Abaxx Q2:
🔸Launched one of the first global commodity-futures clearinghouses in a decade+
🔸Abaxx now part of markets history with the first print of a physical-
#LNG
price: Nov GOM FOB $9.09 mmbtu first close
🔸Growing Abaxx commercial & product team, working on 10+ new
Heard something disconcerting this eve from a good source.
Apparently G7 morality police about to rein the propaganda down hard on
#gold
— owning gold and gold mining companies in name of ESG & energy use. Apparently the message from on high already working into Blackrock et al
This has to be one of the greatest cons in all of history. Tens of thousands of economists & pundits tell the world w/straight face that prices aren’t going up, while pumping financial “everything bubbles” & trashing society w/farcical paper-wealth inequality & crony financialism
We’ve now passed 100 barrels of
#oil
per ounce of
#gold
. Typically this tops out at ~30, in a long term range of ~10 to 20, 30 @ extremes. Even in 1930s we topped out in 30 range.
As seen in the real time labour market stats & others, we’ve never seen economic damage like this.
Nearly 6 months into epic energy crisis & these lunatics still calling LNG “stranded assets”, talking about a world without fossils fuels.
A world without German industry is the real situation now on the table.
🇨🇦 & 🇩🇪 still leading the G7 SuicideSquad
Remember when suspending gold window was temporary, then the fiat-dollar infected whole world’s wage & capital systems?
Remember when QE was temporary, then moral hazard & wealth inequality infected whole world’s political systems?
What’s the next “temporary” lie we’ll be told?
#Oil
: all time epic collapse.
#Stocks
: flat year over year.
Difference? Can’t print more storage capacity &working capital in real economy.
#Gold
is the hedge against this forward looking debasement, oil will soon be best hedge against
#inflation
Dow/gold & oil/gold best signals
To these IYIs: there’s not another product on earth with the recycle rate & reusability of gold. Not a single one. It’s circular economy literally defined the technology of money and economic/industrial efficiency
Lots of people asking me about
#Silver
today
There will be lots of misinformation & coin dealers pumping their inventory & spreads this week
The only signals that matters IMHO, to see if theres real market disruption, is the EFP market & Spot-COMEX spreads. I’ll report tomorrow
I have a friend that just texted me that she’s finally selling her Doge ahead of SNL tomorrow. ...she’s selling it to pay off her mortgage, her entire mortgage. She’s a beautiful free spirited artist, it wasn’t about finance or trading. The scale of this all is simply incredible
ABS recently told my friend that Xi asked him/the KSA to consider pricing oil in a Digital Yaun backed by gold “and other metals”.
IMO China’s supply chain grip over industrial metals was always going to be their lever for de-dollarization
#BrettonWoodsIII
Helped Jeff Currie celebrate the retirement news with friends in London.
Great long conversation on LNG, copper, oil, Chinese demand, alternative to LME, the future of commodity trading (on whose balance sheet?), cowboy boots in Mayfair…
…getting Jeff on Twitter (soon)!
#OOTT
This might be the most spot on, not blinded-by-narrative article that I’ve read in a long time. I agree with nearly every point.
Great work Vice (&Finland)! QE, Energy, debt, has it all right
Gov Agency Warns Global Oil Industry on the Brink of Meltdown
Can anyone make a serious argument why
#gold
won’t be building a new floor above $2,000 over coming months? Who in the world is selling?
[spare me any religious takes from idiots that never tried to understand it]
The Dec/Jan bank reports,“gold to 1500 post hikes” were terrible
Oh, and I can tell you that having physical kilo bars in Sing, working orders with physical trading desk, China is buying gold hand over fist. Everything being bought up right now is headed to China (even more in March than in Dec/Jan)
~hearing 3 tonnes per day in March so far
A few shareholders asked me over past year why we “speculated on
#gold
”. My answer was that we were lowering counterparty risk. We owned gold in a Singapore vault. I saw risks in the banks & clearing system (most still don’t know about). Didn’t want to lose our startup capital
$28 trillion -> global
#QE
since ‘08 (still growing)
Basically 0 net-new sovereign debt sold to public (or priced by supply/demand) since “debt crisis”.
👌
Soon public will demand real liabilities from Governments.
Everything will change
#BrettonWoodsIII
#MMT
#AccountabilityMyth
Why do I get the feeling in the next few days, week perhaps, we’re going to learn something new that really changes everything? ..perhaps another angle on the virus origin, or some new Orwellian response plan..both..IDK. Time to rest, but I think we have another big week ahead
@pdacosta
@RudyHavenstein
@Sebastopol94
Wrote this to my former Goldman econ chief in '13, 3yrs before Brexit,Trump,etc..Its why I got off my ass to help people off ths train wreck
Amazing, every asset goes up year after year!
..or maybe the ruler we measure by ($USD) is increasingly total garbage. Which isn’t bad if you’re in levered finance..
..but kinda sucks for majority of population using faulty ruler in wage contract & (negative real) bank savings
Latest data from the Monetary Authority of Singapore shows their
#gold
reserves increased by 17.3 tonnes in March. This means they have bought 68.7 tonnes of gold in Q1'23, lifting gold reserves to 222.4 tonnes (45% higher than at the end of December).
Yesterday the world lost one of the great mineral explorers & developers, Lukas Lundin. His family shared the news today.
I’m forever grateful — at 26 Lukas gave me the opportunity of a lifetime, to share an office right next to him…and an inside glimpse of how the world works.
@DoombergT
Had dinner with D. Yergin in DC during Biden first 100 days.
Everyone shocked, wasn’t a single person with traditional energy experience near the administration. Kerry had given them all the Heisman stiff arm & wasn’t expected to last. Before ‘21 crisis & ‘22 disaster. Insanity
I spoke too soon.
#Silver
EFP markets may be reacting to $SLV buying. I was sceptical it would effect the potential spot - futures spreads, but here we are...
@GoldTelegraph_
‘Singapore is set to lead the gold market as ‘center of gravity’ shifts east, World Gold Council says’
…what’s not said, Singapore is also tracking to have the most advanced spot
#gold
& futures clearing before the end of the year with
@abaxx_exchange
#Gold
= noble metal element basically immune to entropy in natural atmospheric conditions (ie immortal)
Remind me which part of
#Bitcoin
is “immortal”; “moving at speed of light”;
SHA-256?
secp256k1 elliptic curve?
I like the protocol, but chill on the rhetoric!
@DanielaCambone
The
#Bitcoin
Dragon has risen to challenge the Knight of
#Gold
. How do you defeat a creature that is immortal, indestructible, incorruptible, & indomitable?
See the debate:
J.Currie & I arrived at the conclusion independently, didn’t coordinate our commodity views before
@Hedgeye
call
#Gold
is +$250 above where our rate of change model would have predicted based on factors like energy & real rates
A large buyer is avoiding London, likely via Dubai
Abaxx Q3:
🔸 Filed Nickel Sulfate futures — our first battery metal contract
🔸 BHP discloses work with Abaxx
🔸 Jeff Currie joins board
🔸 Add’l R.Friedland backing
🔸 Signed global exchange as strategic investor
Near term roadmap:
Close strategics. RMO Licence. Plan launch
As we reflect on labour day & the 99% who trade their precious, irreversible time for a wage..
..remember that others conjure 10 BILLION HOURS of minimum wage out of thin air to bail out hedge fund trades..then belittle us on
#Bloomberg
for calling it
#inequality
@RudyHavenstein
Long road to the starting line as we built the first new commodity futures clearinghouse in a major financial center in over a decade, but our timing couldn’t be better.
Best commodity exchange team on the 🌍, ready to rock ‘n roll.
#NEWS
Abaxx Prepares Exchange Opening Sequence and Final Notices
Today Abaxx announces initiation of final exchange trading launch sequence for
@Abaxx_Exchange
to open the market in each of its commodity futures contracts including
#LNG
#Carbon
&
#Nickel
Clearly a lot of nervousness in Abaxx stock right now. Lots of questions around exchange launch timing updates, & questions about valuation etc. First & foremost, I’d state that swings in small-cap illiquid stock price doesn’t drive business, doesn’t always reflect business
🧵👇
It’s not Silicon Valley v Wall Street
It’s not Red v Blue
It’s financial industrial complex vs the real wage
Every bailout is another subsidy from someone earning a wage, to someone protecting funding for their finance schemes with negative real deposit costs.
End
#MoralHazard
Gold in ‘73 ~$110
22/1.6 * 110 = 1,513
Gold & tuition moving the same more or less (as do most things w/scarcity value through cycles)
When we killed real value of dollar & wage contract we killed democratic distribution of economy.
Replaced it w/debt slavery & games of access
Many years in the making, we’ve finalized our
#LNG
benchmark futures contracts & submitted to the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
The result of engaging nearly every firm active in physical LNG trade,100+ market participants
@abaxx_exchange
$ABXX
Having lived in early post-soviet Russia,I’ve been thinking a lot about conditions for societal
#collapse
. Pondering the extreme here, but worried a collapse of our Dutch Disease (USD-debt export) could be as devastating as commodity price collapse was for USSR
Where am I wrong?
Yes, proud to announce that after years of hard work and many (stressful) incremental milestone-financings (we refused to ever take too large a dilution just to “sleep easy” for 18 months), I can finally tweet that
@abaxx_tech
has:
#FundingSecured
😉
@chigrl
The fact that $FB won’t drop 20% on Monday because of this news means that we’re doing this wrong.
That they have no real consequences for this negligence is a failure of both policy & capital market allocation IMHO. ...good news is, in the long run this business model is dead
2000:
Dow — 10,800
US Debt — $5.5T
2022:
Dow — 33,300 (3x)
US Debt — $31T (6x)
In current financial system, core collateral (US treasuries) for capital leverage grows faster than labour or production in real economy; less & less efficiency, more & more inequality
#financialism
“Why is the price of meat in stores rising while the price of livestock is plummeting?”
It’s the volatility in the supply chain, and we’re just getting started.
#inflation
in things you need to buy,
#deflation
in things you want to sell.
@CoveringDelta
A third & final act from cocktail napkin to pubco list’s tomorrow 🇨🇦 $ABXX.CN
@abaxx_tech
An audacious full-stack challenger to the way we discover, price & trade commodities.
We ready to price externalities?
#EnergyTransition
#PreRev
#HighRisk
Goldman Sachs on negative yielding bonds
“...a security whose appreciation is primarily dependent on whether someone else is willing to [print and monetize currency and] pay a higher price for it is not a suitable investment for our clients."
..oh wait, that was about
#bitcoin
KGI Securities Receives Membership Approval, Joins Abaxx Exchange as Clearing & Trading Member
KGI’s clients to be among the first to access Abaxx’s first-of-their-kind futures contracts, including
#LNG
,
#nickel
&
#carbon
, on track to begin trading in Q1
Met with Jeff Currie & Robert Friedland today. China 🇨🇳 on the mind. But US 🇺🇸 gov ramping up awareness/priority on global mineral infrastructure is a first in our careers (it’s been many decades).
Investment cycle only just begun
Check
@Smarter_Markets
tomorrow
#OOTT
#Cu
#Fe
This spread (&monthly roll as %), western Canadian select going negative, the true beginning of the beginning of unconscionable economic damage. We never would have ended up here if not for the decade+ long separation from reality managed by central banks
#unintendedconsequences
The expiry of the WTI may-june 20 spread is something we will tell generations of future oil traders about. Unless, june-july will be worse. Chances are good.
..just like that,
#Comex
premium for April
#Gold
delivery (April-June) crushed. Can’t find a bar in North America, now pay premium to take it away
..the market equivalent of store paying you to take empty racks of toilet paper away
@roysebag
#financialism
breaks real business
Remember back in ‘08-‘12 when we had this candidate that didn’t “talk presidential” named
@RonPaul
that was anti-war, anti-bailout, with radical ideas like limiting the power of big corporations& money printers, & following the constitution?
..boy we dodged a bullet on that one!
I had to unfollow
@APompliano
& 6 others. Imagine hero worshiping such fools at this stage of an everything bubble.
...no, I’m not worried in the least that “this time is different”, it never is.
There is 👌chance
#Bitcoin
changes
#gold
’s long term role in markets. Zero
Enjoying a beautiful Friday afternoon in Colorado, a favourite time of the year here in the homeland.
The final “build-stage” weekend toward opening a market we’ve been building for +half a decade (stage 1).
As of Monday AM, will be fully mentally engaged on next build stage
#FDT
Abaxx Q3:
🔸 Filed Nickel Sulfate futures — our first battery metal contract
🔸 BHP discloses work with Abaxx
🔸 Jeff Currie joins board
🔸 Add’l R.Friedland backing
🔸 Signed global exchange as strategic investor
Near term roadmap:
Close strategics. RMO Licence. Plan launch
There’s another way to translate Neel: “your wage, your time is meaningless”
Instead of paying more for your savings, your wage, your stored time,they get to conjure infinite time & energy tokens out of thin air, more control of the means of protection
#financialism
#MoralHazard
This is still the BEGINNING of this stage in the cycle, yet
#Gold
already made all time highs today in:
GBP 🇬🇧
JPY 🇯🇵
INR 🇮🇳
CAD 🇨🇦
AUD 🇦🇺
ZAR 🇿🇦
BRL 🇧🇷
SEK 🇸🇪
MXN 🇲🇽
..and that’s just the major currencies..
#GoldAlwaysWins
After one year of all out sprint from an amazing team, I couldn't be more excited to announce the spinout & initial public listing of
#BaseCarbon
Abaxx shareholders as of March 1st will receive shares (with improved ratio!) for a March listing debut
$ABXX
We’ve been building for this day for a long time.
Nice quote & congratulations from a former Chief Regulatory Officer of the CME Group.
Nice to be welcomed into such an esteemed circle of market builders & operators.
@abaxx_exchange
#SmarterMarkets
#29ers
#LNG
#BatteryMetals
An investor sent me the print version in Canada 🇨🇦 yesterday. Good spread.
@the_Jeff_Jones
did a great job describing Abaxx as well. Jeff C. also received good feedback — but not that many heard it yet
Remember when we all used **** and now we don’t? Let’s do that with Whats
@pp
. Soon.
*BBM
*MSN Messenger
*Yahoo! Chat
*AIM
*ICQ
..then let’s get P2P encrypted messaging into a secure open protocol, freed from application lock & identity fashion cycles
🆔++
Strategic investors Cboe, Traxys & TLW (Tom Ward) closed $27mm in
@abaxx_exchange
(with Canoe, Blackrock, Wellington & K2 from the institutional round closing).
Proud to have a top global exchange group, top battery metal trader & a titan of US natgas backing our upcoming launch
#NEWS
: Abaxx Announces Closing of Strategic Financing in Abaxx Singapore
Partners include Abaxx’s first group of globally recognized strategic participants in the market infrastructure and
#commodity
ecosystems and include
@CBOE
, TLW and Traxys.
🔗
Maybe biggest call not priced in market:
Nearly every material good in economy will dramatically rise in price over next 8yrs with CO2/GHG abatement cost
I’m talking min10x nominal price increase baked into forward real rate expectation
Which CPI basket deflations offset this?
BTC having a Michael Lewis “has everyone gone financially insane” moment IMO.
Promoters of “sound money” bash gold, put despots & degenerates on pedestal, cry that a trolling promoter liquidated aspiring “savers” (buying on Saylor-margin w/highest centralization risk in market)😂
BlackRock-Backed Commodities Exchange Startup Abaxx Raises Cash
• Canadian firm is led by former Goldman strategist Josh Crumb
• It’s planning to launch contracts for LNG, battery metals
Unpopular take: I don’t really enjoy/care about
#gold
price ATH, don’t even own much relatively. Interestingly, the move (that I’ve analyzed as inevitable since ‘15) stirs neither fomo or satisfaction
I care about how we fix increasingly corrupt
#financialism
political economy
The Goldman partner exodus is a canary in the coal mine of
#financialism
IMO
A top dog weakening, not against any particular competition,but against it’s own business models/outlook.
The phase shift to inflation, incremental
#dedollarization
& real assets is generational change
With crazy moves in
#gold
past month, reposting “fundamentals risk rage” last summer (when gold ~1300)
What changed?
A) Range window moves down 1 row, right 1 row (ie today’s price still dead center)
B) fundamental window uncertainty expands to 4x4 (1200-2100!)
What’s next?...
We’re approaching 4yrs since founding
@abaxx_tech
, words don’t describe how exiting the past month has been as so many long term pieces come together.
Guiding a super complex project to convergence on a micro scale, with macro-thesis wind in the sails is why we
#entrepreneur
!
Good write up. We didn’t actually give these backers names in the PR, so quite the headline surprise.
But big shout out to the Canadian 🇨🇦 fund managers at Canoe & K2 that made it all happen while we’ve also been working with corporate strategics investors on the Singapore side
Tell me again why we trade & contract our time, immutable & irreversible, for a
#wage
thats arbitrarily manipulated & inflated post performance, encumbered/restricted in use, monitored for revocation? (Time=money; but fiat is not immutable & irreversible)
Bad contract!
$BTC
#GOLD
Had another interesting conversation with Jeff Currie. He’s in the same camp as me, street seems unprepared & under positioned for next
#gold
run. Maybe even the face melting type moves lie ahead (Q2?)
Good year to prioritize our Abaxx gold market structure initiatives as well
The time to own gold is during negative economic phase transitions, particularly where low energy spare capacity & high energy price volatility are key factors dragging the system.
#Gold
is your low entropy streamline.
Cc
@Hedgeye
@KeithMcCullough
Imo
#gold
(the immortal metal asset, not Olympic token) could have unassuming break out while markets are half asleep in August, move back towards all time highs later this year, and perhaps a new paradigm altogether in ‘22 (even with USD/Fed ceteris paribus; all about energy)
He’s either completely out of touch with the market and how “wealth effects” work in monetary policy, or its a flat out lie to deflect blame to other political/social institutions.
There is no middle ground when saying something so absurdly untrue in that position of power.
My 2010s
•started @ Goldman in jeans & beard
•called big commodity run, sold top
•started 1st company (boom&bust)
•started 2nd company (slow grind)
•started 3rd company, IPO
•started 4th company, IPO
•started 5th..& final 🤘
•working on a new economic theory of everything
Just had really cool conversation.
Summary: even though crypto has commodity-like unit properties, their entropy-risk is at network level, not unit level
#Gold
is fully entropy resistant at unit level;
#Bitcoin
must be fully entropy resistant at network level to be digital gold
The market is a long term weighing machine, just check the scales against
#gold
.
The Fed is just stuffing endless paper in the ballot box of the short term voting machine, nothing more.
Anyone else think we should enact even basic revolving door laws while policy printing is “temporarily” our entire market economy? How’s it fathomable we allow ex-money printers to lead fiscal policy & ex-regulators in asset managment firms while government is lead bid in market?
Yes, we’ve been spending time with Evy & Blackrock,
@robert_ivanhoe
& Jeff Currie on green premiums.
This will be our core theme in ‘24. Our roadmap, our technology to execute this differentiates us from any other exchange & clearinghouse (CME, ICE, LME, SGX etc)
#29ers
$ABXX
"BlackRock says green premium is coming in mining"
Evy Hambro, Global Head and team leader of natural resources for BlackRock, validates the exact thesis $ABXX has in commodities
Commodities will receive a "green premium" based on how they were produced
Update: bullion banks are back to calling retail/wholesale dealers & bidding up
#silver
large-bar inventories at crazy premium for eligible metal. I’m sure the ‘20 EFP pain still fresh & preparing for anything this week.
Heard one bank (Sunday!) offering spot +50c
@GoldTelegraph_
We welcomed a special new tech-team member at Abaxx today, a talented Ukrainian software designer from Kiev who had to leave her homeland just as we were onboarding her.
Thanks to the magic of modern workflow, she’s now logged on via
@Zoom
today from Poland as a wartime refugee
Merry Christmas
#29ers
! 🎄
..it’s been a busy Q4 run (and still sprinting with more before YE), but didn’t get this post this before.
Was great to meet
@CarbonLedgerCap
, knock back a few [not]BLs, cruise in the [not a Lucid]electric car. One of my fav days in this fall sprint!
With the aggressive short 🩳 selling that’s been happening in $ABXX stock, and today’s announcement of institutional IR events, I just wanted to confirm that these are all exchange launch-related IR updates & non-deal road show events.
I repeat: we are NOT planning to raise
Fun hanging with Robert Friedland in London yesterday. Always inspired by the child-like wonder in his passion for innovation & discovery.
Abaxx might still be priced & traded like a Canadian sh*tco, “your piss ant little company that people aren’t [smart] enough to understand
A quick personal note in memorium for my grandfather, Dale Fimple, died today at 95.
Boxed his foster brothers for nickels in the streets of the depression, Pacific Tour, a career in cryptography & statistical routines for Sandia Labs (wayyy before cool!)
#GreatestGeneration
World’s best individual, strategic, and institutional shareholders. I’ve been a part of a number of unique companies, legendary groups and ventures; nothing even comes close to this share register…and more come.
I’ve held shares of this business for over 3 years (since before the New Millenium RTO!)
Many gave up hope along the way.
Glad I stayed to finally witness this day!
Congratulations to
@JoshCrumb
, the whole $ABXX team, and all fellow shareholders who stayed the course. 🥂
Through consultation with
#LNG
market participants over the course of many years,
@abaxx_exchange
has developed a European LNG benchmark contract 🇪🇺
The most trusted benchmark prices have convergence with the physical market through transparency, increased access & competition..
Taming gas price volatility and spikes:
The current pricing benchmark is no longer adapted to a market that is shifting from pipeline gas to LNG.
We will develop a new benchmark and put in place a mechanism to limit excessive gas prices in the meantime.
A few shareholders asked me over past year why we “speculated on
#gold
”. My answer was that we were lowering counterparty risk. We owned gold in a Singapore vault. I saw risks in the banks & clearing system (most still don’t know about). Didn’t want to lose our startup capital