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🏈 Eagles vs Buccaneers: Dive into Monday's showdown odds and insights!
Will the Eagles soar or the Bucs dominate? 🚀
Current odds:
- Point spread: Eagles -4.5 (-118) | Buccaneers +4.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: Eagles -225 | Buccaneers +180
- Over/Under: 45 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Key
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🔥🏈 Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils Breakdown:
1️⃣ Highest Probability Bets:
• Clemson Tigers (Moneyline): 82.76%
• Clemson Tigers (Half Time): 77.53%
• Over 55.5 Total Points: 52.38%
• Under 55.5 Total Points: 52.38%
2️⃣ Lowest Risk, Highest Reward:
• Duke Blue Devils
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🌀 Ever heard of a 13th-century sequence being used in modern betting? Dive into the fascinating world of the Fibonacci Betting Strategy with us, and discover how ancient math meets today's gamble. 🎲📈
#FibonacciBetting
#GamblingStrategy
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Ever heard of the Labouchère System in betting? 🎲 It's a fascinating approach that doesn't rely on doubling bets. Dive into this thread to understand its mechanics and if it could be your next go-to strategy! 📈
#BettingStrategies
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⚾ Rays vs. Marlins Betting Analysis ⚾
🔍 Tampa Bay Rays:
•‘Rays -1’ at +133 on Unibet hints at a 42.9% chance of the Rays winning by more than 1 run.
• Looking for a larger margin? ‘Rays -1.5’ is at +170 on DraftKings, implying a 37% chance of a win by over 1.5 runs.
🔍
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🎾 Betting Insight: Attila Balazs vs. Daniil Medvedev 📈
Top Probability Picks 🎖️:
• ‘Attila Balazs +15.5’ boasts a 94.74% implied chance at -1800 odds, suggesting a huge confidence in Balazs not losing by more than 15.5 games.
• ‘Daniil Medvedev -7.5’ stands at a 93.10%
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Dallas favored with a -2 point spread, some at -2.5. Moneyline odds: Dallas -130, Chargers around +110 to +115. Over/Under set at 51 points. 🎰 Player prop bet: LA’s Gerald Everett Over 2.5 receptions at -130. 🎯 Who’s your pick? 🤔
#BettingOdds
#NFL
#GameDay
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In the NBA’s 2019/20 season, Western Conference teams playing at home against Eastern Conference opponents boasted a win rate of 59.2%. However, when on the road against the East, their win rate dropped to 47.3%. This home vs. away dynamic can be pivotal for bettors 🏀
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In the 2020/21 UEFA Champions League group stage, home teams secured a win in 54.1% of matches ⚽️
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🚀 Dive into the intersection of
#MachineLearning
&
#SportsBetting
with this new research by Conor Walsh & Alok Joshi. As sports betting becomes a multi-billion dollar industry in the USA, can ML help bettors get an edge? 🎰
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🔥 NBA Game Predictions 🔮:
Phoenix Suns 🌞 have an 87.10% chance to scorch the Portland Trail Blazers 🏀.
Milwaukee Bucks 🦌 are looking strong with an 82.1% probability to conquer the Washington Wizards 🧙.
Boston Celtics ☘️ have an 81.3% shot at taming the Charlotte Hornets
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In sports betting, particularly for American football, the concept of "home underdogs" has always intrigued bettors. Historically, NFL home underdogs have performed surprisingly well against the spread (ATS). For instance, during the 2018 NFL season, home underdogs covered the
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🏈 The stage is set for a thrilling
#CowboysVsChargers
face-off this Oct 16! 📅 The betting arena is buzzing with Dallas as the slight favorite, with a -2 point spread across multiple sportsbooks! 🎰 Moneyline odds are -130 for the Cowboys and around +110 to +115 for the
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Therefore, our betting tips and predictions for this match are:
- Arsenal to win at -150 (1.67)
- Arsenal to win to nil at +125 (2.25)
- Under 2.5 goals at -110 (1.91)
These bets have a combined odds of +614 (7.14), which means that a $100 stake would return $714 in profit.
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🔥 Homerun Odds Alert! ⚾️ - Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
Top 3 Favorites:
Anthony Santander: +360
Gunnar Henderson: +420
Ryan Mountcastle: +470
🚀 Potential Value Picks:
Yoan Moncada: +750
Austin Hays: +830
Tim Anderson/Andrew Benintendi/Ramon Urias: +900
🔍
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These odds imply that Arsenal have a 60% chance of winning, Crystal Palace have a 20% chance of winning, and a draw has a 26.3% chance of occurring.
The implied probability of each outcome is calculated by dividing 100 by the decimal odds. For example, 100 / 1.67 = 59.88%
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- Crystal Palace have lost their last four matches against Arsenal by an average margin of 2.5 goals.
- Crystal Palace have failed to score in their last three matches against Arsenal.
- The under 2.5 goals has hit in 5 of the last 6 matches between Arsenal and Crystal Palace.
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📈Trends📈
According to
@ActionNetworkHQ
, some betting trends for this match are:
- Arsenal have won their last four matches against Crystal Palace by an aggregate score of 11-1.
- Arsenal have covered the -0.5 Asian handicap in their last four matches against Crystal Palace.
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🏒🌟 NHL Hockey Matchup Prediction:
Vancouver Canucks have an 80.00% probability to win over San Jose Sharks.
Get the latest insights for your bets! 🥅📈
#NHL
#HockeyBetting
🏒🏆
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⚾ Betting Analysis: NY Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers 📊
• Banker Bet 🎖️: ‘Over 3.5’ runs is a strong favorite, with an implied probability of 91.67% and odds at -1100. Fans can expect at least 4 runs in the game!
• Value Pick 💰: For those eyeing a balanced bet, ‘Over 6.5’ runs
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Parlays, known for their high risk and high rewards, accounted for 15% of total bets in 2021. Over/Under bets, a favorite among casual bettors, comprised 30%, while moneyline bets retained a steady 35%. It's clear bettors love a mix of strategy and thrill! 💡🎰
#WagerWisdom
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⚾️ High Prob Bets! 🌃
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees 🥊
Pitcher Strikeout Projections:
🤔 Yusei Kikuchi: 5+ at -250 (71.4% prob)
📈 Clarke Schmidt: 5+ at -250 (71.4% prob)
Player Performance Projections:
Aaron Judge to record a hit: -280 (73.7% prob) 🏏
Vlad Guerrero
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🎾 **US Open Women's Final -
#Gauff
C. vs.
#Sabalenka
A.** 🎾
🚀 **Top Parlay Alert** 🚀
Combine:
1️⃣ O/U +29.5 Games (Under) - 82.64% prob.
2️⃣ AH -4.5 Games (2) - 81.97% prob.
For a 🔥 parlay with:
✅ 67.74% chance of success
💰 Potential Payout: $147.62 (for a $100 bet)
📈
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We also think that Arsenal will keep a clean sheet, as they have done in their last three matches against Crystal Palace. The Eagles have been struggling to score goals, and they will face a tough challenge against Arsenal's defense.
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🎾 Betting Analysis: Alexander Zverev vs. Aleksandar Vukic 📊
• Safest Bet 🎖️: Zverev to clinch it 3-0. With a robust 55.56% implied chance and odds at -125, this outcome appears the most probable.
• Value Proposition 💰: Fancy a slightly riskier bet with a solid return?
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🔥 Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: The London derby that can't be missed! Dive into expert odds, trends, and must-know betting tips for today's clash! 💷⚽
#ArsenalVsPalace
#PremierLeagueBets
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Value betting, where bettors identify overpriced odds, was favored by 40% of sharp bettors in 2021. Moreover, stats revealed that those employing value betting had a 10% higher win rate than the average bettor. Skillful research pays off in the long run! 🧠💰
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Bet you didn't know! 🎲 In the late '90s, a punter placed a bet at 25,000-1 odds that any year between 2000-2010, a British tennis player would win Wimbledon. For a decade, heartbreak. Then in 2013, Andy Murray did it — just three years too late! 🎾💔
#CloseCallBets
#TennisTrivia
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In this thread, I will analyze the odds, stats, trends, and key factors that could influence the outcome of this match. I will also share some betting tips and predictions based on my research.
Let's get started!
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🔢Odds🔢
According to
@TheLinesUS
, the current odds for this match are:
Arsenal: -150 (1.67)
Crystal Palace: +400 (5.00)
Draw: +280 (3.80)
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In 2021, football (soccer) accounted for 40% of global sports bets, followed closely by basketball. Interestingly, 65% of all bettors were aged between 25-34, showing the millennial drive in the industry. Remember to set limits and bet smart. ⚽🏀
#BettingFacts
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Machine Learning vs. Tennis Betting: Can algorithms outsmart the odds? Dive in to discover the limits. 🎾
#machinelearning
#sportsbetting
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Conclusion:
The Labouchère System offers a structured approach to betting, aiming to achieve a set profit. However, always remember that no system can alter the odds of the game. Play responsibly and know when to stop!
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⚾ Betting Insight: LA Angels vs. Philadelphia Phillies 📈
• Top Probability Pick 🎖️: ‘Angels +3.5’ showcases a commanding 82.76% implied probability with odds at -480, hinting at the Angels not trailing by over 3 runs.
• Value Bet 💰: Feel the Phillies have an edge?
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⚾️ Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies - Who's Getting a Hit?
🔝 Top Bats:
Albies at -600 (85.71%)
Rosario at -550 (84.62%)
🤑 Value Picks:
Acuna Jr. at -470 (82.46%)
Ozuna at -410 (80.39%)
🚀 Underdogs:
Doyle at -155 (60.78%)
Toglia at -185 (64.91%)
Swing for the fences and
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- Motivation: Arsenal are aiming to extend their lead at the top of the table, while Crystal Palace are looking to avoid a third consecutive defeat and move away from the relegation zone.
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🔑Key Factors🔑
Some key factors that could affect the outcome of this match are:
- Injuries: Arsenal defender Jurrien Timber is out for seven months with a knee injury, while Crystal Palace defender Marc Guehi is available despite limping off in their last match.
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🎾 1st Set Total Games Insight 📈
Top Probability Picks 🎖️:
• ‘Over 6.5’ games is a massive favorite with an 85.7% implied chance at -600 odds. The market heavily expects a minimum of 7 games in the first set.
• ‘Under 9.5’ games follows closely with an 84.6% implied
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• Daniil Medvedev 3-0: 90% chance
• Daniil Medvedev 3-1: 12.5% chance
• Daniil Medvedev 3-2: 3.85% chance
• Attila Balazs 3-2: 0.99% chance
• Attila Balazs 3-1: 0.79% chance
• Attila Balazs 3-0: 0.40% chance
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🎾 **Betting Analysis: Grigor Dimitrov vs. Alex Molcan** 📊
- **Most Probable Outcome** 🎖️: Dimitrov 3-0. With a strong implied probability of 45.45%, the odds of +120 offer a blend of safety and return.
- **Value Bet** 💰: Dimitrov 3-1. The odds stand at a tempting +280,
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The Sixers are still open to trading him if they receive a suitable offer, but no teams have been willing or able to meet their steep asking price so far.
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Crystal Palace have won just one of their last eight Premier League meetings with Arsenal, a 3-0 home win in April 2022.
Crystal Palace have also scored just one goal in their last five Premier League matches, while Arsenal have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 12 away matches.
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In 2021, an intriguing stat arose: bettors who wagered on tennis matches during full moons had a 5% higher success rate than on other nights! While it's uncertain whether lunar cycles and serves connect, the moonlit mystery remains. 🎾🌕
#LunarBetting
#TennisTwilights
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- Manager: Arsenal are led by Mikel Arteta, who has improved the team's defensive solidity and attacking flair since taking over in December 2019. Crystal Palace are led by interim boss Paddy McCarthy, who replaced Patrick Vieira after he was sacked on Friday.
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💰Tips and Predictions💰
Based on my analysis, we think that Arsenal are the clear favorites to win this match. They have a superior squad, a better form, a higher motivation, and a more stable manager than Crystal Palace.
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⚾️ Picks for San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers! 🔥
1️⃣ Los Angeles Dodgers to Win: 62.35% (-162)
2️⃣ Mookie Betts to Hit: 72.73% (-270)
3️⃣ Fernando Tatis Jr. to Home Run: 25% (+300)
4️⃣ Freddie Freeman to Hit: 74.36% (-290)
Top Parlays:
🔸 Dodgers Win & Betts to Hit
🔸
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📊Stats📊
According to
@SkySports
, Arsenal have won both Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace last season, scoring six goals and conceding one.
Arsenal have also been unbeaten in 12 Premier League London derbies last season, winning 10 and drawing two.
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- Form: Arsenal have won their first two matches of the season, scoring seven goals and conceding one. Crystal Palace have lost their first two matches of the season, scoring none and conceding four.
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In the 2019
#MLB
season, teams with a home win percentage of over 60% also won 57.3% of their away games. Also, 46.2% of all games that season were decided by a margin of 2 runs or fewer. Knowing these tight margins and home-away dynamics can be crucial for run line bettors ⚾️
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Implied probabilities for each outcome based on the odds:
•Grigor Dimitrov 3-0: 45.45%
•Grigor Dimitrov 3-1: 26.32%
•Grigor Dimitrov 3-2: 13.33%
•Alex Molcan 3-1: 7.69%
•Alex Molcan 3-2: 7.69%
•Alex Molcan 3-0: 5.88%
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🎉 Best-case scenario? Calibration optimization offers an impressive +36.93% ROI, dwarfing the +5.56% ROI from accuracy optimization.
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📊 Key Findings: Optimizing for calibration over accuracy has a HUGE impact on returns. On average, calibration optimization results in a +34.69% ROI, while accuracy optimization results in a -35.17% ROI. 💰
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🚀 Can AI beat the odds in sports betting? Stanford researchers reveal the secret to outsmarting the house with Machine Learning! How? Dive into this thread for groundbreaking insights! 🎲🤖
#StanfordAI
#BeatTheOdds
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BUT, Morey was not willing to give up Embiid or Ben Simmons, the Sixers' other All-Star, for Harden. He also demanded a hefty package of draft picks and young players from the Nets in exchange for Harden.
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Conclusion:
The Fibonacci betting strategy provides a systematic way to manage your bets. While it can bring order to chaos, always remember the risks involved. No betting system guarantees profit, so always gamble responsibly!
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Implied probabilities based on the best odds for the match between Tallon Griekspoor and Arthur Fils:
• Tallon Griekspoor 3-0: 24.39%
• Tallon Griekspoor 3-1: 22.22%
• Tallon Griekspoor 3-2: 16.00%
• Arthur Fils 3-0: 15.38%
• Arthur Fils 3-1: 16.67%
• Arthur Fils 3-2:
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🎾 Game Spread Alert: Andreeva vs Gauff 🎾
🔝 Top Bets:
Gauff (+1.5) at -1800 (94.74%)
Andreeva (+9.5) at -3000 (96.97%)
🤑 Value Bets:
Gauff (-6.5) at +155 (39.22%)
Andreeva (+4.5) at +120 (45.45%)
🚀 Bold Bets:
Andreeva (-1.5) at +950 (9.52%)
Gauff (-9.5) at +1200 (7.69%)
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Harden suffered a hamstring injury in Game 1 of the second round against the Milwaukee Bucks and missed the next three games. He returned for Game 5, but he was clearly limited by his injury. The Nets lost the series in seven games, despite Durant's heroic efforts.
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📈 With the recent federal legalization of sports betting in the USA, there's a golden opportunity to leverage machine learning to predict outcomes and spot favorable odds.
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DID YOU KNOW - In the 2015-2016 EPL season, bookmakers gave Leicester City a 5,000-1 shot at the title 🏆 — longer odds than finding Elvis alive or Kim K as POTUS! 🎤🇺🇸 Those who took the gamble? They laughed all the way to the bank. Never underestimate the magic of sports. ⚽️✨
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📊
#BettingInsights
for players to record a hit:
🔝 Luis Arraez stands tall with a 78.26% implied chance of a hit. If you're into safety, here's your pick!
🔍 Middle-ground? Jazz Chisholm, Joey Meneses, & Lane Thomas are all circling around 72%. A blend of risk and reward.
🎲
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However, it's important to note that even with advanced Machine Learning techniques, returns from applying predictions to the sports betting market are subject to high volatility and mainly negative over the longer term.
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🤖 The use of model ensembles that combine the predictions from multiple approaches proved to be the most promising choice.
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The NBA launched an inquiry into Harden's comments, looking into whether they involved illegal negotiating tactics or a previous handshake agreement with the Sixers on a future contract.
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Placing Bets:
📌 For each bet, take the sum of the first and last number in your sequence. This is your bet size.
📌 If you win, remove both numbers from the sequence.
📌 If you lose, add the sum to the end of your sequence.
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📝 The study, conducted by Sascha Wilkens, applied a wide range of machine learning techniques to male 👱♂️ and female 👱♀️ professional singles matches and found that the average prediction accuracy cannot be increased to more than about 70% 🔍
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Arsenal and Crystal Palace will face each other on Monday, August 21, 2023 at Selhurst Park in a London derby. The Gunners are the league leaders with a perfect start to the season, while the Eagles are struggling near the bottom of the table.
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Objective:
The goal is to cancel out all numbers in your sequence, which would then equate to achieving your desired profit. The system ends when all numbers are crossed out.
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💡 Key Question: Should predictive models for sports betting be optimized for accuracy or calibration?
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🏀 Check Out the Top NCAA Basketball Picks with the Highest Probabilities! 🎯
Northern Kentucky Norse: 96.15% favorites over LIU Sharks. 🌊🦈
Cleveland St Vikings: 96.15% favorites over Alabama A&M Bulldogs. ⚔️🐶
La Salle Explorers: 96.15% favorites over Coppin St Eagles. 🏛️🦅
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In MLB (Major League Baseball), the dynamics of home-field advantage are often debated among bettors. In the 2019 season, home teams secured a win in approximately 53% of all games. While this seems like a modest advantage, over a season’s span, it accounts for a significant
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As of now, Harden remains under contract with the Sixers for two more seasons, but his future is uncertain. He has not reported to training camp yet and has not spoken to the media since his China event.
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Of course, these are just my opinions and not financial advice. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
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🚨 Total Runs Alert! 🚨
🔥 Most Likely Bet: Over 6.5 runs at -460 (82.14% likelihood)
💡 Value Bets:
Under 8.5 runs at +144 (41%)
Over 9.5 runs at -115 (53.49%)
🎲 Roll the Dice: Over 14.5 runs at +420 (19.23% chance)
Who's feeling lucky? 🤑
#MLBTotalRuns
#SportsBetting
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📌 The takeaway? For sports betting and similar probabilistic decisions, calibration is king! It's a more vital metric than accuracy.
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🏈🎲 Colorado vs TCU Betting Insights: Dive into the top picks, the best value bets, and the most enticing parlays for today’s match-up! 💰📈
#SportsBetting
#TCUvsColorado
#OddsAnalysis
#NCAAF
#bettingpicks
#bettingtips
1️⃣ Highest Probability Bets:
• TCU Horned Frogs
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We hope you enjoyed this thread and found it useful. If you did, please like, retweet, and follow me for more sports betting analysis and tips.
Thank you for reading and good luck! 🙌
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The Labouchère is a progressive betting system, named after its creator - Henry Labouchère. Unlike Martingale, it doesn’t require doubling your bet. Instead, it focuses on recovering losses over multiple bets.
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James Harden is a superstar on the court, but a drama queen off it.
He's been making headlines for all the wrong reasons lately, from demanding a trade to dissing his former boss.
What's really going on with him and his team? Here's a breakdown of the Harden saga 🧵
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🔥 Alternate Total Runs Picks:
🔝 Most Probable:
Over 11.5 at -215 (68.25%)
💰 Value Alert:
Over 13.5 at -111 (52.63%)
Under 13.5 at -115 (53.49%)
🚀 High Reward:
Over 19.5 at +460 (17.86% chance)
Which side are you on? Let's get those runs! ⚾️🏟️
#BaseballPicks
#TotalRuns
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🎾 Sebastian Ofner vs. Frances Tiafoe - Alternative Set Spread Odds & Insights
🔝 Best Bets:
Ofner (+10.5) at -1350 📈 93.10%
Tiafoe (-2.5) at -460 📈 82.14%
💡 Value Bets:
Ofner (+5.5) at +115 📈 46.51%
Tiafoe (-5.5) at -180 📈 64.29%
💰 Best Risk-Reward:
Tiafoe (-10.5) at
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🧠 In conclusion, while machine learning has become an established tool in many areas of society, its application in sports betting still faces challenges and limitations. Further research is needed to fully understand its potential in this field.
#machinelearning
#sportsbetting
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However, things didn't go as planned for the Nets. Harden, Durant, and Irving only played 8 games together in the regular season due to injuries and COVID-19 protocols. The Nets still finished with the 2nd-best record in the East, but they faced more challenges in the playoffs.
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🔥⚾ High Probability Parlay Insights! ⚾🔥
1. Strikeout Kings 🤴 Spencer Strider and Lance Lynn are poised to dominate the mound! Odds: +202 | Probability: 49.50%
2. First Inning Frenzy ⏱️ Expecting a strong start with those strikeouts in the first inning! Odds: -111 |
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🏈
#Lions
vs.
#Chiefs
Spotlight Odds 🚀
Chiefs -4.5 Spread: Odds -115 (60% prob)
Under 52.5: Odds -108 (58% prob)
Kelce TD Scorer: Odds -125 (64% prob)
Parlay: Chiefs -4.5 & Under 52.5: +250 (55% prob)
#NFL
#ChiefsKingdom
#OnePride
#SportsBetting
#NFLPicks
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Morey had traded for Harden in 2012 when he was with the Rockets and had built a strong relationship with him over the years. The Sixers also had a young star in Joel Embiid who could complement Harden's game.
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Labouchère Variations:
📌 Reverse Labouchère: Add numbers when you win and remove when you lose. This approach capitalizes on winning streaks.
📌 Modified Sequences: Rather than linear sequences, players can customize their sequence based on their risk tolerance.
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After the season, reports emerged that Harden was unhappy with the Nets' culture and coaching staff. He also reportedly had a falling out with Irving, who had his own issues with the media and the NBA.
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Use Cases:
Mostly used in games like roulette (even money bets - red/black, odd/even) or sports betting (even odds). However, it’s crucial to know the game's rules and odds.
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🔥 To Record A Hit Alert! ⚾️
🌟 Top 3 Probables:
Tim Anderson: -350
Luis Robert: -320
Gunnar Henderson: -310
🚀 Mid-Range Chances:
Andrew Benintendi: -290
Eloy Jimenez: -280
Andrew Vaughn/Anthony Santander: -250
🔍 Closer Calls:
Adam Frazier: -165
Ramon Urias: -160
Korey Lee:
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🔎 The study also found that most of the relevant information is embedded in the betting markets 💸, and adding other match- and player-specific data does not lead to any significant improvement.
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🤖 Many researchers have tackled sports outcome prediction using ML. But most focus on accuracy to evaluate model performance. This research suggests a shift in focus...
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