Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
@IvanMoore1
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Alaska pollster. Unavoidably and irreversibly English. Personal accountโฆ opinions all mine!! Polling stuff is over on the ASR account at
@The_Real_ASR
My flags ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐, that Trumpers and other assorted right-wing loons will criticize as soon as they start to lose an argumentโฆ
In order: citizen/resident/born/courage/independence/love.
Pretty much sums up a good life.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
Famed Alaska singer, Jewel, has declined an invitation to perform at the coronation of King Charles III.
In a statement, she said โHeโs got enough big jewels that his family stole from India, he doesnโt need me.โ
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
William and Kateโs PR nightmare has reached such a crescendo, they would obviously share something with the public to make it stopโฆ if they could.
But they canโt.
The simple fact isโฆthey lied.
The cover up is always worse than the original sin.
#AbolishTheMonarchy
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
No, itโs not the same.
WILLIAM accepted a million quid in a paper bag in exchange for his silence and complicity.
HARRY dragged Piers Morgan and the tabloids through the courts and got them to admit guilt.
Harry did it for his mum.
Itโs NOT the same.
#PrinceFreakingHarry
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
WHY I DONโT BELIEVE WILLIAM:
If a parent is in hospital, their children will come and see themp.
No-one saw George, Charlotte and Louis visit their mother. This means one of 3 things:
1) Kate wasnโt in the hospital
2) Kate was in a coma, or
3) Kate was badly injured
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
Meghan Markle has a higher net worth than any member of the Royal Family bar Charles and William, both of whom got handed their money on a silver platter.
And they canโt stand it.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
HARRY: Camilla leaks stories to the press. I donโt want to see her when I get there.
CHARLES: Oh, she wouldnโt do that, darling boy!
CAMILLAโS FRIEND IN THE PRESS: Charles and Harry meet alone, according to sourceโฆ
HARRY: That didnโt take long.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
Soโฆ whatโs the deal? Has anyone asked where Kate is lately?
Isnโt about time the Royal Family stopped fucking about and told us the TRUTH?
#WhereIsKate
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William and Kate, heirs to the British throne, showing how clueless and out-of-touch the Royal Family is. They simply do not realize that they cannot do this kind of shit any more.
#AbolishTheMonarchy
#NotMyKing
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WHY I DONโT BELIEVE WILLIAM
#2
:
Because heโs an overly toothy, incandescent-ragey man, who in his 40+ years on this earth has learned nothing about being a decent, respectful, hard-working, fair-minded human being.
Prove me wrong.
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That filthy, Harry-hating rag, the Daily Express, made the mistake of putting the following poll question on their website.
It hasnโt gone well. ๐๐คฃ
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Rushed for planned surgery at 8.30p. Hinky.
Hasnโt been seen in 2 months, by anyone. Hinky.
4-9 months recovery? Hinky.
Middleton family hasnโt been seen. Hinky.
After discussions about divorce/separation. Hinky.
No subsequent reports. Palace silence. Hinky.
#WhereIsKate
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Invictus, Sentebale, Archewell, Travalyst, Ethic, BetterUp, Vax Live, 40x40, and others. Striving for sustainability, ethics and peace.
Harry and Meghan should be nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize.
#MeghanandHarry
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
โPrince Harry written off by British public after Royal Family row - Country has moved onโ
- writes the Daily Express, who have moved on so much, they wrote and published over 100 negative stories about Harry and Meghan in a 4-day period over Coronation weekend.
Filthy rag.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
CONFESSION: Prince Harry lost his mother, Diana, in a car accident in France when he was 12.
And I lost my mother in a car accident in France when I was 10.
Thatโs how I know that everything in his book was true.
#GoodKingHarry
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
Prince William after being told by aides that he wasnโt actually invited to address the United Nations, they just rented a room in a hotel next door.
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Will and Kate โstill have a โdeep loveโ for Harry, but that does not extend towards his wife, Meghan Markle.โ
Oh dear. Not sure they realize what a dealbreaker that is.
Itโs such petty and self-destructive behavior.
๐งต Lots of frothing anti-Harry royalists this morning claiming that:
โHarryโs lawyers have admitted that things he said in his book werenโt trueโ.
THIS IS NOT CORRECT.
Please, you all have googlers. Thereโs no excuse for being misinformed and lying.
(1/4)
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All these people saying theyโre boycotting
#Dior
if they work with
#MeghanMarkIe
itโs like come on, youโre really more the Walmart demo.
Even Target would be a stretch. ๐๐ ๐
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Royalists are loyal only to the Crown.
They love the institution, not the people.
Itโs why they hate โex-royalsโ like Harry and Meghan.
Itโs why they slut-shame Diana, of all people.
And itโs why they will turn on Kate, as soon as she is ousted.
#RoyalistsAreCrazy
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
ALASKA CONGRESS RESULTS UPDATE:
Peltola now up by 16,347 votesโฆ has increased her lead by just shy of 2,000 votes. Leads Palin by 8.7%.
Itโs on a knife edge.
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@AspLovePolitics
Kate Middleton hasnโt been seen in 2+ months. Like not once. Dude who used to date her sister manages to get killed by a gunshot to the head. William skips his godfatherโs memorial at the last possible minute. Shows up the next day with bruises on his neck.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
NEW ALASKA POLL RESULTS
Alaska Survey Research
1,282 Likely General Election voters
September 25-27, 2022
Fielded online with text-recruited respondents
MOE +/- 3.0%
Wins for Mary Peltola (US Congress), Lisa Murkowski (US Senate) and Mike Dunleavy (AK Governor)
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
I am looking forward to May and that big event involving the British Royal Family!
No, not the coronation. Iโm talking Prince Harry suing the shit out of
@piersmorgan
. Thatโs going to be some quality entertainment.
I couldnโt give a flying fuck about the coronation.
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Oh, and the claim that William gave the money to charity came from that prime royalist gargoyle, Angela Levin, who I personally wouldnโt trust further than I could throw her.
There is no independent verification for this claim.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
ALASKA CONGRESS SPECIAL ELECTION UPDATE
The Division of Elections dropped another update last night that was very good news for Mary Peltola.
Our latest projection suggests that based on ballots counted so far, after redistribution weโre headed forโฆ
Palin 50.7%
Peltola 49.3%
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
@kenminster
@mannyfidel
Theyโre not attacking her appearance. They are pointing out her complete lack of humanity, spontaneity, character, genuineness... I could name a dozen other characteristics she clearly lacks.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
Things to note:
1) When I tweeted a few months back that Mary Peltola was the real deal and "has the tools to appeal beyond the traditional 40% Alaska Democrat base" I was not kidding. Call it a honeymoon phase, whatever...
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
โMy mother would be disappointed in our lack of progress on homelessness!โ, says William, Prince of Wales, while jangling his five sets of house keys in his pocket. ๐คทโโ๏ธ
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What would happen if Mary Peltola decided to challenge Dan Sullivan for his US Senate seat in 2026?
We did a poll to find outโฆ
Alaska Survey Research
April 21-25, 2023
N=1,261 likely voters
Fielded text-to-online
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
Looking forward three years, If the 2026 general election for US Senate was held today and the candidates were as follows, for whom would you vote for Senate?
Mary Peltola (D) 44%
Dan Sullivan (R) 41%
Undecided 15%
Spread the word.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
The royalists complain endlessly about Harry โwanting his privacyโ and then cynically using the press to his advantage.
Yet when Willy wants privacy on one bike ride, then cynically uses the press on anotherโฆ thereโs silence.
Funny how that happens.
#IncandescentWilly
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@GeorReader
@77mayburyjohn
The British Museum is 99% full of shit taken from other people. David Cameron said as much when India asked for the Koh-I-Noor back.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
Rumor has it that Kate and Wills are done and that pegger-in-chief Rose Hanbury is being moved into KP. Shocking developments, but not altogether surprising.
#WilliamLikesAGoodPegging
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Because something written in a book doesnโt rise to the level of legal proof that it happened. That what he wrote doesnโt prove anything.
Key points:
It wasnโt Harryโs lawyers.
And they didnโt โadmit he liedโ.
Itโs like youโre all deliberately trying to be stupid.
STOP IT.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
...she is categorically the most popular figure in AK right now. Pos-neg of 53-27 with a 34% very positive. No-one else even approaches those numbers.
2) Nicholas Begich isn't going anywhere. The recent Fabrizio poll for the AARP showed Begich dropping off the pace in 3rd...
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Oh and smh with you lot saying โthe hospital has more than one entranceโ like thereโs just one cameraman parked outside.
You really are working so hard to hold up your side of the story.
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Harry lit London up this morning, looking sharp and on point!
Bring on the coronationโฆ Harry and Meghan should go! Their light is that strong.
#HarryAndMeghanAreBrilliant
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@AspLovePolitics
When thereโs a continual series of shit like that happening, it gets hard to ignore. And they could fix it so easilyโฆ but they canโt.
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US Congress
Round 1:
Mary Peltola 48.7%
Sarah Palin 23.3%
Nicholas Begich 25.6%
Chris Bye 2.4%
Chris Bye eliminated
Round 2:
Mary Peltola 49.7%
Sarah Palin 23.9%
Nicholas Begich 26.3%
Sarah Palin eliminated
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I want to see the little weasel
@NileGardiner
โs visa application.
Who did drugs with him at
@UniofOxford
? You donโt go to Oxford without doing drugs at some point. How about at
@Yale
?
What drugs did you do, Nile? Did you declare truthfully on your immigration form?
@heritage
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ALASKA CONGRESS ANALYSIS
We had what is probably the final numbers update tonight on the Congress Special election in Alaska. All that remains to be added are a few overseas votes and weโll be done.
The race currently stands:
Peltola 39.6%
Palin 30.9%
Begich 27.8%
1/7
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There is only one thing that would warrant dishonesty on such a grand scale. And that is protection for the heir to the throne.
William hurt her. Iโm convinced of it.
#WhereIsKate
Because a few people have asked, hereโs the translation to the April 27 update by the Spanish Journalist Concha Calleja who reported her sources telling her Kate was in a coma. Concha insists the cancer announcement and all other versions have been
#FakeKate
.
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๐งต NINE REASONS WHY MARY PELTOLA MIGHT WIN IN ALASKA
PLUS FIVE REASONS WHY IT MIGHT BE PALIN
PLUS A POLL AT THE END!!
Sarah Palin makes things interesting, thatโs for sure, but Mary Peltola might be getting ready to deliver a stunning upset.
Hereโs whyโฆ
๐๐ฟ
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Latest pos-neg numbers on Alaskaโs four statewide officeholders:
Alaska Survey Research
The Alaska Survey
April 20-25, 2023
1,391 RV
MOE: +/-2.8%
Positive-Negative-No opinion-Who?
Mike Dunleavy 47-44-8-1
Lisa Murkowski 46-46-8-1
Dan Sullivan 45-42-12-1
Mary Peltola 53-28-13-6
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BREAKING: The final tabulation of votes in the Congress Special election is happening tomorrow, Aug 31.
@ak_elections
are running the RCV calculations on live-stream at 4pm AST tomorrow!
Watch this space for livestream info as soon as we have itโฆ
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What do people think of Mary Peltola?
Alaska Survey Research
January 12-18, 2023
1,397 registered Alaska voters
+/-2.8% MOE
Fielded Text-to-Online
Letโs start with her positive-negative rating:
Positive 57%
Negative 28%
Neutral 13%
Who? 2%
Still firmly in honeymoon phaseโฆ
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Q: Indicate whether your feelings towards the following public figures areโฆ
(Positive-Negative-No opinion-Never heard)
Mary Peltola
April 2022:ย ย 10-6-18-66
July 2022:ย ย 30-11-20-38
Oct 2022:ย 52-27-13-9
Jan 2023:ย ย 57-28-13-2
April 2023:ย ย 53-28-13-6
July 2023:ย ย 54-30-12-4
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
William and Kate have โno plans for reconciliationโ with Harry and Meghan.
Itโs obstinate, power-hungry, domineering people who are like this, who get their egos hurt and can just never let it go.
It would be different if William was healthy.
Itโs a very sad situation.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
@SkyNews
Is anyone here getting bored of people saying theyโre bored of Harry? If youโre bored of him, STOP watching Sky. Stop reading the Daily Mail. YOUโRE the ones who are boring.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
Positive negative ratings first (positive - negative - no opinion - never heard)
Peltola 53-28-13-6 (+25)
Sullivan 45-42-12-1 (+3)
A very healthy edge in likeability, but does it transfer to the vote in a red state like Alaska?
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
2) The Peltola-Murkowski symbiosis is strong, despite the fact they're in different parties! People who are positive to Peltola are 71% positive to Murkowski. People who are positive to Murkowski are 85% positive to Peltola.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
BREAKING: William, the Prince of Wales, in a newly released series of pre-Coronation headshot photos taken at Buckingham Palace this week.
#NotMyGeorge
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
... but he's all over this poll. If anything, it's Palin who's flagging with her negative down to 66%. Begich's problem is that he runs into a brick wall when he's up against Peltola in the final round. There's a new game in town.
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
First Maine, then Alaska, now Nevada!
Retweet if you think other states should adopt Ranked Choice Voting for their state elections! Whoโs next?
#rcvrocks
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ
EXTRA POLL DETAIL: So it was noticed by some observant folks that the percent that Peltola gets against Palin (57%) is almost the same as the percent Murkowski gets against Tshibaka (56%). They wondered how much of those voter blocs were the same people.
The answer? 90%
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Ivan Moore ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฌ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๏ธโ๐โ๏ธ