Andrew
@Andrew6293821
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Winter weather for mid-Atlantic tracking winter storms and snowfall. Delaware, Maryland, DC, Baltimore, Philly, Wilmington, Dover.
Dover, DE
Joined July 2023
As of now this area is the best place for 4-6 inches of snow with some places up to 8. We will see if this needs to move north or south. At the end I think this is the area.
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@NesquikGavin Ensembles follow OPP runs. They are good for pattern and setups. But not much different for individual storms.
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Just about perfect for Dc to NYC. High pressure to the west and to the north. That high to the north prevents this storm from moving to far north (keeps it all snow) and also will mostly miss Boston if this were to verify. When we have a high in upstate NY that is when Dc to NYC gets big storms.
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I think storm is locked in period. What NOT locked in is Track, and strength of storm. Track determines who gets hit and what type of precip. Strength (Phase) will determine how big this storm is. We know arctic air is in play. Track could be anywhere from over the big cities, up the coast, or out to sea.
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I fully expect when the EURO AI model to come out at about 3:30 AM it will be similar to the EURO and CMC.
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All major Models have big time snowstorm. GFS CMC EURO. Even UkMet is on this. Models will move back and forth a bit next 72 hours. Not locked in yet.
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RT @SNEWxCenter: All 3 major operational runs showing a MAJOR snowstorm next Thursday-Friday. 6-7 days out but this is when the big ones us…
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RT @MikeTFox5: The AIFS...aka the European Artificial Intelligence model...which has performed well enough that the ECMWF is taking it oper…
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EURO AI is onboard as well. This model did excellent with last storm.
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RT @jake_wx: Yes a bigger storm is in play for mid-end of next week so let me discuss the possible options. Both ensembles has a signal the…
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18Z GFS is closer to the EURO than it’s been the past few runs. Yes it has storm mostly offshore but this is not a bad thing at this range.
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@RobBrow21077801 Weekend storms are New England I’m looking for the storm threat for Wednesday/Thursday timeframe.
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