Lorcan Roche Kelly
@LorcanRK
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Now that it is out of the Southern Suez, the Ever Given has to endure the Chug of Shame as it sails past ever ship it has delayed for up to a week
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Resigning to spend less time with his family is a new one..
It’s been an honour to represent Orpington for 9 years & to serve as a minister under three PMs. In recent weeks I’ve been torn between family loyalty and the national interest - it’s an unresolvable tension & time for others to take on my roles as MP & Minister.
#overandout
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Saw someone has a 40% chance of a Le Pen victory in the French election.
I wrote a poem about people who put 40% chances on things
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This is what happens when you close the pubs here for a few months
Ireland was the only EU country in which industry produced more in June 2020 than a year earlier.
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My brother
@hughrochekelly
was on a
@germanwings
flight this morning. Pilot seemed to be an amazing person.
http://t.co/FLxUk19yBA
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As a Central Bank geek, what this *could* mean is interesting... (short thread)
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No lip reading skills required on this French comment to Sexton
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FOUR AND A HALF YEARS OF ARGUING AND WHEN THEY FINALLY AGREE TO EVERYTHING THIS POUND DOES THIS.
Seriously, Forex, what is the point of you?
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This is what Paul Rudd looked like last time U.S. inflation was this high
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Proud dad moment: My daughter, who has had to put up with a lot in her life, just totally aced her Leaving Cert.
Once I wipe away these tears of joy, I'll spend the rest of the month beaming with pride :)
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British Pound forming a "oooh, damn, no wait, feck, oh hang on, no it's nothing, or is it, Tony Connelly tweet, Arlene Foster denial" pattern today
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The guy who trades dollar bonds from Wellington stepping into work just now, and the global financial media watching to see which button he presses
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China Daily on Saturday: Russia's "special operation" in Ukraine.
China Daily just now: Russia's "invasion" of Ukraine.
I'm not saying it is significant, but I'm definitely not saying it's not either...
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"What'll I carve in the pumpkin?"
"A bogeyman to scare the impressionable!"
"Ok, ok, Germany TARGET2 balance chart it is."
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Managed to set the scale on my Bloomberg chart of the Rhine river level so one centimeter drop in the river means a 1 cm move in the line in my chart.
This may be my greatest ever achievement.
Cc
@tracyalloway
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Have to put this headline down to Google Translate struggling with icelandic, or it'd probably be a much bigger story
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This is what I tell the kids after I have to put an animal down.
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Ok, by popular demand, here's a work from home thread.
First things first. Who you are working for will go a long way towards defining your experience.
I've had four very different bosses since 2008
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In case anyone is in need of something cute..
Just saw these baby foxes sticking their noses out into the evening air. One shy one, and one brave one :)
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At this rate,
@NicolaSturgeon
could launch a reverse takeover of the rest of the U.K. by Wednesday and nobody would say a word against it.
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Meaning (very much back-of-the-envelop and based on f-all detail in this evening's announcement) the useful reserves of Russia's central bank could have just dropped by more than $400 billion.
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Powell - "central banks are doing what they seem necessary within their institutional contexts."
Fed - BIG CUT
BOJ - BUY EVERYTHING
RBA - CUT
PBOC - MASSIVE LIQUIDITY
ECB - Woo! You go guys! Hashtag coordination
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*Personal News Klaxon*
From Monday I will be joining Bloomberg's Markets Live blog as a strategist.
So lots less web stuff from me, but more ideas backed-up with arguments (and charts) on
@TheTerminal
(I will still write the weekly Quiz)
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By age of 35 you should be sure about less than half of the stuff you were absolutely certain about when you were 25.
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There once was a kingdom called Britain
With Europe it never did fit in
It wanted to leave
For it did believe
The stuff on a bus that was written
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There one was a farmer from Clare
Who decided to, just for a dare
Do a 'like' one
Here it's begun
It'll probably be a total nightmare.
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Yes.. Yes, it does.
Macron speaking with EU flag behind him. Says it all.
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Boris Nemtsov, shot in Moscow tonight, speaking about Putin in yesterday's
@FT
http://t.co/flzFmvOabb
http://t.co/fDvu5uzY59
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Can just imagine Ed looking at that tweet for the last 7 years thinking "Will I quote tweet it now with a clown face?"
And deciding every time, until today, that "no, they can be even more chaotic than this"
And being right every time...
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Spain opens higher as nobody can figure out how to collapse government.
Italy opens higher as nobody can figure out how to form government.
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Tall enough to steer, but still can't reach the pedals?
That's what little sisters are for..
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Just a check on this.
@ECB
monthly purchases will be
€20 bn per month (announce in Dec)
€120 bn to year end (announced earlier this month)
€750 bn to year end announced just now.
So, the ECB will buy €1.11 TRILLION of assets this year.
That's, um, quite a lot.
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Hardest moment of my life was telling my kids their mother was murdered.
Breaking their hearts when yours already is
Impossible to shake off the thought that tonight a father's trying to explain to his children that their mum's never coming back.
#JoCox
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You can spot the moment on the chart where the Mueller report was published :)
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Scientists have the best procrastination excuses
The "wait calculation" suggest that we should not do interstellar travel if we can't get to our destination within 50 years because if we can advance in propulsion system velocity, a future mission will pass the previous one and get there faster
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Really, that Draghi op-ed is pretty amazing.
(shame he's not actually a policymaker anymore)
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Am considering taking this pint private at €4.20. Funding secured.
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Personal news:
After a long six months, the best pub in the world - Casey's in Sixmilebridge - just reopened.
I can confirm the Guinness is better than ever.
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Very, very excited about this - a position that very neatly matches my interests :)
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There's nothing new in politics. This quote is from the 1640s, and was an 'old saying' then.
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¯\_(ツ)_/¯ formation almost complete in Brent Oil futures
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Capital Controls in Euro area.
Stock trading suspended in U.S.
Selling stocks banned in China.
#FreeMarkets
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Only reasonable reaction to the tsunami of UK politics news
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This screengrab from the German tv show tonight pretty much sums up German/Greek situation
http://t.co/PEPcaAkVjF
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If she was a boy, we would have had to call him Mario. Luckily, she's a girl so it's Theia Ailbhe
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These emergency rate cuts from central banks are the "your cat giving you a dead mouse as a present" of things we need right now.
Like, yea, their heart is in the right place, but other than giving everyone a bit of a fright when its seen, unlikely to be actually very useful
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Using the appointment of a new German Chancellor as an excuse to repost my favourite Merkel photo
#accidentalrenaissance
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Someone suggested a long time ago that maybe the UK should just say really loudly in the Mail that it has left, but not change anything at all.
Turns out that might actually be the plan..
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I guess 10 years of being told "thank you for your input" at meetings is enough for anyone.
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Sometimes it worth reminding ourselves that, for all its faults, twitter is really amazing..
Where else can you be having what is basically a pub conversation on a topic, decide to ask one of world's leading experts on it, and they pop in to answer
OK I’m technically not a central banker, so let me give you my take.
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They say one point two zero zero
Party over, Mays out of time
So tonight, we gonna, we gonna (tonight gonna parity. Look it's 1.1999)
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(Tries that again) Comparison between the yield of Hiroshima and MAOB. USA Today size, versus actual yield
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Ok.
Talked to the experts at Animal Magic (those wonderful people who took my baby otters a few years ago).
And looks like I'm going to be a heron-daddy for a few weeks...
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The biggest problem with referenda is that you end up finding out what people think
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I genuinely though this was a parody news story.
Brexit: Fisheries minister did not read deal as she was 'very busy organising local Nativity trail'
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That Varadkar speech is here for anyone not in Ireland or that might have missed it.
Pretty sure it would worth everyone watching no matter where you are
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@kevinhorourke
@bbclaurak
@KeohaneDan
Really, no.
The continuing failure in the UK to grasp how important this issue is remains a mystery.
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How to start an international crisis and never-ending talks:
Iran - Try to build a Nuke.
Greece - disagree over hotel VAT rates.
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I know there aren't many festivals on at the moment, but when they come back it's going to be hard to beat the big rock show live in Iceland right now
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There are difficult first weeks in a new job and then there's Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman's first week in the new job.
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Told baby daughter
@ECB
went for negative interest rates instead of QE..
http://t.co/KwcibW6Ofs
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Ireland's changed, they say.
And yet here we all are, watching the Late Late Show on a Friday night like it's 1986..
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When Draghi said "whatever it takes" nobody doubted his commitment.
But I don't think any of us thought he'd go as far as actually taking over the running of the euro area's third-largest economy.
Still, gotta say, it seems effective so far.
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Bitcoin has dropped $600 in the last 25 mins.
Because bitcoin.
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