EdgeSimps
@EdgeSimps
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Wondering what EdgeSimps is?
ES is a group of quants, devs and researchers that are hunting fresh alpha and building cool shit for the space.
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We're so back.
Introducing What's Your Edge: with
@thenursegreg
&
@WhosDaveStanton
A CT native pod where we bring on traders & researchers from CT to gain insight into their unique edge & hear their stories. We're excited for the 1st EP Monday on Spaces at 6p EST with
@Husslin_
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What. A. Fucking. Show.
100% signal. No fluff.
Thank you to the fam,
@Husslin_
... What a way to ring in 'What's Your Edge', brother! <333
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Everyone, I have 3 MacBook Pros. And no one in my family needs one. If you REALLY need a new laptop; like you don't have one or yours is absolutely falling apart, reply with why you need it more than anyone here. If your story is convoluted, I will ask for proof of your
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We at Edge Simps have spoken. Liquidity is thin. Solana is broken.
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Definitive proof that Bybit takes over liquidations internally to get a better price and pocket the difference. Not to bad mouth Bybit, but I wouldn't trust any exchange that does this because if your discretionary handlers don't know what they are doing especially during a real
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I pay $20k in fees per week; more than 40 round trip trades in that window; bully market makers with click trading and manual maneuvering; and average a > 70% win rate with a +200 PNL ratio; and am quite open with my methodologies. Most of my trades are incognito. I don't use my
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Sim here. Apologies MIA. I do this alot. Nice to just fuck off, and clear your head/decompress lol
MARKET TALK
1) I don't fully understand CT's obsession with breaking ATH's. I think it's the emotional/epochal aspect. Want to be there and root for it, because it's a victory in
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No offense fellas, but if you made the majority of your wealth off of meme coins, you got lucky. And if you did it multiple times, you maybe didn't get lucky; you had friends who helped you pump the coin and shill it to the masses for exit liquidity. You are not god-tier, you're
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A nuke is pending. You can see it right here. If I must spell it out. market structure weakness, OI rise then teleport down on price teleports; happening again, except this time, sellers are being smort and getting offers filled on perps while spot pushes price up without
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First of hopefully many! Here's the first episode of What's Your Edge. Can add to other platforms as needed
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If anyone has a similar trading philosophy to me (isolate risk, leverage up), but has less experience with it, but wants to fast track/focus on the idea, you have one thing to focus on, and get good at: identifying the regime changes early. Especially range environments. It's not
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Crypto has become a digital... torture chamber. It doesn't interest me anymore, but it's been a part of my life for the past 7-8 years, it's now become instinctual to check the markets and twitter.
Hell, I'd fucking pay full college tuition just to have someone hand-hold me
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A summary of what happened when I bullied the Asia session MM. Place 6-figs buy at quote. Taken. Half a mill at swing low. Goes for it. My order is literally the next bps under. Price starts to reverse. Mind you, this is low volatility-hours, so you can infer that by taking my
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This is fucking exhausting doing this 7-10 times a day for 1-2%... lol
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Just saw yet ANOTHER watch flex on the TL lol… you guessed it. A fucking Rolex. Fuck that shit. Sticking w my Apple Watch Ultra. ffs I’m buying a Porsche for my dad’s bday while I drive a Honda Civic. LOL!!! Choose taking care of loved ones vs. self indulgence.
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You can literally degen an early range identification where the meat is juicy on retarded leverage and make more than the HODL bros and swing/mid-TF traders in two or three round trips. That’s almost solely how I turned $1000 into $210k in a month.
Many of you would benefit from learning that markets range 70% of the time. Stop treating every move as if it’s a trend forming, and simply enjoy the ranges
“3% rally” -> it’s going to 80k!
“3% dump” -> 50k it is…
Get some help
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1) Before 2016 when I was on government assistance, I'd ape 50% of my check into 100x punts on BitMEX.
-50% NW
Lesson learned: Don't trade out of desperation
2) 2017 held uPNL on the way up before the big candle down. Held because the uPNL was so massive (relatively) that I
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Whenever you're in a bad trade, ask yourself, "Do I want to cut my losses quick or do I want to be emotionally and maybe financially damaged for an undetermined amount of time?"
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For real, don't make fun of anyone explicitly vocalizing pain because your response might be the one that makes them seriously necc. I'm not kidding, be nice.
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Here's what's happening. Whoever is buying this bounce is trying to save something that can't be saved. OI keeps ramping up; what are you guys even doing. You're going to get freaked out/panic close and cause an even larger cascade. C'est la vie.
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I think I made a p awesome personal breakthrough on understanding markets: combining profiles and futures data. For example, you can tell p much exactly what's going to happen on multiple timeframes by analyzing the skew of buy/sell profiles, funding rate momentum, and open
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Trend traders would collectively lose their mind if this triangle comes to fruition. The amount of erroneous beefs on CT, the toxic posts, I mean... this place would be a dumpster fire lol Don't write this down; just saying... it's possible. The early signal for long-term range
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Cannot stress this enough. WHEN you make it after this season, assuming you aren't consumed by greed and actually realize, you need to practice gratitude as much as possible. Daily, even.
Everyone that I know that has, at some point, has taken financial freedom for granted; and
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Whenever we get 20-30% days on rising OI and high funding across the board. We know what that means, but we tend to look away and pretend we do not see.
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Rules to live by:
1) It takes literally 15 seconds to take a look at a chart at any given time, to tell you if it's worthy of a market order.
2) There's a reason people keep telling you to stay off every chart below H4. Edge loss from fees and slippage that zoomed in means
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EdgeSimps trading soon.
I wouldn't want to be on the other side of us.
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#freealpha
The top 25 coins by 10m trades on
@VeloData
are usually p consistent. When a new coin violently enters and climbs that category -- usually with upward momentum -- that is the dumbest time to fade because the guys that took it there have an incredibly sensitive read on
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Let me tell you what happened. Price was sitting 66k, and waiting. They were waiting for a bid the right size, to run over so they can get covered in their puke. But no bids arrived, and going lower would extend their short positions further than they were comfortable with.
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ES Interviews episode 1:
@simpelyfe
&
@___hounds
7/14 @ 8pm EST
Dm us for any questions you have for Sim & Hounds
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Sim is bullish.
Macro range highs to fill in the big ass triangle. Vol contraction should bust a nut all over bears face. The one risk factor is the fat... and I mean FAT... whale, who's on his toilet seat thinking to himself, 'hmm... maybe I'll jeet, today.'
Aside from that,
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I have no idea why I am so good to you twats lol UPDATED PLAYBOOK!
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You should take profit if you already haven't and restart when another opp comes along. Can freely give pointers/pearls on a degenerate who has made it. We're talking regular 35-75x leveraged trades. It's all about getting in, getting out, and waiting for a long time. Leverage
Good news to all my haters
Seems like I maxed out my credit situation and the highest amount my bank gives me now is 1400$
Guess this is my last chance to make it LOL
Lowering the leverage to 2x right fucking now this is not a drill I repeat THIS IS NOT A DRILL 😭
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I've been around the block... CEX and DEX's; and I'm telling you...
@HyperliquidX
needs... a lot; and I mean, a lot of work.
1) Orderbook only shows 11 levels.
2) On WebUI, you repeatedly tap market order, it takes what feels like a few seconds for each order to be processed.
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35-40% confident a bearish sub-cycle is approaching. Most of you can probably stomach watching uPNL diminish a bit. Especially the 2018 cats. We'd recommend leveraged positions to have a tight stop somewhere around the local low. Breach of 64k support is a 4k slide. Sukuna's
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Good day. Was telling APG -- we're fine. They fed up with the down only; but there's not only hope, the higher-TF outlook looks fine. Just a sweep of lows in May and up only afterwards. So set some scam bids after ETH ETF gets delayed -- the reaction on news, then DCA/TWAP to
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At next resistance, all of CT collectively shorting 20x with 1% of their NW would cause enough of a squeeze to effectively ensure that the bull market is back. Do your part, you twats.
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I'm sorry to say; or happy to say... whichever it is... crypto isn't my life anymore, but I haven't really figured out what is. Before you guys fast track your finances, figure everything else out first. You don't want this crippling existential terror an idle mind can lead to. I
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I was listening to and edging, and a tear rolled down my eye. Unsure if it's from the insomnia, my spot bags getting pummeled or futures position in the green. Probably all of the above.... I need a therapist lol
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Whale PVP right now. Someone was bidding across the board millions on random alts, and you're seeing the aftermath of someone who called their bluff. Think it's almost done, then nothingburger until we get data on ETH ETF flows. I think a lot of people are banking on this to come
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Yeah, think next week is gucci. Awhile ago, I tweeted about OI cycles and how they are a superior signal to pivots/reversals in the market vs. price. New OI cycle is emerging. You are free to wait for confirmation, however.
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Regardless if it's a good idea or not; it takes balls to screenshot your live trade metrics, so gotta give him some credit for that, tbh.
Plus... most of ya'll are still fucking sidelined, just cheering on BTC like a fan lol
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In the meantime, I'd like to know a bit more about the people tuning in... reply with a cogent autobiography: As succinct as possible! :D
I'll start
Youngest of 3. Trad Viet family. Racist af region of the country. Bullied all throughout... until they found out I could
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We're not about holding your hand through your trades and investments, but occasionally, we'll throw you a bone.
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Despite recent interest in RWAs, the sub-sector is ranked 44th by market cap categorically with only one project above $1B. Fifteen are between $100-500M.
Edge Simps believes RWAs will experience a 'speed-run' in development and growth not seen since the NFT boom but with a
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Price and time converged here and the markets were undecided. It is not an undecided market anymore.
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Getting close to wanting to get more aggressive with the bids despite the vol. One week ago, we had COVID-esque flush --> crazy af mean reversion --> now, you'd expect some chop, but another flush? You can rationalize it all you want; say choppy hard-mode is bearish, but deep
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ES should publish one randomly selected message from the ES GC everyday
Absolutely, sounds fun
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We just want alfa
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Strictly geese only
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We have no narratives in the tank; ETH ETF decision will likely be rescheduled. Halving rally attenuated by premature climax and geopolitics. Ya'll, I'm not going to cause I don't want to deal with it; but it's prudent to legit start finding an exit if you haven't started looking
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The most retarded sellers, I've ever seen. Pushin millions just to liquidated a few degenerate gamblers lol... You will not exit in profit lol
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Am I... the only one bull posting these days? lol I can't save the markets, you all are just short-term thinking retarded twats lmao... will bill you later hahah
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The playbook. Will bill you later.
Here's what's happening. Whoever is buying this bounce is trying to save something that can't be saved. OI keeps ramping up; what are you guys even doing. You're going to get freaked out/panic close and cause an even larger cascade. C'est la vie.
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I fucking give you guys the futures blue print, and it cannot decay because the buyer/seller dynamic is ingrained within the data. Decreasing funding on increasing price and OI means sellers are fading aggressively, so the moment buyers show weakness, they smell the blood, and
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It's either rally now, sell into the elections; or consolidation/slow bleed now, structural DCB break upwards/rally into the elections (should be somewhere in Oct). Either way, on longer time horizons, bears are probably fucked. On Cosmic timelines, we're all fucked (entropy
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OI up, FR negative -- price choppy/sweepin' after nuke. These sellers are going for blood, and aren't trading in/out of position. It's a mad fight to try and get buyers to puke. I think they cover --> cascade up if they can't breach intraday lows.
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Your funds are safu next week; even w/ respect to geopolitical events. At the very least, no more down for near future.
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@TheFlowHorse
Crypto markets appear to be following a typical market cycle: the high print --> second attempt, fails --> choppy downward momentum --> shorts start to come out of the woodwork fading aggressively --> fat cat longs nuke --> market participants start to become inactive so
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That's it folks: pack it up; one surge in volatility per month for the next 5 years. You're in prison.
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omfg I turn 38 this year. Gonna start passing out caramel toffees to people I strike up conversations with on the street about the weather... wear a flannel button up + oversized khakis and orthopedic new balances... it's over for me lmao...
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What's Your Edge Episode 5:
@lazyvillager1
10/10 8:30 EST
Come hang out and send
@WhosDaveStanton
or
@thenursegreg
questions for The Giver
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I take it back. There may be a parabolic BTC send in the future. Not just some eventual low vol up only equities style price progression. This feels epochal from a regulatory standpoint. The SEC lawyers resigning, and CZ ez time… again, I applaud the judge and everyone involved
I would like to thank everyone for your care and support, be it writing letters, showing support on X, or in any other form. They all mean a lot to me and keep me strong. I will do my time, conclude this phase and focus on the next chapter of my life (education).
I will remain a
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I've been privately working on the high-levels of what could be a great catalyst and an innovative way that combines all the addictive characteristics of what makes crypto crypto. It could be a prospective meta, it could be much more.
But if I do build it, and if it goes viral
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There's ONDO VWAP support here, but US Memorial Day will likely have no vol. Plenty of time to breach support into the 1.08 area. Furthermore, a slow choppy descent is support by the [-] buy skew on every node; barely any vol on dips. These are primarily b/o traders who buy
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Good day. I don't... get it. Are ya'll bullish because ETF inflows? Or just bullish to be bullish and that's all you know? lol If the latter (or even the former), look... OI ramping up on a failed breakout; sellers getting aggressive with increasing funding means buyers are
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Turning 37 this year. Still get carded for booze lol
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Some more 101 on LTF... how to read these things:
You see after the vertical white line, price increasing on decreasing funding, with flat OI? This means one side is risk off; one side is risk on. With the decreasing funding, the short sellers are aggressively fading likely into
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They won't tell you this in babypips or your run-of-the-mill trading course... when listening to tape pings... the 5-10% threshold mini pings -- when they rapid fire... it is a sign of an impending volatile move. You start betting here. When the block orders start coming through
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Happy Friday everyone! We're pumped to announce we're onboarding
@imnarrating
to the EdgeSimps. One of the best underground researchers in the space. Lfg
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Over the past 5 days since the bounce; ETH performance has shown to have the best sharpe. None of that 'the herd is coming in'; it's moreso hedges covering into new shorts/hedges... time is a flat circle. These type of assets are a gold mine if you leverage them correctly in a
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ETH
1) 3430 hits by 22 May, short to 3230 or timed stop, trade expires on the 24th (2 days).
2) If condition 1 hits, TWAP to $3577 until the 30th May. If condition 1 NOT met, and price fails to breach 3225 by the 24th, option to aggressively take a short to 3033 (24h play).
3)
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CZ out end of September.
GET THOSE BSC MEMES READY. Seriously lacking. You guys have 2 months to mature some BSC memes.
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Think this is pushing it as far as how fast you can calculate market depth (< 1 m/s)
Notes:
1) Requires negative values for offers.
2) Use asyncio executor to load the series for in prod-purposes
What's happening:
1) we get keys in reverse order so highest offer first and
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You guys are going to hate this take: We haven't even had a dead cat bounce yet. It's not too late to unwind your bags; but when all of CT is calling for the second coming of Crypto Bull; Unload.
And structurally, a dead cat bounce is almost always needed for a cyclical bull run
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LOL!!!! 🔥🔥🔥🕺🕺🕺 fuck it we pseudo dox lmao…
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This one's loaded.
We'll start with the bold yellow line. These macro diagonal resistances almost always hold. The one time it got breached signaled ez money. Coupled with mid-TF diagonal resistance, you're looking at residual sell pressure in the form of net shorts. Punching
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Easy guys. You're overreacting. Insto book flattening into the weekend. The rug doesn't happen until ATH break. Probably not from excess flows (the break), but hedged positions unhedging leading to b/o traders buying into the unhedging entities sells --> bid side liquidity pull
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