7. Invest in People🧑🤝🧑
This cannot be said more. Most projects have no intrinsic value today and are fueled by hype and expectations for a bright future.
Any roadmap you see today is 95% similar.
@garyvee
would also tell you 95% of all projects will fail in the coming months.
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@OthersideMeta
Summary:
- No DA, Flat price of 305 $APE
- Ability to pre-approve $APE tmr
- Supply is 55k (from 130k KYC-ed wallets)
- Sale done in waves
- Wave 1: 2 NFTs per wallet
- Wave 2: 4 additional per wallet
Expect Wave 1 sell-out (NFA😂)
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2. Mint WL?
I only mint when it's trading at least 180% of mint price with good volume; a ballpark figure accounting for associated gas fees, approvals, and royalties. At this level, you are almost guaranteed a profit (or buying at cheapest), regardless if flipping or holding.
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4. Resist the fomo train, unless you have a plan
How many times have you seen prices going steadily up, and tiers of pricing being cleared and you think, I should buy now if not it will only get more expensive here on out?
This is the FOMO train. This is not the time to buy.
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5. Paperhand🧻and Proud
I almost always sell pre-reveal.
Again, this is the time when prices are significantly higher and less spread out. The odds of getting a 1/1 out of a 10k collection for eg. is too low to consistently pay a 20 – 30% premium on the gamble.
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Again, volume is key. A floor price may be sufficiently high to flip but if there is no volume, it will tank quickly, especially since 200 others may be thinking the same, and only 2 people are buying every 10 min!
Watch for volume, not floor price!
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We can really never tell when the peak or trough is. Which is why a good time to sell is always into volume when it's trending up, and buying back when nobody is looking.
Buy stuff nobody hears about, sell when everyone is talking.
Buy on Rumour, Sell on News.
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In general, greater volume = price stability.
A tip is to look real time at new listings vs sales under “activity” on OS instead of “buy now” to get a sense. This would give you some clue around the new listings that are coming in and the remaining supply yet to be minted.
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8. The Curse of Hindsight
How many times have you told yourself “I knew this would be a bluechip” but didnt act on it? You didn't know it would be a bluechip; had you knew you would have bought a bag.
You had doubts, stop giving excuses. Move on.
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Paperhands during this time may buy and list for lower a while later. Don't shame these people; it's better to take a L than lock up liquidity when hype cools further and price tanks more.
Don't FOMO into an ATH only to turn it into a hodl later. We've been there. Don't.
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If you wish to gamble, sell DURING reveal when there is most volume, else you are either a hodler or left with the bag.
Getting 20-30% more value out of every flip > holding out for 1/1 at 0.01% odds. Do this consistently and gain value, instead of gambling with odds this low.
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Yes, prices may never go down, but they do so most of the time. That's when you can accumulate again.
The worse play is buying into FOMO at a relative high, and when prices tank you find excuses and become a hodler.
Remember, Paper 1st, Diamond 2nd.
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6. Diamondhands💎later.
Accumulate when there is no interest and prices are low. These are usually a few weeks after the initial launch + hype, and prices have dipped.
To illustrate, I bought a bagful of
@kumoxworld
below 0.1, and
@thelittlesnft
below 0.3.
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At the end of the day, luck is important in all of this. All it takes could be just one lucky break and you made bank.
More often than not, the person who “made it” just got lucky. That's it.
There's no magic formula. Don't belittle yourself.
Most of my "success"? Luck.
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9. Market Trends
NFTs and anything that is worth anything/tradable will often follow the same rules, traits, and have the same behavioural finance behind it.
There is no moon overnight. Prices go up, they come back down slightly during consolidation and correction. 📈📉
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11. Luck is Key
If it seems like everyone but you are winning big, know that it's not because they are better than you.
A lot is luck; he/she who first joined the DC and OG, grinding WL for HAPE before it blew up fashionably, or the lucky one who minted a 1/1 in Karafuru.
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About half a million $ was wiped from my portfolio the past 2 weeks.
Thread on what we can do in this bear market 🧵⬇️
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12. Other strategies
Other strategies are advanced and may be more stressful in nature such as trait sniping.
Don't do gas wars - high risk low reward. You need finese to win them, plus bots that that you can't win against.
Avoid gas wars. Only play to win, or lose big.
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So the SEC decides to investigate
@yugalabs
on its assets and $APE, and the market has reacted.
A 5min 🧵on why I'm bullish.
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🔥A New PFP🔥
Replacing
@BoredApeYC
And finally turned 1
@InvsbleFriends
into 2.
A lady to go with the boy (presumably); they make quite the matching couple eh?
Could I get some
#IFfollowIF
going on!
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A quick and dirty analysis on near-term $APE valuations and what this means for everyone.
🧵⬇️
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If I open up my private discord to allow new joiners, will anybody join?
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Looked at 🌟50 project launches🌟 over the past 3 weeks so you don't have to.
Tracked ~6-12hours post presale launch.
Quick notes of what I've found 🧵⬇️
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Thread:
A simple IMAGERY into ETH transactions, Gas and Gas wars
Will be describing how you can think about transactions (tx), gas units, the meaning of gwei and incentive fee.
You would already know that everything is stored on the blockchain (not in your mm wallet).
#ETH
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🔥Proud to announce I joined the
@meta_morphies
team as Strategic Advisor! Amongst the many that reached out, the team's ethos was one of the rare few I identify with.
1 Free Mint & 3 WL (48hrs) on this:
- Follow Both @
- L & RT
- Tag folks and Comment which trait is your fav!
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@wilxlee
1. >3k reactions on announcements (in 10minutes)
2. Relatively high mint price (>0.2e)
3. Short WL window (less than 30min)
4. Announcement of floor sweeps
5. Any floor price related talk from the core team
6. Banning users for qns or FUD
7. Fast mint launch from DC (<2 weeks)
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🌟2 x WL giveaway🌟
@shinsekai_nft
is a new 5,555 project where you can design katanas/keyboards + produce manga. They wish to stop Asian hate too.
Enter:
1️⃣Join
2️⃣Follow them and
@NFTAlphaBeta
3⃣L, RT, and tag 3
Ends 48hrs, and as usual
#dyodd
#notpaid
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Question: Will it hurt the brand if I swap my
@BoredApeYC
PFP for a
@InvsbleFriends
PFP?
Is there an invisible follow train I'm not aware of?
🤔
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So The Italians project was a scam. Folks always remember before you click on sign, always check on what function you are signing for.
"Set Approval for All" = BAD!
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I don't care what anyone else says. Token? Roadmap? Game? Drop?
The utility of
@ApeKidsClub
can be summed up perfectly by just 1 word:
🌟Cute🌟
Had to get some more
@ApeKidsClub
because they are too cute. (Not sure why I am into cute NFTs lately)
Where are my fellow
#AKC
members ⬇️? Think the
@BoredApeYC
gonna like these kids for their parents?
#NFT
#NFTs
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Had to get some more
@ApeKidsClub
because they are too cute. (Not sure why I am into cute NFTs lately)
Where are my fellow
#AKC
members ⬇️? Think the
@BoredApeYC
gonna like these kids for their parents?
#NFT
#NFTs
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Some have asked so here is my
#NewProfilePic
@ApeKidsClub
!
⬇️Where the AKC
#kidfollowkid
?⬇️
🌟Been wanting to give back from all the 💕
Something small from me: Giving $300 (eth) randomly to 3 on this post once we get 3k followers, 300 retweets & 300 likes!
#NFT
#NFTGiveaway
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🔮Proud to unveil a new gem in my collection🔮
The Truthsayer, my favourite 1/1 and a marvel from the Denizens of
@ZenAcademy
.
A bit of a long post, bear with me.
Given my often doom-and-gloom outlook, why this choice, you might wonder?
I've always resonated with projects that
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OK, all the tease by
@BAYC2745
is extremely annoying and I had to cop 1 more
@psychedelic_nft
I now have 2 FULL SETS of 7t
Can we get a
#PAfollowPA
going on this tweet? I swear I will get angry if I see any PA PFP/bag not retweeting this. (Also please ping me if I don't FB 😅)
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On 24 Dec 2022, we minted the most important 1/1 we'll ever get, as the
@BoredApeYC
family welcomes a new member.
Wishing you nothing but the best this seasons can offer, remember to take pause and cherish the things that truly matter - loved ones and friends around us!
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I'm blown away by the ♥️ on my thread on NFT strategies. I am far, far from being good at this and still a shrimp in a sea of sharks, so please continue to guide and teach me.
Am also getting tonnes of DMs and questions. I promise to try to reply to as many as I can when I can!
🌟How I turned 10e into a 70e Portfolio🌟
A general thread on NFT strategies I follow and personal views. 🧵⬇️
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@elonmusk
While it might not solve the root cause of the issue, it gives individuals a second chance, an opportunity for intervention and help. It saves lives, and I think that's probably worth every penny spent.
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How we will survive the Bear
Personal views on a non Bling Bling topic🧵⬇️
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Comments on this post is what gives me hope and optimism in spite of everything.
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Today my portfolio crossed 100e for the 1st time ever.
MAYC pumped yes, but mainly because of an Alpha group I've never tweeted about until today.
@TheApeList_
folk where are you?
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🔥How to approach a mid-hyped project🔥
Illustrating NFT strategy and some Alpha (4-6weeks) on
@theothersideNFT
🧵⬇️
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@Yieldasaurus
Not happy with your loss but your tweets does not exactly point yourself in the right direction either. I hope you do better like you said you would.
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I don't care what anyone says, this is the most anticipated coin launch ever.
$4-$27? Ignore my prediction. $APE opens new doors to everyone who wants in on the ecosystem.
We may be at the cusp of the next bull.
We are BAYC.
I sincerely welcome you to the club. Happy Ape-ing!
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BAYC does not seem to be slowing down.
The timing of $APE was swiftly met with the teaser of The Otherside.
Here's the video again, tell me you don't get goosebumps.
We probably don't have to wait months.
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If you liked what you read, appreciate a like/comment/rt!
To those wondering, Discord actually soft-launched. Looking to add some 20 new members or so; I will pick a few and raffle all who rt the first tweet of the thread 😉
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FAKE Giveaway Influencers
#2
"Craziest Fakeaway Ever"
Tip: nobody gives away a
@BoredApeYC
or
#MAYC
just like that.
@NFt_War
@NFTgems_promo
@NFTPromoter_1
@ArtistPromoter_
@SolanaSlayer
@EthereumSlayer
#NFTGiveaways
#NFTfakes
#NFTcommunity
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1. Impending land drop
NFT holders will be allocated 30% of the initial metaverse land drop.
In the not so secret leaked pitch deck by Yuga, March and May are mentioned.
March is gone, but April May come sooner.
Who doesn't love a good land-drop?
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Finally happened. All you people who said you'd still be here down the road better keep your word.
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🔮A New Chapter🔮
Fellow
@ZenAcademy
Denizens, the time has come to evolve.
Initially, I had aimed to perfect every tiny detail before rebranding (ughh, bad word). But I guess magic sometimes unfolds when we just do it and adapt along the way.
So, here I stand before you with
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@AmeriPinoy
If this helps, my portfolio was down 70-80% when I first started NFTs in Sep-21 and I have, like you, done everything I have said not to do in this thread. WAGMI!
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🔥To celebrate the
@meta_morphies
launch in a few hrs (8 June 2pm EST)🔥
Airdropping 3x NFT and some invites to my closed discord Alpha Cafe to those who RT.
In the age of degen mints, they are doing it right with cheap mints (.01/.02). For perspective, 0.01 is not even $20⬇️
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2. Why now?
The Bored Apes are THE symbol of the NFT space.
They launched in Apr 2021.
Would it not be symbolic to announce something huge on their anniversary?
Will that symbolism be the arrival of The Otherside?
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We may all be down bad but have you considered that
@Yieldasaurus
can't even talk to himself now?
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When I take a break from trading pictures I take pictures like this.
As we do the degen life do not forget the real life.
Rest, recharge, and stay hydrated!
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They may take our money, out crypto.
But they'll NEVER take our jpegs.
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☕️Friend Tech Meta Update - 2 Oct 2023☕️
1️⃣ Shifting Dynamics: There seem to be a new wave of participants entering with the excitement of a "gold rush." This is also brought about by posts on "I'll buy you for under 0.1" you see often these days, with the focus on the "little
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Projects build for 9 months and barely sell anything during launch. You take 24hours to make a derivative art with no twitter or discord, and sell out in minutes.
It's sad cause we don't care about utility, art, or value.
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3. BlueChip airdrops are a monster
Airdrops usually dilutes the value of the collection. Not Bluechips.
$APE represented a 30-40% dividend, yet the prices of BAYC and MAYC did not tank.
They dipped, but value was sheltered by old money and new money.
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6. Always hold at least 2 of everything
With 1, you can never sell.
With 2, I can take profit where necessary, with the ability to navigate the cycles.
Assuming I get past the emotion and attachment issues, which I'm already facing just 1 day into the new PFP.
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☕️ Friend Tech Digest - PPE Code Cracked? ☕️
1️⃣ Cracked: We might have just deciphered how PPE works, and it is based on a simple math (the higher the better):
Key Price (Market Cap)
➗
Portfolio Value (PV)
2️⃣ Data Aligns: Major credit to
@TheWolfWhispers
and his data point
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@MetaJoey
@OthersideMeta
Since it's priced in $APE, before the contract can take your $APE you need to approve it (for it to collect your funds). The purchase will be in another transaction.
So you can pre-approve it in advance, and when the mint drops it's just a "buy transaction"
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@ZAGABOND
The spirit to keep trying in spite of failures is a good trait of entrepreneurship, but the other moves and sneaky tactics (masquerading as "all-female" team for eg. in Zunks) if true, are what makes it morally disgusting.
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What do you think?
Will still collect more data and aim to do more analysis instead of just stats above.
And as always, appreciate a like, comment, retweet, subscribe etc. as it helps the channel!
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ZM! Just got my Denizens from
@ZenAcademy
and congrats to
@Zeneca
and the Zen team.
Love the non-hype, just vibe, spread good culture.
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7. Gut Feel
My last Alpha for 2021 was to buy an Ape, before $APE drops in 1Q 2022.
The Alpha now is to buy an Ape, before land drops. Soon.
I had a strong feeling then.
I have a strong feeling now.
Probably my last Alpha before 2021 closes.
🔥Buy an Ape before it's too Lape🔥
Become a
@BoredApeYC
member through
#MAYC
, reap perhaps 30% of the benefits at 15% the cost of a
#BAYC
.
Undervalue.
Even if the ratio stays,
#BAYC
up =
#MAYC
up.
Ape Together Strong
#apefollowape
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I cannot wait what
@BoredapeYC
will show us.
This coming 23 April 2022.
Happy anniversary in advance!
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Before I turned 10 to 70, I brought 5 to 0.
Learn and put yourself in positions of luck.
Improvise. Adapt. Overcome.
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⛩Spirit Gates WL x Alpha Cafe⛩
The exceptionally talented
@jyxdi
has given me some WL spots to dish out on Twitter & Alpha Cafe members. Raffling 2 x WL for Spirit Gates here first!
Follow
@spiritgates
,
@jyxdi
and
@NFTAlphaBeta
RT and Like, and tag 3 mates!
Ends 48hrs
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Apes buying more Apes.
And also new people getting in.
A new collection or coin always provides a lower entry point for people staring from the outside.
Can't buy a BAYC? MAYC, BAKC or $APE gives you exposure to the Bored Apes too.
How many of you hold $APE without an NFT?
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The ETH merge is complete and ETH is now POS. In case you are wondering, there's absolutely nothing you need to do. Life goes on and your NFTs are still at 0.
Glad to still be with y'all 🫡
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Why you should stake your $APE, especially if you hold a
@BoredApeYC
NFT.
A simple🧵on what staking is and the various pools and numbers⬇️
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At first I had 3. Cause it's cute and cheap it became 5. Vibes made it go up to 8. For VIP, I made it 10.
Copped a few more on New Year's Day and I have more than a bagful now.
Have always been low key bullish on
@kumoxworld
. Am officially upgrading the "low" to "medium".
It's 1:27am I'm about to head to sleep and I get a ping to say
@garyvee
has followed my project. Am i dreaming? 👀💕Thanks for the follow Gary. Much love to you
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Engagement farmer
@elonmusk
decides to change his PFP to a
@BoredApeYC
. Does this mean we all have to follow you now?
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5. The Metaverse.
@BoredapeYC
does not want to build a metaverse.
They want to build THE metaverse.
They have the ingredients to make this work.
Funding. Experienced team in web2. Limitless partnerships.
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🔥Update on
@OthersideMeta
mint🔥
Ignoring KYC eligibility, the theoretical max mint during wave 1 is 86%, less than 8k supply for wave 2
Over the next 24 hours we will probably see this 86% go to >100%, but I suspect there may still be a wave 2 as not all wallets are KYCed.
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WL minting right now for
@RubberDuckBP
Here's my "toot-my-own-horn" play of the day again.
Minted 0.16 for 2, sold for 1.3, bought back 1 for 0.24.
If you wanna learn how.... not really difficult actually but I can try explain if you wanna listen!
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