Today is publication day for
#Aftershocks
: Pandemic Politics and the end of the Old International Order, my new book with
@ColinKahl
. Excited for you all to be able to read what we’ve been working on for the past 15 months or so.
Back in Ireland for Christmas and have to give my incredible brother Peter a shout out. He had a Covid close contact so couldn’t attend Christmas dinner so pulled up a van by the dining room window in torrential rain, fitting it out w/ lights and a table, and ate alongside us
This is no longer funny. Danish troops fought alongside the US in Afghanistan and Iraq. 50 Danes died. The president dishonors the alliance and their sacrifice. On the same day he sought to appease Putin by supporting his return to the G8.
Denmark is a very special country with incredible people, but based on Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s comments, that she would have no interest in discussing the purchase of Greenland, I will be postponing our meeting scheduled in two weeks for another time....
Congratulations
@ElonMusk
and
@SpaceX
on the successful
#FalconHeavy
launch. This achievement, along with
@NASA
’s commercial and international partners, continues to show American ingenuity at its best!
Biggest story you're likely missing right now: Merkel in an internal party crisis in Germany (over migration) and could lose a confidence vote this week, leading to her resignation. Situation in Berlin on a knife edge.
Jones won't be seated till Dec 26 or Jan 3. When Scott Brown won the MA senate race in 2010, Harry Reid & Obama said they would not ram through a vote on health care until he was seated. McConnell shld follow their example and hold no new votes on tax reform until Jones is seated
My colleague Fiona Hill, who staffed the summit for Trump, told the BBC that Helsinki was so bad that she considered faking a medical emergency just to disrupt it.
The unavoidable reality is Pompeo never would have been in contention for a senior level appointment in a normal GOP administration. He was promoted beyond his abilities because so many people were ruled out. The delta between what’s required & what he has is now on full display.
Much being made of why former or current Trump administration officials won’t go on the record. As someone who has occasionally quoted such sources in essays, the reasons they have given me for anonymity include concern for their personal safety and that of their families.
Mitch McConnell in Senate Hearings in Feb 2001 on Bill Clinton's pardon of Marc Rich: "While the president alone possesses the power to pardon, it's imp to remember that he is not personally exempt from federal laws that prohibit the corrupt actions of all government officials."
Bombshell interview to Breitbart by Ric Grenell, US Ambassador to Germany. He says he will personally intervene in internal politics of Europe to empower anti-establishment conservatives. Directly contradicts State Dept line that Trump admin is neutral
Something incredibly weird is happening with Interpol. The previous head was imprisoned by China and forced to resign. Interpol accepted his "resignation" & the international response was muted. Now this. And still the world is silent. Even complicit. What is going on?
Days after the European Court of Human Rights ruled that Russian legal authorities deployed the rule of law for political purposes, Interpol is about to elect a Russian government official as its head. Crazy.
Thanks for all the love! For those asking if this was an overreaction, 4 out of the 15 expected for dinner tested positive the day before or of. Peter had spent a lot of time with two of them indoors and we have immunocompromised people in the house so that’s why.
Merkel ridicules Trump admin for calling German cars a threat to US national security. Audience laughing and bursts into applause. What must Ivanka be thinking.
#MSC19
It is long past time that former Trump admin officials-- H R McMaster, Rex Tillerson, and others-- go public with what they know about Trump's real foreign policy agenda.
Blockbuster scoop by the FT’s
@Dimi
. Trump China Advisor,
@mikepillsbury
, goes on the record saying China gave him information about Hunter Biden in the same week Donald Trump urged China to investigate.
Needless to say, blaming the military for your aide getting Covid when you are deliberately holding in person rallies and not wearing masks will not go over well.
A thread on John Bolton. This was inevitable. For many months Trump wanted to pivot to striking deals w/ America's enemies-- Taliban, Iran, DPRK, even Russia-- in the run up to the election. Pompeo was willing to accept this to shape it. Bolton was not & sought to sabotage it 1/9
Ted Cruz to Axios: "As long as there's litigation ongoing, and the election result is disputed, I do not think you will see the Senate act to confirm any nominee"
The appropriate course of action now is for Congressional leaders to introduce and pass unanimously a resolution affirming America’s alliance with Denmark and respect for its sovereignty.
Great answer by McMaster when asked by a Russian delegate about cyber security. "I'm surprised to see any Russian cyber security experts here since you're all so preoccupied" in attacking us.
#msc2018
"I had concluded the Vietnam War was lost, and I made the cold calculation that I wasn't going to waste time on a futile struggle." John Bolton in his memoir on why he dodged going to Vietnam upon graduating in 1970.
This is literally the opposite of reality. Let's count Trump's concessions: 1) giving KJU the meeting his family has sought for decades, 2) Pompeo defining denuclearization down, 3) changing military exercises, 4) excluding allies from the meeting, 5) praising KJU.
.
@seanhannity
: "The
@POTUS
is reacting from a position of strength. Let's see, he's given up nothing. Kim Jong Un is making every concession."
#Hannity
Here’s my understanding of what happened on the sub deal. There were problems between Australia and France on their 2016 deal. It was over budget and late. Part of this is in the nature of such projects. France thought it was mainly haggling over cost but for Australia it was…
Potus has repeatedly complained to allies that Republicans need to be doing more to say there was no issue with the call and not just debate the process.
I knew the Trump administration would be weird but never, ever did I for one second imagine there would be mass demonstrations in Manhattan in support of Jeff Sessions
Right now: People are gathering in Times Square to protest President Trump's firing of Jeff Sessions. The rally will begin here, with a march down 7th Ave. to Union Square. I'll be covering for WNYC.
Amazing. CNN reporting Pompeo told Trump it would be "counterproductive" to allow Bolton to attend the Oval Office meeting with visiting North Korean official Kim Yong Chol. Non trivial probability Bolton doesn't last much longer.
As far as I can tell Kelly Knight Craft will be the first ever donor appointed to the position of US ambassador to the United Nations. All other holders of this office were senior political figures or diplomats.
John Bolton has a lot to answer for. Trump, for all of his flaws, did not initiate this. Bolton chose to do it because he has a very narrow definition of national security and did not believe global health had a place in the national security council.
Dr. Fauci is asked about the president cutting the NSC desk that would have handled coronavirus.
"We worked well with them. It would be nice if it was still around"
The Polish people must be watching this and thinking “we understand Trump has to cancel his trip to Poland commemorating the start of World War II because he needed to...tweet about Omarosa”
Grenell has just created a huge headache for US Assistant Secretary of State Wess Mitchell. This will heighten tensions between the Bolton and Pompeo wings on n the Trump administration
Simple test coming up of how tough Trump really is on Russia: will he congratulate Putin on his "election win" or will he call it out for what it is-- a dictator's charade?
My new piece for
@TheAtlantic
on Trump and Kim Darroch. Theresa May gave Trump everything he wanted, took all his abuse, and it was not enough to save the ambassador
I have a new piece in
@TheAtlantic
on how we are entering into the 3rd phase of Trump’s foreign policy— the reckoning in which he confronts the consequences & contradictions of his own decisions
I will be strongly demanding a Drug Test of Sleepy Joe Biden prior to, or after, the Debate on Tuesday night. Naturally, I will agree to take one also. His Debate performances have been record setting UNEVEN, to put it mildly. Only drugs could have caused this discrepancy???
I recently read a Michael Lewis’s The Fith Risk. One of his key points is during the transition and early part of the term, the Trump team had ignorance as a principle and sought to avoid briefings on what the govt actually did because knowledge could constrain them.
No one saw this coming, the President often says. Except the medical professionals in his own administration. The National Security Council. His top trade adviser. The remarkable story of warnings delayed, dismissed and ignored.
What we're seeing Trump do this week-- bashing allies, imposing tariffs, cozying up to dictators, & reaching out to Russia-- is all four elements of his ideology in practice. It's a feature not a bug and was evident well before the election
How it happened is of great consequence. While everyone was waiting for Jim Mattis to speak out, Bolton has actually walked through that door. His tweet disputing Trump's account and his active outreach to media today suggest he will not take this lying down. 3/9
I have arrived in Scotland and will be at Trump Turnberry for two days of meetings, calls and hopefully, some golf - my primary form of exercise! The weather is beautiful, and this place is incredible! Tomorrow I go to Helsinki for a Monday meeting with Vladimir Putin.
Breaks on the eve of Trump's visit to Japan. An absolute kick in the teeth for Prime Minister Abe who has bent over backwards to flatter and appease Trump. He's been rewarded w/ tariffs, accommodation of Kim Jong Un, and now this.
The U.S. Army is monitoring Vindman’s security and is prepared to move him and his family to a local military base if necessary following his impeachment testimony.
Tucker Carlson saying it is “strange” and “weird” that Trump avoided Covid for months but now gets it a month before the election. Don Jr, of all people, says not to get conspiratorial.
The FT breaks the story that Donald and Melania Trump had a short and till now secret meeting w/ Putin at the G-20 w/ no US staff present. A Russian translator accompanied Putin.
Oprah gave a great speech last night but one lesson of 2017 is that experience matters in governing. The answer to Trump is not"celebrities of our own" w/ no experience in governing / national security/ etc but a return to, and reinvigoration of, traditional politics.
Trump: "We're taking people out of the country — you wouldn't believe how bad these people are. These aren't people. These are animals."
He says the U.S. has "the dumbest laws on immigration in the world."
Nine days ago I was in a very severe traffic accident and was basically unconscious for several days. Since then I have begun to recover. I am eternally grateful to my wife, son, doctors and care givers, my family, friends & work colleagues who have all been extraordinary.
As far as I can tell, not a single Democratic candidate for president has issued a statement on Orban's visit to the US. It's a missed opportunity to make a larger point about Trump being on the wrong side of a global competition with autocracies.
Dismayed & saddened that the Trump admin has denied entry to the US to my friend and Brookings colleague Javier Solana, a former Sec Gen of NATO and one of the strongest & truest friends America could wish for. All b/c he visited Tehran as part of his tireless diplomacy.
@gymbomom2
He is quoted: "I absolutely want to empower other conservatives throughout Europe, other leaders. I think there is a groundswell of conservative policies that are taking hold because of the failed policies of the left." Imagine if Germany's amb to the US said that about liberals?
Trump says on Hannity he just went for a test and is waiting on a result. He blames the military— “when you’re with soldiers, airmen, marines, police...when they come up to you it’s very hard to say stay back, stay back. It’s a tough kind of situation. It’s a terrible thing.”
@maggieNYT
My guess: he agreed to the visit under the previous center right govt, (in power until June 2019) but doesn’t want to go now Denmark has a young female center left leader
Yep, violating the Hatch act is bad but keep it in perspective. We are three days away from the 6th anniversary of the Obama scandal that rocked the nation
My latest: the story of the mad king is an immortal tale & means Trump will never be forgotten by future generations. The only question left is whether the story ends with what Trump did to America or what America did to him. That will be decided Tuesday
The Iran Deal is defective at its core. If we do nothing, we know what will happen. In just a short time, the world’s leading state sponsor of terror will be on the cusp of acquiring the world’s most dangerous weapons....
This sets the stage for a GOP civil war over foreign policy. If the challenge was coming from the center, the Tom Cottons and Lindsay Grahams of the world wld stand foursquare behind Trump. it is much harder if it is from Trump's "right" and on an issue they care about, Iran 4/9
NEW: A source close to Mulvaney tells me he is no longer interested in COS job, Mnuchin and Lighthizer sending out same signals.... list of potential replacements for Kelly shrinking by the hour.
I am laughing so goddamn hard at this video of Trump inexplicably putting his water bottle on the floor, and Pence immediately doing the same for no reason whatsoever.
You see the beginnings of that today with tweets from
@tedcruz
and other Republicans. As Trump is criticized, he will do what he always does-- go on the attack against Bolton and his allies, worsening the split. Meanwhile, full steam ahead on Rouhani, Taliban, etc. 5/9
Trump just now asked "why are you defending North Korea's human rights record"
Trump: "you know why, because I don't want you to be killed with a nuclear weapon"
Ugh. Humiliating.