Adi Gupta Profile Banner
Adi Gupta Profile
Adi Gupta

@theadigupta

Followers
519
Following
163
Media
59
Statuses
1,082

Investing & finance • Mgmt. consultant • Angel investor • @Wharton MBA + @HKUST • All views personal

Philly
Joined December 2023
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@Akshat_World Good hotels, gyms, and restaurants in India have become inaccessible for the common Indian. In the guise of inflation, we are now paying luxury prices.
10
11
278
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
Tweet media one
2
25
209
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
7 months
@IndianTechGuide 30% or even higher in developed economies is accompanied with entitlements, social welfare programs, public schools, and sometimes free healthcare. In India, we don’t get much or any of those.
7
17
136
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@Akshat_World Moreover, even if Lakshadweep can’t become Maldives. We have Andaman and Nicobar, Goa (although overpriced), Pondicherry, and Kovalam. If we aren’t welcome abroad, we have enough beach destinations in India.
5
1
87
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk This client’s journey from ₹10,000 per month to a projected ₹1 crore by retirement shows the impact of regular investing and discipline. It’s a demonstration of how small, consistent savings can accumulate into a substantial fund over time.
2
1
82
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk I have heard that several people are now visiting Thailand and Vietnam instead of Goa for holidays and events (like weddings). This is because Indian hotel rates are very high.
3
2
71
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@IndianTechGuide When I lived in Vashi a few years ago, I never thought that it would have an airport so soon!
Tweet media one
2
0
68
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@Akshat_World Your point on relative wealth growth is important. With the average Indian earning 1.72 Lakhs a year, those affording multiple Singapore trips or 10Cr properties are definitely not just upper middle class, but a tiny, wealthier segment.
1
0
63
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk As you once said, 10% is the fund selection and the other 90% is the guidance to stay invested through volatility. Very Iikely that without you they may not have reached their goals. I prefer direct investments, but you provide a valuable service for many.
1
0
66
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@debug_mode Maybe you could take inspiration and build your own page? As long as he isn’t harming anyone or doing anything that breaks the platform’s rules, it’s okay. If his content bothers you, block him.
1
0
57
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Equities: majority of portfolio Real estate: own your home Gold: keep below 20% (probably closer to 5%)
3
6
47
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Indian hotels have become very expensive given the surge in travel post-Covid. Everyone wants to stay in the top 3-5 hotels at a particular location, pushing up rates significantly.
2
0
44
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@nehanagarr Public transport still isn't great. Uber and Ola have become expensive. Banks have become lenient on asset-backed loans (like auto). They still prefer it to personal loans.
0
0
45
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk A big financial goal helps make sure that even if you don't achieve it, you end up making prudent decisions and becoming financially independent. Dreaming doesn't cost money. Thankfully.
3
0
44
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk CEO of IDFC First Bank is Excellent.
Tweet media one
5
1
45
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
8 months
@dmuthuk Higher diversification comes from owning around 12-15 stocks. It also allows a good degree of concentration for outsized returns. Good thoughts by your wife.
Tweet media one
2
6
43
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
7 months
@dmuthuk Havells is tapping into several segments in a significant way. On the ground, I see a lot of new homes using their products.
5
1
38
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
7 months
@IndianTechGuide @nitin_gadkari More than the direct benefits from the construction related employment, the improved speed of transport will greatly impact India. One of the big differences between developed countries and India is quality infrastructure.
1
3
32
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@Barchart Chinese stocks may deserve a discount to intrinsic value because of regulatory uncertainty. However, I think the market has been oversold. High quality companies are trading at 10x P/E.
8
2
30
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@Akshat_World Agree. HUL's latest strategy reveals a key insight into the FMCG sector: Top-line growth is slowing down. They're now focusing on increasing profits by tightening margins with distributors. A clear shift in priorities in a changing market.
1
0
31
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
7 months
@GayatriiM Being alone allows you to listen to your inner voice a little bit better. You become more confident with your own instincts and develop a unique character. Ultimately, you have to be with yourself for the rest of your life - so I definitely recommend it.
1
3
29
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@IndianTechGuide Everyone is jumping to 2 sides of this issue. However, let's look at it objectively. Many of these residents will now get better apartments. Retailers can get access to prime property from Adani with access to new clients. What's so bad?
3
2
28
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@Akshat_World The struggle is real for many as wage hikes fail to keep up with inflation, highlighted by MGNREGA’s data on modest increases. It’s a harsh reminder that for the majority, a salary is a lifeline for essentials, and sadly, the less knowledgeable about inflation are the hardest
0
1
27
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk You've hit the perfect balance between professional growth while balancing personal responsibilities. Rest of us are still grinding. Kudos!
1
0
27
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk As you have mentioned before, looking at companies from a market cap lens gives you an estimate of realistic chance of becoming a multi bagger. $230B because of coke is a good reference.
2
2
28
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Absolutely. People can't expect very large companies like Asian Paints, Bajaj Finance, and HDFC bank to have 20% market cap growth for 20 years.
1
0
24
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Companies like H&M have a market cap of $250B, so there's definetly room for growth. LVMH is currently at $370B - that's an aspiration if they focus on luxury and can serve a global customer base.
2
0
24
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@KobeissiLetter Homelessness isn’t the problem. Fast cars are. Wait what!??
1
0
24
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk A correction is akin to getting merchandise at a retailer at a significantly lower price during an end-of-season sale. Obviously, assuming that one has capital to deploy. Investors are happy. Traders/speculators are unhappy.
1
0
21
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@unusual_whales My heart goes out to their parents and loved ones. I know this tweet in it's current form presents this as a statistic, but once it happens to someone you know - it hits different.
0
0
19
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk I agree. HDFC BANK is a great stock which will provide good returns. However, it is not a 100 bagger at this scale.
1
0
18
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
Tweet media one
0
1
19
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@Nithin0dha Having loving parents who support you is God's greatest gift. Your father must be so proud.
0
0
18
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk “In the state of surrender, you see very clearly what needs to be done, and you take action, doing one thing at a time and focusing on one thing at a time.” - Eckhart Tolle
0
4
17
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@MichaelAArouet The Fed got better at playing economic defense since the 1930s. Now recessions don’t hit as hard or last as long.
7
1
18
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@Akshat_World Agree. Education, health, and good employment are the main pillars of a successful society. That is what we must focus on.
0
2
17
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@AdeParimal Rule of 72: divide 72 by your investment’s return rate to estimate how many years it takes to double. For example, at 8% return, your money doubles in 9 years.
1
0
16
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Charlie Munger once said, ‘The big money is not in the buying and selling, but in the waiting.’ It’s a reminder of patience over envy in achieving success.
1
1
18
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
7 months
@Akshat_World 4 things have led to Akshat’s outperformance: 1) keeping emergency funds for dips 2) rotating sectors, betting heavily on undervalued sectors 3) picking under appreciated stocks with good fundamentals 4) strategically betting on higher beta of mid/small caps
0
0
18
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@Atulsingh_asan This is a great list. The intersection of this plus a couple of other facts will lead to good investments -Oversold by technical parameters (RSI, money flow) -Lack of promoter selling or pledged shares
0
2
18
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk Markets are very irrational. Earlier pessimism. I heard things like ITC is a 'value trap' or it has a special P/E because its a conglomerate. Now, I hear ITC can become 10x despite its high market cap.
0
0
16
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk Companies that target the affluent in India will have a massive runway. Those that are reasonably priced, have high return on capital and good corporate governance. Also, valuation matters.
2
0
16
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@Atulsingh_asan Invest in your relationship with God. Spiritual growth is important as well.
1
0
15
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk As humans we feel that by taking action, we are changing our fate. However, this natural instinct can be deadly in the case of the markets. Many stocks take 5-10 years to become multibaggers and it’s very easy to sell too early.
0
0
14
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@ChristinMP_ Such an amazing day!
Tweet media one
0
2
13
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@debarghya_das India has gotten better. And will get even better. BUT, it’s not close to US. Especially from a salary perspective for those working in Tech.
3
0
14
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Adding more. Hard: Earning financial returns Harder: Preserving and growing those returns sustainably Hard: Beginning your investment journey Harder: Maintaining the course through market ups and downs
0
0
14
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
Tweet media one
0
1
13
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk What were your key insights? A lot of the article is hidden behind a paywall.
1
1
12
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
My investing journey began modestly in 2019. Just 1000 Rs in a mutual fund. Sold it in 2 months as the value increased - quite foolishly. A quick decision, but a start. Years of learning followed. Market trends. Investment strategies. Key realizations: 1. Dollar-cost
4
0
14
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk If we treat equities like heritage assets, holding them through generations, we might unlock their true compounding potential.
Tweet media one
0
1
12
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@BrianFeroldi A large part of this is our education system. Courses on personal finance and investing are usually not present.
1
0
4
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk Consider Warren Buffett. His wealth wasn’t built overnight but through years of disciplined investing and living within his means. Steady saving and smart choices can lead to financial independence.
0
0
12
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@connectgurmeet Appreciate the hustle. What he is doing for his family will help sow the seeds of financial independence for his family.
0
0
12
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@Atulsingh_asan Be cautious and allocate 10% of savings to cash/bonds to buy on dips. But don't have high allocation to physical gold, as Kiyosaki advises.
0
0
12
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
8 months
@dmuthuk I can’t say anything bad about @PPFAS - they’ve helped me make great returns. My family has reaped benefits as well.
0
0
11
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Great of you to share your update on Diageo/USL so that your followers can evaluate this opportunity for themselves. Hope it works out and you sit on significant gains!
0
0
12
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@udaykotak Well said - the financial services sector and technology availability will dictate our growth. From a policy perspective, we need: • Policy Continuity • Equity Cost Awareness • Debt Market Growth • Dividend Tax Revision • Balanced Regulations
1
0
12
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@KobeissiLetter The biggest problem is that those with immense resources often have 1 or no kids. While many with scarce resources have 3 or more kids. Leading to an imbalance.
2
0
11
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@Atulsingh_asan Steps to mislead retail investors: 1. Buy a low-volume neglected small-cap security 2. Share with followers and say the stock has formed a 'double bottom' and is due for a breakout 3. Ask for retweets and likes 4. Get massive profits 5. Sell at the top
0
2
11
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk I like both companies. But they are priced to perfection at this point and I find better risk/reward in other companies. If there is a correction, I would 100% buy these names.
0
0
10
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@connectgurmeet Everyone talks about winners. No one talks about what % of portfolio is in equities and what is portfolio XIRR % (especially during correction).
0
0
11
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@Atulsingh_asan The share price is very misleading. Retail investors have a perception that it is 'expensive' because of the Rs. >1 lakh pricing. P/E, P/Sales, EV/EBITDA are better measures!
0
0
10
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@Atulsingh_asan In a bull market, everything goes up. But, stocks without fundamentals are hit the hardest in corrections. Also, those thinking they can time the entry and exit are in for a rude awakening.
0
2
11
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk $7 trillion is roughly 2x India's GDP. Reaching there is pretty much impossible.
0
1
10
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk Understand that Diageo India will grow, but will it retain market share and also efficiently run operations (ROCE) and do so profitably (profit margin, EPS growth). We all should do analysis on these aspects too before investing.
2
0
10
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@BaluGorade This is important. We had good earnings growth particularly in 2022, so while we are at all time highs, it's not driven by stretched valuations.
0
0
10
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
7 months
@abidsensibull India is at a different stage of its growth. Our white collar worker % and organized sector % lags developed economies by a drastic amount. Yes, this trend will play out, but only in the long term.
0
2
8
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk Expecting a move upwards simply because LIC has approval to buy more doesn’t make sense. Think for yourself, is this the most safe and fast growing bank in India?
1
1
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk The ease of data access today has shifted investor behavior, often to our detriment. I'm guilty of this too. It’s a reminder that in the world of instant gratification, the principle of patience remains a cornerstone of good investing.
0
0
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
7 months
@dmuthuk Avoiding stupid decisions consistently is the easiest way to differentiate yourself from the crowd. Adding a few good investments to that mix makes your returns legendary.
0
1
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@kushkatakia Great share. I’ve been seeing USD/INR has been muted or falling, sure sign of more FDI coming in.
2
0
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@Akshat_World Diversification across sectors and buying businesses with quality management is the best defense for investors. Having at least 15-16 stocks is a must.
Tweet media one
3
1
8
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Patience is not the ability to wait, but the ability to keep a good attitude while waiting.
0
0
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@mayank66333 You're right. But many microcaps also delist or don't grow over 10-15 years. It's more like a VC model where a few winners return all your investment.
0
0
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk With the Sensex historically up 69% of the time, betting on growth isn’t just optimism, it’s playing the odds.
0
0
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk It’s not intelligence that differentiates investors but patience. Someone that buys a good mutual fund and manages to sit on it for 20 years, will absolutely destroy the average investor.
2
0
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk Several twitter gurus wouldn’t share any updates on these matters. Thank you for being transparent. We understand that you are human at the end of the day.
0
1
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@IndianTechGuide If you visited villages in UP, even 5-10 years back, the electricity situation was not great. It has improved a LOT. Not saying it is perfect, but there has definitely been progress.
Tweet media one
2
2
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk This message highlights a classic tale of corporate complacency. I am reminded of @claychristensen 's 'Innovator's Dilemma'. Failure to innovate and adapt, blinded by past success, is a sobering reminder for all businesses.
0
0
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk As someone said before, the stock market is the transfer of wealth from the impatient to the patient. Volatility is not abnormal but actually the norm. I feel worse when we are at all time highs because it becomes tough to fathom the valuations.
0
1
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@i_sudeepa Completely agree, with the macro slowdown, hiring has come down. Further, the H1B visa cap has reduced the number of people eligible to stay long term after the STEM OPT is done.
0
0
9
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
8 months
@dmuthuk Havells is a fantastic play in the capital goods space. Great corporate governance and loyal customers.
1
0
8
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
8 months
@dmuthuk Not a big fan of sectoral funds, but Quant fund has proven that they bring something of value to the market. Their Active fund/Tax saver fund has given strong returns.
0
0
5
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Like the famous economist John Maynard Keynes said, “the markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”
0
0
8
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk The story of Thorp and Berkshire Hathaway highlights the importance of patience in investing. It’s fascinating how a single decision to invest in a stock like Berkshire can have such profound long-term implications. A real-world example of Buffett’s principle of buying and
0
2
8
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dividendology I think $SCHD is a great way to get exposure to the same idea. No need to review yearly as well then.
2
1
8
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@Ritholtz Excited to see how ‘At the Money’ evolves. Tackling complex financial topics in a brief format is challenging but much needed. Congratulations on the launch.
2
0
14
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@VishalBhargava5 If there’s development, people have problems. If there’s no development, people have problems. Is the Trans Harbour Link perfect? No. Is it much better than what we had before? Yes.
0
0
8
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@sandipsabharwal What do you believe is a good P/E on a long term basis for chemical companies?
1
1
7
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
Tweet media one
0
0
7
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@GuyTalksFinance Both are quite similar. VOO slightly outperforms because of Magnificent 7 outperformance in 2023.
Tweet media one
1
0
7
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@dmuthuk Agree. True rarity lies not in wealth alone, but in the wisdom to manage it. In a world fixated on short-term gains, the rare few who focus on long-term financial independence set themselves apart. It's about being a part of that 1%, where patience and discipline define success.
0
0
7
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
10 months
@mohanty_swarup 15.8% depends on the fund category and the benchmark. For hybrids, it's very good. For small and midcaps, it's very bad. The friend's line of thinking doesn't mean much without further detail.
0
0
6
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@Akshat_World Yes, managing the money yourself is best. But for the common person, who is strapped for time, mutual funds provide a vehicle with 0.5% commission that produces good returns.
0
0
6
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@WealthEnrich High income combined with high savings can lead to a better future.
0
0
6
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@Atulsingh_asan One must understand is the loss related to market volatility or around fundamentals deteriorating. As long as fundamentals are good, losses represent a great buying opportunity. Easy to say. Hard to implement.
1
0
7
@theadigupta
Adi Gupta
9 months
@dmuthuk The more we think about investing as gambling, the more likely we are to lose money. The difference is that markets have a positive bias, so if you wait enough years, you are sure to make money.
1
0
7