Israel will respond. Its response must be calibrated & telegraphed as was
#Iran
's. It then needs to pivot. There is no startegic victory to be had in alleyways of
#Gaza
. Only normalization & regional integration will constitute a lasting strategic setback to Iran. The Arabs
I am from
#Lebanon
& I am against firing rockets at
#Israel
on behalf of anybody- Palestinian, Iranian or otherwise. 🇱🇧
If you are Lebanese & feel the same, speak up! 🗣️
1-Lebanon coming to a standstill today as
#Nasrallah
single-handedly determines it’s fate. Many schools cancelled. Bags prepped for airport dash should
#Hezbollah
enter war with
#Israel
. Never has a man held such power in
#Lebanon
’s history.
Incredible video of Lebanon Druze villagers stoping a Hezbollah rocket launch against Israel. People are tired and angry. No one wants war on behalf of Iran.
#لبنان
THREAD
I argue in this
@WSJopinion
, that when Saudi & UAE decline phone calls
@JoeBiden
, rebuff request to lower oil prices & shy away from condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, there is no doubt a major crisis in U.S.-Arab Gulf relations is under way.
I thought I unplugged from
#Lebanon
. Started family & fathered kids who’ve never been
Suddenly one realizes he/she can never unplug. That he’s emotionally connected no matter how far one travels
What a crazy place of passion, love, heartbreak & tragedy
#Beirut
is unforgettable
Reminder:
Israel twice had opportunity to kill
#Iran
’s Qassem Suleimani but stopped due to US pressure.
Both Bush & Obama said “no” to Suleimani killing.
@realDonaldTrump
did it 👇🏻
(1) Israel could have killed Iran’s Qassem Suleimani on at least 2 occasions (2008 & 2015) but didn’t take shots due to US concerns. Both opportunities in Syria. Few kills would have more consequence 2day (Source
@ronenbergman
Rise & Kill First & Haaretz)
Dad got vaccinated in Saudi today. Huge relief. Couldn’t stop talking about how organized & efficient.
Mom in DC waiting her turn with no clear timeline. Ironic he got “the American vaccine” before she could.
We can do better America. 🇺🇸
Trying to decipher the Hezbollah -
#Israel
fire fight today? Let me help you.
Hezbollah first struck an Israeli post in the Shebaa Farms, disputed
#Syria
#Lebanon
territory occupied by Israel, not Israel proper. The intended message is deterrence: We are here & might escalate
More Hezbollah TV bloopers 📺😄
“Get us a belly dancer, why they (downtown Beirut protesters) have a belly dancer & we don’t?”
Nabatieh, South
#Lebanon
#LebanonProtests
2-Ironic for
#Lebanon
, a country priding itself as cosmopolitan, bridging East & West, with worldly people, to have its fate in hands of a religious zealot who’s never travelled past Iran, Iraq & Syria, never seen Europe, & is mostly holed up in the slums of southern Beirut.
THREAD: Fascinating 14-hour interview with former Saudi Intel Chief Bandar bin Sultan, with first hand accounts of previously undisclosed details pertaining to Syria, Iran, Israel & others. Some highlights for none-Arabic speakers:
Winner of best caption:
“Bashar Assad visit Putin in Damascus” 😄
(Putin repeatedly makes Assad come to him at Russian bases in Syria rather than pay him official visit at Presidential palace). Viewed by many as demeaning.
An estimated 400k Lebanese living in Arab Gulf, sending home about $3bn a year during worst econ crises. Many already lost life time savings in
#Lebanon
banks. Consider them & their families before next cavalier statement in support of Houthi militia.
#لبنان #الخليج #السعودية
Hezbollah has NOT opened a 2nd front against
#Israel
. Not there yet.
This will remain calculated harassment that’s dialed up or down depending on Israeli actions.
Once a full ground invasion to destroy
#Hamas
in
#Gaza
commences, all bets are off. 👇
Trying to decipher the Hezbollah -
#Israel
fire fight today? Let me help you.
Hezbollah first struck an Israeli post in the Shebaa Farms, disputed
#Syria
#Lebanon
territory occupied by Israel, not Israel proper. The intended message is deterrence: We are here & might escalate
Sources believe UNFIL driver was executed, bullet to head, after vehicle flipped over. Assassins used tools to cut through bulletproof vehicle.
Claim that bullet hit driver in head as he sped away challenged by what appears to be very thick bulletproof glass.
#Ireland
#Lebanon
“If I was in the UAE, I would leave now. If I’m American in
#Iraq
, I would leave now. If I’m an American in any part of South East Asia, I would leave immediately.”
Words of warning (threats?) from Iran based Prof Mohammad Marandi via
@AJEnglish
#Iran
#Iraq
#qasemsuleimani
This time Hezbollah got caught red handed by objecting civilians. No more unclaimed rocket fire to invite retaliation on their villages. How embarrassing. Unprecedented.
#Lebanon
#Iran
#Israel
Dear anti-imperialists of the world,
Photo 1 is of
#Iraq
protests against
#QassemSuleimani
& dire eco conditions despite threat of bullets & hundreds shot by pro
#Iran
militia
Photo 2 is Suleimani state organized funeral
Be impressed/shocked/surprised, but plz do so fairly 🙏
Shia chanting against Hezbollah in S
#Lebanon
today:
“Nasrallah is the enemy of God!”
This on heels of an Amal vs Hezbollah dispute that left one dead. A reminder that backing militias rather than the state is not the way, irrespective of ones sect or ethnicity.
لبنان#
Nasrallah, in old video, taunts
#Israel
with possibility of few missiles setting of nuclear like explosions in Haifa port, a city of 800k people, where ammonium nitrate is stored.
Irony is a bitch
#Beirut
#Lebanon
Incredible photo shows
#Lebanon
vs.
#Israel
soldiers, guns drawn, with UN troops in between.
Per Beirut press, Israelis crossed into disputed territory today, set up tent, departed 4h later. Israeli jets/drones carrying intense activity over Lebanon past 48h.
Powder keg.
In Lebanon
#cancer
rates are up over 80% in a decade, 93% of Beirut's populations inhales toxic air & over 1200 quarries operate illegally. My latest on
#Lebanon
ecological disaster
@ForeignPolicy
لبنان ميشيل حجل السرطان
Hezbollah is determined to kill the judicial investigation into Beirut port blast. Today, they unleashed supporters on the streets. Heavy clashes killed 6 so far after they tried marching through a Christian neighborhood chanting sectarian slogans, “Shia! Shia!”
#Lebanon
#لبنان
Breaking
#Saudi
FM announces comprehensive ceasefire in
#Yemen
, acknowledging US, Oman and UN mediation efforts.
.
@FaisalbinFarhan
calls on Houthis to accept the comprehensive ceasefire & demonstrate they are not beholden to
#Iran
.
3-
#Lebanon
, freedom & democracy (flawed they may be), central to its national myth & founding principles, its perceived distinguishing quality from authoritarianism around it, is under the thumb of unelected theocrat beholden to
#Iran
, who’s pronouncement will dictate the future
Dear Mr
@ABlinken
, thank u for condemning the killing of
#LokmanSlim
. FYI, Lokman was devoted to uncovering Hezbollah &
#Iran
’s nefarious activities in
#Lebanon
. Ur statement, lacking any mention of the group, may lead one to think he died demanding judicial reform. #لقمان_سليم
BREAKING:
A thirds airstrike targeting a convoy of pro
#Iran
militia in
#Iraq
being reported now. Second just tonight.
Seems like it’s open hunting season👇🏻
Nasrallah claims there is foreign funding for the protestors, saying food, loudspeakers, flags etc... saying he knows from his own movement how much it costs to keep up continuous protests. He forget that he has himself admitted that his party gets all its funding from Iran
After Sunni tore down Hariri posters, Shia attacked offices of Hezbollah MPs, & Christians burned photos of Aoun, video of Shia protestors attacking offices of Speaker Berri’s Amal party
#Lebanon
#Protest
#EachTakeOnYourOwn
EXCLUSIVE
“Frangieh is no longer a viable option,” says senior French official.
#France
’s attempt to elect
#Syria
&
#Hezbollah
ally Suleiman Frangieh President, in return for a reformist Prime Minister, has reached a dead end.
#Lebanon
#لبنان
•SAUDI INFORMS IRAQ ITS IS DEPLOYING AIR DEFENSE TO THE BORDERS
•Move follows US reports that May attack on Saudi oil pipeline was from Iraq
•Iraq PM announced nominal merger of pro- Iran militias into military yesterday following call with Saudi king
Open mic moment 🎤🇱🇧🇸🇾
Lebanon energy minister: I tell US amb she’s my best friend. She can kill this deal (importing Jordan electricity via Syria despite Caesar Sanctions)
Syria minister: Of course of course.
Lebanon minister: I say this laughing but wanting to cry. #لبنان
1) For Israel & Lebanon, time for politics is ending & the time for war is almost upon us. US inability to force a ceasefire in
#Gaza
, coupled with
#Iran
’s determination to extract a price from
#Israel
via
#Lebanon
, spell the worst I argue
@TIME
@TIMEIdeas
Spoke to Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman. Thanked for supporting Ukraine's territorial integrity, resolution at the UN General Assembly. We agreed to interact in the release of 🇺🇦 prisoners of war. We agreed on the provision of 🇸🇦 macro-financial aid to Ukraine.
#Lebanon
is dead, birthing a militia & a ruling mafia along the way. Elections wont cut it. Only systematic change through the street & outside pressure can bring it back to life
My take on how to go about it
@washingtonpost
#لبنان_ينتقض
Just over a year ago,
#Lebanon
foreign minister
@Gebran_Bassil
told
@cnni
@BeckyCNN
@Davos
“We can teach Washington & London how to run a country without a budget”
Here he is today encouraging Lebanese to stave off hunger by going back to farming
Hubris is a bitch
Fear, panic, desperation... 🦠
People digging soil surrounding tomb of
#Lebanon
patron Saint Charbel after rumors of miracle cure to
#Corona
virus
16 confirmed cases in Lebanon, schools remain closed, actual number believed to be higher 👇🏻
You don't need to be soft on
#Iran
to be a progressive. Many of us donated/voted for
@JoeBiden
, but on Iran we have a problem.
My latest for
@NPR
is addressed to Democrats in wake of Lokman Slim's killing. Pursue diplomacy, but don't turn a blind eye.
Videos of supposed
#Israel
strikes in Isfahan,
#Iran
tonight. Air defense can be seen engaging & air raid sirens going off near Shahid Salami military base.
THREAD: After a 9-month gestation period, Lebanon gives birth to government in which 2/3rd of key ministries are controlled by Hezbollah & its allies. Hassan Nasrallah's personal physician Jamil Jabaq named Health Minister.
NEW info from Pentagon source:
#Mattis
went to
@realDonaldTrump
Trump today trying to get reversal of
#Syria
withdrawal. Trump refused, Mattis resigned.
Emotional reception for French President
@EmmanuelMacron
in
#Beirut
.
People welcoming him while chanting for revolution & branding their own President “terrorist.”
#Lebanon
#France
Video from
#Beirut
port supports theory that fireworks involved in explosion.
Several friends on the ground swear they heard jets (Israeli) before & after explosion.
Unconfirmed reports that
#Israel
may have taken out Hezbollah weapons facility.
#Lebanon
#Speculations
This is the comeback interview for
#MBS
.
#Saudi
Arabia changed the channel from Yemen & human rights to normalization with Israel & mega deals. More with
@BeckyCNN
@cnni
Early prediction:
If Mohamad Safadi accepts
#Lebanon
premiership (beyond me why he would) his hometown of Tripoli will give him a welcome he will never forget 😏🇱🇧
It been a year full of fire for
#Lebanon
. George Rizk torched himself when he couldnt pay his daughters tuition & the country's mountains burned. Now people hope to rise from the ashes. My take on the difficult road ahead
@ForeignPolicy
#LebanonProtests
If
#Israel
wants to kickstart major war with Hezbollah, bombing a target in Beirut is exactly the way to do it.
Hezbollah will now have to go up the escalation ladder & respond in kind.
Hezbollah’s Al-Manar cuts live coverage after protester shouts,
“Israel is better you!”, referencing
#Lebanon
leaders.
Al Manar anchor apologizes to viewers
Perils of live 📺 TV
Protesters in
#Iran
&
#Lebanon
clearly using similar tactics to express dissent.
Video 1: Protesters in Iran use their cars to bring traffic to a crawl
NEW
1) US Envoy Amos Hochstein will visit Paris on July 3 to discuss new ideas for possible Israel -
#Hezbollah
compromise. The window for diplomacy is closing but not closed. July looking like either a blessing or curse for
#Israel
&
#Lebanon
.
Three oil tankers seized by Iran in 24h period. Where are those "experts" who few weeks ago refused to believe Iran attacked UAE/Saudi/Norwegian tankers? Anyway, good day to post the below threat from 2018👇
Unconfirmed reports of
#Kuwait
Emir passing away & army being deployed. Kuwaiti twitter buzzing. Emir had been hospitalized in US.
All the best to Kuwait & it’s people.
There’s anxiety amongst America’s Arab allies about what
@JoeBiden
will mean for the region. Memes depicting him locked in loving embrace with the Iranians are flooding social media. But on Middle East, Biden is no Obama. My quick take
#Election2020
#Iran
Fire at Beirut Port again. Report of firework-like blasts reported.
There is perhaps no better symbol of
#Lebanon
’s collapse, failure & ongoing tragedy than the drama of this port. 🔥
(1) Israel could have killed Iran’s Qassem Suleimani on at least 2 occasions (2008 & 2015) but didn’t take shots due to US concerns. Both opportunities in Syria. Few kills would have more consequence 2day (Source
@ronenbergman
Rise & Kill First & Haaretz)
BREAKING: Drones attack base of pro Iran militias in Iraq believed to house balletic missiles deployed recently by Iran. Hezbollah & IRGC believed to be among the dead. (Al Arabiya)
You know you’ve seen it all when:
Hezbollah supporters are in the streets of Beirut’s Southern Suburbs to support Hariri’s government and the Sunnis of Tripoli are in the streets demanding it be toppled 😄🇱🇧
#Lebanon
#lebanonprotest
Lebanon Druze leader Joumblatt reportedly contacts municipal officials to condemn obstruction of Hezbollah rocket launcher.
Why would Joumblatt take such a position in stark contrast to his people’s sentiment? Fear. To mitigate against Hezbollah retaliation against community.
GRAPHIC VIDEO⚠️
Several bodies in
#Beirut
blast area. Unconfirmed reports of Hezbollah fighters deploying in port area where blast took place.
Eye witness heard on video says “it’s a missile not a bomb.”
#Lebanon
“Do not give money to our government” devastated
#Lebanese
tell
#France
Pres
@EmmanuelMacron
.
“We will support you,” he replies.
“We want Chapter 7,” another says, pleading for international mandate to govern
#Lebanon
instead of its politicians.
At least 15-30 rockets fired at Israel from Lebanon. This is a major escalation which we haven’t seen in years & can’t plausibly be pinned on Palestinian factions operating without Hezbollah’s knowledge. Next hours crucial. 👀🚀
Excuse me Mr. Central Bank governor, Lebanon already in collapse because of ur fiscal policies & endemic gov corruption, not the protests 🇱🇧
BREAKING
Riad Salame: Lebanon is days away from collapse if protests continue
#Lebanon
#LebanonProtests
Video shows villagers obstructed Hezbollah’s rocket launcher DESPITE Druze leader Joumblatt party members trying to free them. “Our own are defending them,” they complain.
Illustrates how Hezbollah
#Iran
have
#Lebanon
leaders checked by fear/cooption. Popular sentiment elsewhere
Israel must be looking at this and thinking of its refinery in Haifa, it’s nuclear reactor in Dimona & other critical infrastructure. Not so subtle Iran messaging beyond just Saudi
The following image supports the narrative that Irish UNIFIL was assassinated point blank. Driver door shows signs of being pried open 👇
#Lebanon
#Ireland