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Charlie Robertson Profile
Charlie Robertson

@CharlieTTEcon

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Head of macro-strategy at FIM Partners, but this is personal account; TED talk on Africa, author Fastest Billion and The Time Travelling Economist @TTTEconomist

London, England
Joined October 2011
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
2 years
"How come no one told me about this book before? Published in 2022 .. it is one of the best popular economics books of the last decade, and one of the best books on economic development period. " 🙏 @tylercowen The Time Travelling Economist
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
10 hours
Unless three-quarters of US states agree to change the limits of course
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
12 hours
@ZiadMDaoud Agreed. At 2.3% of GDP, US Aid implemented disbursements in 2024 did matter to Jordan's economy. But assuming the Gulf rallies around in opposition to the Gaza proposal, then I'd agree with consensus they can compensate for any cut that matters.
@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
1 day
For those focusing on Trump and South Africa, US AID implemented disbursements were $285m or 0.07% of GDP based on my calculations 7 times smaller than the smallest column on this graph (Sierra Leone) Aid suspended to Somalia is 84 times more important. Less of a story I guess
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
14 hours
President Trump awards a big windfall to South Africa with this boost to their iron ore exports in early 2025
@mining
MINING.COM
1 day
Iron ore price at multi-month high as improving fundamentals outweigh Trump tariff threat.
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Charlie Robertson
1 day
@GlobeEyeNews Not that big a deal for SA. Cutting off US AID to others matters more
@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
1 day
For those focusing on Trump and South Africa, US AID implemented disbursements were $285m or 0.07% of GDP based on my calculations 7 times smaller than the smallest column on this graph (Sierra Leone) Aid suspended to Somalia is 84 times more important. Less of a story I guess
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
1 day
For those focusing on Trump and South Africa, US AID implemented disbursements were $285m or 0.07% of GDP based on my calculations 7 times smaller than the smallest column on this graph (Sierra Leone) Aid suspended to Somalia is 84 times more important. Less of a story I guess
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
2 days
RT @robin_j_brooks: Recent tariffs on China went under the radar, drowned out by threat of 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico. Those didn't hap…
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
4 days
So cutting US aid, in sectors like health, will delay this improvement in countries like Somalia, the Central African Republic and others
@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
6 days
Musk will succeed in massively cutting government spending .. in Africa. My data suggests US AID flows in 2024 were equivalent to: 93% of Somalia's government revenues, 61% in Sudan, just over 50% in South Sudan and Yemen Really socking it to those bureaucrats
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
4 days
@FukuyamaFrancis Within one working day actually
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
4 days
Morocco and Egypt may get more investment from clothes company H&M .. Inditex also expanding in Morocco
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Charlie Robertson
5 days
RT @MwangoCapital: Key Quotes from Today's CBK Governor's Post-MPC Briefing: 1. CBK has launched inspections on banks to have them pass on…
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
6 days
RT @JeremyKonyndyk: GOP is waking up as well. Multiple Republican senators weighed in yesterday criticizing the Rubio aid freeze. Notable t…
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
6 days
Ah .. CBK gave consensus what it expected on the headline with a 50bp cut, but was more dovish with the 100bp cut in CRR Probably helpful in reducing local yields and should eventually feed through into more lending Also implies CBK confidence in KES
@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
6 days
News on IMF talks just before the Central Bank of Kenya decides on interest rates today. Might help justify a bigger cut than the 50bp (to 10.75%) assumed by consensus
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
6 days
News on IMF talks just before the Central Bank of Kenya decides on interest rates today. Might help justify a bigger cut than the 50bp (to 10.75%) assumed by consensus
@ReutersWorld
Reuters World
6 days
Kenya has started talks with the IMF for a new program, finance minister says
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
6 days
Musk will succeed in massively cutting government spending .. in Africa. My data suggests US AID flows in 2024 were equivalent to: 93% of Somalia's government revenues, 61% in Sudan, just over 50% in South Sudan and Yemen Really socking it to those bureaucrats
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
8 days
That's 38 countries where US disbursements last year were worth 0.5% of GDP or more. Now cut off. The highest ratios are all in the very poorest countries in the world Somalia (2nd highest) is also the first place Islamic State guys have been bombed by Trump. Quite a month
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Charlie Robertson
7 days
@RyanGirdusky It costs an American $3 a month to support 37 of these countries (I exclude Ukraine). It’s a bargain way to provide food ($0.5bn to South Sudan in 2024) and education to those who need it most. I think Americans would back this
@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
8 days
That's 38 countries where US disbursements last year were worth 0.5% of GDP or more. Now cut off. The highest ratios are all in the very poorest countries in the world Somalia (2nd highest) is also the first place Islamic State guys have been bombed by Trump. Quite a month
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Charlie Robertson
7 days
@Cheptum_ I’d recommend seeing out an old Mauritian (financially minded) .. and ask her, or him. I’d guess they say real estate in the capital does well, that investing in your kids pays off, and that assets (bonds or equities) do well too. It’s hard to lose when interest rates fall
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
7 days
Elon Musk says we should be having more kids to save humanity But when it comes to South Sudan or Somalia, where they have a lot of children, closing down USAID seems to be more important
@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
8 days
Yes, most of the US aid going to South Sudan does appear to be about food. If only there was a social media site that might let @elonmusk know about USAID and what it's spending money on ..
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@CharlieTTEcon
Charlie Robertson
7 days
@karuejames Thanks. Website is down because of Elon Musk I think
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