🧵
Bayern's new look under
#Kompany
-
@impect_official
suggests FCB managed to suppress threat + 🔽 xG all. whilst having similar (if slightly less) huge offensive underlying numbers which they are also overperforming 🟰 best G/90 in big 5 (3.5)
#FCBB04
Let's find out why?
👇
Anatomy of a walk off goal:
#BELJPN
-
#JPN
inexplicably send 7 guys for a corner
-6 get caught behind the ball, and Hasebe fails to track KDB
-5v4 or 5v3 almost
-Lukaku with two great decoy runs (one to drag Nagamoto out, then the dummy)
-Kagawa pulls inside and leaves Meunier
As promised I've put together a long read/extensive analysis on
#Arsenal
's in possession issues
#Arteta
's concerns and a bit on public analysis.
h/t to
@Jon_Mackenzie
for all his help, game state data by
@Lauce44
, + "rest defense Stephen R" on shots)
I spent a week studying, clipping
#Arsenal
, now believe their buildup (not variance) is at the core of their recent run. Article below, happy to discuss/create more on findings.
Motto by Juanma Lillo: "Everything is much easier when the first progression of the ball is clean.”
key has been
#Havertz
as a nominal 9 is actually an addition receiver/runner vs 4141 it's stretching Liverpool vertically (as narrow double pivot + 3CB buildup baits press) while the usual horizontal (Saka/Martinelli) stretch
#LIVARS
interesting move from
#Flick
to go with the 4-0-6 formation, feels like you could park a jet in the middle (provided you get clearance from Brandenburg authorities )
I need to watch more
#Ajax
if
#tenHag
is gonna just be throwing the 316 out there (with free movement and runs to pull CBs out) and absolutely crush (21 shots to 1) my sleeper team Young Boys like this
@EuropaLeague
Stuttgart's beautiful 3D3 - numerical superiority, flexibility (base/8s/10spot) connectivity, occupation of key spaces, width w WBs, depth w CF/target-man for layoffs was such a challenge for Fürth
#VfBStuttgart
I'm writing a feature on
#Szoboszlai
's new role under
#Slot
that you'll be able to read later.
Re
#slotball
we're already seeing some notable constants (single width, wingers inside, narrow double pivot to dismark, Robbo's LCB role, 4v4) emerge
#LiverpoolFC
You've probably heard about
@Guirassy_19
's unforgettable season, but I don't think we're talking about this goals/shot on target ratio which is at 0.71 (fbref has him at 0.65 prior to today), so this got me thinking....
#Guirassy
#VfBSGE
THREAD
This now at least the 2nd massively interesting performance by
#Bielsa
(also vs
#Diniz
) that we saw vs La Scalonita.
1. Let's take a look what
#Uruguay
proposed -or how "he set up the chessboard" (by
@ReneMaric
) vs the ball/OOP in what I saw as a m2m option scheme
Rest in peace, Helmut Groß, modern German football’s perhaps greatest innovator. The architect of controlled chaos, and mentor to Rangnick + his coaching tree passed yday at 77.
Video of
#S04HSV
-Walterball, buildup dynamic occupation of spaces, rotations (role of FBs and CBs)
-S04's issues w Latza, game-state strategy
- HSV problems in Final 3rd
- S04 adjustments after 1-1
- Schonlau + subs + DHF
shares/RTs feedback welcome
4222 + a ball-playing keeper, attacking FBs, a press res CB like
#Lukeba
, good baiting of press to find
#Olmo
who is on 🔥 (+ the brilliant Xavi Simons) deep in pockets (Xhaka's dilemma) and the ball-sided 2 ST are creating an issue that
#XabiAlonso
will need to solve...
#RBLB04
so
#B04FCB
- Alonso w m2m (usual)
- adapting to
#Tuchel
's 3+2 (w switches btw 5 in last line + Goretzka w) options (btw CBs,DMs) + more counterattacking via Tella and Adli - sensible given how high + agg FCB defend
Grimaldo's typical inside role in poss not yet able to be used
There's a reason why despite 70+ % possession,
#Liverpool
have just 3 shots, an open play xG of 0.05 after 30' and it's their in possession "structure"
#Fulham
#Klopp
it seems
#Klopp
set up to sit off the 3CBs+screen the City DMs, but they keep pulling the
#Liv
CMs high and City's eliminating the single pivot w
#Bernardo
's unpredictable movement (what's Matip to do?) and
#Alvarez
synch deep run w
#Haaland
whilst splitting them wide...
#MCILIV
Excited to join RTL 🇭🇺’s team for what we hope will be landmark
@ChampionsLeague
+
@EuropaLeague
coverage in 2024/25 alongside some lovely people!
“Ils sont les meilleurs
Sie sind die Besten
These are the champions
Die Meister
Die Besten
Les grandes équipes
The champioooons!
Bayern's clear intentions with 3+1 and high FBs to stretch Lazio's 4141 (access the 3rd CB prior to the 8 jumping)
-play into halfspace primarily, if closed, direct ball to the wing,
-
#M
üller floating into free spaces, Kane mostly dropping, both can stretch
#Vecino
#LazioBayern
Debut piece for
@Bundesliga_EN
on
@bayer04_en
's Rückrunde so far:
+ discussing the meticulous squad planning
+ the tactical challenges & solutions by
#XabiAlonso
+ unsung heroes powering the still unbeaten Werkself
There's enormous flexibility in possession for
#SUI
with the buildup aided by Akanji carrying, Xhaka's passing and rotations via
#Aebischer
inside (beyond the HUN double pivot) w
#Vargas
outside
#Ndoye
and
#Duah
coming deep asking too many questions
#HUN
can't answer
#HUNSUI
Bit of a surprise with
#Ndoye
as the SS w Duah and
#Aebischer
in a key role as LWB coming inside (playing as an 8 vs the ball) to interchange with
#Vargas
#HUNSUI
some nice examples of how
#Nagelsmann
's
#Leipzig
does positional play (width by wingbacks, halfspace occupation, +depth) in a 3 CB setup with basically a floating striker position (Forsberg today, Olmo last matchday) forming diamonds in buildup and for final third combinations
THREAD:
SOME NEWS: I'm now in the Newsletter game - it's called the Bundesliga Bulletin, bc I obv am known for my brief thoughts on German football. V1 is roughly 4,500 words on this weekend's action and news, with ample analysis
you can get it here:
Always happy when my friends succeed, but this is just beyond exciting:
@Abel_Lorincz
takes over as head coach at a massive club like
@hammarbyfotboll
for the remainder of the season! Absolutely one of the best and brightest guys in ⚽️!
#Bajen
I mentioned last nite that
#Spalletti
is very cognizant of others and likes to incorporate things he sees from others (Sarri, Mancini) as well as on set pieces. Pretty mad that I didn’t put the Zielinski- RG set piece together. 🙏 for
@BVB
Twitter and
@SteveBeregi
‘s forgiveness
Ahead of
#EURO2024
SUI-ITA a lot of focus on
#Spalletti
's dilemmas, but it looks like
#Yakin
is putting out a very offensive solution vs the Calafiori-less XI likely ignoring the FBs (Darmian more than GDL), directing the high press towards
#Mancini
and squeezing in Italy
looks like
#deZerbi
has cooked up the 4132 w man-oriented follows, but w options to switch - see van Hecke + Gross w/r/t their man) vs
#Angeball
w extreme highs (van Hecke) + lows (Gross/Milner follow the high halfspace runs all the way into the backline)
2.09xG vs 0.14
#BHATOT
Which Players Have Added The Most Value This Season? Big 5 Leagues 2022/23
On-Ball Value (OBV) is a model that values each action based on the +/- impact it has on the team's likelihood of scoring and conceding
OBV Explainer:
i dont mean to be mean but this is like when
#Bayern
play vs a 2.Liga/low BL opponent who tries to play football (bc they can’t stretch them vertically) and has one talented player (Messi) but are just getting obliterated by the press. (wait a sec i now realize this is BVB)
ahead of
#ChelseaDortmund
here are 3 things that Edin
#Terzic
's side have done w the ⚽️ to create problems for opponents (such as Chelsea in 1h)
#CHEBVB
THREAD:
no
#Slot
, no problem:
#Feyenoord
are baiting B04 and finding the free man
-Wellenreuther clipped passes, 3rd man combos centrally, FBs w timing by passing -->
15’Hwang shot, Paixao, Lotomba shots
-OOP their jump-heavy press controlling B04
#Priske
's team impressive!
Nagelsmann not playing 3 CBs but using Mukiele\Halstenberg as halfspace\false fullbacks with Nkunku and Angelino providing width (this isn't new)
looks really interesting, need to watch full match. Any of you watch this live?
#RBLIBFK
Ahead of the highly anticipated
#B04FCB
for
@SportingLifeFC
I looked at why
#Alonso
’s side (expertly recruited) is different than all previous Bayern challengers. RTs appreciated! Don’t miss this game!
just letting you know that I'm currently a
#Bundesliga
free agent and looking to do some coverage (primarily in English):
RTs appreciated, DMs are open
another dominant
#ITA
match:
-superiority in 1st + 2nd phase, while asymmetry (Spinnazola pins RWB, Berardi LWB+LCB at times, Immobile occupies CB)
-great body position with quick-turning players
- Insigne drifting central, Locatelli arriving late into box+zone 14
#ITASUI
Despite
#Bajrami
's 1' goal,
#Spalletti
's Italy regained control with this initial setup (
#Chiesa
the surprising RW after playing LW recently). The box midfield + Scamacca and side CBs free to carry+join the attack has forced
#Sylvinho
's 532 to retreat into a back 6 a lot
#ITAALB
Glorious 1h by
#Croatia
, who should be up by several goals (11 shot 2 big chances 8 box shots) takign
#Portugal
's toothless poss (0 saves)
- baiting their overaggro pressure, outplaying it via 4-5 solutions (wide adv FBs, inside wingers, mid runners beyond 2nd line, carrying CBs)
Deserved boos and whistles, on the club's birthday, poor Seb Haller injured,
#Watzke
leaving early.
In a game where
#Terzic
had a decent original plan (or it took Mainz till 2h to painfully obv press the lackluster BVB buildup) but again had no in-game adjustments/tweaks....
Marsch's 4231 was no match for City's flexible positional play: double pivot stretched w halfspace occupations, false fullbacks to bypass pressing, fixed opp. FBs via Mahrez/Grealish and created superiority on both wings, while Ferran's deep movements exploited aggr. CBs
#MCIRBL
it's been a development in 2023 at
@MLSZhivatalos
, but in the 1h of
#SRBHUN
we could clearly observe the influence of
#Dinizismo
with some but not all (see yoyo, def. diagonal, the insistence on 2v1 on weak side) principles in practice vs an opponent w elite talent level
(i don't watch a lot of
#Lazio
, and BVB were bad-ish, but) a really impressive game-plan by
#Inzaghi
to
-create numbers vs Bellingham-Witsel
-overload the space ahead of back BVB back 5
-Luis Alberto wide progressor
-SMS - Lucas Leiva connection
-Immobile deep option
You can always see
@VfB
's uncompromising attacking ⚽️ where the ball just flows, whether via the de Zerbian buildup variation or the established poss. So much courage (look at FBs and all the supporting runs), such clean progression and so easy on the eye!
#VfBFCB
.PSG's OOP set up (not for the 1st time, see Barca 1st leg) was bizarre:
-the insistance on 2v1 vs the CF
-central m2m leaves dribbly FBs to make plays
-Barcola's erratic out to in press
-BVB taking adv w
#Hummels
chip to playmaking FBs,
@Sanchooo10
+ Adeyemi outside
#BVBPSG
pretty clear high press w FB on FB by Nagelsmann and Rüdiger slides out vs Nico, but he will also have to help inside, bc this Leaves
#Kroos
1v1 vs
#Pedri
/Olmo which we saw...
Sane/Musiala drop off in mid block off CBs
#GERESP
#EURO2024
alright here is the
#Titz
analysis about
@HSV_English
@HSV
@BILD_HSV
- includes a study of his philosophy, a background, coaching vids, a table comparing his metrics to Gisdol\Hollerbach and lots of film study. Shares and RTs very much appreciated:
👋🙏
With the
#Buli
season + rights cycle ending, I'm extremely grateful for the chance to contribute to 3 seasons of 🇩🇪⚽️📺 coverage!
At the same time, I'm looking for new opportunities and challenges to continue to bring you the best German football analysis in 2021\22.