Jennifer Parker
@JAParker29
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National Security | Defence | Maritime Security | Maritime Law | These thoughts = my own. RT do not imply endorsement.
Canberra
Joined December 2015
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China is getting closer to Marcos’ redline outlined at Shangri-la. Another demonstration of how a general concept of deterrence is ineffective. To date - apart from ambassadorial condemnation there is little response. 1 /
The CCG launched a brutal assault on the AFP personnel aboard an AFP Rigid Hull Inflatable Boat (RHIB), aggressively ramming it and brandishing bladed and pointed weapons, explicitly threatening to harm AFP troops.
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Top of the AUKUS class: Aussie nuclear submariner beats the Brits, and the men |
Congratulations to
@Australian_Navy
’s LEUT Isabella & the other 🇦🇺 graduates
1/
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#PRC
delegate at
@IISS_org
in response to
@RichardMarlesMP
speech stated that China’s recent ‘punishment’ drills were to ‘punish separatists’ not the Taiwan people. Stating that the ‘Taiwan people call on the
#PLA
to protect them’ - I suspect Taiwan does not agree
#SLD24
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ANZAC Day 2024…. 12 months today out of uniform, and what a 12 months it has been.
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In my latest op-ed for the
@FinancialReview
I discuss the necessity for
@DefenceAust
to be present and engaged in the defence debate at all levels. High levels of censorship lead to an ill-informed debate & ill-informed public.
@UNSWCanberra
@NSC_ANU
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‘Australia….will send RAAF E-7A Wedgetail aircraft – to Europe for six months to help protect key wartime logistics hubs’. Positive step deploying this C2/ISR capability so long as it does not come at the expense of ISR support to the Indo-Pacific.
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The Phillippines is being singled out here to test resolve of the US, but also by implication its allies. Australia needs to be clear on what its national interests are & how it is prepared to respond 2/
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This is very much about testing the new web of relationships in the region that are designed to deter China’s increased aggression. The response will matter for more than just how things evolve in the West Philippine sea 4/4
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‘Australia is set to begin manufacturing its own missiles within two years’ |
@smh
Positive steps - look forward to seeing the details.
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There is no catastrophic failure of AUKUS ‘Plan A’ |
My latest op-ed for the
@FinancialReview
👇in response to
@j_b_curran
’s recent series. It really is time to calm down about Australia’s SSN acquisition.
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
@ConGeostrategy
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Keep an eye out for my
@ASPI_org
special report dropping tomorrow ‘An Australian Maritime Strategy: Resourcing the RAN’ with a special ship on the cover
#resurgent
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
@AusNavInst
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If you’re interested in my
@ASPI_org
report released ‘An Australian maritime strategy: Resourcing the RAN’ catch me on
@abcnews
radio this morning talking to
@ThomasOriti
about the recommendation that the RAN’s surface combatant fleet be expanded.
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A highly implausible scenario - detaching a ship’s helicopter to go & observe a PLA naval exercise. Absolutely no benefit to Aus, and would be a significant change in Aus’ policy that has avoided provocation, as evidenced by Aus policy of not undertaking FONOPs.
China's Ministry of Defence gives new account of Yellow Sea confrontation between a Chinese fighter jet and Australian helicopter: MoD spox claims the Aus helicopter was conducting "close-in reconnaissance" of Chinese training exercises rather than enforcing UN sanctions
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Here are the facts about Australia’s nuclear submarine program |
My latest op-ed (although 1800 words) for the
@FinancialReview
👇talking AUKUS. It’s a challenge - Yes, is it insurmountable - No. it’s time we start believing in ourselves.
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Initial thoughts from me👇on the fleet review announcement today
Too much to cram into an op-ed. More to follow. Lots of challenges, that cannot be underestimated, but overall a net +. (Ignore the yesterday… it’s for print tmw)
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
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Big step forward for AUKUS. 🇺🇸 National Defense Authorization Act set to pass next week paving the way for the sale of subs to 🇦🇺 & providing 🇬🇧&🇦🇺an exemption to the U.S. export control regime with some caveats.
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Unsafe and unprofessional interaction with PLA-Air Force |
There is no reason for a PLA aircraft to deploy flares in front of a
@Australian_Navy
helo in the Yellow Sea. 🇦🇺 has clear rights of overflight. Another example of the
#prc
undermining
#unclos
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Delighted to have recently joined the team at the
@ASPI_org
. The contribution think tanks such as
#ASPI
provide to
#Australia
’s national security discourse has never been more important.
#nationalsecurity
#aspi
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Make no mistake - this incident isn’t about who owns the low ride elevation. That is Second Thomas Shoal (which is the Phillippines under international law. 3/
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Congratulations
@VCDF_Australia
👏 a fine naval officer who has done the hard yards for his country.
The pressure of CJOPs, 2 terms as VCDF, and now CDF. This country owes him a debt of gratitude.
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Just a little teaser - something new is coming …. Something about a former naval officer and a naval historian walked into a bar…
@redunley
#maritimematters
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Keep an eye out for my piece in the
@FinancialReview
tomorrow 👇
Australia cannot stay silent on China’s bullying of the Philippines
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
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Just a reminder that seafarers are being attacked by Houthi. Not ships. Seafarers from multiple nations across the globe, we really should care more
‘A sailor was severely injured after a cargo ship in the Gulf of Aden was struck by two cruise missiles fired by the Houthis’
Houthi missile attack severely injures sailor, US says
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Surface ships don’t use Hull Mounted SONARs to monitor other ships. It adds nothing to the picture.
‘Liu Jianchao said China used sonar to monitor the ship and did nothing to "endanger" sailors or divers’
@abcnews
@stephendziedzic
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Big ships berth at new Darwin wharf |
Now this is a good news story for Navy posture.
‘One of Navy’s largest ships has docked at HMAS Coonawarra, Darwin, for the first time, following the completion of the new Kuru Wharf’.
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Non-paywalled link 👇 to my recent article discussing why the Red Sea matters to 🇦🇺.
'We cannot draw a neat regional bubble around 🇦🇺 & say that this is where we will operate our ships, blind to our dependence on those long sea lines of communication'.
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The
@indiannavy
has retaken the MV Ruen seized in Dec 23 from Somali pirates. Whilst the IN have been undertaking counter-piracy ops since 2008, late 23/early 24 have seen the IN take a much more active approach.
#INSKolkata
, in the last 40 hours, through concerted actions successfully cornered and coerced all 35 Pirates to surrender & ensured safe evacuation of 17 crew members in the evening today
#16Mar
24 from the pirate vessel without any injury.
#INSKolkata
had carried out the
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In case you missed in the pre-Christmas flurry… Japan’s cabinet approved a record 7.95 trillion yen or $55.9 billion (US) defence budget for Fiscal Year 2024. It’s largest Defence budget ever.
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🧵And so it begins - the lead up to the Australian budget & the National Defence Strategy which is due out shortly - the rhetoric that we need to cut defence projects to accelerate capability.
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Unpaywalled link to my recent piece in the Australian below👇
'While all eyes are on the Middle East, following Iran’s escalatory attack on Israel, the West Philippine Sea must remain a focal point for Australia'.
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Japan Commissions Fifth Mogami-Class Frigate ‘Yahagi’ 「やはぎ」 |
@navalnewscom
A good summary of the Mogami, one of the the four types of frigates Australia is expected to down select from for its future general purpose frigate.
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1st ep of
#maritimematters
with
@redunley
& I is now on the streets. In this ep we tlk
#NDS24
, lessons frm ME maritime ops this wk for 🇦🇺, new naval capabilities & the Sandison line. Wht is the Sandison line? Listen to find out..
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You know it’s a good day when this rocks up at your door. Looking forward to reading
@becstrating
&
@JoanneEWallis
’
#girtbysea
Looking forward to discussing the book when it’s launched at
@NSC_ANU
’s ‘Securing our Future’ conference.
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If you're interested in 🇦🇺's maritime history and associated maritime strategy. Do yourself a favour and watch this 2022 presentation by the late RADM James Goldrick to the
@NavalWarCollege
'The Maritime Defence of 🇦🇺'
@AusNavInst
@Australian_Navy
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Fun fact - when
#AUKUS
SRF-W commences in 2027, it will have been 58 yrs since a
@RoyalNavy
sub was based in Aus. Eerily - the last one was called HMS Trump.
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Un-paywalled link below 👇 to my recent op-ed on Australia’s pathway to a nuclear-powered submarine capability.
‘Here are the facts about Australia’s nuclear submarine program’
#AUKUS
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A few trolls overnight telling me to check ‘international law’ that the Houthi campaign against seafarers was a ‘lawful blockade’
Wonderful opp to get my legal geek on & highlight from a recent lecture I delivered what a ‘lawful blockade is’ 👇under the law of Naval warfare
Just a reminder that seafarers are being attacked by Houthi. Not ships. Seafarers from multiple nations across the globe, we really should care more
‘A sailor was severely injured after a cargo ship in the Gulf of Aden was struck by two cruise missiles fired by the Houthis’
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Pleased to be joining
#ANCORS
@UOW
as a
#PHD
candidate considering the history of 🇦🇺's maritime strategy & identifying practical recommendations for these uncertain times
Special thanks to
#ANCORs
,
@camillejgoodman
, Stuart Kaye, Rob McLaughlin & Jack McCaffrie for their support
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If you didn’t see my recent op-ed on the need to consider 🇦🇺’s naval posture & consider forward basing of an ANZAC class frigate you can read the un-paywalled version here 👇
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🎙️With so much happening in Indo-Pacific maritime affairs it’s great to be back recording Series 3 of
@AusNavInst
’s the
#saltwaterstrategists
. In the first episode I chat with
@becstrating
about the yr ahead in regional maritime affairs. Keep an eye out for it dropping nxt wk.
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F3Bs for the Canberra-class LHD? A way to actually get serious about impactful projection?
6🇯🇵Japanese officers hosted on board
@HMSPWLS
to observe carrier operations.
RN helping JMSDF prepare as Izumo-class helicopter carriers being converted for F-35B
@jmsdf_pao_eng
#Westlant23
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Good piece by
@redunley
.
‘Australia is an island first and a continent second. Maritime capability must, therefore, be front and centre of any strategic approach, however it has to be maritime and not purely naval’.
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Feb 24
@AusForeign
released its edition entitled 'Dead in the Water: The AUKUS Delusion'
In the recent Jun edition I published my response to Professor Hugh White's piece. You can read it here 👇
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
@ConGeostrategy
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(1/3) 82 years ago 🇦🇺HMAS Perth in company with 🇺🇸USS Houston encountered the Japanese invasion force IVO the Sunda Strait. After an initial battle, at about midnight Perth had little ammunition left, so Captain Waller decided to attempt to force a passage through Sunda Strait.
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Happy AUKUS optimal pathway anniversary 🎉.
Lots of AUKUS scare mongering this morning. Realistically, it’s on track. Lots of potential risk of course, including the issues with the US SM industrial base. But reading tea leaves isn’t a good way to plan defence capability….
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👏👏… a pretty proud moment for Australia and the ADF.
Delighted that the UN Secretary General has appointed Major General Cheryl Pearce to the position of Deputy Military Adviser in the Office of Military Affairs.
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Morrison’s longest night: inside the making of AUKUS |
This assumes
#AUKUS
is off the rails but fails to provide any evidence as to why. Is it risky? Yes - is it challenging? Yes
Is it off the rails - well there is no evidence presented in this piece
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Europe v Asia in race for 🇦🇺s new warships |
@andrewtillett
Quoted in 👇
‘the navy should be looking for is a commercial off-the-shelf ship that has as much system commonality as possible to our fleet and the US fleet so we have supply-chain support’
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🧵The readout of the much anticipated 🇺🇸🇯🇵joint leaders meeting as dropped, while there is no JAUKUS just yet (which set Twitter on fire, and was largely predictable), there are lots of key points for 🇦🇺 and the wider region.
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A busy day it seems. Catch me on
@SBS
this evening discussing
#prc
aggression towards ADF assets, including the news in the last 24 hrs that a PLAAF fighter deployed chaff in front of a
@Australian_Navy
helicopter.
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
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Honestly - in the current geopolitical circumstances think tanks should have much better things to do than criticise each other publically over funding. It really shows to the rest of the public how self indulgent the discussion has become.
A commentary piece from me in today's
@canberratimes
on the
#Varghese
review of 🇦🇺 taxpayer funding for strategic policy work. As a recent report by
@devintellab
concluded: "The Varghese Review could inspire the incubation of a public policy ecosystem that is more plural,...(1/2)
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Back to where it began. Excited to be appointed as an Adjunct Fellow in Naval Studies with
@UNSWCanberra
. Looking forward to joining colleagues in the Naval Studies Group.
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Why is Defence so little involved in the great defence debate? |
Non-paywalled link👇 to my article released yesterday discussing the need for Defence to be engaged in the defence debate.
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Session 4 | ‘Girt by Sea’: Australia’s maritime future
An honour to chair 1 of the final sessions on the 1st day
@NSC_ANU
#securingourfuture
conf. 🇦🇺 is an island continent undergoing a maritime awakening forced by the realities of our geography & our strategic circumstances
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A historical fact - but an important one. The first 🇦🇺female achieved her dolphins in 1999. Do you know how many 🇦🇺 females have commanded 🇦🇺 submarines? None. LEUT Isabella is part of a long line of exceptional female submariners - so why have none progressed to Command? 2/
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Location is clear, as is international law. Assessment based on experience - but happy to defer to your experience in maritime operations and international maritime law? Can’t seem to see it in your CV though….
The righteousness & certainty with which seahawkgate is discussed by some commentators is interesting
So much of this is just supposition devoid of even basic facts (eg. location)
Yet if the RAN was deployed in 🇦🇺 waters this wouldn't have happened 🤔
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🧵It is largely expected that the first of Australia’s biennial National Defence Strategy (NDS) & an unclassified version of the Integrated Investment Plan (IIP) will be released tomorrow.
The biennial was a key recommendation of the 2023 DSR.
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🧵Australia's border security is an issue and it's time for a fresh look at the structure and capabilities required to support it. 1/
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Disappointing lack of urgency. No warship but 🇦🇺 will send ‘An extra six Australian Defence Force (ADF) personnel will be sent to Bahrain, which is home to the CMF headquarters, in the New Year’.
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🌊 New Podcast Alert 🚢
'The Influence of Sea Power on Australia’s Security'
🔍
@becstrating
, Director of
@latrobeasia
unravels the intricate dynamics of sea power. Recorded during her address at the
@AusNavInst
's
#goldrickseminar
.
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‘The President plans to ask the US Congress to add Aus as a “domestic source” within the meaning of Title III of the Defense Production Act’
Some positive steps outlined in the Aus/US joint leaders statement from the sidelines of the G7.
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My thoughts on yesterday’s
#NDS24
announcements in the
@FinancialReview
👇
‘the NDS achieves the defence and strategy elements of what it says on the tin, but there are three fundamental issues at the national level’
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
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12
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Always good to chat
@stephendziedzic
‘highly unlikely for an 🇦🇺 ship helo to provoke China like this during a naval ex for limited to no benefits’ - in short, the
#prc
version makes no sense when you’re familiar with
@Australian_Navy
ops in the region.
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Privileged to have recently had the opportunity to attend the
@IISS_org
Shangri-la dialogue
#SLD24
as Australia's non-government representative at the
#YLD24
.
Thanks to
@dfat
&
@IISS_org
for the opportunity.
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
@ConGeostrategy
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(1/2) Lots of talk of the significance of the potential status of forces agreement btw 🇦🇺🇬🇧. It’s not the 1st SOFA the UK has signed outside of NATO & it’s a pretty standard agrmnt btwn countries - not normally with such fanfare.
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Brilliant presentation by
@ANU_SDSC
’s Hanh Nguyen at
#SLD24
#YLD
on seeking stability in the South China Sea.
@ANUBellSchool
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Military ‘exposed to missile threats’
@bennpackham
I’d take this a step further & say the 🇦🇺 public is exposed. Not only is deployable integrated air & missile defence capability an issue 1/
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Appreciated the opp to spk to
@10NewsFirst
abt the professionalism of our
@Australian_Navy
and the recent unsafe and unprofessional actions of the
#PLAN
. It is imprtnt to shine a light on this behavr. Aggression in the Indo-Pacific cannot be allowed to becme the norm.
@NSC_ANU
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Despite 🇦🇺 improved diplomatic ties with China, China’s actions in the maritime domain are not changing.
‘the Chinese Coast Guard has once again installed a 380-meter floating barrier that covers the entire entrance of the shoal, effectively restricting access to the area’
Yesterday, the Philippine Coast Guard vessel, BRP BAGACAY (MRRV-4410), and the Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources vessel, BRP BANKAW (MMOV-3004), were assigned to carry out a legitimate maritime patrol in the waters near Bajo De Masinloc. The primary objective of this
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‘This govt. has asked an American to tell us what warships to buy, rather than relying on its own navy’s advice’. |
A poignant and worthy read by Rowan Moffitt. Whilst I don’t agree with all elements, we do need to ask ourselves how did we get here?
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(1/2) China's actions IVO of Second Thomas Shoal continue to escalate, the footage from today's incident is daming. Int law on the status of Second Thomas Shoal is clear. 🇦🇺 must also escalate its diplomatic response.
Discussing peace and stability at the
#ASEAN50Aus
Summit. Australia shares Philippines’ concerns about dangerous actions by China’s vessels at Second Thomas Shoal today. We call for restraint and respect for international law, particularly UNCLOS.
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‘There is no other way to stop
#Putin
, only diplomatic isolation, a strong Ukrainian military and all countries of the world not to balance Russia but to support the international principles of law’
@IISS_org
#SLD24
@ZelenskyyUa
#ukraine
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‘Earlier this month, China quietly turned a swathe of the Gulf of Tonkin into an extension of Chinese internal waters, simply by declaring a new baseline across the gulf's northeastern end’
@Mar_Ex
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‘The Philippine Coast Guard indicated its interest to acquire at least 2 Guardian-class 39.5-meter patrol boats from Australian shipbuilder Austal as part of its modernization and expansion effort’.
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🇦🇺 and the 🇵🇭 have signed a new MOU to enhance Maritime Cooperation.
Look forward to understanding what this entails. Supporting the 🇵🇭ability to defend its EEZ against aggressive
#PRC
activities is important to 🇦🇺 national security.
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9
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If you are interested in naval trends in the Indo-Pacific the
@IISS_org
Asia-Pacific Naval and Maritime Capabilities: The New operational dynamics by Nick Childs is a must read.
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‘In a move to bolster maritime cooperation between Australia and India, Vice Admiral Mark Hammond, Chief of the Royal Australian Navy, is scheduled to embark on a significant five-day visit to India starting next Tuesday (April 2)’
#maritimesecurity
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Great to catch up with wonderful colleagues in
#natsec
fm across the globe and Australia at the
@NSC_ANU
#securingourfuture
conference yesterday.
@DavidMAndrews
@JoanneEWallis
@le2huong
@justinburke
@becstrating
@alessionaval
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🧵Quick budget takeaways for Defence (more to follow once the Portfolio Budget Statements) are available:
1) As expected given the recent release of the
#NDS24
nothing new in the top numbers.
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36
Great to chat to
@SteveKuper2
in the
@ThalesAustralia
@DefenceConnect
podcast booth this afternoon about my recent
@ASPI_org
report ‘An Australian Maritime Strategy: Resourcing the RAN’.
@NSC_ANU
#indopac23
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36
An interesting one to watch with some potentially significant implications for Australian shipbuilding, and perhaps Australia’s future general purpose frigate.
@SteveKuper2
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Mid-East chaos must not distract us from China’s aggression in the West Philippine Sea.
My latest op-ed for the
@australian
below 👇
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
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Navy needs more ships faster to meet China threat: review |
@andrewtillett
‘Sources have told The Australian Financial Review Chief of Navy Mark Hammond is attracted to the idea of a “common hull” for the naval fleet’
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13
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Australia orders two more Guardian-class patrol boats|
Although it has some detractors I’m a fan of this program. Whilst the 2 additional craft are likely to just be a replacement for the boats that have already been damaged by their new operators 1/
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Congratulations gentlemen 👏. Small steps towards an Australian capability, but important steps nonetheless.
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‘They shall grow not old, as we that are left grow old:
Age shall not weary them, nor the years condemn.
At the going down of the sun and in the morning
We will remember them’.
Lest we forget.
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So much more than a game.
As a girl who grew up in rural Aus - had to stop cricket at 12 ‘coz girls couldn’t play hard ball - the only girl on the soccer team who was made to wear a skirt whilst playing in my early years. So practical.
This represents a evolution of society.
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On
@abcnews
this morning discussing
#prc
aggressive behaviour in the
#wps
& the need for 🇦🇺 to continue to provide support to the 🇵🇭
Full interview available here
@NSC_ANU
@UNSWCanberra
@AusNavInst
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Glad this has been called out by
@DefenceAust
. It is important to highlight what is happening in the
#scs
Hope the
@Australian_Navy
divers recover quickly. Our
#ADF
people do a great job everyday protecting our nation’s interests.
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Australia goes missing as Red Sea crisis deepens |
My latest op-ed for the
@FinancialReview
pressing the case to send a
@Australian_Navy
ship to protect shipping in the Western Indian Ocean / Red Sea.
@UNSWCanberra
@NSC_ANU
@ConGeostrategy
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🧵Whilst China's Premier Li Qiang was arrived in 🇦🇺 for the first 1st time in 7 years, China's new Coastguard Regulation No. 3 took effect authorising the detention of foreign vessels & individuals for “trespass” in “waters under China’s jurisdiction.
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Excited to have joined the
@ConGeostrategy
as an Associate Fellow in Indo-Pacific maritime affairs.
Look forward to working with such a great team.
We are delighted to announce that
@JAParker29
will be joining us as the Nancy Bentley Associate Fellow in Indo-Pacific Maritime Affairs!
To find out more about Jennifer, read the full announcement 👉
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🇦🇺🇺🇦New Ukraine military assistance package announced by Australia 👇
⚫️ Air defence missiles.
⚫️ Air-to-ground weapons, including guided weapons.
⚫️ Anti-tank weapons.
⚫️ Artillery, mortar, cannon, and small arms ammunition.
⚫️ A shipment of boots 1/
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🇦🇺 to take command of Red Sea task force as trade route threats in ME persist |
@AndrewBGreene
Well alas - it seems 🇦🇺does care about the RS. Good experience for an
@Australian_Navy
team - but 1/
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Completely agree. You cannot describe the conduct of the Chinese Coast Guard today as anything other than aggressive and destabilising.
We share the Philippines’ serious concerns about dangerous conduct by China’s vessels adjacent to Second Thomas Shoal today. This is part of a pattern of deeply concerning behaviour. UNCLOS is the basis for peace and stability in the South China Sea.
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Interested in how development in the maritime domain impact Australia's security?
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Italian Carrier Strike Group Starts Five-Month Deployment To The Indo-Pacific |
@navalnewscom
More European deployments to the Indo-Pacific
'IT CSG will reach the Northern 🇦🇺 area and Darwin to participate in the .. biennial exercise Pitch Black'
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