Tony Corke
@MatterOfStats
Followers
4,782
Following
493
Media
10,755
Statuses
81,904
#rstats , maths, science, quirky stuff, and Aussie Rules football. @MatterOfStats @aus .social on mastodon @matterofstats .bsky.social on Bluesky
Australia
Joined February 2010
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
محمد
• 447030 Tweets
Camper Right Nina Pop Up Event
• 353395 Tweets
京都国際
• 214307 Tweets
sabrina
• 199272 Tweets
PIDOM
• 96286 Tweets
علي النبي
• 73674 Tweets
ラストマイル
• 53676 Tweets
審神者の日
• 50644 Tweets
Hayırlı Cumalar
• 50520 Tweets
チー付与
• 35659 Tweets
#يوم_Iلجمعه
• 32218 Tweets
日本記念日協会認定
• 27761 Tweets
Your Season Rec Behind
• 26319 Tweets
フェス会場
• 26272 Tweets
#VALORANTChampions
• 23896 Tweets
YIBO X YUEHUA RED CARPET
• 21119 Tweets
#SERISELIVExCHARLOTTE
• 20909 Tweets
Ilkay
• 20032 Tweets
大本丸博
• 16782 Tweets
Ofgem
• 14845 Tweets
#みらぱとスリブと公開録音
• 13314 Tweets
Jack Doohan
• 11046 Tweets
ヴァイス
• 10830 Tweets
Pinned Tweet
In a highly competitive game, umpiring errors that result in opposition goals have more impact on the aggrieved team if made
Early in a game
5
Midway through a game
0
Towards the end of a game
27
Timing is irrelevant
21
2
0
0
Seriously, how the heck is this not our National anthem?
37
21
351
@benjamindickman
@octonion
"So what mark did you get for the assignment?"
"Dunno - the teacher just handed me this lousy medal and muttered something about Fields ..."
0
1
146
It is truly astonishing that the
@AFL
website can continue to be less and less useable every year. Who do they use for testing?
19
4
112
@AnalysisFact
"And I will leave the proof as a trivial exercise for the class" say lecturing professors all over the globe
2
6
94
@NeutronGirl
@Donno79
@Chinchillazllla
"Sorry, do we need to minute that response?"
"Yes. Yes. We do ..."
0
0
84
@chrislhayes
Chris, from way over here in Oz, I so hope you're right, but worry that the politicisation of the response in many of your States will lead to pain all too soon. I hope I'm wrong
1
2
85
If there’s ever a Hall of Fame for sports analytics, may I preemptively nominate
@sirswampthing
for inaugural life membership?
Tweeps, can I please have a seconder.
5
0
82
In an 18-team competition, allowing teams from 9th and 10th to have a shot at playing Finals significantly reduces the meaningfulness of the home-and-away games AND signifcantly reduces the meaningfulness of being a finalist
It's such a brilliant lose-lose strategy from the
@AFL
9
9
81
@adambspencer
I’d like to know who chose the category boundaries
“What’s the highest value?”
“$544.3 million”
“Okay, last boundary is $544m then …”
2
0
80
Sad news, Tweeps.
Quila didn’t make it through the night.
She will be incredibly missed.
No reasonable person could have hoped for a better dog.
32
0
74
I’m an older Aussie, and I’ve, by far, lived most of my life in Sydney, but I nonetheless love Aussie Rules and remain stunned by the contrast between Paul’s unpaid efforts at AFLTables and the, frankly, uninterested efforts of the well-paid
@AFL
equivalents
3
4
64
@mrjamesob
Come on, James: fishing, blue passports, fish & chips in newspaper, obscenely straight bananas, the sovereignty of parliament to enact laws that it already can, the ability to negotiate free trade agreements with far-smaller trading blocs
What, exactly, don't you get?
8
2
61
@alexmaccaroon
@mrjamesob
"Constable - why did you not make the arrest?"
"It was the helmet, sir. I think it make me excessively woke whilst I was wearing it"
"That's understandable. We've had a few astute people on Twitter worried about exactly that thing"
2
2
59
Doesn't matter which team you support, gotta love when it matters this much
Love for the jumper 💙 Watch the passion as Cooper Stephens pulled on our guernsey for the first time
#GeelongStrong
56
35
1K
0
0
58
Visited Mum today. I was in her bedroom, looking for her hearing aid, when I saw that she had a framed pictured of my late Dad on the pillow next to her. They were married for over 60 years.
Kinda lost it a bit.
I hope all my Tweeps find a love like that.
3
0
57
@VoteLewko
That is incredibly insensitive. Go spend some time in front of a mirror (if you can stand your own company)
3
0
56
@sirswampthing
@Tzac2510
Swamp, you should know by now that stats about <my team> are only worth your time if they show <my team> in a good light or <team I don't like> in a bad light
It's not hard
0
0
53
"Dettol" is currently trending on Twitter in the Politics category.
Welcome to 2020, Tweeps.
4
14
50
@anylaurie16
Hard to be certain, Laurie, but I do think you've avoided the dreaded soggy bottom
1
0
52
At some point, I swear it, before I die (or lose interest) I will find a way to explain to even the most fervent fan of any
#AFL
team that an even free-kick count is not required to confirm the impartiality of umpires.
6
3
52
Maths quiz for sport-loving kids: what do both of these add up to?
10
0
52
Total Disposals and K/H ratios for men's AFL players from 2010 to 2020
(And, no, I am not going to admit how long it took to produce this chart)
6
5
51
@Wil_Anderson
2016: Start
@2Guys1CupAFL
podcast. Dogs win Flag. Name redundant
2017: Launch
#Richmondy
tag. Tigers win Flag.
Looking forward to 2018.
5
12
51
Definitely one of my footy highlights from 2021
Great stat from the 360 boys - if Team A beats Team B, and you add up the wins and losses of Team A and Team B it’s 1-1. Even competition!!!!
73
45
385
5
2
45
Tweeps: my brother died tonight. It was cancer. Prostate, silent at first, but lymph, bone, everywhere & loud in the end. Hug those you love
39
0
46
"Day 55, and the
@AFL
site still has no player statistics. The others on the voyage with me are beginning to lose hope. A number of us have sent up flares but, alas, there's been no response. We are bereft. Tell my models I love them ..."
3
5
47
It is pretty astonishing when you think about it that no team of 22 in V/
#AFL
history has ever played together as a complete team more than 5 times.
9
13
45
@Peter_Fitz
I’m no fan of the stock (or the CEO), but choosing a y-axis range to make a 5% decline look like the Great Crash is disingenuous at best
1
0
46
What do we want?
The ability to make minor edits to Tweets!
When do we want it?
No!
1
1
44
In the AFL season we've had 6 never-before seen V/AFL scores
133-53
166-102
80-67
136-131
125-57
151-65
(In 2015 we'd 39, in 2014 we'd 34)
1
1
36
We need to remind journos that bookies aren't “wrong” when an event they've rated a 20% chance actually happens ... about 20% of the time.
3
7
36
I arranged for a plumber to do some kitchen renovations at my house, but the police said he couldn't enter my LGA
Let that sink in
5
1
42
You know, if Aussie Rules wasn't such an incredible sport, it'd never survive its administration, rules tinkering, website, and media pundits (with notable exceptions)
I don't doubt anyone's intentions, but boy it's hard sometimes
5
1
42
@mrjamesob
Reckon the Venn Diagram of people using the words 'Woke', 'PC' and 'SJW' would see a lot of hard-to-discern overlapping circles
3
1
39
@IvePetThatDog
Gideon, this is Quila (or Q dog as we call her). She's cataracts in both eyes, and Dynamic Respiratory issues, which make her cough after she's excited (even after we've administered her bronchodilator).
She'd love a remote petting (and is our Queen)
2
1
40
Probably not going to Tweet for a bit until the US situation is clearer.
It’s not good for my mental health.
If you’re thrilled about the prospect of 4 more years of Trump, all power to you but, tbh, there’s no chance I’ll ever buy you a beer.
See you soon Tweeps.
4
0
41
@NatashaBertrand
I imagine there'll be a translator, and an official record ... imagine that!
0
3
37
What a class act.
“At the end of 2016, we thought the footy world was Tom’s oyster. We didn’t see the black dog creep up on him…”
Luke Beveridge breaks down paying tribute to Tom Boyd.
68
116
1K
1
2
35
Every pairing in V/AFL history where teammates have played 200 or more games together
(available as a PDF if anyone wants it).
12
6
40
Apparently, a $38 bet from me is enough to spook a multi-million dollar wagering company
8
2
38
@DeAnna4Congress
DeAnna, you might just want to pop into Australia one day or, New Zealand, or ... what"s the point?
When your idelogy and personal ethical compass just lets you blatantly lie, why should others think you're honest enough to objectively assess evidence.
Bless your heart.
2
0
36
What happens when you prioritise fun stuff that the developers want to create for their portfolio over building an app that does what your audience actually wants
i just want a functional match centre that isn’t bogged down by ads and an awful UI why would I want to use AR to view teams ffffff
1
4
33
5
0
37
Well, Australia finally has the opposite of doing a Steven Bradbury
3
1
38
@ajarrodkimber
His belated"Image credit:
@ajarrodkimber
" Tweet has to be one of the most passive-aggressive responses to being caught out for outright theft of IP I've ever seen
2
0
39
Sydney, currently 3rd on the ladder, have conceded 47.52 so far this season
Hawthorn, currently 17th on the ladder, have conceded 47.52 so far this season
4
1
39
"Where are we, Dad? The terrain looks very different"
"Son, we're deep into Scorigami territory now ..."
3
1
37
@qntm
@Ambiguous_Andy
We like to think of it as an "unexplored, bug enriched" environment. And, we offer it at "no extra charge"*!
2
2
36
It’s weird that people who never make public predictions are so vocal about people who do, and do it at a level that often matches or betters the bookies
If you want to have a go, publish your margin forecasts for a couple of years, then we’ll talk
2
1
36
Okay, just to remove any doubt, if you're at all irked by the use of the term "AFLM" as a way of, however lamely, acknowledging that we now have another comp, just unfollow me now, because I have neither the time nor the breath to have that conversation with you.
9
1
36
@richardosman
Intuiting that it's a privilege a lot of people have never experienced and maybe never will?
2
4
36
@SoVeryBritish
Extended version
Slightly put out
Rolls eyes and shakes head
Makes mental note to tell partner later
Miffed
Disgruntled
Cross
Exasperated
Fuming
Seething
Bloody livid
Going "ballistic"
Writes to national newspaper
Tut
Silence
Bears permanent grudge
2
0
34
Imagine you were responsible for the website of a game you believed was pre-eminent in the country and you went, "stuff it with historical stats, we'll tear it all down in the off-season, and not give any details of what's coming", bar this.
I'm tired of finding excuses,
@AFL
7
3
36
To be clear, the Pies are a strong club, and might yet win the Flag, but seeing them go 1 and 3 after being questioned about my and others’ less-than-astonishing rating of them when they were 16 and 2 just reinforces my faith in my and my colleagues’ abilities
11
3
33
5
3
33
Don’t say this often enough, but it has been so enjoyable and inspiring to watch the burgeoning AFL stats community over the past 15+ years
So many talented people
Humbled to be a very small part of it
Long may it continue
2
0
33
@NateSilver538
I'd maybe reword "to be right" (which might involve conforming the evidence to fit my pre-conceived notion) as "to be accurate" or "to be faithful to the evidence"
Some of the worst people I know always want "to be right"
2
0
30
@ZachReino
@JessRMcKenna
In the spirit of improv, I've used an algorithm to randomly generate new
@OffBookPod
episode titles based on existing ones
See what you think. They're all yours (and apols if you got this twice)
5
1
34
Just found the statement from the time CBA accidentally put almost $5m in my account.
I was rich (apparently) for a whole day ...
5
1
34
@AlbertThurgood
Well done, Albert. I genuinely hope that makes you feel better, though I doubt it will. Honestly curious about the reaction you were hoping for.
0
0
32
Serious question: why does the 1st round of men's AFL matches need to be named "Round 0" rather than "Round 1"? Is there some contractual agreement that the League is craftily dodging that requires certain fixturing in the official "Round 1"?
It just seems stupid
5
1
32
I didn’t think this one through, Tweeps. I may be some time .,,
4
0
32
Sorry, Tiges fans, I’ve got nothing comforting to offer by way of numbers or insights tonight
It’s clearly over, and you’ve had a wonderful, well-deserved run, but it’s someone else’s turn now
Better to have Flagged and lost …
4
0
33
If you reckon men’s AFL games are too long, I’d be pushing for a shorter half-time break before I’d go anywhere near messing with the playing time
3
0
32
Completely unexpectedly, notified that we'd paid off our house today
20 years ...
It's a weird feeling
2
0
33
"It's a deadly pandemic, right?"
"Yeah, of course ..."
"How deadly? Can we have 100% capacity?"
"No, not that high ..."
"30%?"
"Nah, too low"
"50%?"
"Yeah, that makes sense. But can we close off some of the upper stands so the crowd's all together for the cameras?"
"Sure!"
4
3
31
I reckon a lot of us might've struggled with Warnie's commentary career but, equally, would've been enthralled and uplifted by what he did on the field. He just refused to lose
Fierce competitor, obvious patriot, shrewd tactician
RIP Shane
1
1
31
Almost certainly not the first to suggest this, but Will Setterfield really should be captain of a cricket team
2
3
27
These are the only groups of 22 players that have played together as a team 4 times or more.
No group of 22 players has ever played together more than 5 times.
7
1
28
Some alternatives to Gather Round in the AFL
Over to you, Tweeps
19
2
31
And that, Ladies and Gentlemen, is why, when a ladder projection has an expected win for a winless team, it might be right, even if it can't say which game the win will come in
1
3
30
My Python script to scrape teams from the AFL website ... ran without error
It's a March Miracle
2
0
30
“Hi, my name is Tony and I like to pretend I can forecast football results ...”
5
0
30
Sometimes, it takes you a while to wrest the momentum from your opponent
5
1
29