Christopher Thomas
@CPThomas2611
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@ChappellTracker
@jonlipsitz
To add: If you're a coach with a player who carries an EpiPen, find out right away where the player keeps the EpiPen so you can get it quickly if it's needed.
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 13 with current (through October 27) and predicted end-of-season ranks. Also predicted NCAA Tournament
#1
through 8 seeds and at large selections. Also, at large differences under the Balanced RPI:
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@Brian86763549
@merrbear11
And the Courage. Don't forget, an intentional Courage foul put Heath out for 9 months.
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 12 with current (through October 20) and predicted end-of-season ranks. Also predicted NCAA Tournament
#1
through 8 seeds and at large selections. Also, at large differences under the Balanced RPI:
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NCAA RPI ranks based on games played through 10/26. This includes a correction to the 10/25 game result between Arizona and Arizona State.
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While Chris Henderson's system is down, NCAA RPI Top 50 based on games through 10/24:
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D1 Women’s Soccer: I just have published my annual discussion of interesting decisions the D1 Women’s Soccer made in forming this year’s NCAA Tournament bracket:
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 10 with current (through October 6) and predicted rank and NCAA Tournament at large status and other predictions. This week's Tournament predictions include seeds:
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@chris_awk
According to the NCAA RPI, in terms of the average strength of its opponents, the Big West ranks
#16
. But in terms of the average RPI Strength of Schedule contribution of its opponents, it ranks
#22
. Think the RPI vastly underrates the Big West? It does.
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@ImYouthSoccer
The RPI has a well documented problem ranking teams from different conferences and regions in relation to each other. Here is a better list that does not have that problem:
BigTen 1
PacTwelve 2
SEC 3
ACC 4
Ivy 5
BigTwelve 6
BigEast 7
WestCoast 8
American 9
SunBelt 10
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NCAA Division I Women’s Soccer: I just have published three articles showing 2023 pre-season strength ranks, simulated end-of-season ranks, and simulated candidate pools for NCAA Tournament at large selections and seeds:
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@ImYouthSoccer
Would be good to split this between fifth year players who have graduated and players who have not graduated. Otherwise, it can be deceptive.
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NCAA Division I Women’s Soccer: I have created a public library of downloadable RPI, NCAA Tournament, and related Excel workbooks, including ones related to my advocacy for a change to the Balanced RPI:
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NCAA D1 Women’s Soccer: Now available to download, a new Team Histories and Simulated 2023 RPI Ranks scheduling resource for coaches. Lots of historic rank info about potential opponents:
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DI Women’s Soccer: Here are my simulated NCAA Tournament seeds and at large selections:
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@ImYouthSoccer
Roster sizes for not-Power 5 teams that have won national championships over the last 30 years:
2020 Santa Clara 26
2005 Portland 22
2002 Portland 18
2001 Santa Clara 21
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D1 Women’s Soccer: I have three new articles at the RPI and Bracketology blog, with actual results updated through October 9: Current RPIs, Simulated End-of-Season RPIs, and NCAA Tournament Evaluations:
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NCAA Division I Women’s Soccer: See my 2023 Report 25: WOMEN'S SOCCER COMMITTEE INTERESTING DECISIONS ON NCAA TOURNAMENT SEEDS AND AT LARGE SELECTIONS, discussing the decisions that deviated from the Committee's historic patterns:
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NCAA Division I Women: I just have published an article evaluating for bias the Committee decisions on NCAA Tournament seeds and home field awards for unseeded 1st round pairs, over the last 10 years, based on Tournament actual results:
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@chris_awk
A review of schedules for the last 10 years shows that this year's 150 is an all time record for D1 women's soccer opening day games.
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 7 with current and predicted rank and NCAA Tournament at large status and other predictions:
Coming soon: a detailed analysis of the 2024 changes to the RPI formula.
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DI Women’s Soccer: Here are Simulated RPI Ratings and NCAA Tournament At large Selections and Seeds, based on actual game results through Sunday, September 19 and simulated results of future games:
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NCAA Division I Women’s Soccer: See my 2023 Report 26: Factors that Match Best with the Women's Soccer Committee's NCAA Tournament Seeds and at Large Selections. Did you know that a single factor correctly predicts all but two at large selections per year?
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NCAA Division I Women’s Soccer: See my 2023 Report 24, on which teams benefited from and which teams got hurt by the current NCAA RPI's defects, when it came to NCAA Tournament at large selections:
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D1 Women’s Soccer: Here is my annual review of the Committee’s NCAA Tournament seed and at large selection decisions as compare to the Committee’s historic patterns:
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@SageRosenfels18
It reads in part:
The flag should never be used for advertising purposes in any manner whatsoever.
Don't I recall flags being used in ads frequently?
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@chris_awk
I do not think so on the former. Possibly on the latter, athough even there if it involves weeding out bad actors there may be angels who step up so that the weeding out does not hurt women.
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I just have published REPORT 12: ACTUAL RPI RATINGS FOR GAMES THROUGH SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 17:
Check it out, especially the comparisons of team NCAA RPI ranks and NCAA RPI Strength of Schedule Contributor ranks
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: I just have published an article on the Women's Soccer Committee's batting average in its bracket decisions 2011-2023, in terms of teams from the different regions and conferences:
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 6 with confirmed details on this year's changes in the NCAA RPI formula. It also has current and predicted rank and NCAA Tournament at large status and other predictions:
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 5 with updated end-of-season Team and Conference rank and NCAA Tournament automatic qualifier, disqualified team, and at large status predictions:
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@chris_awk
I might go with UCLA-Gonzaga-Nebraska-Xavier. I think Gonzaga is much better than most realize.
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 2 with news about changes to this year's RPI formula and about the proposed use of Massey's ratings beginning in 2025, and updated end-of-season predictions:
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At the RPI and Bracketology for D1 Women’s Soocer blog, I have posted two new articles with simulated RPI end of season rankings and NCAA Tournament decisions using actual game results through August 21 and simulated results for games not yet played:
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For D1 women’s soccer, I have two new posts with (1) updated projected end-of-season RPI ranks and (2) teams placed in projected Committee seed order for NCAA Tournament purposes:
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 4 with updated end-of-season Team and Conference rank and NCAA Tournament automatic qualifier, disqualified team, and at large status predictions:
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Division I Women’s Soccer: I just have published an article on the effect on the RPI and NCAA Tournament bracket of the new "no overtime for regular season games" rule:
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@ImYouthSoccer
Very nice, but the University of Portland's Clive Charles Soccer Complex has the best field, in both quality of field and fan-player connection.
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 11 with current (through October 13) and predicted end-of-season ranks. Also predicted NCAA Tournament
#1
through 8 seeds and at large selections. Also, at large differences under the Balanced RPI.
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@chris_awk
Going into game, K State's RPI rank was 193. Their RPI Strength of Schedule contributor rank, however, was 271. That is why BYU dropped. Go figure!
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@chris_awk
10 of the top 30 are women. That's a slightly higher ratio of women than the overall ratio of DI female to male head coaches.
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@ImYouthSoccer
And, the median head coach tenure for Division I is 4 years! That means at least half of the coaches have been head coach of their current team for only 4 years.
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@chris_awk
Let's remember -- Portland probably needs Pugh less than any other team. Love to have her - yes. Need her - no.
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NCAA Division I Women’s Soccer: See my 2023 Report 6 with actual Week 2 and simulated remaining season results showing RPI (NCAA and Balanced) ranks, NCAA Tournament candidate pools, and comparing likely at large selections depending on the rating system:
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At the RPI and Bracketology for Division 1 Women’s Soccer blog, I have two new posts with simulated end-of-season RPI Ranks and NCAA Tournament participants:
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: I just have published an opinion piece regarding the NCAA Tournament first round UCLA/UC Irvine matchup: THE NCAA'S BIG MISTAKE IN SETTING UP THE 2023 NCAA TOURNAMENT BRACKET. Check it out and see if you agree:
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@jonlipsitz
I'm at my desk revising a DI women's soccer scheduling resource by creating new tables and charts to allow refined calculations of teams' strength of schedule contribution ranks. That's a new table and chart for each of 340 teams. I have no interruptions. Be well.
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@ImYouthSoccer
My bad, the number is more like 2 1/2 to 3 percent currently having transferred.
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@107ist
@chris_awk
@PDXRivetersSG
@timbersarmy
I wonder if the players were consulted on this. In the midst of collective bargaining, a boycott that reduces funds available for salaries seems a not good idea.
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@jaketapper
@jonlipsitz
Sounds like Don is saying he and his supporters had better stay out of Oklahoma.
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@jonlipsitz
@NWSL
I said paid housing. But, it would be great to have a Thorns player living at our house. And it would good housing for a player and partner, basically an apartment of their own. However, not the professional way to do it.
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Division I Women’s Soccer: I have two resources (free) available for use in team scheduling with a view to RPI ratings and ranks and other NCAA Tournament at large selection and seed factors. Find more information about them and how to get them here:
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@ImYouthSoccer
The descriptions of what it is like in college are not uniformly the case. For example, many schools have smaller rosters than described. Some schools are more development oriented than others.
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@chris_awk
I have been watching her play. Right away, it was clear she is the real deal as a keeper, not just in her physical skills but also in her command on the field.
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Division I Women’s Soccer: I just sent proposed RPI formula changes to the Women’s Soccer Committee. See Summary and Memo Coaches, if you support, please let your Committee member know.
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@jonlipsitz
Nah, he'll be fine. In addition to playing soccer, I wrestled and played tennis through college (which makes me really old). Wrestling made me confident I can withstand really hard challenges. Good for him!
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D1 Women’s soccer: Here is a report I have done on what the effect of the new No Overtime rule will be:
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NCAA Division I Women’s Soccer: See my 2023 Report 7 with actual through Week 3 and simulated remaining season results showing NCAA and Balanced RPI ranks, NCAA Tournament candidate pools, and comparing at large selections depending on the rating system:
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: See my 2024 Report 8: Effects of the 2022 No Overtime Rule and the 2024 Changes to the RPI Formula, for effects on NCAA Tournament at large selections and how the RPI functions as a rating system.
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D1 Women’s Soccer: I have three new articles at the RPI and Bracketology blog, with actual results updated through October 30: Current RPIs, Simulated End-of-Season RPIs, and NCAA Tournament Evaluations:
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: I just have published my ANNUALLY UPDATED EVALUATION AND COMPARISON OF RATING SYSTEMS: NCAA RPI, KP INDEX, AND BALANCED RPI:
Read it and weep that the NCAA still uses the RPI and has chosen the KPI as a supplement.
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: I just have published a refined update on The Women's Soccer Committee's NCAA Tournament Decision Patterns:
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@chris_awk
Christine Sinclair not even on the list as a best team leader? The survey is ridiculous.
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here are my pre-season predicted end-of-season NCAA RPI ratings and ranks for teams, plus pre-season predictions of NCAA Tournament automatic qualifiers and rankings of teams for potential at large selections:
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DI WoSo Question of the Day:
Will the Women's Soccer Committee figure out that the Ivy League, by intent or luck, has tricked the RPI? (Probably) If not, will the NCAA's in house RPI experts tell them? (Probably not)
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@jonlipsitz
@FLwino
Agree completely on O'Hara, if she's fit. Sadly, that seems to be a continuing problem. Agree too on Sonnett, but not on Krieger replacing her.
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@Jamor376
@EricTopol
This is a little uninformed. Oregon felt and feels like it is a big deal.
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NCAA Division I Women’s Soccer: See my 2023 Report 14 with actual through Week 7 and simulated remaining season results showing NCAA and Balanced RPI ranks, NCAA Tournament candidate pools, and comparing at large selections depending on the rating system:
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@richardfarley
@ThornsFC
Nerdy with stats is great. I'm in the middle of doing nerdy about the significance of home field advantage. Not very!
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@MerrittPaulson
@nwsltechsupport
@thatlldopigley
I'm with you on "sad." Maybe something with roses? Or, maybe something with rivet equipment -- and bandannas?
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@ScottVallow
And even better is being on a boat, coming around the corner, and seeing it standing there -- just as my grandmother and her family did when they came to the USA.
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@chris_awk
At the D1 level, out of the 346 teams that will be playing in the Fall, there has been a turnover of 203 head coaches in the last 5 years.
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@chris_awk
That would be roughly 90 teams for D1 women’s soccer. 33 conference champs and 55 to 60 at large.
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@chris_awk
I do not see Sinclair on the protected list, as she is almost certain to retire rather than be expansion drafted and go to another team. I am doubtful about Klingenberg for the same reason, and she seems poised for a broadcasting career.
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NCAA D1 Women’s Soccer: In my Don Quixote quest to get the NCAA to change the RPI, I have posted a new article at my blog, ANOTHER WAY TO LOOK AT HOW RPI DEFECTS RELATE TO SCHEDULING:
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NCAA Division I Women’s Soccer: See my 2023 Report 10 with actual through Week 4 and simulated remaining season results showing NCAA and Balanced RPI ranks, NCAA Tournament candidate pools, and comparing at large selections depending on the rating system:
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Division I women currently have 8 overtimes underway.
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@jonlipsitz
Year's ago, my wife and I were at the beach. I told her I'd demo a standing switch. I did and she ended up with a face plant in the stand. She remembers it to this day!
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@jgordon1987
Kling got a deserved suspension. But, take a look at Mattheson's cleats up tackle on Purce today, possibly putting Purce out for the season. Which was worse? Will Mattheson get a suspension?
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NCAA Division I Women's Soccer: Here is my 2024 Report 3 with updated end-of-season Team and Conference rank and NCAA Tournament automatic qualifier, disqualified team, and at large status predictions:
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@SteveCoxonCSN
@ImYouthSoccer
Yes, reasons vary widely. Portland's 7 include 5 who graduated with an additional year of covid-related eligibility. Portland helped them find new homes, so it could regularize its recruiting. Another transferred to focus on track. And one transferred for more playing time.
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@ImYouthSoccer
Given that there are more than 7000 WSOC D1 players, that makes the transfers about 3/10 of a percent of all players. In other words, far fewer than one might imagine.
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DI Women’s Soccer: Here are my weekly actual and simulated RPI reports and simulated NCAA Tournament brackets (one using a simple system and the other a more complex system), based on games played through October 10:
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@chris_awk
Which suggest that some players on the active roster may not be on it later in the season.
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With all the discussion about the Power 4 in NCAA women's soccer ...
National championships, by conference, over the last 25 years:
ACC 13 (includes 2 for Notre Dame when they were in the Big East)
Pac 12 7
West Coast Conference 4
SEC 1
Big Twelve 0
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@chris_awk
This is one where there could be a number of unprotected players who will let it be known they will retire rather than go to another team.
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DI Women’s Soccer: Here are Actual and Simulated RPI Ratings and NCAA Tournament At large Selections and Seeds or Selection and Seed Ranges, based on games through September 26:
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@BCopham
@chris_awk
The conferences all, for their standings, treat a tie as worth 1/3 of a win. That is the given reason. Also, the men already have changed to that.
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