Election2024 Updates
@MadAboutSkin01
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Last Seen Profiles
Bedford is a strong Haley area filled with independent voters and the turnout has been tracking at record breaking all day and we haven't even had the usual evening surge yet
Town clerk in Bedford New Hampshire tells me they could see a record turnout for today’s New Hampshire presidential primary.. polls close at 7 o’clock here…voters waiting up to 20 minutes to cast a ballot right now
#7News
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HUGE TURNOUT FOR
@NikkiHaley
at her latest South Carolina rally.. Polls show the race is narrowing and with Trump unhinged rants this week it's all still to play for.
#NikkiHaley2024
#DumpTrump
#PickNikki
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Haley is rising in South Carolina.. this is far from over.. Big mountain to climb but with a month to go Trump can still be defeated and heres how (see below thread)
📊 2024 South Carolina GOP Primary
• Trump — 58% (+27)
• Haley — 31%
---
Undecided: 11%
—
GOP: Trump 69-28%
Indie: Trump 48-33%
Dem: Haley 49-5%
—
Favs
• Trump: 68-27 (+41)
• Haley: 56-33 (+23)
—
Tyson Group | 1/24-26 | 543 LV | ±4.4%
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DONALD TRUMP - Doesn't look like the GOP nomination is over to me!
@NikkiHaley
drawing in big crowds in SC and last 2 polls in the state show her eating into Trumps lead there.. We can do better, we can
#DumpTrump
📍Conway, thank you! We had an incredible crowd tonight. We’ll keep working hard to make you proud!
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FINAL NH TURNOUT STATS -
Good For Haley:
Liberal areas have highest turnout increases, Hanover especially has off the chart turnout.. independents have really come out.. Manchester and Derry looking lower turnout and these are trump areas. Bedford turning out for
#nikkihaley2024
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Ironic how the women in the senate have more balls than all the men put together.. looking at you Tim Scott... Trump doesn't deserve anyone's endorsement he didn't sign the pledge to support the nominee so why should we
Sen. Susan Collins says she will not endorse former President Trump, even if he becomes the Republican Party’s nominee for president.
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I'm not voting for Trump if he's the candidate .. People say "hes better than the alternative" well I say your judged by the company you keep and I won't enable a narcissistic rapist who's aim is to run a personal Vendetta and destroy the GOP
#NeverTrump
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Haley wins Virginia easily... Trump is behind Biden in the same poll... This is why anyone who wants a Republican in the White House needs to vote Haley and
#DumpTrump
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UPDATED SOUTH CAROLINA PREDICTION:
Trump - 55%
Haley - 44%
Based on 800,000 turnout.. higher the turnout the better for Haley so 1m plus is where things get very interesting.. will be posting turnout updates throughout the day
#NikkiHaley
#firstinthesouth
#DumpTrump
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Final NH Update:
Turnout likely 340K+ so polls predicting trump winning by 20% clearly wrong.. Trump still favourite but turnout surge means likely to win by 0-7% max
#NikkiHaley
#DumpTrump
#FITN
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The surge is real... 1 week to go to
#IowaCaucus
and Haley had the momentum in this race.. she leads in Ads, fundraising, has growing numbers of people at every town hall and her poll numbers keep going up.. Come on
#NikkiHaley2024
Nikki Haley: +24 points since July 📈
Ron DeSantis: -12 points since July 📉
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The most powerful political ad I have seen in years.. The US is the greatest country on earth and we deserve so much better than 4 more years of trumps vendettas and hate... NH is our last stand
#NikkiHaley
#FITN
#NikkiHaley2024
Cindy Warmbier is one of the strongest people I know. Her motivation to make sure that America remembers Otto and that North Korea never forgets Otto is courageous. This is the story of a courageous woman who I am proud to know and call my friend.
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BAD SIGN FOR TRUMP IN SC.. Dem primary turnout right down, looks like white moderates are sitting out the Dem primary to vote in the GOP one.. record moderate and Indy turnout will seriously hurt Trump ... All to play for
#NikkiHaley2024
#DumpTrump
NEW: SC Democratic early voting numbers
51,710… roughly 33% decrease compared to 2020
76.5% of all early voters were Black, 13% increase compared to 2020
Story to follow…
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Putting aside the disrespect for our armed forces which is unforgivable.. The staggering level of delusion here when his own wife wouldn't be seen in the same car as him the other day and is too embarrassed to be seen with him!!
#dumptrump
#NikkiHaley2024
Trump on Haley: Where's her husband? Oh, he's away. He's away! What happened to her husband? What happened to her husband. Where is he? He's gone.
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#NikkiHaley2024
should be proud of the results tonight... You can't win in November without independents and Trump is toxic with independents so I'm really pleased Nikki is staying in the race..
#FITN
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Late shifts are key in Iowa and it looks like things are shifting in Haleys direction
#NikkiHaley2024
#IowaCaucuses
Just in: CNN announced that Iowa faith leader and retired pastor, John Palmer, has switched his support from Ron DeSantis to Nikki Haley.
#IowaCaucus
|
#IACaucus
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The irony that Ted Cruz sold out to Trump and endorsed him and it's likely Trump who will bring him down 🤣... Cruz made his bed and now hes paying the price
#DumpTrump
2024 Texas Senate GE:
Colin Allred (D) 44%
Ted Cruz (R-Inc) 44%
Undecided 12%
.
@NatPubAffairs
, 807 LV, 2/6-8
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Look at those crowds for
#NikkiHaley
... 450 people reported at a lunchtime town hall... Winning the
#FITN
primary is looking more promising by the day... Come on
#NikkiHaley2024
This is mid-day on a Wednesday.
The Haley Surge is real 🔥
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It's SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARY Day.. Its almost nailed on to be a trump win but how close can
#NikkiHaley
get to him matters.. look out for turnouts in Richland and Charleston counties - Turnout surges there show Haley turning out Moderates and Indies
#SouthCarolinaPrimary
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Another Endorsement For Nikki - His campaign might not have taken hold but it's good to know there are decent people in politics who can't be bought.. welcome to
#teamhaley
#NikkiHaley2024
𝗡𝗲𝘄 𝗘𝗻𝗱𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁:
Former Republican Governor of Arkansas and Presidential Candidate
@AsaHutchinson
endorses Nikki Haley for President!
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HUGE NH TURNOUT UPDATE 5pm -
Sources say Secretary Of State has had to issue additional ballot papers to a number of towns.. Reporting they have gone through 80% of those printed state wide already and they had printed 340K.
Portsmouth, Rye, Hanover, Bedford and Nashua biggest ⬆️
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Updated NH prediction:
Huge independent turnout expected and record turnout overall. Indys break heavily for Haley and end result is likely to be:
Trump - 49%
Haley 46%
To pull a shock win it's going to take a HUGE Independent and moderate turnout so GET OUT AND VOTE
#Haley2024
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SOUTH CAROLINA TURNOUT UPDATE:
We are waiting for the first official turnout numbers but officials predicting record 900,000 total votes..
Voting looking surprisingly strong in Charleston and also some small rural counties
#firstinthesouth
#NikkiHaley2024
#SouthCarolinaPrimary
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SC Den primary turnout confirmed to be shockingly low.. Expected 375k voters and looking more like 140k!!! This is great news for
#NikkiHaley
as seems that lots of moderates sitting out the Dem primary to vote in the GOP one and give trump a kicking
#DumpTrump
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In South Carolina there is no party registration so it's a totally open primary.. You thought independent turnout was big in NH, it's going to be off the chart in SC... Will it be enough we will see but Trump is rattled and it's making him more unhinged
#NikkiHaley2024
This doesnt have the vibes of a failing campaign? Why's that
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Ended on a high with a huge turnout for
#NikkiHaley2024
finally NH rally.. Nikki has worked so hard across the
#FITN
and deserves a really good result tomorrow... I'm getting up early to be first in line to vote for her
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#NikkiHaley2024
drawing a huge crowd in NH... Every event the numbers get bigger - to put this into perspective this event was in Rye NH which only has a population of 5,200 so this turnout is huge for a small town and shows her momentum in the
#fitn
primary
One of the biggest venues and therefore one of the biggest crowds I’ve seen yet for Nikki Haley in New Hampshire
#nhpolitics
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Endorsements got
@NikkiHaley
keep flowing in.. this is momentum.. and Utah is going to be one of her strongest states.. We can do this
#NikkiHaley
#haley2024
#picknikki
INBOX: Utah Lt. Gov.
@LGHendersonUtah
and First Lady
@AbbyPalmerCox
announce support for Nikki Haley; formal presser @ state capitol tomorrow
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Huge crowd for
#NikkiHaley
tonight in Milford... Amazing turnout for a town of just 15,000.. Interestingly Milford went narrowly for Trump in 2016 then narrowly for Biden in 2020.. looks tonight like they are all in for
#NikkiHaley2024
and ready to
#DumpTrump
They’re in the rafters tonight to hear from
@NikkiHaley
for an absolutely PACKED town hall at Hampshire Hills in Milford!
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Trump has had a terrible week and it's showing in the polls.. Trump is not invincible and
#NikkiHaley
needs to keep calling out his senility and unhinged behaviour.. This is far from over (below poll is from pro trump pollster too!)
#DumpTrump
#NikkiHaley2024
2024 South Carolina Republican Primary (Shift since 1/18):
Trump 66% (-2)
Haley 31% (+3)
.
@Fabrizio_Lee
/
@MAGAIncWarRoom
(Pro Trump), 600 LV, 1/28-29
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Wow if you can get this many to turn up to your town hall in a blizzard then you will have no problem getting people out to caucus for you tomorrow...
@NikkiHaley
has the momentum
#NikkiHaley2024
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As a resident of NH I can say we are much more interested in Town Halls and meeting candidates than staged debates.. we have had 5 already and without trump they are just pointless
We’ve had five great debates in this campaign. Unfortunately, Donald Trump has ducked all of them. He has nowhere left to hide. The next debate I do will either be with Donald Trump or with Joe Biden. I look forward to it.
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NEW SC POLL... This is from Trump's own pollsters but still shows
@NikkiHaley
+3% in a week and trump down -2%... Still a mountain to climb but trumps terrible week is not showing in his own polling
#NikkiHaley
#DumpTrump
2024 South Carolina Republican Primary:
Trump 66% (+35)
Haley 31%
.
@Fabrizio_Lee
/
@MAGAIncWarRoom
(Pro Trump), 600 LV, 1/28-29
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Crowds growing bigger by the day and I sense real momentum here in NH for Nikki Haley... Coming for Trump
#Haley2024
North Conway, population 2,400. Crowd at Nikki Haley's town hall this morning: 350.
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If we are going to defeat Biden in November we need a candidate who puts in the work and has the energy to campaign..
#NikkiHaley
is holding event after event with crowds growing daily...
#Trump
is MIA - We deserve better
#Haley2024
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The field is consolidating.. 14% is a lot to overcome in a week but all will depend on Independent turnout.. Haley leads by 14% amongst indies so if there is a indy surge in turnout this would narrow significantly
#NikkiHaley2024
#FITN
📊 2024 New Hampshire GOP Primary
Trump: 52% (+7)
Haley: 38% (+7)
DeSantis: 6% (=)
[Change vs Jan. 8-9]
@SaintAnselmPoll
| LVs
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NEW NH POLL -Suffolk poll shows DeSantis backer's splitting 50:50 trump and Haley in NH.. this is a big gap for Haley to close BUT everything depends on Independent turnout.. this poll assumes 30% indy vote, if this hits 45% she wins... All to play for
#NikkiHaley2024
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NH UPDATE..Haley is on the rise.. this tracking poll shows
#NikkiHaley
rising 2% in just one day... Still a big gap to close but momentum is with her and undecided voters are breaking hard for
#nikkihaley2024
.. NH will all come down to Independent turnout in 5 days time
2024 New Hampshire Republican Primary (Shift from yesterday):
Trump 50% (=)
Haley 36% (+2)
DeSantis 6% (+1)
.
@Suffolk_U
/
@BostonGlobe
/
@NBC10Boston
, 500 LV, 1/16-17
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My state of NH is going to come to the rescue and save us from another race to the bottom with a Trump Vs Biden election..
#FITN
#NikkiHaley
#NikkiHaley2024
Shadowing door knockers for the last two days, you can feel the race tightening between Trump and Haley. If no one is home,
@ChrisSununu
writes a note on the
@NikkiHaley
door hanger with his Sharpie
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This is why I have refused to give a single $1 to the GOP in the last year - I'm not bailing out criminal trump with my hard earned money.. I will now donate direct to
#NikkiHaley2024
who last time I checked wasn't a rapist guilty of victim defamation!!
#DumpTrump
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@RedEaglePatriot
I'm centre right and not voting for trump (voted for him in 16 and 20 but not again).. I don't care if Biden gets in (I'm not voting for him either) I just can't look my kids in the eye and say I voted for such a horrible excuse for a human being.. I just cant
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BIGGEST NH TAKEAWAY... The GOP is screwed in November... If you can't win independents and can't engage moderates then we have no chance.. I desperately want my party to win the House and Senate but with Trump at the top of the ticket we will lose both 😞
#DumpTrump
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Haley will likely win the Virgin Islands caucus giving her a boost, shes out raising trump and dominating the SC airwaves and she now in full on attack mode against trump highlighting his mental decline
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#NikkiHaley
is throwing everything at her NH campaign... This TV ad is amazing and focussed on the foreign policy message which is so important.. We need huge independent turnout on Tuesday for
#NikkiHaley2024
to win and this will certainly help
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Biggest rally for
#NikkiHaley2024
so far (and her 6th event today!!) It's going to be close on Tuesday and Haley is giving it all she's got to
#dumptrump
#FITN
New Hampshire governor and Nikki Haley hype man Chris Sununu takes the stage at her Exeter rally to “Welcome to the Jungle.”
The crowd cheers when Sununu says it’s down to a two-person race. Two days to go until primary day.
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The size of the crowds here speak to the enthusiasm for
#Haley2024
..
@GovChristie
this is the way to
#DumpTrump
so please consider your position in this race as this is a 2 person race in NH
Nikki Haley earning voters’ support across New Hampshire today!
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Haley wins the midnight vote in NH!! Ok this is a small sample but it shows she's doing what she needs to do with moderates and soft trumpers..
#NikkiHaley2024
#FITN
#dixvillenotch
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400k fewer votes in this SC Den primary this year Vs 2020.. These are all anti trump votes and so
#NikkiHaley
needs to make it her mission to get them to the polls for the GOP primary.. if 70% of them do then she wins and we
#DumpTrump
t
The Nikki Haley strategy in the next three weeks will be to get as many of the ~400k 2020 Democratic primary non-voters to turn out in the Republican one this year.
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SURGE for
@NikkiHaley
continues.. growing attendance at her events and climbing in the polls.. she has momentum in both
#IowaCaucus
and NH
#FITN
.. Vote Hawkeye Haley
#Haley2024
The event hasn’t even started yet and we have over 400 people here to see
@NikkiHaley
in Ankeny! They keep filling in!
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Independents hold the key to defeating
#Trump
in the NH Primary.. Independents outnumber registered Reps massively and can vote in the GOP primary so let's flood the polls on the 23rd for
#NikkiHaley
and put a stop to trump and his chaos
New Hampshire Updated Voter TOTAL Registration Totals - 01.01.2024
Current voter registration totals and (change) from my last update on November 1st, 2023.
🔴Republicans - 267,905 (-1,248)
🔵Democrats - 262,262 (-2,094)
🟠Independents - 343,192 (-1,050)
🔴+ 5,643 Registration
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Something not being picked up by the media is the growing number of endorsements
#NikkiHaley
is getting from Iowa and NH newspapers.. just further proving she has the momentum going into the last 2 weeks before
#IowaCaucus
..
#Haley2024
ICYMI ⬇️⬇️⬇️
“
@NikkiHaley
’s combined executive and foreign policy experience will usher in a new era for the Republican party. Haley is tough, principled, commanding, experienced and yes, she’s someone we can be proud to call our president.” —
@hort4cy
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Add to this that SC is a fully open primary and so expect huge independent and soft dem support in Charleston and collage towns and she could run this incredibly close leading into the next Primary which is DC and she's guaranteed to win
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Great to see evidence of
#NikkiHaley
getting the payoff she deserves from all the work she has put in.. the momentum is real
#Haley2024
Luanne and I had the chance to meet Nikki Haley in person
@RepFeenstra
Faith and Family event. I've personally met with 7 of the republican candidates! After visiting with
@NikkiHaley
, I was reassured that she was the right candidate at the right time! I'll be caucusing for Nikki
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I wish
@GovChristie
would drop out and accept his being in the race is helping trump BUT even with him remaining in his voters seem to be realising that only
#NikkiHaley
can win NH and help us
#DumpTrump
On
@FoxNews
this AM, former
@GovChristie
steering committee member
@tombouchernh
says he’s switched his support to
@NikkiHaley
in
#FITN
race.
@nhgop
#nhpolitics
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@craecali
Whether it's enough for her to close the 15% gap in the polls I don't know but the turnout surge is real and the higher turnout the better the chance for
#nikkihaley2024
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Final SC Den Turnout - this is very low even for a practically uncontested primary.. What's interesting though is black turnout was more robust and white turnout fell through the floor.. seems like some white moderates are sitting out to vote in the GOP primary..
#NikkiHaley2024
2024 South Carolina Dem primary FINAL: ~131,315
2020 Dem primary = 540,062 votes
2016 Dem primary = 373,063 votes
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Trump doesn't have the same energy he did in 2016 and he isn't attracting the same crowds.. below is estimated to be 1000 people but considering how few events he's done that's not that high.. Epect him to under perform his 50% in polls of Iowa and for
#Haley2024
and RDS to over
Huge crowd to see President Trump in Mason City, Iowa.
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NH may be the last stand against trump and I will be first in line when polls open to vote
#Haley2024
... HOWEVER we need a huge and unprecedented independent turnout to beat trump so Indies whatever you do make it your mission to get to the polls on the 23rd Jan and
#dumptrump
Congratulations to
@GovChrisSununu
for being named
@UnionLeader
person of the year.
@GovChrisSununu
outperformed Trump 65%-45% or 150k votes.
For all Biden-Sununu voters: Support Biden or Haley in the fall. The urgent task is voting on January 23 against Trump.
#NHPolitics
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@IAPolls2022
Let's be real, without Trump the debates are pointless and the viewing figures were so low im now surprised the networks have pulled them
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@fawfulfan
I adore Katya and I'm well aware homophobia exists everywhere but this is not an argument she needs to be making.. you can support Palestine without ignoring real issues people face in the LGBTQ community there
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Some rural towns have already reached 100% turnout and Trump seeing strong turnout in Salem..
Polls predicting trump winning by 17% clearly wrong but not sure it's enough for Haley to win
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#NikkiHaley2024
.. SPREAD THE WORD.. Something people often forget is independents can vote in the IA GOP caucuses.. All they need to do is go along to their caucus site with a utility bill/ID and swap their registration to GOP on site and then they can caucus.
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NH results..
Looks like a single digit Trump win.. estimate would be trump +6%... Independents came out big for Haley but it doesn't look like quite enough for her to win
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I knew NH wouldn't let me down.. Also if anyone wants to know why RDS will pull out this is it.. He will be humiliated in NH and he's worth more than that so should leave while he can with dignity
📊 2024 New Hampshire GOP Primary
• Trump: 40% (+3)
• Haley: 40% (+7)
• DeSantis: 4% (-1)
• Ramaswamy: 4% (=)
• Hutchinson: 1% (=)
• Undecided: 9% (=)
[Change vs January 3]
• ARG (C+) | n=406 GOP | 194 IND
• 600 LV | January 12-15 | MoE: ±4%
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Haley is going to need a HUGE Independent turnout on Tuesday to pull this off.. like they have to make up 45% of voters in the GOP primary.. Possible for sure but would need to break records
#NikkiHaley2024
Final New Hampshire GOP Primary Poll
• Trump — 50% (+15)
• Haley — 35%
• DeSantis — 8%
With leaners:
• Trump — 53% (+16)
• Haley — 37%
• DeSantis — 10%
—
Emerson (A-) | 673 LV | 1/18-20
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Another huge endorsement for
#NikkiHaley2024
the MAGA crowd will brush this off as "democrats voting" or other such nonsense but take it from me Independent turnout is going to be HUGE on Tuesday
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Biggest town hall to date for Nikki Haley this morning... The crowds are growing and so is her momentum.. She's on CNN tonight and needs to keep pushing as this is a two person race so only
#NikkiHaley
can save us from trump
#FITN
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@craecali
Yeah and most loaded looking good for Haley... Portsmouth has queues out of the door and she should be winning that 60%+.. Rye also looking well over 2016 numbers.. Bedford reporting 50% of voters so far are independents and if that's replicated across the state that's huge
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Can we just take a moment to note that whilst
@RonDeSantis
and
@NikkiHaley
are barnstorming Iowa earning your vote.. Trump is in court as a proven fraudster, arguing why he shouldn't be fined for his proven business criminality... AMERICA WE DESERVE BETTER
#picknikki
Wow Trump just called out Judge Engoron for being a political hack straight to his face:
“You have your own agenda, I certainly understand that. You can’t listen for more than one minute."
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#NikkiHaley2024
Is finally going straight after Trump.. It's time we fight the criminal head on - Forget DeSantis, he's an afterthought now and focus fire on
#Trump2024
I have a different style and approach from Joe Biden and Donald Trump. No drama. No vendettas. No whining. Just results.
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How come anyone who spends time with unhinged trump becomes unhinged themselves.. Alina is losing it - no wonder Melania is keeping away, she won't even let trump in the same car as her and I think that's a wise move
#dumptrump
#NeverTrump
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@RauenChris
If Haley gets close she needs record turnout.. 1m overall (including EV) and she's in with a chance but really needs close to 1.1M... I think it's going to be too much to ask but she can run this really close
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Latest poll from NH... Shows Haley doing as well with Independents as trump does work Republicans... For Haley to win we need Indys to make up 50% of the turnout... That's a huge ask but the energy is there so let's make it happen NH independents GET OUT AND VOTE
#NikkiHaley2024
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Welcome to team Haley.. honestly she might not be your first choice but we can't allow Trump to cost us another election down ballot
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Wow if this is true then it's going to be exceptionally close... Record Independent vote share in GOP primary was 43% in 2012... If this holds at 47% then Haley is going to pull this close
#nikkihaley2024
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@ryanc_2025
The Arizona GOP are one of the worst in the country.. Because of their obsession with Trump and baseless election fraud claims they threw away the whole senate and make a presidential win in 2024 more difficult
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Looks like DeSantis might be dropping out.. I always said it's best for his long term political image to avoid a crushing defeat in NH so if he does I think it's the right choice
Republican Presidential candidate Ron DeSantis abruptly cancels planned appearance on Meet The Press, likely to cancel CNN interview - NBC
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WOW.. We have millions pouring over the southern border, families who can't feed their kids and an opioid crisis and this guy is still just going on about Jan 6th and his Vendettas... PRIORITIES PEOPLE
#DumpTrump
#NikkiHaley2024
Wow while rambling about January 6th, a confused Trump blames Nikki Haley for January 6th and says she was in charge of security for the Capitol
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