Jonathan Nolan Profile
Jonathan Nolan

@Jonathan_Nolan_

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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
I put up a mini-site today at to help you compare the world’s cities. You can see how many people live near a city, or use my favourite metric: "population weighted density" to get an accurate measure of how dense a city is to live in.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
You’ve almost certainly been lied to after Googling how big the world’s cities are. How can it be that Melbourne in Australia has 5 million residents, whereas New York City only has 8? It's been very difficult to compare cities, until now...
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
8 months
New apartments cause a 'chain reaction' that benefits the poor, but I was shocked to find out just how quickly. This Swedish study found that while the rich move into fancy new homes, the place they left empty was most likely to be taken up by the bottom 20%.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
4 months
Old Australian houses suck.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
Thanks for the huge amount of interest! I’ve increased the hosting so the site is back up now.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
Seething. No politician in power anywhere in the world did more to fight for trans kids.
@amy_sargeant_
Amy Sargeant 🏳️‍⚧️🇵🇸
1 year
I’m going to have an aneurism.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
4 months
The area in question....
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
Anatomy of Melbourne's apartment market:
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
How did we let this happen?!?
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
Controversial opinion: Most golf courses in Australian cities are well used and should remain. Golf Course Discourse comes from LA but Australian cities have plenty of open space. Australian commentariat should avoid importing American discourse for no reason.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
On zoning and house prices
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
Cities go to incredible efforts to measure the cost of more homes on civic infrastructure. Traffic modeling, open space figures, and hospital capacity are all used to justify restrictive zoning. But the cost of not upzoning is rarely quantified. Every city should and here's how:
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
Sure but we made it illegal to build new homes in the vast majority of existing suburbs so it's unsurprising this happened...
@KosSamaras
Kos Samaras
7 months
I may add that over the last decade, over 80% of first home buyers purchased their homes in greenfield areas. Newly built homes, housing estates. The political class loves to project their own class and lifestyles into every discussion. In reality, the private sector building
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
We know up-zoning works because this is what happened when we up-zoned Southbank
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
@jamesphilips88 You're thwarting my clickbait headline :p
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
8 months
It's a common misconception that our cities are running out of land for apartments. We have lots of land, but most of it is illegal to build "missing middle" housing on.
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@TheKouk
Stephen Koukoulas
8 months
What happens when all the heritage listed areas are bulldozed and replaced with apartments? That is, all 'available' land is built upon as the YIMBYs want? Some would argue we are very near this point in most big cities in Australia.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
8 months
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
10 months
One common refrain from planners who want to restrict development to polluted main roads is that the nice lots are too small for development. But is that true? Here's some density in Melbourne on small lots, starting with 10 apartments on 8 storeys across 134m^2 in Nth Melbourne
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
11 months
There's a whole group of harm minimisation types on Australian twitter railing against the public health orthodoxy on vaping. I just think you'd have to have a pretty high degree of confidence in the long-term safety of vapes not to be alarmed by this graph:
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
One popular Melbourne NIMBY complaint against housing is that we don't have enough open space. But is that true? Of course not. Australian cities have a tremendous amount of parkland compared to other global cities
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
9 months
I honestly don't think many Gen-X and above realise just how awesome it was being a young Melbournian in 2010-2018. All those high-rises in the city meant that landlords were **petrified** to raise rents. Truly the glory days.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
If you live in City of Yarra, put Stephen Jolly last. On every issue he sides with the NIMBYs and against the people of Yarra. (pictured: Jolly with campaigners against a sobering up centre in Collingwood)
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
This is a great article. One big role of YIMBYs should be to make the practical political reality of side street in-fill easier so that all the housing doesn’t have to go on the most polluted, noisy, and unpleasant main roads. @Nicholas_Reece
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
6 months
How should we allocate housing targets to local areas of a growing city? Over the past few months I've been working with YIMBY Melbourne on evidence-based housing targets for local government areas in Melbourne....
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
@aarmlovi For density you can choose. Population weighted density must include water bodies so that we are always weighting similar sized areas, but if an entire square km is water then it will have a weight of 0.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
If you don't like the quality of the discourse on Twitter, I suggest you avoid LinkedIn at all costs. Response from a strategy consultant to my article on the distortions created by zoning:
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
4 months
New construction on Smith Street has shorter street walls than what we built 100+ years ago. Madness.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
My hot take: bus lanes on the tulla would be better than airport rail and at like 1/10 the cost.
@fictillius
Evan
1 year
All real cities have an airport train.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
A city with islands of high rises separated by kms of single family dwellings is not an enjoyable place to live.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
4 months
:’( why wasn’t there a city planner to break up the form!!!
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
@camjpatrick I'm more suspicious of the truncated x axis. This random graph puts the latest increase in context as a slight increase on a long historic decline.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
4 months
Lefties who hate YIMBYs often complain about the lack of focus on public housing. But YIMBY pressure makes it easier to build all kinds of housing. Outside of a few greens dominated areas most NIMBYs hate public and community housing even more than private.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
You might not like hearing the truth but shopping centres over train stations are the ideal urban space. Weather proof, accessible, low cost/no cost third spaces for teenagers, big landlord ensures a good mix of tenants.... The only way to argue against them is by being snobby.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
@HeronKhalil Poor Toronto! Google linked it to a tiny town called Toronto somewhere else in Canada - will fix :)
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
aPaRtMeNtS aRe ExPeNsIvE CoZ Of CoNsTrUcTiOn CoStS
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
9 months
One of the best things about Australian labour markets is that you can usually find your dream job without having to move and risk your partner’s career. Decentralisation (both within and across cities) ruins that and should be opposed.
@urbanizationist
Jago Dodson
9 months
Universities are products of fiscal policy but suffer agglomeration disbenefits. In a 2022 AHURI report we suggested tying research funding to regional city campuses to boost regional knowledge economies. That could also improve housing affordability.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
has been updated to include global rankings. Dhaka really stands out - it has the most dense inner core and more than 60m people living within 100km. NYC? Never even makes the top 10. More new features below🧵1/n
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
8 months
There sometimes isn't much difference between housing consumed by the rich and the poor. Melbourne is filled with share-houses because there aren't enough apartments. And NYC is filled with low-income housing that is being gentrified and is now suddenly only for the rich.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
The United States only really has one big city.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
Urban planning friends, why does Melbourne so often fail to space trees to create connected canopies? Take Docklands for example... it's been 25 years, no canopy! Who spaced them?
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
At this point he’s just trolling us. Four out of the five buildings in that picture are taller than five storeys.
@MChandlerMather
Max Chandler-Mather
1 year
The vast majority of their buildings (like this social housing complex) are medium density (about 5 storeys), which ensures a connection to the street, while densifying in a sustainable way.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
10 months
This is a great way to preserve some of Melbourne’s beautiful heritage.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
4 months
Shot/chaser
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
8 months
Update: blocked. 😬
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
9 months
I honestly don't think many Gen-X and above realise just how awesome it was being a young Melbournian in 2010-2018. All those high-rises in the city meant that landlords were **petrified** to raise rents. Truly the glory days.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
I spent years lobbying road authorities for bike lanes. Their mental model of traffic is of water - incompressible and exerting increased pressure on nearby pipes/roads if one outlet is closed. In reality traffic is a gas: expanding and contracting to the space you give it.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
11 months
Sad reacts to this are unhinged.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
6 months
Anybody who has visited both cities knows that Melbourne is not more crowded than Manhattan or London. Melbourne is not “among the most crowded places in the developed world” and the truth matters for how Melbourne grows... 🧵
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
10 months
One of the great thing about subways is that you can have an entrance on both sides of a major road. Not so for SRL. You'll have to go to ground level and then walk up a footbridge over a road to get to Deakin Uni. This only makes sense if you think SRL won't get much use.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
@JamesMConlan James, public housing in Victoria has a 5% vacancy rate. That's natural - it happens because homes are being repaired etc. According to prosper the vacancy rate in Brunswick for all housing is somewhere between 1.9 and 9%. Where is the glut exactly?
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
8 months
This is so depressing. Great site close to a train station on a line with plenty of capacity and we're building 1 home for every 46sqm of land? If we do this for all brownfield conversions we will never have abundant housing.
@SimoLove
Simon Love
8 months
Victoria Premier @JacintaAllanMP holding a doorstop in the Opposition Leader @JohnPesutto electorate of Hawthorn - talking housing, planning and clearing the planning permit backlog. Old @UniMelb site she’s at is set to become a mixed use development with 350 homes. #springst
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
Melbourne has a unique opportunity with its tram network to 2x population for little cost. There are stories pre-pandemic of people waiting for 9 L trains, but Mel's under-utilised streetcars could be turned into a light rail release valve at any moment.
@theage
The Age
1 year
Housing activism group YIMBY Melbourne is calling for the development of Melbourne’s “missing middle” by enabling six-storey, mixed-use development on all residential land near train and tram stops
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
The replies mention all of Dan’s actions but also words matter, and nobody did a better job of setting the narrative on this than Dan.
@SBSNews
SBS News
2 years
Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews has slammed 'cruel' and 'desperate' politicians for driving a debate over transgender kids playing school sports, suggesting it is a non-issue.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
I've never heard the phrase "second street housing" before but I LOVE it.
@alfred_twu
Alfred Twu
1 year
Second Street Housing: Living next to, but not on top of main street. While most US/Canadian apartments are built on busy streets (Corridor zoning), we ought to look at next street over. 1/
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
I've put on my flame proof suit and will be speaking at the Planning Institute of Australia on Friday. Come along on zoom!
@yimbymelbourne
YIMBY Melbourne
5 months
We're honoured to have been invited by the Planning Institute of Australia (Vic) to present a briefing on our newest report, Missing Middle Housing Targets! @jonobri and @Jonathan_Nolan_ will present this briefing online on Friday, May 10th 👇
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
Every person who owns a narrow terrace in Carlton could buy their neighbour's property and build one of these. If we let it happen it would be wildly popular.
@seanjurs
Sean Jursnick
1 year
One of Seattle's most ambitious single-stair designs is located in Phinney Ridge: •6-stories •24 units •Narrow 35' wide lot •pursuing Living Building Pedal Certification The midrise project is illegal to build in most US cities due to the use of a single stair
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
10 months
It's great the state government is setting council housing targets, but where should those new homes go? One of Melbourne's great assets is excess rail capacity into our city. Building more homes along these lines will give more people access to the MCG, galleries, and CBD jobs
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
9 months
80% of all single-family homes in Yarra are locked away by Heritage. Of the lots more suited to development (e.g. >300sqm) 85% have heritage.
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@heritage_why
Heritage: Why?
2 years
If you want to say "x percent of homes are heritage protected" what do you use for the dominator? Total homes doesn't really work because you might have 1 heritage listing for an apartment building of 50 homes. Is there data on # of residential lots?
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
Planners love to say how we need to carefully plan development to make the best use of infrastructure but Melbourne Metro will increase Sandringham line capacity by 48% so where is the upzoning?!
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
The thing about terraces in actual medium density suburbs is that unlike in Melbourne each ‘house’ often has ~3 units.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
One thing about Melbourne is that people underestimate how good our greenfield areas are. Look at Tarneit north: Same time to the CBD by train as Glen Waverley. Great parks + trees, decent bike infra. If we don't support demolishing Glen Waverley why would we stop building this?
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
Over the last 30 years melbourne has gone from a dinky street car network to fully fledged light rail at $18m per vehicle. But they still sit in mixed traffic going 15km/h! Something will have to give.
@VicGovtNews
Victorian Government News
1 year
Contract Awarded For New Tram Facility In Maidstone - #springst
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
High Street Northcote has so much parking that people leave their abandoned cars there and nobody notices. And yet "reduction in parking" is the traders main concern around tram stop upgrades. Defies logic!
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
@Hungryhippo561 @thomasforth Yep! I gave him a mention in the about page. Definitely a huge inspiration for me and i’m Jealous how much faster his site is to load!
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
This picture is cooked. Why do people who claim to 'just be asking questions' about our immigration policy have to descend into fear-inducing imagery of Australia being overwhelmed by faceless people with dark hair?
@DrCameronMurray
Cameron Murray
1 year
New article: Australia's $40 billion of education exports is a statistical trick You've heard Australia exports billions in education services, but you won't believe where this number comes from
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
@peter_tulip I’d only call if a replacement if low income RA recipients spent a similar share of their income on housing as public tenants, but we know that they spend a lot more…
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
9 months
New year's resolution: No more SRL East critiques. $5bn has been spent now, and so just like NEL, it's too far gone. When SRL opens it will be nice and there will be great photos of trains full of people who get use from it. I hope it brings Melbournians joy!
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
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@s_deery
Shannon Deery
1 year
🚨 Tim Pallas has just announced an expansion of the government’s Vacant Residential Land Tax at an industry breakfast. Stakeholders livid. Comes into effect 2025. #springst
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
Another property from the annals of "small lots are not an excuse for bad zoning" These 9 homes were built on 250sqm in Coburg - where land values are hardly stratospheric. Planner mandated setbacks make it ugly.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
10 months
One common refrain from planners who want to restrict development to polluted main roads is that the nice lots are too small for development. But is that true? Here's some density in Melbourne on small lots, starting with 10 apartments on 8 storeys across 134m^2 in Nth Melbourne
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
This development on Smith Street has 69 bike parking spots for 29 apartments. Planning regulations only require 14. I'm putting in a motion of support!
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
It’s just over a month since a republican in the USA called for a return to the genocide of trans people. For ninefax staff to characterise the greens policy on preventing transphobia as a free speech issue really is dismaying.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
6 months
There is an easy solution. We need to fill the gap in our missing middle by allowing 6 story human scale developments within 500m of every train station and tram stop. It won’t just make rents cheaper, it will also make Melbourne a much more enjoyable place to live.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
8 months
How to implement land taxes: 1) Calculate what every homeowner would have paid if we always had land taxes since they bought. 2) If land tax bill > stamp duty bill on or after 2025/1/1, land tax clock starts and owner must pay any accrued on sale. 3) Use $ to buy voters.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
SRL precincts are 3.2km in diameter. Why are we putting all our effort into areas that won't be walking distance from a train station when we have hundreds of stations that are surrounded by low-density housing?
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
If we’re going to convince more pensioners to live in apartments one huge barrier is body corporate fees. At some point a smart developer is going to bundle the lifetime cost of bc fees into the asset price by having the bc own and rent a few units to cover common costs.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
NIMBYs claiming that a development in Canberra will be more dense than Singapore: **points to sign**
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
Parks should be proper third spaces and not just places to exercise. A little bit of commerce (cafes, kiosks, bottle-shops) will help that along.
@NewLeftEViews
New Left EViews
1 year
What’s you’re most ‘European’ coded trait?
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
7 months
@bspiesbutcher @BaldingPhillip The evidence actually shows that as consumers of housing the bottom benefits more - because they're more likely to move homes. Taxing any windfall gains from a zoning uplift should be a 'yes and' - not positioned as being in opposition.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
If we up-zoned **everywhere** we'd get this outcome but with much shorter buildings on much more liveable streets.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
8 months
This might seem weird but it makes sense. Sure there are some fancy apartments, but the richest people live in old houses. New apartment dwellers are the exact group of people who will gentrify somewhere further away from the city if they can't afford their desired location.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
6 months
Boroondara has been using zoning and heritage to protect rich NIMBYs, constructing only 700 homes per year. It's not fair for the richest areas of Melbourne to continually fail to do their bit, forcing more and more housing onto our urban fringe.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
4 months
People need to stop spreading the myth that Barcelona is somehow the most dense city in the world. Barcelona is way less dense than skyscraper cities on both a local and citywide level.
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@stevemouzon
Steve Mouzon
4 months
Nothing in this view is more than about 5 stories high, yet it’s one of the densest humane places on the planet. No skyscraper place even comes close. YIMBYs who acknowledge facts like this instantly gain stature with me, as you have done on several counts recently. Thank you!
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
8 months
Annotated graph to make it clear ;)
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
Knives down bikes up anti violence youth group in Melbourne. (From TikTok)
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
5 months
We need a study into why developers are so much more greedy in Boroondara.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
6 months
For the past decade Melbourne has been following Matthew Guy's idea to relegate density to tiny parts of the city on the most polluted, noisy, and dangerous streets. It keeps both developers and NIMBYs happy but it’s inequitable and it's making the city a bad place to live.
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@Jonathan_Nolan_
Jonathan Nolan
1 year
We live in a culture that permits vicious and despicable bigotry even from people like @misha_saul who consider themselves members of polite society. In the face of this it would have been easy to be silent or moderate like so many politicians, but Dan stood tall.
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