TR Handicapp Tracker
@tr_tracker
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Handicapp Tracker providing post analytics for well known Cappers across all sports. Deep dive & fact check data to allow for the best decisions possible.
Joined April 2021
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Pinned Tweet
Just to recap a pretty harsh integrity accusation, here is the summary of the ~30 unit discrepancy. He was right, our numbers were not the same. Mine were inflated from his. Because his were wrong. Trust our process and accuracy, which has been proven.
@Viral_Strike
@tr_tracker
You shouldn't really believe this guy. His numbers are super inflated and at least 30 units off whatever he's tracking. I'm tracking the same cappers and he's quite wrong.
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After yesterdays results, we have 3 Cappers from WagerTalk in the century club. After 3 full months of betting, they are down over 100 units.
Kevin Dolan: -108.50
Don Buster: -107.08
Ralph Michaels: -103.83
Bryan Power (-94.01) & Andrew McInnis (-88.93) closely on their heels
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We have gotten over 150 followers in less than 48 hours. Thanks to everyone who finds value in the content and shares with those who would like to be a part of it. Have a great weekend!
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March updates as promised. After a promising month for WT Cappers up 112 units through 3/23; proceeded to torch -232 units from 3/24 through 3/31; (-29 units per day). Ended the month -119.88 units and down -419.03 units YTD. Biggest losers in March included.
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Giving credit where credit is due. Steve Merril is absolutely crushing the NBA Playoffs. 9-0 since they started, up 36 units.
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Last night, on a random Wednesday, there were six 5% plays released. They went 0-6. $39 a piece cost $100 betting Clients $3659 with purchase.
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Prez has been touting an amazing run and you should jump onboard. Had you jumped on about a month ago, it tells a different story. Prior to his big weekend going 12-2, he was down -42.87 units in the previous 5 weeks for a net gain for Clients of -20.07 units. (Data requested. )
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Mr.
@davecokin
, it has been a pleasure speaking with you and getting to know you over the past 3 years or so. You were always so cordial and insightful. Your honesty about yourself; not just about Sports, but what you were going through has galvanized your deserved legacy. 🙏
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Hard to believe almost a quarter of the way through the CFB season. Week 4 & YTD results:
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Lots of feedback on todays Tweet on YTD CFB results. Folks said, 'OK', I'll just play the 5% releases. OK, then... Here are the numbers... 5% releases have been just 3.9% of all plays (18 of 463) and have lost 14% of all money ($3.7K of $26.8K). Win % of 5% plays is 33%.
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Thinking it's time to start tracking again in 2024. All of the media begging for likes/subs must mean sales due to results are lacking. Feel like we've created an accountability culture... We'll post periodic updates until the end of the year and continue the analytics in 2024.
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No commentary needed. The data speaks for itself. Week 1 - CFB result; profit by Capper. 1-6 on 5% plays.
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Never once mentioned him by name. Apparently his ~43K followers sent him a memo that he's losing but still cheer him on. 2022 not a good year even with the name "Profit", down over 80 units.
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Congrats to
@kellyinvegas
for coming out on top of the free selection results for the anchor show on the channel. Only 1 favorite selection as far as we could track, all season.
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SportsMemo Results from 1/1/24 through 1/31/24
- 336.39 units:
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Thinking tomorrow we do Steve Merril and Teddy Covers. They seem to be quite popular. Goal is 2 a day until we confirm the data. Any suggestions?
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Auditing some data. Always knew WT gave Gianni a long leash but since their website transition and multiple efforts to continually minimize transparency, data is a blur. However, the audit states that he is 17-31 the last 3 days losing -46.73 units. He is releasing 12+ plays/day.
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Appears that NO ONE has the Patriots tonight... Results through Week 2 in the NFL sorted by Regular Season profit. ***PSA in the following Tweet (please read)***
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Working on our new model. Ran a test on 2 Cappers to validate numbers. It came back -280.871 combined units through 5/15. Ran it 4 more times to verify and it came back the same. Both have lost an entire bankroll in less than a half of year. More to come...
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Lots of people have been asking about the sister site, SportsMemo. We plan to have those results up by the end of this week, recapping the year to date results. Buckle up... it's not going to be good.
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Since only the top 3 Cappers are posted, we thought we'd post the Last 3, 7 & 30 for the entire site. Follow or fade, do believe there is value here.
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Hey
@HandicapperMon1
figured we'd share as we know Andrew is your boy😀
Andrew McInnis Results by Sport - 2024:
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Teddy Covers has lost 6 NBA games in a row and is now 2-10 to open the season. He has lost 15 of his last 20 plays across all sports.
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Teddy Covers and Skee Profit both $2 Tuesday Cappers and both liked plays in the Utah Jazz game. $4 cost $100 (4%) unit bettors $800 plus juice.
Teddy: Jazz +6.5
Skee: Under 239.5
Combined, they lost by 59 points.
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There was a consensus of excitement going into NFLX Preseason for Cappers. You know how it typically goes when there is a consensus... Results from Week 1 Preseason action (excludes HOF game). 3 out of 16 Cappers were profitable with an average win % of 42% across all Cappers.
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Today's Big Game Break Down from Teddy Covers was Celtics +4.5. Not looking good.
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Looks like another blown 5% for Ralph at CalSports. After yesterdays debacle losing by 26 points on FAU, he posted a teaser bringing the Detroit Lions up to +9.5. They are currently losing to the Ravens 35-0.
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This might be one of the biggest declines we've seen in this timeframe... Apparently he was one of the best at Covers. Down over 91 units since 3/1.
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We have 2 official members of the 100 club already. 100 units down already this calendar year.
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Did you sign up for "Stat Daddy's" all access the first of the year like he always talks about? New year same results; down -44.12 units in 19 days. A $100 unit bettor was down $230 per day:
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Bankroll management is key. That's what they say at WT. Here is your bankroll if you tailed every play from the beginning of the year.
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When you're 1-5 your last 6 Client plays... post about free plays.
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SportsMemo; YTD Results through February (-557.84 units) with bankroll trend analysis:
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Joe Raineri opened the CBB show today with Rob Veno congratulating him on a "another great weekend". Rob lost 19.10 units for Clients on Sunday and 3.55 units between Friday and Saturday. He's down 52% since last Sunday.
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Drew Martin had a prop bet for you; from a casino that doesn't have a sports book. NCAA Round 1, it didn't survive. He also released another 5% play on 3/15 that lost. 0-8 on his last eight 5% releases. -73 units this calendar year across all plays.
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3/1/2021 marked 1 year of tracking every release, game, line, % play, etc. for the Cappers we track. Well over 40,000 lines of data we're very confident about. Thanks for the follows and requests and we hope this information has helped in some way or another.
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Top & Bottom 5 through yesterday.
In contention for bottom 5:
Andrew McInnis -45.04
Ralph Michaels -43.56
The Gold Sheet -43.05
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Jimmy Adams gets a weekday spot for being “one of the best” football Cappers and being on runs. If the Dolphins don’t cover the +2.5 tonight, he’ll be 5-15 his last 20 plays. 0-4 in NFL and already 0-4 in college football this weekend.
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Regression Monster has Mr. Merril. Officially down for the year. Doubt we're hear about this while he hosts this week... For a low volume Capper, down 35.52 units in 5 days should be worrisome. This would have been a good "financial market" to catch on the downswing.
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Another $2 Tuesday flop 5% big ticket. Did you buy into the hype of the Prez who has been marketing how well he's been doing? Hoops, yes! Everything else, NO! He was down over 42 units all sports going into the last day of the month, all sports. That should matter!
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Highly touted Bowl packages; cost of ~$250. Here is how they are doing (assuming Syracuse lose):
You spent $250 and down 10X.
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It has only taken 67 days for Ralph Michaels to lose Clients 2 full bankrolls. Pretty much even going into December for 2022, Ralph lost 100 units and followed it up with another 106 units lost in January 2023 through yesterday. You get free pens, though.
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Something happened over might... I guess the news finally traveled.
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Ralph Michaels shows up every week with charts. They don't influence plays, like he says, but you should buy his picks instead. He's -25.96 units since the first of the month. He's 7-12 laying ML's as high as -185 with 3% plays since 10/1. He'll still show up selling this week.
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$2 Tuesday! Reserved for the hottest Cappers. Ralph Michaels is your $2 Tuesday Capper. Ralph is down 29.18 units in the past 4 days. He didn't win in January or February and isn't winning in March. Down 76.81 units this year. Not sure how that's any temperature above ice cold.
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This guy has been transparent about his recent results. They aren't good and props that he admits it. Wouldn't know that by the marketing on his page. They CFB sample size is 6 games (1 loss and he'd be 50%). His current 5% play is Eastern Michigan plus 19; currently losing 35-3.
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Well advertised 5% plays on the WT media channel today:
Teddy Covers: Nets +1 (loss by 28)
Ralph Michaels: Delaware +1.5 (loss by 19)
Going into today, they were down a combined 60+ units in 24'. There has to be a way to twist this into some sort of long term positive run.
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Ralphs Michaels lost 105 units in 2022. 100 of them were lost in the month of December; a full bankroll in 31 days. Tough start to a subscription with all the deals at the end of the year. Maybe new pens are in the mail?
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$2 Tuesday goes down again. Hakeem was also down 14 units, just yesterday.
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First 2 Cappers validated ($100 unit bettor per 1% recommended unit bet) from 1/1/24 through 5/16/24:
Trigger: ($13,191)
McInnis: ($15,740)
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Why did Teddy pick January 31st to talk about his all sports run? Turn back the pages to the prior 10 days and he won 1 of them and lost 9. Down -38.87 units the 10 days prior. Also, win % means nothing. Ask the Cappers the continual lay -150 on ML sports and win 52%.
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Who is ready for Week 2 of the NFL? Here is a list of 30 and their results from Week 1 action. Total profit includes results from the Preseason.
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The D'Amico Family might be in need after today. Feel free to pay for their NFL tomorrow.
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After 2 consecutive losing years in 2021 & 2022, Ralph Michaels has started 2023 the way he left off in 2022. Ralph has had 16 betting days this year with just 3 profitable days; already down 50% + of a bankroll. 26 wins & 40 losses with less than a 40% win rate so far in 2023.
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Bankroll ticked back up for a bit but hit an all year low through yesterday after losing over 90 units in the past 3 days.
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Overdue TY to
@robpizzola
@JoeyKnish22
& the
@CirclesOffHQ
Podcast on the mention. Appreciate you recognizing the work. Happy to join the show to discuss the process. We feel like we've fundamentally changed how WT & SM have chosen to do business moving forward based on our info.
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@davecokin
Take pride in your results and the fact that you post them. Great chatting with you over the years and the very best for you, Dave.
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Thoughts or feedback on a potential dashboard? Looking to provide additional insights to the content we share. This is a small sample size as a test version (hiding Cappers name for now). The raw data listed is just a small insight on how it can feed a ton of info.
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Condolences to those that had all access yesterday to:
Teddy Covers (-8.3)
Ralph Michaels (-14.25)
Jazz Ray (-17.20)
The Prez (-17.70)
Tony Mejia (-19.40)
Tokyo Brandon (-23.75)
-(16.76) average units lost
-(100.60) total units lost
1 full bankroll lost via 6 Cappers
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Yesterday may have one of the best days in a while across the site. Even with a limited slate, WT Cappers only lost -24.5 units as a Team. This has been the best daily result we've seen in a while, on aggregate. Even on a smaller slate on Monday, results were significantly worse.
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Updated NFL-x results; Weeks 1 & 2. Two additional Capper released plays, overall; volume down along with profit. It has not been a good start to the 3 most marketed pre-season "experts".
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WT has done at least 6 or 7 things, over time, I'm aware of to discredit their self-proclaimed full transparency but it has hit rock bottom. They have now transitioned into a Win/Loss documented site; no longer providing unit +/- detail by Capper. They are now like all the rest.
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Dow Jones was up 520 points today; ~1.5%. Up ~4.5% YTD. If you started with a $10K bankroll, you'd be up $450 w/o compounded interest. Would love to see how many WT Cappers are up $2,650 (4.5% +fees) year to date. We've noticed how the stock market references have gone away.
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Interesting view of what days are the best/worst to play on/against for WT Cappers. This is from the beginning of this year. Wonder if
@KoumThamm
has this view?
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This didn't take long. Both joined the century club through 4-3-2024 combining for -18.02 units the two days after this post. You can, however, catch them both regularly on WT Media.
Bryan Power: -100.03
Andrew McInnis: -100.93
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Results through the month of February (-299.15 units) with bank roll trend analysis:
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By request, here is what we have for year-to-date results. The additional Cappers that joined from Covers in July; respectfully:
Jazz Ray: 108.54%
Bryan Power: 54.79%
Ben Burns: -24.11%
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Another $2 and $550 down the drain for $2 Tuesday followers.
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By request
@Viral_Strike
our 2022 Results:
Max Daily (+): 63.48% (Bianco went 4-4. 4% on Real Madrid (+1800) to win UEFA Championship.
Max Daily (-): (40.10) Veno; 4-14 on plays laying no more than -115.
Nick Borrman: -244.04%
Total Units Down +/- for the year: $(126,707)
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2 years today... been a lot of work and a lot of great interaction. As a business owner, more importantly a people leader, we've challenged people to do their best and hold them to standards in which key performance indicators can hold them accountable.
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CFB Results through Week 5 and YTD. Solid profitable week with a 58% win percentage across all plays in Week 5. Still some work to show profit for the year for most and for the aggregate. Looks like 1 Capper quit after 2 weeks and 2 Cappers have not had a winning week yet.
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83% sounds sexy AF! Well, that was the last 4 days; +15.2 units. Prior to that, Steve was down -31.68 units since 3/23 with a win % of 48.98% over 49 games. He could be the ultimate salesman of long term results preaching short term runs. Barely up a yearly sub after todays loss.
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Most Cappers post about their future plays, short-term runs, media content or some talk about others and how they have no relevancy. All for what? Why not post results to get views (and sales if that is what is desired)? We’ve learned so much in the past 4 years…
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The Prez iissss.... (was) killing it! -30 units last 14 days but still killing it. Down on the year and not looking good tonight losing 3+ units on a 2% play. Maybe his 5% will be the make up. Or.... rare 4% ML hockey play. Somewhere, there is someone selling a lot of sweatpants.
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I often get the question "who to fade"? If you like to bet totals instead of sweating sides and all the dynamics, R&R Totals on SM is the choice. 58 days of betting this year, they won 18 of them and burned an entire bankroll in about 1 month. Looks fun to ski
@PrezWagerTalk
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The D'Amico Team is back at it. Copy and paste losers.
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Almost through the month. Here are results through yesterday, YTD:
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No chart needed… Halfway through the calendar year, Rob Veno is down over 200% on Client plays. Over 1,000 plays and shooting 49%.
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Laughable narrative. 0-6 previous in CBB. Feel like she needs to put more time into her promos and actual capping.
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This is why our "system" doesn't grade plays until 23 hours the next day. These were not graded on the site as of this morning. Tough day for the D'Amico household.
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In the "spirit" of what have we learned... the site has recently made some adjustments. You now have to have a username and password to find results. They have also imbedded images; presumably to make it more difficult to data dump information. Nothing the Bot can't handle.
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Another WagerTalk gathering in August. We LOVE Vegas. Would anyone like to join us to share our data? Looking for a following and we’ll set-up the appropriate detail.
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Mr. Covers Season win totals are final from his "Report". You either spent $199 on the report or more for the NFL season; both losers headed into week 18. 34 W & 39 L's (-$3,6K).
via
@YouTube
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Hey
@HandicapperMon1
, noticed Drew Martin shows up on your updates a lot, so got curious. Thought you might be interested in YTD results after another 5% loser last night. 12-14 in MLB 5% this year. He certainly does release a lot of them. 43 all sports 5%'s this year; 19-24.
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If you're not paying attention, you're giving $ away:
December of 2022: -100.30 units
January of 2023: -75.70 units
February of 2023: - 43.50 units
-219.50 units in less than 90 days.
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