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Thedave2006 Canada and US StockTalk π¨π¦ πΊπΈ πΊπ¦
@thedave2006
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TSX, TSXV, US investor. Learn from others while letting you know my market experiences Flyers, Jays, Raptors fan. Enjoyed all their championships. Not from BNN.
Canada
Joined April 2009
RT @TradersRetreat: NVDA the atth charts below gave the structure to a T. And almost no one engaged π Ngl, I wonder what the point of postβ¦
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Interesting.
The death of factor returns has been highly exaggerated. Anyone claiming this is probably making these mistakes... 1. Only looking to large-cap or mega-caps This is by far the hardest place to find alpha. Everyone is competing in this space for an edge. All the common factors do not work consistently here. Value, momentum, sentiment...it works sometimes and in cycles. 2. Factors too diluted ETFs typically hold way too many stocks for pure factor tilts. If it holds hundreds of stocks or the parent universe is too small, the factor will be like watered down beer. You can't just split the S&P 500 universe down the middle, which is too small to begin with, and call half of it value and the other half growth. So many things wrong with this approach. 3. Information decay Factors have a half-life. They change over time. Different styles change at different rates. Value is fairly stable for a long time while momentum and investment factors change rapidly. If the optimal rebalance point is 3 months yet your fund only does so annually, you'll have little true factor exposure for 9 months of the year. What I have found is that factor returns are by far the strongest in smallcap and microcap stocks. The reason (I think so anyway) is that your average investor is retail. He is not as well informed so having institutional grade data at your fingertips is an edge. Judging from the microcap retail investors I know, they go for the stocks which might 10x. Put another way, they bid up the price on very risky stocks throwing the risk-to-reward ratio out of whack. Whatever the case, I find that factor investing works VERY strongly in smaller stocks. And institutions cannot go here. If they do, they have to hold for such long periods of time to keep turnover down that they really cannot harvest the factor premiums in a meaningful way. Factor investing is not dead. Not by a long shot. But it is mostly abundant in stocks that many prefer not to trade. Or they don't have cheap access to a platform which can model it. Typically, institutional grade software and data isn't cheap. That's why I love Portfolio123 for personal portfolios. The image below is showing a pre-defined multi-style factor ranking system which is available on Portfolio123 called Core Combination. It includes value, growth, quality, momentum, sentiment and low volatility. There is a 35% spread between high and low ranked stocks in microcaps (with liquidity filter) but only 2 - 3.5% spread in the S&P 500.
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RT @CuriousX247: Things are constantly evolving. What may seem new and advanced can actually be old and outdated.
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10 minutes until end of trading day. Get out of those circles that you are doing a disservice to yourself. Let them have it all. cc: #fintwit echo chambers and meme trading.
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RT @GlamGrafter: A moment of quiet beauty, showing that even in the chaos of life, there is still softness, still wonder. The robin singsβ¦
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RT @Mayhem4Markets: Breaking: DEA official speaking on the condition of anonymity says the agency is still planning to reschedule marijuanaβ¦
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RT @cheerio46: Power shortage poses problem for the mining sector says lobby group via @NorthOntarioBiz
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RT @Beth_Kindig: Alphabet $GOOG has completely exited its stake in Snowflake $SNOW, selling the remaining 114.5K shares in Q4 after sellingβ¦
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