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Iván Ramírez de Arellano, The Jomini of the West
@JominiW
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Polemologist, writer, and speaker on all things related to human conflict. Discussions on waging peace, surviving war, and the fate of Humankind.
Washington, D.C. USA
Joined January 2021
1/ Daily Tactical Update (DTU), Ukrainian TVD Day 1083: Today's DTU focuses on actions along the Donetsk Front from 08-11 February, 2025. #Siversk #Donbas #ChasivYar #Toretsk #Pokrovsk #NovyKomar #VelykaNovosilka #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar #Russia #Ukraine #SlavaUkraini
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You are entitled to that point of view, but I do not think it is accurate. Ukraine has postponed elections until the conclusion of the war. This has been criticized both domestically and internationally. However the current administration is well within the bounds of the Ukrainian Constitution to delay such elections while martial law is still in place. There are very legitimate legal questions of the validity of an election while some 18-20% of the country is occupied.
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@APearlBird Correct. Since the start of 2025, the use of FABs (glide bombs) has dropped significantly. Although there has been a recent uptick in their use in recent weeks, I believe the trend has still moved toward a lower percentage of usage than we saw throughout 2024.
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@CazadorDeWulf I'm sorry for my late response. Thank you for your support; I appreciate your comments and feedback.
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Thank you for your support. Producing it requires a significant commitment, so I really appreciate that you find value in it. Though things have not been trending in Ukraine's favor as of late, I think it is premature to conclude that they cannot end the war on terms favorable to them. Though I do think what that looks like is different now than two years ago.
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@Lancasterlaw175 Thank you for this. The chart is 36 x 48 inches (92 x 122 cm) at a high resolution, so it's interesting that it is small when downloaded. I'll find a workaround so it can be viewed as intended.
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@chitowntoktown Not sure what you are referring to. There is no stalemate in Ukraine. There has never been one. There have been times over the past 3 years when you could classify the strategic front as static, but no stalemate has occurred.
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@WaterWassie OUGRV-Ukraine is the abbreviation for the Joint Group of Russian Forces Ukraine. This headquarters is responsible for all Russian forces operating in the Ukrainian Theater of Military Action (TVD).
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14/ This open-source operational summary of the Siversk OD is based on information from the ZSU and VSRF daily operations briefs, various Ukrainian and Russian Telegram channels, Western intelligence agencies' public statements, military analysts, and my own professional experience. Any errors in the information and translation presented here are strictly my own and will be corrected in the following update.
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