Well I was leaving this for later BUT we keep getting a glut of polling, so!
Lemme introduce a little project: a simple, weekly-updated BC 2024 projection model, fully updated now:
Features all 93 seats and their current projection.
#bcpoli
#cdnpoli
If you're a member of BC United, you have three choices right now:
1. Join with the climate denialist, transphobic, anti-vaxxer, Christian dominionist-wannabe BC Conservatives;
2. Try to fight this internally, or;
3. Join the NDP or Greens.
Very sorry it came to this!
#bcpoli
Conservatives losing Oxford purely because Pierre Polievre wanted a staffer buddy to win the nomination = Pierre Poilievre is no longer CPC leader. Calling that now.
100% this should be all the NDP run from now on as an ad, and it will in fact propel them to government. This is amazing. Don't let them get away with shit,
@theJagmeetSingh
.
People from the far-right group that disrupted the Terry Fox ceremony this morning just got into an altercation with Jagmeet Singh
One guy calls Singh a “corrupted bastard.” Singh asks him to say it to his face. The guy lies and denies saying it, despite video showing he said it
@ABDanielleSmith
Someone questioning their gender identity should be between themselves, a therapist, a physician, and anyone they consent to being involved - NOT the state.
You'd think a supposed "libertarian" would know that, you hypocritical coward.
Hey man this actually really sucks, why are you bringing partisan talking points into a ceremony for new Canadians?
I know you have no respect for, like, anyone, but you could at least pretend not to make something this sacred about yourself and your shitty talking points.
SHOCKING
Officials in this NDP-Liberal Government wanted to be able to vet and censor my remarks at a Citizenship Ceremony for my own riding.
This was not the speech they expected…
I keep repeating how stupid this is, but I'm not doing it justice.
It's MONUMENTALLY stupid. Our "environmentalist" and "capitalist" government is keeping cheap EVs off the market because slowpoke NA automakers profits are in danger.
Utter fraud,
@JustinTrudeau
.
#cdnpoli
Carbon pricing has been the most effective tool we have for reducing emissions, while also having the lowest impact on everyday consumers. The NDP knows this.
But they're basically propping up the Conservative's line instead. Are they also against an industrial price?
#cdnpoli
@maxfawcett
BC sent double the load that Saskatchewan did during the peak hours - but no it was Scott Moe's Coal that saved the day.
These guys are all such losers, seriously.
@fordnation
You're saying yes to MORE traffic.
If you wanted to reduce it, you'd invest in actual two-way all-day GO service. To dedicated bus lanes. To getting trucks off the 401 and onto the 407 with the billions you've slated for these developer goodies.
You're a failure. Drop the writ.
Guess what: it isn't just the Liberals that lost.
The NDP, the party that should benefit most from a Liberal collapse, especially in this seat? Down 5 points, DOA.
Greens, my friends - we put in effort. The effort did nothing. We dropped below 3%.
We have a problem.
#cdnpoli
@JJ_McCullough
Olivia Chow had a career *before* Jack did - in fact Jack was the son of a federal cabinet minister, Olivia was the one who built her own career from the ground up.
Of course, surprise, you take that away from her. Kind of a pattern with you tbh.
I see PP has tweeted.
He sounds worried.
He should be.
A great man once provided the antidote to the anger, hate and division he spreads.
It’s love, hope and optimism.
@TheSuitedPickle
@ConSelfOwns
You've got a few misconceptions here, bud.
First is that there are a lot of diasporas and indigenous minorities still around that are, indeed, seeking recognition. The Ainu of Japan, for example. Or the Armenians or Kurds in Turkey. Yes, even Greek diasporas too. They're there.
Note to progressive parties going forward: don't abandon your candidates over something as stupid as "had an OnlyFans" or whatever it is Gibson did, idc. Voters don't care. What does matter is the loss you'll take for moving resources away from the race.
Got some exciting news, folks:
I'm the
@OntarioGreens
candidate for the Milton by-election!!!
My campaign is focused on getting Doug Ford to keep his promises - whether that's cancelling Campbellville Quarry or building more homes in all styles - fourplexes included. ;)
#onpoli
@maxarus
@joolsevelyn
Yeah man, you're right - probably wouldn't care at all. You got us.
Now consider the reality that you're a prole like the rest of us, and how entirely dumb it is we let someone like that get away with destroying a public space because he simply has money.
Very disappointed in
@JustinTrudeau
and those Liberal MPs who chose not to support a Citizen's Assembly.
Come next election, don't come to me saying I can only vote Liberal to stop the Conservatives - you had a chance to change. I'll remember it. We'll all remember.
#cdnpoli
@TheSuitedPickle
@ConSelfOwns
The second is that we see 'conquest' as illegitimate because we don't live in a world any longer where wholesale displacement and murder of a people by another people or state is acceptable. We're past that, or should be.
This is incredible. A 20-point swing against them despite a strategic vote squeeze on both NDP and Greens somehow equates to the Liberals *not* being at fault for their own loss.
You guys are disconnected from reality. You lost this because you fumbled the bag so hard.
Liberals will consistently lose over vote-splitting and Conservatives are counting on it!
The Libs/NDP had better coalesce or this country will be under very painful Conservative rule. Conservatives hate women and Pierre will make laws to suit himself.
#cdnpoli
#TSP
For those curious, yes Kanye could in fact get ballot access on enough states if he worked real hard over the next month to do it. Most states have their deadlines in early to mid August. Some are in July but require lots of sigs to get collected in a short time.
#kanye2020
I am 100% on board with New Brunswick being the first government to officially fall because conservatives couldn't stop themselves from being led by transphobes
Do it. Go to an election.
#nbpoli
#cdnpoli
@TheSuitedPickle
@ConSelfOwns
So overall, taking that in, what do you think we're actually saying?
It's not about calling 'conquest' illegitimate - it doesn't even matter what it was or wasn't at this point. Right now, recognizing historical harm and stopping ongoing displacement of people is what matters.
The Conservatives have lost all four former PM seats - five if you include Thatcher.
- SW Norfolk (Truss) to Labour
- Uxbridge (Johnston) to Labour
- Maidenhead (May) to Lib Dems
- Witney (Cameron) to Lib Dems
- Finchley (Thatcher) to Labour
Only Sunak's own seat remains lmao
Good morning everyone -
I'm happy to formally announce I am the
@CanadianGreens
candidate for the riding of Burlington in the next federal election!
My goal is to run a bold & unashamed progressive campaign for
#BurlON
residents demanding change and vision in 2025.
#cdnpoli
@EvanLSolomon
Speaking as a Green candidate from Ontario, I'm in full support of Ukraine's sovereignty, I think Tyrrell is completely off base and, while his party is separate from the federal party, I think his membership should be reviewed within the
@CanadianGreens
.
👏 FPTP is bad 👏
We all know this after last night. No matter your position on the ideological scale, parties were hurt by First-Past-the-Post's unequal representation and outcomes.
But what if it wasn't that way? I did the calcs last night to see:
#qc2022
#polqc
#cdnpoli
@SaraMorrison
@brianklaas
If you go to the first link on that page you provided (Get app ratings daily), first sentence is "results below based on 3-day avg"
@michelletandler
Hard to see how "why are people afraid to hang criminals these days?" isn't an explicit endorsement of hanging criminals these days. Or did you just realize now the violence was often targeted against minorities and you now need to backpeddle.
Sadly for you, you can't.
@CanadianPolling
For anyone wondering - this is a Westminster tradition, whereby the Speaker of the House is dragged to the chair in mock reluctance, because in ye olden days it was the Speaker's job to relay stuff to the English monarchs and, well, face consequences for bad news lmao
I keep seeing that people are pushing the line of "London only has 25 Councillors!" or "Los Angeles only has 15!" and using this to say Toronto can get by with 25.
Let this be your thread to reference in the future how really, really dumb that argument is. OK? Cool.
#topoli
@_scubadrew
@brithume
Politicians are supposed to speak for the people they're elected to represent, not themselves. They aren't private citizens. Think.
The Community Note on this one is actually malicious, and folks should be downvoting it.
Poilievre was a member of the Harper cabinet, including being ParlSec to the PM. He was in a government 'in power'. Implying Singh meant "as PM" is the actual disinfo here
#cdnpoli
When Pierre Poilievre was in power, food prices increased by 25%.
Under Justin Trudeau, they've increased another 30%.
Under Liberals and Conservatives, CEO profits go up and your bank account goes down.
Different government, same story.
@Bookworm_ish
@DaveCullenCF
In this case the sign would read:
"Handicap accessible unisex bathroom with changing station"
All important things to know, right?
Think.
I want to thank Jagmeet for doing the right thing by stepping up to oppose BC NDP’s Eby & Trudeau carbon-tax-coalition.
The Eby-Trudeau BC NDP coalition has sold out working people in BC.
Taxing BC’s everyday, hardworking people into poverty will not change the weather!
#bcpoli
@JakeSinclair16
@EuphoriTori
Yeah you're right, cis doesn't mean "normal" it means "not trans."
Are you not trans? Then you're cisgender. Sometimes that gets shortened to cis. Don't freak out about it on a post that's a reaction to someone trying to take away the rights of trans people, Jake.
The
@ontario_liberal
gods heard my plea and have released results by riding association and club. Here's Round 1 mapped out on Ontario's 124 provincial ridings.
#onpoli
#olpldr
#cdnpoli
I'm so sick of FPTP, folks. So tired of it. Four out of four recent elections - federal, Ontario, Quebec, and now PEI - have featured unrepresentative results enabled by FPTP. We need
#ProportionalRepresentation
NOW!
Here's what PEI would look like under STV.
#peipoli
#cdnpoli
@TheSuitedPickle
@ConSelfOwns
Third, we also know the reaction to historical 'conquest' doesn't involve sending descendants back to their ethnic home nations, for many reasons ranging from that just being another form of displacement, to it not being their fault, and etc.
This so, SO bad. Kevin Falcon looks completely weak. He's doing this entirely unilaterally. Candidates are under threat of being dropped by both and neither will confirm anything. Rustad won't even say "climate change is real." What a joke.
#bcpoli
#cdnpoli
Stephen Harper put the 'Royal' back into the Navy and Air Force alongside a whole bunch of other monarchist affirmation and oath stuff. This is patently, provably, undeniably not true. And you know it is. Why lie? Why are conservatives always lying what is the poINT WHY ALWAYS LI
New polling has the Sask NDP pummelling the Sask Party in urban SK and gaining ground in other parts of the province. People are sick of this tired government and their divisive politics.
Scott Moe tired of everyone making "least I didn't kill someone" comments behind his back, so he's outing all the impaired drivers in his party's candidate slate.
At this year's Annual Meeting, Ontario's Liberals will come together to chart a path forward for our party, and take the next steps toward delivering a bold vision for our province.
We are excited to announce four of the guest speakers who will help us form that vision!
This is a dangerous long term trend for parties like the Liberals and BC NDP.
Younger voters aren't becoming more conservative in the ideological sense - but the centre-left is increasingly seen as defending the status quo favouring boomers and those living well-off.
#cdnpoli
@nikicaga
My question is: why stop there? Nagorno-Karabakh has granite. Ukraine has wheat. Kashmir has snow. Spratly Islands have salt water. Mexico has desert. It's all needed man.
@EmmaVigeland
This makes me think a Shapiro pick might be fait accompli at this point.
Harris herself takes a less pro-Israel stance, but shores up critics with Shapiro who has been harsh on I/P protesters.
Can someone explain to me how there could be 84 candidates for a federal byelection? This is something we need to look into because that smells terrible to me.
I dunno man, when you're going around asking people if they're "scared" because of an election result you want to see - have you considered that's not, like, a positive thing?
Like, are you excited about good policy changes (to you) or are you into vaguely threatening people?
@nikicaga
This is pretty in line with the backlash against Hochul, tbh. It isn't enough to cause national Dems to lose the state, but it will definitely hurt on the margins.
Maybe the Liberals should've actually done electoral reform rather than having three parties with different views and approaches to the world merge in a last-ditch attempt to stop the bad blue man.🤪
Fact of the matter is whoever allowed that SS dude into the HoC gallery to be fêted should be fired on principle. Turned what should have been a moment of solidarity with Ukrainians into a free win for tankies, chuds, and Putin.
If it was Rota - he needs to resign as Speaker.
People like David are why we have a housing crisis, straight up.
Its not immigration. Its not bureaucracy. Its David from Toronto who thinks apartments are communism.
Less Davids, More Neighbours needs to be our mantra.
@pothen
Ah, the joys of Stalinist Crescent Town and Main Square that you want to impose on the side streets of all neighbourhoods where you don’t live:
The beauty of Liz Truss losing is that all her neighbouring Conservatives in Norfolk won their seats - this was a special specific rejection of her, and her alone.
Well deserved.
@nationalpost
Reminder to everyone that Conrad Black and his wife were in Jeffrey Epstein's little black book, in case you want to know the quality of people continuing to write for NatPo.
@Conservative_BC
Elenore, welcome to the team!!
Under the NDP, the quality of life in BC is crumbling.
I’m looking forward to working with you in areas where we share common ground, including curbing the proliferation of deadly drugs and crime, and building a more prosperous future.
🤝🚀
New map projection! This is using
@CanadianPolling
average on the website, comes out to:
203 Conservatives
79 Liberals
32 Bloc Québécois
27 New Democrats
2 Greens
... but importantly: what do y'all think of the new palette? Criticisms welcome!
Holy hell, how does
@Dave_Eby
justify keeping Selina Robinson in cabinet?
"A crappy piece of land with nothing on it" is her way to excuse the removal of Palestinians from their homes during the Nakba, and no doubt she means it today for the West Bank and Gaza. Shameful.
#bcpoli
NDP minister
@selinarobinson
justifying genocide by calling Palestine “a crappy piece of land with nothing on it”. Hateful, bigoted remarks that should result in her immediate resignation
@Dave_Eby
I understand there is tremendous complexity to Ukrainian independence movements and nationalism particularly at this place and time but for the love of all that's holy *he was literally in the Waffen SS*
Maybe find another person to give ovation to idk
AP News confirming that the 98-year old veteran given standing ovation by Canadian parliament, is Yaroslav Hunka, who fought for the 14th division of the Waffen SS.
Canadian parliament gave a standing ovation to an outright Nazi collaborator.
First noticed by
@lingerence
.