DynastyMcCarthian (formerly DynastyJacobian)
@FF_McCarthian
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Trading Wins Champions Formerly @DynastyJacobian #GoBlue #ContextMatters #SFB11 #SFB12 #SFB13 #SFB14
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🚨🚨 Post-Draft Dynasty Rankings 🚨🚨
Colors represent tier breaks.
Note: My rankings DO NOT consider market value.
Feedback and shares are greatly appreciated!
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Great location?!!!?????!!??
High and behind Aiyuk?
This is a great catch by Aiyuk, but a very bad pass.
Great location by Brock Purdy and hell of a snag by Brandon Aiyuk 📈
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94
1K
77
33
1K
Kyler Murray is better than Lamar Jackson
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45
895
The Vikings want JJ McCarthy.
The Giants want JJ McCarthy.
The Chargers may trade Herbert and take JJ McCarthy.
The Patriots are eyeing JJ McCarthy.
Notice no reports are talking about Drake Maye being the guy people are targeting?
JJ McCarthy is a top 3 QB in this draft!
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Antonio Gibson is so much better than Brian Robinson.
Ron Rivera’s usage of the two is baffling.
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2024 Dynasty TE Rankings
1) Trey McBride
2) TJ Hockenson
3) Mark Andrews
— Tier —
4) Brock Bowers
5) Sam LaPorta
6) Kyle Pitts
7) Dalton Kincaid
8) Travis Kelce
— Tier —
9) David Njoku
10) George Kittle
11) Evan Engram
12) Dallas Goedert
Honorable Mention: Pat Freiermuth
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Trey McBride may appear at TE1 in my next dynasty TE rankings.
A stronger, more athletic Zach Ertz, who learned under Zach Ertz, and has a QB that absolutely loves throwing to TEs.
Sign. Me. Up.
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575
Tua Tagovailoa > Justin Herbert
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538
Blake Corum is faster, stronger and more agile than Kyren Williams.
Blake Corum has better burst out of his cuts and takes better running lanes than Kyren Williams.
Blake Corum is a better pass blocker than Kyren Williams.
Blake Corum is going to bench Kyren Williams.
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My Top 12 Dynasty WRs
1) Justin Jefferson
— Tier —
2) CeeDee Lamb
3) Ja’marr Chase
— Tier —
4) Jaylen Waddle
5) AJ Brown
6) Amon-Ra St. Brown
— Tied —
7) Chris Olave
8) Garrett Wilson
— Tier —
9) DK Metcalf
10) Tyreek Hill
11) DJ Moore
12) Jaxon Smith-Njigba
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Jaylen Waddle is:
1) on pace to break the rookie reception record
2) on pace for 1075 receiving yards (6 games w/ Brissett)
3) graded as the top rookie WR per PFF
5) oozing with upside due to untapped deep ball ability (just wait for a legitimate oline)
5) a bonafide dynasty WR1
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JUST FOUND OUT I PASSED THE BAR EXAM!
OFFICIALLY A LAWYER! LET’S GO!!!!!
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Today, I was faced with the decision of drafting Zach Charbonnet at 2.3 or trading that pick for James Cook.
I chose James Cook.
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Last year, Josh Jacobs was the best offseason RB value.
This year, it’s JK Dobbins.
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🚨 Initial 2023 Offseason Dynasty Rankings 🚨
Notes:
1) Colors represent tier breaks
2) My rankings DON'T factor market value (do not use them for trading purposes)
3) *** indicates players who I consider buys that I am targeting (and likely have market values BELOW my ranking)
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🧵 Go Buy D’Andre Swift 🧵
D’Andre Swift was 3rd among all RBs in fantasy points per opportunity due in part to him being 2nd in yards created per touch.
He was a big play waiting to happen, having the 5th best breakaway run rate. When he touched the ball, good things happened.
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At one point, the Alabama Crimson tide had a depth chart that looked like:
QB: Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts, Mac Jones
RB: Josh Jacobs, Damien Harris, Najee Harris
WR: Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs, Jaylen Waddle, Devonta Smith
TE: Irv Smith
😂☠️
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Post Draft Top 36 Dynasty WRs
1) Justin Jefferson
— Tier —
2) Ja’Marr Chase
3) CeeDee Lamb
— Tier —
4) Marvin Harrison Jr.
5) Amon-Ra St. Brown
6) Malik Nabers
7) Puka Nacua
8) AJ Brown
— Tier —
9) Jaylen Waddle
10) Chris Olave
11) Drake London
12) Garrett Wilson
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Javonte Williams is 2 years younger than Najee Harris. Javonte Williams is more talented than Najee Harris.
There are zero arguments that would ever make me want to take Najee Harris over Javonte Williams.
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Tua Tagovailoa Appreciation Thread
Tua is one of the best QB prospects to enter the NFL in recent memory. A gruesome hip injury threatened his career and reduced expectations.
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James Robinson Appreciation Thread:
1st among rookie RBs in PPR points
1st among rookie RBs in PPR PPG
4th among all RBs in PPR points
1st among rookie RBs in yards after contact (YAC)
1st among rookie RBs in YAC/att
4th among all RBs in YAC
8th among all RBs in YAC/Att
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🧵 George Pickens - a thread 🧵
Draw up any tape analysts prototype for an awesome classic X receiver, and you’ll see someone who looks a lot like George Pickens.
6’3”
32.4” arm length
200lbs
4.45 40 speed
All that to go with a tough guy mentality at the line and in the air.
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🚨JJ McCarthy Thread 2🚨
They say Michigan didn't trust JJ McCarthy. They say JJ McCarthy doesn't have the arm talent. They say JJ McCarthy isn't athletic enough.
THEY ARE STUPID! Here's why:
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Post-Draft Top 36 Dynasty TEs
1) Trey McBride
2) Brock Bowers
3) Kyle Pitts
4) Sam LaPorta
5) TJ Hockenson
— Tier —
5) Dalton Kincaid
6) Mark Andrews
7) Travis Kelce
— Tier —
8) George Kittle
9) Evan Engram
10) David Njoku
— Tier —
11) Pat Freiermuth
12) Dallas Goedert
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🚨 Josh Jacobs Celebration Thread 🚨
THREE consecutive RB1 finishes.
TWO seasons with 50 or more receptions
ONE rushing title
ZERO seasons under 1,000 scrimmage yards
The 2022 rushing champion is a force to be reckoned with and a bonafide RB1. Here's why:
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Sean Tucker was a better prospect than Rachaad White coming out of college, but saw his draft stock plummet due to a heart condition.
Tucker has been cleared, and it wouldn’t surprise me if he outright won the job. White, has a lot to prove after a disappointing rookie year.
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My Pre Draft Top 12 Dynasty WRs
1) Justin Jefferson
2) Ja’Marr Chase
— Tier —
3) Ceedee Lamb
4) Jaylen Waddle
5) AJ Brown
6) DK Metcalf
— Tier —
7) Jaxon Smith-Njigba
8) Garrett Wilson
9) Chris Olave
10) Tyreek Hill
— Tier —
11) Tee Higgins
12) Amon-Ra St. Brown
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Josh Jacobs is on 100% of my rosters.
He is not playing.
This is why you should diversify and not be like me 🙃.
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JK Dobbins is this years Josh Jacobs
“This year’s Josh Jacobs” doesn’t exist despite every thread you see talking about it, but 2020 Jonathan Taylor is currently a mid-late 4th round pick
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🚨 Updated Dynasty Rankings 🚨
These will be updated after the draft to reflect further evaluation of the 2021 season as well as the incoming rookie class.
Colors represent tier breaks.
Variables: Talent, Age, Potential, Job Security, Situation, Role, Floor, Role Security
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Mac Jones is a better real life QB than Jalen Hurts, but will never come close to what Hurts is as a fantasy QB.
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I want Baker Mayfield to be traded to the Detroit Lions.
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Bill Clinton banned assault weapons in 1994, mass shootings dropped by 43%.
After George W. Bush let the assault weapons ban expire in 2004, mass shootings increased by 245%.
See below for a very telling graph.
But yes, let’s talk about mental health rather than AR-15s…
You could physically destroy every single gun in this country and we would still have mass casualty events but people are not ready to have that conversation.
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CeeDee Lamb’s first two seasons:
153 receptions
231 targets (66.2% catch rate)
2037 yards (13.3 y/r)
11 TDs
Jaylen Waddle’s first two seasons:
179 receptions
257 targets (69.6% catch rate)
2371 yards (13.2 y/r)
14 TDs
🤔
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My Top 12 Dynasty RBs
1) Bijan Robinson
Tier
2) Jahmyr Gibbs
3) Jonathan Taylor
4) Christian McCaffrey
Tier
5) Breece Hall
6) D’Andre Swift
Tier
6) Josh Jacobs
7) Javonte Williams
8) Travis Etienne
Tier
9) De’Von Achane
10) Ken Walker
11) Saquon Barkley
12) James Cook
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James Cook is not the backup RB in Buffalo 😂
which backup RB are we arguing about this week?
Roschon Johnson? James Cook? Tyjae Spears?
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This is why you don’t victory lap on day 1 of the NFL draft.
Swift truthers will CLING to this with every fiber of their being. Have fun.
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Rookie Draft Thoughts:
Josh Downs went later than expected, but still got decent draft capital, and landed in a WR room that should provide plenty of opportunities. If Anthony Richardson is worth his 1.2 ADP, then Downs going in the mid-late 2nd should be considered a steal.
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2023 Rookies that are sure things:
CJ Stroud
Bryce Young
Bijan Robinson
Jahmyr Gibbs
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Josh Downs
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Am I the only one who wants Cordarrelle Patterson to just go away?
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To this point in their careers, Tua Tagovailoa has been a better QB than Trevor Lawrence.
Sorry, not sorry 🤷🏼♂️
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I have Pat Freiermuth over Dalton Kincaid.
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1) Caleb Williams
2) Marvin Harrison Jr.
— Tier —
3) JJ McCarthy
4) Jayden Daniels
5) Malik Nabers
6) Brock Bowers
— Tier —
7) Rome Odunze
8) Drake Maye
— Tier —
9) Ladd McConkey
10) Adonai Mitchell
11) Xavier Worthy
12) Blake Corum
Honorable Mention: Jonathan Brooks
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Devon Achane is a 180lb running back selected in the 3rd round.
Mostert and Wilson are better players all around, and my guess would be that even if Achane gets some run this year, he’ll likely get a RB added to the group next year that will dominate touches.
Don’t waste a 1st
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CEH, Thursday Night Football, Week 1, 2020:
25 carries, 138 Yards, TD
DON’T OVERREACT TOMORROW!
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Jacob Cowing > Ricky Pearsall
But y’all ain’t ready for that conversation yet 🙂
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“My Guys” - 2024 Rookie Draft
JJ McCarthy - Franchise Changer, QB2.
Blake Corum - Cerebral Dog, RB1!
Marshawn Lloyd - Electric and underrated. Dark Horse RB3.
Ladd McConkey - Technically elite separator, Sleeper WR4.
Brock Bowers - Unicorn. T5 rookie, clear TE1.
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DJ Moore Appreciation Thread
DJ Moore may be the most underrated wide receiver in the NFL. Playing with quarterbacks like Cam Newton, Kyle Allen, PJ Walker, Will Grier, and Sam Darnold, DJ Moore has never had a situation built for success, and yet, year after year, he balls out.
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Ceedee Lamb and Jerry Jeudy are going to remind the dynasty community that 3rd year breakouts are very real!
The 2020 class was legendary, and those two young players were pegged as future superstars.
I’m here to tell you that THEY ARE future superstars.
Buy the dip hard!
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I personally would be shocked if DJ Moore is not a top 12 WR this season.
He is one of the absolute best WRs in the game. His numbers, while strong, have been held back by outright embarrassing QB play.
Fields is a massive upgrade. I’m buying!
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My Top 12 Dynasty TEs
1) TJ Hockenson
2) Mark Andrews
— Tier —
3) Kyle Pitts
4) Travis Kelce (age 😢)
— Tier —
5) Dalton Kincaid
6) Trey McBride
7) Sam LaPorta
8) George Kittle
— Tier —
9) Pat Freiermuth
10) Evan Engram
11) Dallas Goedert
12) David Njoku
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152
Jalen Hurts is a better football prospect and dynasty asset than Malik Willis.
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144
Gabe Davis disappointed last year.
Gabe Davis is not a scrub.
Gabe Davis has flashed high end talent.
Gabe Davis is Josh Allen’s WR2 in 2023.
Gabe Davis is going for a 3rd round pick.
Gabe Davis is a buy.
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Josh Jacobs - Offseason Thread
Back to back RB1 finishes in back to back years! Jacobs is one of the most underrated RBs in the NFL, and there's still plenty of room for him to grow, both as a player, and situationally.
Let's dive and see what he's done and what we can expect!
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Nico Collins will be what many wished Courtland Sutton would become.
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🧵 JK Dobbins - a thread 🧵
Electric, dynamic, powerful and efficient are adjectives commonly used to describe JK Dobbins.
He’s a special talent, on a high-powered offense, but he’s often forgotten when discussing high potential RBs.
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Buying Etienne is a mistake!
1) Overrated prospect with no change of direction ability and sub-optimal contact balance
2) Over-drafted by a coach that has been fired, making DC less meaningful
3) Bad offensive line
4) Bad offense
5) Costs the same as he did pre-Lisfranc injury
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My Pre-Draft Top 12 Dynasty RBs
1) Bijan Robinson
2) Jonathan Taylor
— Tier —
3) Kenneth Walker
4) Breece Hall
5) Christian McCaffrey
6) Saquon Barkley
7) Josh Jacobs
— Tier —
8) Jahmyr Gibbs
9) Javonte Williams
10) D’Andre Swift
11) Travis Etienne
12) Austin Ekeler
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Tomorrow, my career as an attorney begins!
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DK Metcalf is the most cost efficient young high end WR on the market.
He’s a good bet to be a WR1, and has the physical potential to be the WR1.
DK still has a ton of room to improve (hands, route running and body positioning).
Very good buy right now.
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Unfortunate News to Share
Today I learned that in my position I cannot continue my activity in the dynasty community. Since we represent teams, players and other entities, I can't post or publish content due to conflicts of interest.
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1) I owe Brock Purdy an apology. He’s legit.
2) Kirk Cousins is fun to watch 🤷🏼♂️.
3) TJ Hockenson is my dynasty TE1.
4) Cam Akers is the starting RB of the Vikings moving forward.
5) Aiyuk’s had a multi-tier leap in ability. He’ll keep this up - regardless of if he’s in SF.
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Rashod Bateman Preseason Buy Thread
It is shiny new toy season, which means its time capitalize by looking at not-so-hidden gem second year WRs that come with that awesome off-the-lot discount!
Rashod Bateman is a premium talent, in a great situation, with a great cost.
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Jerry Jeudy > Treylon Burks
I will die on this hill.
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D’Andre Swift may be this offseason’s best RB buy
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Skyy Moore is nice, but you don’t need to add much to Skyy to get DJ Moore, and that’s the move.
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🚨 Updated Dynasty Rankings - 10/11/2023 🚨
*Colors Represent Tier Breaks
Talent > Situation
#ContextMatters
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None of the top WRs in this class have a ceiling higher than Breece Hall or Kenneth Walker.
None of the top WRs in this class have a higher floor than Breece Hall or Kenneth Walker.
None of the top WRs in this class have a better landing spot than Breece Hall or Kenneth Walker.
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Tua Tagovailoa - Appreciate Thread (2)
Last offseason, I made the Tua appreciation thread (see below) where I highlighted some of Tua's strengths, debunked a few criticisms, and discussed his situation. A year later, he's taken a step forward.
Tua Tagovailoa Appreciation Thread
Tua is one of the best QB prospects to enter the NFL in recent memory. A gruesome hip injury threatened his career and reduced expectations.
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Tomorrow we will be reminded why Tua was the starter and Mac Jones was the backup
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What RB is 1st in breakaway run rate, 2nd in true yards per carry, and 3rd in yards per touch?
No one other than the Buffalo Bills 2022 2nd round pick, James Cook.
Cook was forgotten early on in his rookie year, but as the season progressed, he burst onto the scene.
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Josh Jacobs could finish as the RB1 overall (ceiling), he’s likely to finish as a top 12 RB overall, and at worst, he’ll be a high end RB2 (floor outcome)
He was just RB8 as a 22 year old without an offensive line.
He is an absolute league-winner at his ADP.
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Trevor Lawrence and Laviska Shenault breakout games incoming 🚀
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Dynasty is dynamic. Don't overreact, but adjust accordingly. The key is knowing when to hold and when to pivot.
See below for my updated
#dynasty
rankings. Colors represent tier breaks.
Variables: Talent, Age, Potential, Job Security, Situation, Role, Floor, Role Security
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I would much rather draft Jameson Williams at 1.9 - 1.12 than draft Treylon Burks at 1.1 - 1.3.
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Christian Kirk Career
39 games
159 receptions
1920 yards
12 TDs
DJ Chark Career
39 games
140 receptions
1888 yards
13 TDs
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I’m not a Bucky Irving guy, but I really do like the landing spot.
Rachaad White is all bark, no bite.
Yes - he’s put up PPR points, but he has NOT been a good RB.
Incredibly inefficient player.
Bucky is known for is efficiency. If his explosiveness translates, he has a shot.
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I said this for Josh Jacobs, so I will say this for Najee Harris:
When you have a very bad offensive
line, RYOE is a meaningless measurement.
It is much harder to get yards over expected when the defense is on you before you have any momentum, and you have bad rushing lanes.
*Whispers*
Najee Harris isn’t good.
He’s finished with negative RYOE each of his first 2 seasons.
(-.16 & -.26)
The only RB’s with worse RYOE last year:
⁃ Fournette
⁃ J-Rob
⁃ Michael Carter
⁃ Melvin Gordon
He was 49th in PFF rushing grade.
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Jahmyr Gibbs was drafted 12th overall because he’s just that good 🤷🏼♂️
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If you use KTC, stop using KTC, and start THINKING!
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Travis Kelce will feast this year.
Terry McLaurin and DJ Moore remain pre-prime dark horse WR1 buys.
James Cook will impact the Bills offense in the passing game beyond what people slot in for his RB based passing production.
Justin Fields is still the best 2021 QB prospect.
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40 out of 44 former members of Trump's cabinet, including his own VP, refused to endorse Donald Trump.
Let that sink in.
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I look forward to this event every year! A lot of fun supporting a lot of great causes! Thank you
@ScottFish24
for the invite and for bringing us all together once again!
Now, who has that 11 slot group chat?
#SFB14
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Do: Buy JK Dobbins
Do Not: Buy Travis Etienne
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My Rookie Big Board:
1.1) Kenneth Walker
1.2) Breece Hall
1.3) Treylon Burks
1.4) Jameson Williams
1.5) Garrett Wilson
1.6) Chris Olave
1.7) Kenny Pickett
1.8) Drake London
1.9) James Cook
1.10) Jahan Dotson
1.11) Skyy Moore
1.12) Christian Watson
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You know whose backfield won’t be destroyed by the NFL draft?
Josh Jacobs
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“An RB” = an running back.
“A RB” = a running back.
The latter is correct.
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If Jahmyr Gibbs (a) gets the usage I expect for a RB selected 12th overall and (b) reaches his potential, I don’t think he’s the next Alvin Kamara, I think he’ll be better than Alvin Kamara.
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Justin Fields and DJ Moore are going to pick up where they left off. I’m predicting a big week for both of them as they lead their team to a W over the Commanders.
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Who disappointed more, Ceedee Lamb or DK Metcalf?
I don’t care, i’m buying both!
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The rookie people are most overthinking in their evaluation is Jameson Williams.
The dude is a baller and getting him at 1.7-1.8 draft after draft is 💰!
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Taking Kyler Murray, a player who has never been outside of the T6 in PPG, as the QB12 (mid 2nd startup), is free money.
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How good is Jaylen Waddle?
The sixth overall pick in the 2021 NFL draft set the single season rookie receptions record playing a bunch of games with Jacoby Brissett.
Waddle followed that record-setting performance with a 1350+ yard, 8TD season featuring multiple backup QBs.
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JAMES COOK IS GOING TO EAT.
ABSOLUTE BEST CASE SCENARIO FOR JAMES!!!!!!!
Former Patriots’ RB Damien Harris reached agreement on a one-year deal with the Buffalo Bills, per source.
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Damien Harris and his anticipated role are the most overrated and overblown things this offseason.
James Cook and his likely role are the most underrated and under-realized things this offseason.
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🚨 DynastyXFactor - Dynasty Rankings - Week 1 🚨
-Colors represent tier breaks.
-Rankings do not contemplate value (for example, Tua would be ranked lower if value was considered).
-Comments/Reposts are appreciated!
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