Michael Lai 赖天宸
@Mtclai
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Running for the SF Board of Supervisors District 11 | SF DCCC | community first | before: reimagining early education at Tinycare @MinervaUni @Harvard
San Francisco
Joined August 2011
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Last weekend, I gathered with 200+ family, friends, & neighbors to make an announcement.
An announcement rooted in my family's story, and the story of so many immigrant families who moved to the US to seek a better life.
I'm running for the SF Board of Supervisors this Nov! 🧵
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I’m running for office for San Francisco DCCC on March 5th, 2024!
In the city where ppl are building AI & longevity drugs, it's crazy that the basics don't work:
Streets are unsafe
New housing is blocked
We don't teach 8th grade algebra
I'm running to change SF 🧵
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👋🏻 I'm a volunteer preschool teacher turned founder / CEO at Series A childcare startup
When I first explored the US childcare system in 2016, what baffled me the most was the cost.
This is a 🧵 about why daycare is so expensive in the US. 1/20
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the net worth of these three people grew by $10B in this past week
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WE WON!!!
With 96% of ballots counted, we're holding strong at spot
#7
(of 14)! More importantly, my DCCC slate
@SFDemsForChange
maintains a 18-6 lead — this is our first majority in 8 years!🤯
So many ppl to thank, but first to my amazing old & new friends who volunteered ❤️
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I've lived in SF for 8 years, and I've always wondered —
Why are there more dogs (200K) than kids (115K)!?
I love dogs (👇🏻 is my family dog Luna), but my mission is unlocking child potential.
🧵 with 6 hypotheses on why there are so few kids in SF: 1/35
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Just voted for myself and I feel a bit emotional. My voting booth # was special: 23.
When I walked into city hall, SF Dept of Elections asked me to go to an open booth, but I chose to wait for 23. Here’s why.
23 - At age five, when the kindergarten lady couldn’t pronounce my
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First, the fact the Chronicle doesn’t consider Asians diverse is crazy.
Second, we should have more specialized public school programs like Lowell in SF, instead of in-fighting over Lowell, so every child can explore their passions.
The Chronicle calls this profound lack of diversity a “blemish”.
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Today I was so heart-warmed to meet Ethel, born and raised in SF for 91 years.
I was knocking doors in the rain, and Ethel invited me into her open garage to chat. Story time below.
Ethel was born in 1933, and she did a high school program with Diane Feinstein before becoming a
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That's why my long term goal is to fight for the passage of universal childcare in the United States, so we can have high quality, accessible childcare for ALL children.
If you want to read more things like this, subscribe to my substack: 20/20
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Abuse of CEQA, an environmental review law is one of the biggest blockers to new housing.
This bill makes it easier to convert downtown commercial -> residential. SF downtown needs this!
I’m introducing new legislation (SB 1227) to allow expedited approval for physical changes in downtown San Francisco.
Downtown is struggling. We need to rethink its future.
Other struggling downtowns have had big transformations & thrived.
Let’s be open to new approaches in SF
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The social contract has broken in many parts of SF.
On March 5th, you have a stark choice for the 24 member Democratic County Central Committee:
1. new leadership
@SFDemsForChange
that is focused on getting the basics right — public safety, affordable housing, good schools
2. a
Just watched a guy casually steal from a local SF CVS and roll on out with the goods while a CSV employee walked behind him helplessly. Please vote in next week’s elections. This is an embarrassment to a city “building the future.” San Francisco can be so much more than this.
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2/ I was born 赖天宸, a first generation immigrant from China.
My parents came to the US with $100 in their pockets, and I went to public schools, then Harvard, where I was a volunteer teacher.
I'm very lucky, and I'm running for office to give back:
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we won, but it could have been better...
WE WON!!!
With 96% of ballots counted, we're holding strong at spot
#7
(of 14)! More importantly, my DCCC slate
@SFDemsForChange
maintains a 18-6 lead — this is our first majority in 8 years!🤯
So many ppl to thank, but first to my amazing old & new friends who volunteered ❤️
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🚨 One more day to register online to vote for the March 5th election
Hey SF, the March 5th primary election is one of the most critical elections for San Francisco. How to confirm you're registered (2 min)👇🏻
First, take 1 min check if you are registered to vote in SF:
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officially on the nov ballot today running for d11 supervisor! 147 days until the election 🗳️
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whoa, did not expect this!! blown away by all the support.
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Happy Lunar New Year! 新年快乐! 🐉🧧
Growing up, I hated Chinese traditions. I wanted:
McDonald's, not grandma's cooking
Sports, not math
Linkin Park, not piano
Christmas, not Lunar New Year
Here's how I came to love Lunar New Year 🧵 1/11
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4/ During COVID, I looked around shocked by SF govt
In 2022 I voted to recall a district attorney and school board that put ideology over people. Now, we're only one seat away from reasonable majorities on the Board of Supervisors & Board of Education!
Winning starts in March.
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How did SF's housing crisis start? It starts all the way back in 1912 (population half of today ~416,912) when the Planning Commission started.
This is the most amazing thread I've read on SF's zoning history & the height limit / downzoning battles that followed. Huge thanks to
There were 37 propositions on the SF ballot in Nov 1912, including the establishment of the City Planning Commission
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flew home to surprise my family in socal :)
logging out, see everyone in a couple days!
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voice is back today!
i had to say this: the margin for victory for the last seat on the DCCC in 2012 was 32 votes (!!).
with two days until the election can you text 3 friends about me and
@SFDemsForChange
?
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lost my voice campaigning…
but we still have doors to knock! trying out some script cards today :)
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Time to change this, starting in SF 2024.
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3/ A decade ago, I moved to SF to improve education so all kids could have a shot just like me.
I helped build
@MinervaUni
, a university with 7 global campuses and founded Tinycare - 30+ early education schools that provide housing for teachers.
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First SF DCCC mtg tonight! I was stoked we elected
@NancyTungSF
as chair.
Nancy and I co-launched our campaigns in Dec, and she is smart, tough, high integrity, fair, & a strong leader.
I'm lucky to call her a mentor & friend, and we / SF are lucky to have her as chair.
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Bet you didn’t know: 20 years ago today,
@Scott_Wiener
’s first EVER elected role was to the SF DCCC (!) He won the 2nd to last seat by 504 votes.
Scott was a little known activist, a lawyer and an outsider who worked harder than anyone else. Still, he barely won.
After that he
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7/ Fixing SF has national impact.
@SpeakerPelosi
,
@GavinNewsom
and
@VP
all come from SF. I'm a lifelong Dem tired of gerontocracy and performative politics. I stand for:
Outcomes > ideology
Optimism > helplessness
Let's take back the Democratic party.
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1 vote. That was the margin for earning the sole endorsement for the SF DCCC last night. The single closest endorsement of the night.
I’m so grateful for ppl’s support. I will keep working hard to earn every vote to represent District 11 on the SF Board of Supervisors.
For District 11 Supervisor, the San Francisco Democratic Party announces
@Mtclai
as our sole endorsement.
Michael’s priorities include safe & clean streets, affordable housing, and economic recovery for small businesses and families.
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9/ As a political outsider, I have been overwhelmed by the support so far.
@NancyTungSF
and I threw a launch party in December with
@Scott_Wiener
&
@garrytan
and 110 ppl joined with 98% donating to SF politics for the first time. Ppl want change.
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This is what has happened in SF
Radical progressive activism in the U.S. is losing steam. But paradoxically, that's making it more radical, because of "evaporative cooling" -- the moderate people leave the movement first.
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6/ The current DCCC is radical:
They endorsed school board members who were later recalled, against the DA recall, and oppose 8th grade algebra (!?).
I’m running for DCCC in March to fix the basics: safe streets, more housing, good schools. Visit:
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This makes me so sad & angry. In Asian cultures, we respect our elders. There is nothing worse than elders being attacked.
I was raised by my grandparents, and I shudder to think it could have been my grandpa, or yours. The current DCCC endorsed against the DA recall in 2022. I
Sing Tao Daily:
After being assaulted repeatedly in San Francisco, Rongxin Liao, 87, decided to give up his U.S. citizenship and move back to China to spend the rest of his life.
Liao was the victim of a high-profile attack in 2020. He was brutally attacked again 3 months ago.
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this is part of why i’m running for supervisor. if the same ppl run, we get the same results.
entrepreneurial leadership on the board of supervisors is especially important right now, as SF faces a ~$1B budget deficit & widening, and downtown needs fundamental reimagining.
How many Supervisors were legislative aides before getting elected? How many started off on a school board or as a union or community organizer as their first "real" job before moving up the political ladder? How many actually ran a business or worked in the private sector?
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Tonight at our 4th phone bank we had:
a Lowell HS junior
a college senior who saw a tweet
a new friend I met Sunday
one of the best political organizers in the US
...who all know fixing SF takes more than voting. It requires rolling up our sleeves and talking to voters.
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i felt really emotional seeing my chinese name in print today.
i was born 赖天宸 in china, and immigrated to the us at 2.5.
when i started elementary school, the office lady said she couldn't pronounce my name so "you need an american name."
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5/ On March 5 all 24 seats are up for election for the Democratic County Central Committee, or DCCC — the most powerful group you’ve never heard of.
SF votes ~85% Democrat, and DCCC endorsements can shape ~10% of the vote, when elections are decided by <1%.
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very exciting — the first housing project for SFUSD teachers below.
one consequence of SF not building enough housing the past 50 years is pushing out teachers, firefighters, police officers, healthcare workers, etc. workforce housing is a solution we should explore more.
Big things are happening in the Outer Sunset! Shirley Chisholm Village, San Francisco's first 100% affordable housing development prioritizing
@SFUnified
educators and staff, is coming along nicely.
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8/ I’m running with a slate of 23 candidates
#SFDemocratsforChange
and proud to be endorsed by
@Scott_Wiener
@JoelEngardio
@jennyhlam
@LainieforSFboe
@GrowSF
@SFyimby
@uniteddemclubsf
and 13 more.
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10/ I need your help! With only 49 days until Election Day, I'll be phone banking and door knocking to reach 10k+ voters.
- Donate: every $ counts to fund mail & ads
- Volunteer: come to our barnstorm this Sun in SF:
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But why is this a problem? Should be obvious but:
(1) 90% of a child's brain volume develops by age five, and a lot of that happens in daycare while parents are working
(2) parents, especially women leave the workforce when they don't have childcare, lowering GDP, etc.
18/20
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But our childcare system has almost no subsidy in the US. The US government spends $500 / toddler in the US (.2% of GDP), compared to .7% of GDP of the average OECD country. 16/20
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Great event for Michael Lai
@Mtclai
today who is running for SF Supervisor - people want some new leadership in District 11.
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@RobBonta
@JamiePatton
@mattdorsey
@JoelEngardio
@Scott_Wiener
@nonmayorpete
@terronk
@NancyTungSF
@Bobakkabob37
@thedanigrant
2/ My parents grew up in the chaos of China's Cultural Revolution. They moved to the US for a better life.
My dad came here with $100. My mom bused tables at a Chinese restaurant.
They rented & bought a home in CA. I went to public schools, & got financial aid at Harvard.
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Fri update from the campaign:
- Spoke to the Bernal Heights Dem Club with
@CeddieHussle
- Recorded a video for a YouTube ad
- Knocked on doors in the rain with
@andyrapista
Now off to a house party with 20 voters. 🚀
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eating at my friend
@AzalinaEusope
’s restaurant Azalina’s today!
they were nominated for
@SFGate
’s best of. can you take 30s to vote for them?
Join me Sunday for lunch at my favorite SF restaurant!
@AzalinaEusope
makes delicious, soulful Mamak Malyasian food. Despite being
@eatersf
Chef of the Year 2023 &
@nytimes
25 Best SF Restaurants, she's struggling to stay open.
So we're organizing a lunch (next tweet)
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on the uber ride home and feeling a bit emotional at all the support from amazing (and very busy!) friends old & new who want to make sf better. thank you
@elegantunivers9
@dojideon
@ashleytolb
@MingzhuHe1
@lizziepika
@andyrapista
constance dennis clint ❤️🙏🏻
Last phone bank for
@Mtclai
in the books! It’s been such an amazing ride to see all the volunteers Michael has gathered. People care deeply about this city. And we will make changes. Let’s gooo!!
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this July 4th I bought lemonade from 9 year old Sid, who was saving up for a Nintendo Switch.
That’s the best of our country — son of immigrants, hustling to reach goals (just like me 5 Nintendos ago…) & serving community.
Go Sid and go 🇺🇸
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Hey SF, if you need some optimism in politics after the presidential debate, join me today 4 PM for a campaign fundraiser & raffle with prizes from some of my favorite ppl:
@Noahpinion
@dwarkesh_sp
@loganury
@noampomsky
@levin_phil
RSVP here:
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7/ I'm running for Supervisor to keep opportunity alive, in D11 and in San Francisco.
I'm new to politics, but SF needs change. My priorities:
Public safety
Childcare & good schools
Workforce housing
Small business recovery
Learn more:
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Blown away by the love yesterday from the campaign launch. ❤️
Last night we had our first phone bank, calling 257 SF voters. Thanks to
@andyrapista
@ashleydzhang
@marannelson
@MikiWan6
@daytimeskye
@ChrisPainterYup
@WestleyDang
@jasoncbenn
for coming!
Want to help? (next tweet)
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So that's why childcare is a market failure in the US. It's what I call a quadlemma:
1. expensive care
2. long waitlists
3. variable quality
4. teachers making less than living wages and high churn in the early childhood workforce. 17/20
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The average cost for an infant (0-2) in daycare in CA is $17,384 / year.
Childcare is the 2nd most expensive item after rent for most US families, and more expensive than state college in half the states.
Why is it so expensive? 2/20
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I wish was a silver bullet, but we're only one tiny piece of the puzzle (get it?).
We figured out a creative regulatory / unit economic model to dramatically scale quality daycare with higher teacher pay.
But without subsidy, we're not cheap. 19/20
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thanks
@AndrewYang
! 🙏🏻 excited to chat about fixing our broken politics, Asian American representation, applying a founder mindset to politics, and more.
To my friends in the Bay Area I’ll be joining
@Mtclai
to support his campaign for Board of Supervisors on July 15th in SF! Come join us!!
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SF is 34% Asian, but only 1 of 11 supervisors is Asian.
10 years ago, SF had an Asian mayor & 5 of 11 Asian supervisors.
My district, D11 is 56+% Asian but has never had an Asian supervisor. This is part of why I'm running.
But it's not just facial representation; we need
Asian American representation of any kind among the San Francisco supervisors has almost completely vanished — a concerning trend for a community that represents roughly a third of The City’s population, the majority of whom are Chinese.
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8/ My
#1
priority is public safety:
I support fully staffing SFPD, increasing efficiency, arresting fentanyl dealers, stopping retail theft, & ending hate crimes.
I'm endorsed by Prosecutor Nancy Tung, former SF Dem Party Chair Mary Jung, community legend Marlene Tran, & more.
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This is the year we change SF. Half the room had never been to an sf politics event before and chose to spend their fri night learning about permitting reform, police staffing, and more.
Thank you
@tanzealous
@LisaShmulyan
@SurbhiTodi
Ker Lee Andrew and Mission Control for
Great ‘fireside chat’ in the Mission last night with my
@SFDemsForChange
Slate mate
@Mtclai
!
It’s incredible to see so many people engaged who just a few months ago had never even heard of the DCCC. Get your ballots in today!
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Okay, let's get to the meat of this. Why are there so few kids!?
6 hypotheses:
(1) SF demographics — single + delayed childbirth
(2) housing — expensive, small spaces w/o backyards
(3) poor childcare for 0-5 — long waitlists, expensive, variable quality options
5/n
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Proud to be endorsed by 3 major labor unions with thousands of workers in SF.
In SF in the 1950s/60s, labor / business / city hall partnered to build a lot of downtown. This coalition broke down in 1988 after the election of Mayor Art Agnos.
Today, labor is backing a new
The San Francisco Democrats for Change DCCC slate is endorsed by the NorCal Carpenters Union, LiUNA! (Laborers Local 261), and Operating Engineers (Local 3).
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I can't believe we pulled off our Lunar New Year Lantern Festival last Sunday in the Excelsior 🐉🏮
17 days before, the event was an idea. We didn't know if anyone would come.
Day of, we had 643 RSVPS (!) — kids, elders, firefighters, teachers, etc.
Here's how it happened 🧵
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great day to knock some more doors. 16 days until the election.
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@maryjungsf
3/ 10 yrs ago, I moved to SF.
I was a volunteer PreK teacher in the Tenderloin, and founded 30+ early childhood schools w housing for teachers.
Last yr, the center I taught at closed, bc parents no longer wanted to send their kids.
I ran for the SF DCCC to help fix SF & won.
WE WON!!!
With 96% of ballots counted, we're holding strong at spot
#7
(of 14)! More importantly, my DCCC slate
@SFDemsForChange
maintains a 18-6 lead — this is our first majority in 8 years!🤯
So many ppl to thank, but first to my amazing old & new friends who volunteered ❤️
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phonebank
#10
in the books!
258 calls with 42 pledged votes tonight. my favorites:
"wait is this really Michael!? I thought it was a robocall!"
"my friend Ethel said you knocked on her door Sat and you made a really nice impression" 😂
shoutout to our volunteers who killed it:
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First, some data.
While SF is the 3rd ranked city in the US in dogs per capita, with 139.87 dogs per 1000 residents,
SF is DEAD last of the top 100 US cities in kids with 13% of the population < age 18.
2/n
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1/ Super fun first volunteer barnstorm yesterday!
We sipped boba and talked about why we love SF:
"the serendipity & great communities"
"natural beauty"
"diversity & history"
"the sense of possibility"
SF is magical, and we can make it better.
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proud to be endorsed by
@GrowSF
and running with this team of candidates.
#SFDemsforChange
if you want sf to focus on the basics — public safety, affordable housing, good schools, vote for us for dccc.
if you are registered no party preference, register dem now just for this
We are proudly recommending these 24 candidates (14 on the east side, 10 on the west side) for SF DCCC!
Our recommended candidates are all hard-working, collaborative, and dedicated to making San Francisco the best place to live and raise a family.
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@JadeTu4SF
, a chinese american born in sf running for office for the first time, can't use her birth name on the ballot even after her mom provided proof.
meanwhile, non-chinese san francisco elected officials can use made up chinese names as long as it's been used for 2
A new political candidate in San Francisco is raising concerns about the city cracking down on the practice of candidates choosing their own Chinese names to appear on a ballot as a way to appeal to Asian American voters.
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update: 51% of ballots left to be counted.
currently we have a 21-3 lead on dccc (!) amazing start, but let's not usain bolt celebrate too early:
next update 4 pm tmr. i'm going to go touch grass.
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13/ Endorsed by Supervisors
@mattdorsey
&
@JoelEngardio
, I'll fight for:
- More treatment & partnering with feds to disrupt fentanyl supply
- Expanding homeless shelters
- Revitalizing downtown by converting offices -> housing
And more:
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SF is also very walkable and sunny
Cats do better in rain; perhaps why Seattle has 854K 🐈!
Other hypotheses:
(a) SF has astronomical price / sq ft rent and dogs don't require a 2nd room h/t
@daniellefwd
(b) Avg age of childbearing is ~32. Dog first, then baby.
4/n
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6/ D11 is a story of opportunity. Italian & Irish immigrants, then Latino immigrants. African Americans buying homes post WWII. Today, D11 is the most Asian district in SF.
In Feb I organized a huge D11 Lunar New Year event, and I would be the 1st Asian D11 supervisor.
I can't believe we pulled off our Lunar New Year Lantern Festival last Sunday in the Excelsior 🐉🏮
17 days before, the event was an idea. We didn't know if anyone would come.
Day of, we had 643 RSVPS (!) — kids, elders, firefighters, teachers, etc.
Here's how it happened 🧵
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This makes me very sad. I love SF, and would hate to see all of my friends move out when they have kids.
And, despite being a suburb kid myself (SoCal), I think the suburbification of the American Dream is a big loss for loneliness, social cohesion, and more.
29/n
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15/ I need your help to win.
To keep stories like Ethel's, Margarita's, and my own possible.
Fixing SF requires a majority on the Board of Supervisors, and D11 will likely be the 6th seat.
Can you donate? (max $500 & SF donations can be matched 6:1) 🙏🏻
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12/ We need new leadership to fix San Francisco.
For most of the last 20 years a majority of the 11 person Board of Supervisors has put ideology over results. SF’s budget has ballooned to $14.5B while the basics have gotten worse.
I'll be the 6th seat for results over ideology.
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4/ While campaigning, I knocked on hundreds of doors in my neighborhood (the Excelsior in District 11), and made friends like 91 year old Ethel, born & raised in the district, a child of Italian immigrants...
Today I was so heart-warmed to meet Ethel, born and raised in SF for 91 years.
I was knocking doors in the rain, and Ethel invited me into her open garage to chat. Story time below.
Ethel was born in 1933, and she did a high school program with Diane Feinstein before becoming a
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(A) Unit economics of daycare
Infant daycare ratios are 1 caregiver to 4 infants (0-2). At toddler ages (2-3 months), it grows to 1:6; it's 1:12 for preschool (3-5.
60-80% of the operating cost for a given classroom is teacher wages.
4/20
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For ages 0-5, care and education are not mutually exclusive.
Securely attached, loving, reliable, disciplined care literally builds the cognitive & social emotional foundations for the brain to learn all things "academic."
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@JohnArnoldFndtn
childcare is *barely* subsidized in the US.
also, lots of other reasons why it keeps getting more expensive
👋🏻 I'm a volunteer preschool teacher turned founder / CEO at Series A childcare startup
When I first explored the US childcare system in 2016, what baffled me the most was the cost.
This is a 🧵 about why daycare is so expensive in the US. 1/20
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5/ ...and Margarita, a Nicaraguan immigrant whose family bought a home in D11 in 1968 as the first Latino family in the area. A retired teacher, she volunteers for SFPD, SF Fire, and SFUSD.
Again & again, I heard the same story as mine: families moving to D11 for a better life.
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Thank you
@Twolfrecovery
. I was shocked & sad, and learned so much, including that fentanyl has such an addictive short high that addicts need 10-12 hits a day, and cartels are smuggling it over the US / Mexico border on the bottom of onion trucks so onions throw off sniffing
Today I walked the Tenderloin with
@Mtclai
. And while it looked much better today, there were still hundreds out there using meth and fentanyl on almost every block. Thanks for taking the time to hear my perspective. We need a new approach.
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@JamiePatton
10/ Workforce housing:
D11 has the most teachers, police, firefighters in SF.
In the past 5 yrs, I pioneered a workforce housing model for >30 early educators.
Using Sen
@Scott_Wiener
's work (SB-35 recently streamlined 135 teacher units), I'll fight for more workforce housing.
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If you’re a registered voter in SF your mail ballot should be here!
Vote for
@NancyTungSF
, me plus 12 members of our
@SFDemsForChange
for change slate for DCCC
Ballot looks like this 👇🏻
Your vote matters! When you get your ballot, please vote for all 14 of us. This down-ballot race can be won or lost by as little as a few hundred votes -- in 2020, I won my seat by only 405 votes. Use the sample ballot to find out names and vote on the East side of SF.
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(1) SF demographics
Surprisingly, SF doesn't skew young.
The avg age in 2019 was 38.2, older than NYC, LA, and the other top 10 US cities (!) and older than median US age (37.8).
However, SF young people ARE very single.
SF ranks
#2
in the US for unmarried 28-32 yr olds.
7/n
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High costs also mean daycare is a slim margin business.
Bright Horizons, a ~$7B market cap public daycare chain, with a uniquely profitable corporate benefit business model, has 25% gross margins and 10% net margins.
It doesn't get much more profitable than that. 9/20
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Fundamentally, it's about:
(A) unit economics of daycare
(B) undersupply of daycare
(C) lack of subsidy
3/20
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(4) poor public schools 5-18 — families move out when kids get close to Kindergarten. There are many surrounding Bay Area counties with stronger public schools
(5) tech as dominant industry means ppl have more remote work flexibility
(6) homelessness & public safety
6/n
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14/ SF politics is a knife fight in a phone booth. But I can't sit on the sidelines while our city suffers.
CA Attorney General & immigrant
@RobBonta
said:
"Michael has a curse like me — optimism. A belief that we can, if we try...he will care, he will try, & he will deliver."
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@Noahpinion
@ArmandDoma
👏🏻
@ArmandDoma
Two things I’d add:
- SF moderates weren’t necessarily YIMBY until recently. that was a lot of grassroots work & elected officials led by
@Scott_Wiener
- SF moderates weren’t as well organized until recently — there was grassroots momentum from the recalls, new
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Texting with voters on this stormy Sun, and I'm choked up hearing ppl who just want to be safe and raise their kids here, feeling let down by their leaders.
That's why this matters. Fixing SF requires new leadership, and that starts with winning the DCCC.
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