Dave Perry
@DavePerryCGAI
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President & CEO, Defence Deconstructed podcast host @CAGlobalAffairs . Canadian defence, especially budgets and procurement.
Ottawa, Ontario
Joined November 2016
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So
@NATO
released new defence spending data recently, including each ally's spending against the two NATO defence investment pledges: spending at least 2% of GDP on defence and spending 20% of that on defence on Equipment and related R&D. The new 🇨🇦 data is embarrassing.
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Canada committed to increase defence spending to at least 2% of GDP in July, and launched an effort to reduce spending by almost $1b/year in August.
Liberal government looking to cut $1 billion out of defence as part of spending reduction, committee told. The country's top military commander says it is prompting some "difficult" conversations within the military.
#cdnpoli
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@NationalDefence
@NATO
What is new, is that 🇨🇦 is now the *only*
@NATO
ally that isn't meeting either
@NATO
target. The attached info graphic plots allies against both targets. 🇨🇦 alone is in the quadrant of shame, meeting neither. (Denmark falls short on kit, but will hit 2% this year.)
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Spending 2% of GDP on defence isn't just a commitment Canada made as a
@NATO
ally. It would allow us to better defend Canadians and make a more meaningful contribution to international security.
Check out our
@CAGlobalAffairs
latest paper 👇
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PSA: pharmacies are working flat out right now. If your prescription doesn't need a refill yet, don't go in and add to the demand. If your pharmacy has a delivery service, use it, and don't come in. If you have questions you'd like to ask (ie. delivery?) call, don't go in.
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The revised estimates for 2023 for 🇨🇦 are 1.33% of GDP will be spent on
@NationalDefence
and 14.37% of that spent on Equipment and R&D. So 🇨🇦 is, yet again, falling short of both
@NATO
investment pledge targets. Nothing new there, we haven't since the Wales Summitt in 2014.
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It will be very, very tough to deliver over $900m in cuts at DND without reducing the readiness of our military fleets. Over 1/2 of what
@NationalDefence
spends on services supports the capital program. <2% is management consulting.
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Spending 2% of GDP on defence isn't just a commitment Canada made as a
@NATO
ally. It would allow us to better defend Canadians and make a more meaningful contribution to international security.
Check out our
@CAGlobalAffairs
latest paper 👇
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We're the lone ally in the Quadrant of Shame
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Residents of YOW can take comfort that COVID19 hasn't changed everything - our train still doesn't work.
O-Train Line 1: Customers travelling westbound from Blair to Tunney’s Pasture may experience longer wait times due to a system issue.
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Hot off the press!! Pumped to get a copy of my colleague
@CharlotteDuLan
new book and extremely proud of her for getting it published!
@CAGlobalAffairs
The Ones We Let Down: Toxic Leadership Culture and Gender Integration in the Canadian Forces
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It would be great for everyone to keep in mind that many of the people that keep these stores open work for relatively low compensation, part time, etc. And a lot of them are scared shitless right now. So be kind.
Pretty comprehensive statement from Galen Weston here on how
@LoblawsON
and
@ShopprsDrugMart
will work during
#COVID19
. (needs three screen caps.)
#cdnpoli
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Why wasn't testing increased before school returned? The increased demand was entirely predictable
@OttawaHealth
@VeraEtches
@sproudfoot
@OttawaHealth
@JimWatsonOttawa
@ShawnMenard1
Thanks
@OttawaHealth
for the tip. I know folks are working hard to scale up testing and want to make sure they have the resources needed to do it!
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Another major boost to defence investment by the smallest AUKUS partner, taking them well above 2% of GDP.
🇨🇦🧐
Australia is to increase defence spending by more than A$50bn (US$32bn) over the next decade as it prepares its military forces to be able to “resist coercion” that may arise in the Indo-Pacific.
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New from me on proposed defence budget cuts.
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Are we putting something of interest to our AUKUS allies on the table, or just asking again?
What is 🇨🇦 going to contribute that 🇺🇸 🇬🇧 and 🇦🇺 value?
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Ballistic Missile Defence sure seems handy
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Interesting shift in views. I wonder how a better understanding of the current state of the CAF and how grim the near to medium term looks would influence attitudes.
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For the Monday morning crowd:
New
@NATO
spending data is out, and the 🇨🇦 data is embarrassing.
Canada is alone in Nato's Quadrant of Shame: Meeting neither alliance defence spending target (spending 2% at least on defence, and 20% of that on Equipment and R&D).
👇
So
@NATO
released new defence spending data recently, including each ally's spending against the two NATO defence investment pledges: spending at least 2% of GDP on defence and spending 20% of that on defence on Equipment and related R&D. The new 🇨🇦 data is embarrassing.
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At long last,
#DPU
On April 8, 2024, MND Blair, will release Canada’s Defence Policy Update.
Technical Briefing: at 9:00 a.m. EDT, via Zoom.
Press Conference: at 11:30 a.m. EDT, 8 Wing Trenton
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A sharp take on AUKUS from
@CAGlobalAffairs
fellow Gene Lang
We don't know what it will become and how much it will or won't matter to us. For those reasons alone being outside it is problematic.
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Well this isn't going to help with our aspirations for
#AUKUS
pillar 2.
Some Canadian Parliamentarians collaborating with foreign governments to further their own interests, explosive new report from NSICOP intelligence/security committee says.
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Whoever runs this account should be winning public service awards.
Fact: no Ottawa resident has ever gone more than 1 hour without checking the weather. Now isn't the time to stop, either. Rain will put a damper on your restaurant patio dinner if the patio is not covered, since dining indoors is not yet permitted.
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Random Canadian Defence Thought: Amidst all the COVID19 craziness,
@CDS_Canada_CEMD
quietly became Canada's longest serving Chief of the Defence Staff.
Pretty remarkable, congrats!
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Great leadership by
@goldyhyder
and the
@BizCouncilofCan
to again call for Canada to live up to the commitment we made to
@NATO
to spend 2% of GDP on defence as covered by
@Murray_Brewster
here.
The full letter, which is worth reading, is available here:
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I had the chance to speak to
@mikelecouteur
of
@CTVNews
yesterday about
@jensstoltenberg
recent comments that he's expecting Canada to outline a timeframe for spending 2% of GDP on defence.
A little awkward to be the only ally cutting its defence budget
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New from me in the latest
@CdnNavalReview
- how will the Canadian Patrol Submarine contribute to continental defence?
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Need to get the new one into service!
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's aircraft is experiencing a technical issue that is forcing the entire Canadian delegation to stay in India, where this year’s G20 summit took place.
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Forward progress on Latvia UORs.
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Sporting umbrella socks to do what I can to summon the rain all the families impacted by the fires in NS (my own included) desperately need.
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Canadian subs operating from both left and right coasts in the same year, pretty nifty!
@CFOperations
,
@RCN_MRC
,
@Comd_RCN
#HMCSWindsor
, two CP-140 Aurora aircraft, and approx. 140
@CanadianForces
members are participating in
#NATO
Ex
#DynamicManta
alongside 5,000 allies from 10 other countries.
#WeAreNATO
#ReadyAyeReady
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Very happy Canada will finally buy a new, new aircraft. We shouldn't still be flying geriatric millennial jets.
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Framed copies of procurement officials being criticized for going too fast are now proliferating across the National Capital Region...
Liberals rush to sign Canadian Surface Combatant contract- deal could be signed by Friday
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This is a remarkable achievement BZ!
The Royal Canadian Navy (RCN) has kept its ships COVID free while continuing to conduct operations at home and abroad by introducing new procedures on ships and bases since the beginning of the pandemic. Read more:
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For NATO summit watchers, here's a graph of Canada's defence spending back to 1990, the last time
#NATO
says CA spent 2% of GDP on defence and what
@JustinTrudeau
forecasted would happen under Strong, Secure, Engaged (using both CA's old, and new math) cc
@davidakin
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This sure had news. New ships (including CCG AOPS), new money, competition to add new shipyard to NSS. Yowsa
Watch live: Prime Minister Justin Trudeau makes an announcement about the future of the Canadian Coast Guard.
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"the government has determined that the P-8A Poseidon is the only currently available aircraft that meets all of the CMMA operational requirements, namely anti-submarine warfare and C4ISR."
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Coverage of our new defence policy by
@MariekeWalsh
with some comments by me.
There are some good initiatives, but fundamentally only if they get implemented, and implementation has been a struggle for
@NationalDefence
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The 🇨🇦 defence people problem remains existential - we can't address current issues or prepare for the future strategic environment without the human capital.
With comments from my
@CAGlobalAffairs
colleague
@CharlotteDuLan
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15 years ago it would have been assumed Canada would contribute a
@RoyalCanNavy
ship
Canada to join U.S.-led naval mission to safeguard Red Sea from Iran-backed rebel attacks /via
@globeandmail
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Scary picture painted of the state of the
@CanadianForces
readiness, with comments from
@CAGlobalAffairs
fellows
@Comd_RCN_34
and
@kerry_buck
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Today's
@globeandmail
is worth picking up for this superb piece by
@markmackinnon
alone.
Three years ago, a Ukrainian special forces team left Kabul Airport to rescue
@globeandmail
's translators. Six months later, their own country was invaded by Russia. The Kabul Team has been on the front lines ever since. This is the story of their war
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More coverage of Canada's new defence policy by
@Murray_Brewster
With comments by my at the end.
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🇨🇦 reassessed what we report in our NATO data in 2017, which added ~+.2% a year from other departments without revising historical data, so data before and after 2017 aren't directly comparable.
Minister Blair is correct.
🇨🇦 has made a massive reinvestment in defence spending since 2014.
And will approach about 1.6% of GDP in the next several years.
Up from less than 1% - a historic low - when Jason Kenney was Defence Minister.
cc
@VassyKapelos
#cdnpoli
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Big news and major step forward! Canada deploys submarine to Japan for the first time in a half century
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Really happy to have
@tylermeredith
join for this discussion about how defence fits into the Canadian fiscal situation!
How can Canada get its defence spending to 2% of GDP?
@DavePerryCGAI
is joined by
@tylermeredith
to get into the nitty gritty of federal spending, defence spending, and increase in defence spending.
#DefenceDeconstructed
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It is long past time for an official update on this project.
John Ivison: The uncontrolled military program plundering the public purse, desperate for adult attention
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Given significant apparent changes to a comparable program in 🇦🇺 perhaps it's **finally** time to update Canadians on
#CSC
@NationalDefence
@PSPC_SPAC
@ISED_CA
??
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64% of Canadians support increasing defence spending to 2% of GDP, 69% think that current
@CFOperations
operational capabilities are a source of tension with allies.
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With some comments from me about the long awaited Defence Policy Update.
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I spoke to
@judyatrinh
for
@CTVNationalNews
yesterday about
@JustinTrudeau
comments to our allies that we won't meet the
@NATO
2% of GDP spending target.
The only surprise is the frankness in private.
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Anyone confident Canada has any measure of resiliency against real threats should see first hand what 10cm of snow does to the nation's capital.
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Very strong, well delivered, sometimes quite pointed remarks from
@billblair
.
Hope his colleagues
@cafreeland
and
@JustinTrudeau
are listening.
Happening now: I’m delivering keynote remarks at the annual
@CDAInstitute
Ottawa Conference on Security and Defence.
I’m discussing Canada’s defence priorities in a changing world – and what more we must do to keep Canadians safe.
Watch live ↓
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A second piece on the new defence policy from
@Murray_Brewster
with comments from me
@CAGlobalAffairs
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So Trump goes to NATO, acts like an ass, extracts concessions from allies, declares victory. Lets not act surprised when he does the same thing next year.
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A worthy stop gap effort, but someone ultimately needs to actually make shells for there to be more to buy.
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Significant move forward for
#CSC
. Orders for Aegis combat systems and MK41 launchers for first 3 ships + land test facility.
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Boy, this sure sent a stern message to anyone contemplating spying on Canada.... Convicted spy released on parole less than halfway into sentence
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Since canadian defence spending is getting some love at
#NATOLondon
re-upping for anyone interested in more detail on how canada is actually doing.
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The Scary Dairy (
@TheMerryDairy
) is such an awesome neighborhood business. Very pro Halloween!
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Ukrainian MND tells
#CANSEC
Canada's Defence Policy Update will be released in July
@CadsiCanada
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Come for the graphs, stay for the analysis!
Is the Trudeau government keeping pace with its own ambition laid out 2 years ago in Strong, Secure, Engaged?
Our
@DavePerryCGAI
has an update:
🔗
#cdndef
#cdnpoli
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I've got defence spending on my mind for a
@CadsiCanada
#Budget2023
webinar today, so I was brushing up on Canada's
@NATO
spending stats.
We should arguably be more worried that we're lagging worse on the Wales commitment to spend 20% of all defence spending on kit.
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Seems pretty clear that 🇨🇦 could be doing more to help 🇺🇦 with urgently needed military kit.
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Want to hear about the
@RoyalCanNavy
and
@RCAF_ARC
participation in
#RIMPAC2020
?
Check out our conversation with
@DeputyFleetPac
!
Cc:
@Comd_RCN
@cdnnavylady
🚨NEW PODCAST: On this week's episode of
#DefenceDeconstructed
,
@DavePerryCGAI
speaks to
@DeputyFleetPac
(live from
@HMCSWinnipeg
!) about Canada's participation at RIMPAC 2020
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An excellent, detailed look at the stark state of Canada's military and why it's important to do something about it by
@aballinga
in the
@TorontoStar
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I think we can go a step further. Canada is the only
@NATO
ally with no plan, period, to get to 2%
Canada risks 'diplomatic isolation' if it fails to meet NATO spending target, business leaders warn | CBC News
Canada is the only one of 32 member nations not to publicly release a plan to meet the target
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I was happy to join
@HonAndrewLeslie
and
@DavidWCochrane
yesterday on
@PnPCBC
to discuss 🇺🇦 and
@jensstoltenberg
's comments at
@NATO
meetings about the need to increase production of critical defence supplies including munitions.
@CAGlobalAffairs
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Another interesting appointment, Cmdre Donovan promoted RAdm. and made DG Cdn Surface Combatant. Kudos to
@Comd_RCN
and
@RCN_MRC
for reflecting the importance of that file.
@CTVMercedes
New GOFO CANFORGEN out - or for those who don't speak military - promotions for senior officers in the Canadian Armed Forces have been announced today. Some interesting tidbits I will tweet
#CAF
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Between this and Syria/Turkey/Kurds all in one day, I sure hope there's some discussion of Canada's place in the world and our alliances tonight
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Main Estimates for 2024/2025 show the impact of budget cuts at DND to be:
24/25: - $810m
25/26: - $851m
26/27: - $908m
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Starting to become an open question of what will come of the Defence Policy Review?
Chart from the most recent Economist. Pretty shameful for 🇨🇦. Will the impending Defense Policy Review present a long-term strategic defense/NATO policy, including increased expenditures? Hard to be hopeful, given 🇨🇦's woeful record.
@CanadaNATO
@DavePerryCGAI
@CDAInstitute
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Strongly Support!
Poll: Majority of Canadians favour making sports betting illegal again just to get rid of the fucking ads
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It's a lot! Much needed capability and from conception to delivery as best as I can tell, the fastest major crown procurement at DND since we fielded kit direct to Afghanistan and bought C17s straight off a production line
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I'm not sure how anyone could look at our spending plans and come away with any other impression.
The prime minister has told NATO officials in private that Canada will never meet its defense spending target, according to a leaked U.S. assessment that says "widespread" defense shortfalls are harming Canada's ties with allies and security partners.
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Ok, this is good.
Nova Scotia baffles experts by listening to them about lockdown, actually doing lockdown
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One thing recent events in Iraq have highlighted - missile defence (broadly) and ballistic missile defence specifically - is more of a salient issue for Canada than generally recognized.
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Morning after
#Budget2022
defence thoughts: does the work on continental defence and
#Norad
get put on hold pending Defence Policy Review Two or can it proceed in parallel?
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If someone was running a targeted disinformation campaign about COVID vaccines in canada, how could we even tell?
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Problems with shipbuilding projects are the norm, not the exception. Also, be wary of assuming any bold new approach is worth following until it has actually delivered something.
Interesting critique of 2 disastrous USN programs. People have criticized USN for bldg ships for yesterday's wars and so it tried new designs. Now criticized for new designs. "The U.S. Navy Wasted A Whole Decade Building Bad Ships via
@forbes
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One thing not yet part of the proposed defence cuts discussion - the cumulative total. New spending is announced with 20 yr totals (eg, SSE, NORAD Mod) so cuts with ongoing impacts should be treated similarly.
Over 20 yrs, current cuts will reduce defence spending by ~$17B.
I was too occupied by 🦃 to catch this on the weekend, but I had to chance to speak to the Globe Editorial team as they prepared Saturday's editorial on the impact of defence budget cuts.
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Will they choose one, un-choose it, review for 2 yrs, ultimately choose none, leave for next government to choose, who will choose one, un-choose it, choose more of the old ones we already have while continuing to finally choose a new one? 🛩
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Great to see
@kathleencasby
recognized by
@NavyLeagueCA
for her stellar contribution to maritime affairs today!
@RCN_MRC
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Was it a requirement of the NSPS Umbrella Agreements that all shipbuilding announcements be made on a Friday?
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Yow parents, if you need to get your kid COVID tested, plan for it to take the *entire* day, currently, if lucky enough to get in line before its cutoff.
That seemed to happen at Brewer Park sometime between 10-11am.
Bring an entire day's worth of food, H20, and entertainment.
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CCG a big winner in waning days of this government!
Major announcement: SIX new icebreakers will be built right here in Canada to replace our existing fleet ensuring we have the modern equipment we need to help keep our waterways safe and open for business.
🚢 🚢 🚢 🚢 🚢 🚢
#NationalShipBuildingStrategy
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This is a really informative and excellent discussion about Op Reassurance,
@CFOperations
, Canadian support to
@NATO
, and the
@CanadianArmy
. Worth your time to listen.
Exciting news! We're amping up our commitment to Op REASSURANCE!
Discover the evolving training landscape and opportunities in the latest CA Podcast episode. Don't miss out – tune in now!
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Stark.
BREAKING: CIA Director BIll Burns warns that if Congress doesn't pass supplemental aid for Ukraine, and soon, "There is a very real risk that the Ukrainians could lose on the battlefield by the end of 2024" via
@mattberg33
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Thanks to everyone who participated in
#SSEStatusReport
yesterday for a great
@CAGlobalAffairs
conference -
@cds
@DMike_Day
@DMDND_SMMDN
@svhlatky
@Linds_Coombs
(who's twitter handles I have at hand!) especially!
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John Ivison: Our Navy sinks toward impotence because Ottawa can't manage to procure ships via
@nationalpost
Lots and lots of information put forward in this piece by
@IvisonJ
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