sparkc
@sparkcsays
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Leadership @WolvesDAO • I do your homework Venture @Arete_xyz
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You've heard Gaming's going to be huge this cycle but you don't know where to start.
Here's what you should know before investing in web3 games:
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🧵on BoomLand & their low supply free mint on Jan 31.
But first, I'm giving away 10 WL spots for
@BoomLandGames
5 spots:
--> Like & Retweet
--> Follow
@BoomLandGames
&
@sparkcsays
Winners in 24hrs.
Read below for my thoughts on BoomLand & how to win the last 5 spots ⬇️
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Somehow the most promising project in web3 gaming
Building the crypto version of last yrs biggest game
With top tier funding, team and narrative
Has genesis assets below 0.15 ETH... let me explain why this is my biggest bag & why its current fp is blasphemy
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Here's my list of games that's worth trying for WL.
Most (but not all) have a decent team and funding.
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Free gaming mints are putting up numbers.
Digi | 15+ ETH
Castaway | 15+ ETH
Tribo | 0.5 + ETH
Azra | nearly 0.5 ETH
I got in on Azra, Castaway & Tribo
(& had notifs on for Digi but it stealth minted at like 4am for me)
Here's how to find them + my pick for the next big one ⬇️
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I've laid out what teams are doing wrong - here's examples of doing it right:
Study Pixelmon's comeback
Study Revolving Games, their .03 floor & what happened once they leaned into web3
Study Memeland's NFT incentives
Study Templecrash's twitter for narrative building
Study
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Solana NFTs are popping off
A look into one of the only games I've built a position in during the bear
And they’re going after an untapped platform with 500+ million users:
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Oof
Big Shrapnel lawsuit filed today
TLDR of the claims:
--> Hostile takeover in progress by the majority shareholder, he replaced the CEO Mark Long
--> He is refusing to issue shares to investors as that would lose him his majority share
--> He is trying to use company
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@ZssBecker
Here's his list boys:
Ape
GALA
PYR
IMX
Seedify
Adshare
Superfarm
Verasity
Illuvium
MonkeyBall
Derace
FINA
WARS
SIDUS
Mines of Delaria
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We're primed for a gaming bull run
The market's pumping & big news keeps dropping
--> Sony's NFT patents & plans
--> Amazon moving into Web 3
--> Saudi x Sandbox
--> Square Enix & Polygon
If we see a gaming bull run, here's what to expect 🧵
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I look at nearly 50 gaming projects a week.
More than half can be dismissed in under a minute.
Here's my list of red flags you can spot from a quick glance at their website & socials.
🚩🚩🚩
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My updated list of games worth trying for WL.
It's not every upcoming mint, just the ones that I think have some promise.
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Here's a game:
--> Led by an ex-Activision & Microsoft Executive
--> Recently out of stealth
--> Building & VC funded since Jan 2020
--> Low Supply (3333)
--> Mint next month
--> WL very achievable
--> Less than 1k in discord
Let's talk about
@LowLifeForms
🧵
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Web 3 gaming REALITY CHECK thread 🧵
For all the new followers, here's a list of ALL my previous advice & unpopular opinions.
Let's start with one of the most unpopular:
1/ All these "social" metaverses are going to zero.
There's many reasons why but here's the main one ⬇️
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I've read everything available on Wreck League & their team, including every discord message they've sent.
Here's why it's a promising game and why, despite that, I won't be minting. 🧵
(and no, it's nothing to do with KYC)
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7/
So my pick for the next big free mint?
@DotErth
How much funding do they have?
Unknown.
How good is their team though?
Top tier.
Here's what I wrote for the
@WolvesDAO
nearly two months ago.
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I've gotta rant about the state of crypto gaming for a second
And no, it's got nothing to do with the games.
For a while I've been meaning to write
"How to Not Fuck Up in Web 3: From Traditional Gaming to Crypto"
Not a thread, a full on BOOK.
There's two things stopping me:
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While all the traders get why holders have turned on AOF
I've had several convo's w/ builders & founders in the space who don't understand it.
They see a free mint & a group of greedy speculators who aren't happy w/ free money.
So let me explain, in detail, why ppl are upset:
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My bags this month:
-> Tatsumeeko/Meekolony NFTs +650%
-> Infinigods NFTs +200%
-> AI Arena NFTs +325%
-> Fableborne NFTs +460%
-> Helix NFTs +100% (I sold at breakeven)
SHRAP +74%
WILD +50%
PRIME +166%
We cooking.
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With all eyes on Solana for JUP airdrop day, it feels like a good time add to my
@tatsumeeko
thesis
Based on new info from our Alpha Wolves space interviews & the state of the market:
Note: if you haven't read my original thesis on tatsu, the thread is linked at the bottom
I
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Gaming teams: a lot of you will fk up your airdrop
So this is my attempt to help u out.
I chat with many of u & there's 2 recurring themes
1) People are greedy & entitled
2) Every % of supply is big $$ and it's crazy to give it to ppl who've done nothing
What you're missing:
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The market likes AI & the market likes infra but it likes it even better when u combine the two together
PRIME 2x'd after revealing their AI infra & now
@aiarena_
is announcing theirs
Wider scope -> better narrative & bigger valuation
Oh, & they announced a holder airdrop too
Trailblazing a new path, we're rewriting the rules that have bound us for too long.
At ArenaX Labs, we're proud to introduce two revolutionary platforms, ARC and SAI, designed to reshape the future of gaming with our proprietary AI technology.
We're here to change the game. And
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It's a tale as old as Web 3
A talented Web2 team
--> Enters Web3
--> Plans a mint
--> Gets bad advice
--> Won't consult degens
--> Sets a WILDLY OPTIMISTIC supply & price
--> Is set to flop
🧵on Petaverse's 0.15 ETH, 7.7k mint
& the same flawed reasoning we see again & again
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The WolvesDEN was fucking incredible
After a week spent chatting with teams, traders and big brains I've come away with a better picture of what '24 looks like
What teams are planning and what opportunities and risks there'll be for traders
Here's what I learned:
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Here's a project's 3 most important personnel this bull
-> A killer community manager/cult leader
-> A connections guy/gal (communities, KoL's, whales)
-> A narrative shaping wizard
A lot of teams sleep on the first 2.
Almost every project sleeps on the last one.
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Remember how the Shrapnel token launched the other week?
Nah fam, turns out TGE was almost a YEAR ago
It's just that, u know, the tokens were on a private subnet w no bridge so they weren't tradeable...
Given that 1 yr after TGE supply TRIPLES in 4mths it's kinda relevant
1/5
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It's easy to see AI x Gaming will be a big narrative this cycle but it's not easy to tell which projects will benefit most from it
Nearly every game will make some claim to the narrative & the reality is, every game will use AI to some degree
So here's how I pick the winners:
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PRIME will be this cycle's ILV
The narrative's too strong.
It gets to double dip on hype w/ Gaming & AI.
It's got that 'new tech' clout w/ ERC6551 integration.
And most importantly, it can claim to be a revolutionary gaming experience.
This is narrative CRACK
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It's the return of the free mint, low supply NFT & the accompanying high FP
GAM3RS - 333 Supply, 1.8ETH peak
Counterfire - 500 supply, 2.5ETH+ peak
Teams want to roll into TGE with a 1ETH+ fp even if they've 1/10th of the holders
Next up
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Time for a new series, titled:
FUD you PAY me
Where projects opt in for brutally honest sponsored reviews.
#1
is
@play_ember
where I'll be looking at:
-> Mint price predictions
-> Long term prospects
-> Flip or hold?
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Happy to announce I'll be advising Arete Capital on the gaming side.
It's time to outperform with a little more size this time 🫡
Crypto anon McKenna launches Arete Capital, with first fund targeting $20 million
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It's clear that Xterio's token is coming before Overworld's
And it looks like Incarna NFTs could be big beneficiaries.
We have basic info on how AoD & Palio, the other Xterio NFTs, fit into accruing the token
But no details on the flagship collection.
Here's my speculation:
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Big fan of what
@PirateNation
are doing with their token
-> Huge community allo
-> Over 25% of supply unlocked on TGE
-> More than 80% of tokens at TGE are from NFT holders & players
-> Takes ~15mths for token supply to double
-> Immediate in-game utility for the token
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Games are trying paid mints again and FAILING
@GuildOfGuardian
mint just ended w/ only 40% sold
@NitroNationTour
raised ~1.5% of their target
More:
@WarQube
sold 150/2.5k @ 0.05ETH
@EdenGenesisGame
0.05 mint failed, pivoted to $15
@Smashverse_XYZ
sold 418/7.5k @ 0.12ETH
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Is crypto gaming dying?
-> 95% of teams have NO idea how their initial customers (speculators) think
-> The VCs funding them are no better
-> Most are building web2 but worse clones
-> Traders are clueless & throw $$ at doomed games
Despite that I feel optimistic. Why?
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Most NFT degens are in over 100 discords
Projects, you are fighting HARD for their attention
The WORST way to do that is to ping them 10 times a day
The amount of excuses I hear from CM's as to why they won't stop doing this...
People will just mute, mark as read, or leave
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Watch this footage.
It's from an upcoming Web 2 shooter.
Forget about the cinematics and editing.
Check the gunplay. The movement. The environment.
Web 3 shooters that do NOTHING new except allow skin trading?
They're not competing with this.
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I know some people feel like they've missed the boat with gaming
That while they've been sidelined everything has pumped too much for them to enter.
IMO most of the best games haven't launched their token yet
And a lot of the top NFTs are yet to be minted.
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With their token launch imminent Planet Mojo are slipping under the radar tbh
They've quietly raised 10m+ & everyone whose pigeonholed them as "just" building an autochess game should take a look at what they're creating below
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These are the four main narratives I see within crypto gaming this cycle
-> AI Gaming
-> User Generated Content
-> Mobile/Web App
-> Telegram gaming
Here's my picks for each + other potential narratives:
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Here's a detailed update on my gaming portfolio
All the coins (zero) and NFTs i'm holding, why, and what I'm expecting from them in the near future
Plus what i'm watching out for, what I've sold recently and why
Gaming NFTs:
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If a Web 3 game’s well funded and has a killer team, it’s going to…
… probably still fail
Supercell are the most successful mobile game devs in the world.
—> Clash of Clans
—> Clash Royale
—> Brawl Stars
✅ $10B+ valuation
✅ $10B+ revenue
They failed 30 times
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New bull market lesson learned:
If there's a gaming microcap that was a favourite of any large community or big KoL last bull
And it's still alive at the beginning of the next bull, buy it.
It doesn't matter how little you think of the project or how doomed they are, buy it.
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"There's no gamers in web3, just speculators and extractors"
I dunno man. If you can't get a community of terminally online young males to play your game, maybe your game isn't actually that good?
Just a thought.
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Gaming founders should turn this into wallpaper and install it all over there house
Stop trying to appear out of nowhere and run a 2mth tge campaign
The projects that get the benefit of timing the market are the projects who've already built their community
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Digi's are down over 20%, trading under 8 ETH.
I think what's more interesting tho is the FP on their latest collections.
Dragon Eggs 0.32 ETH
Masked Villains 0.14 ETH
Their ability to keep minting new collections w/ unknown utility for a game we know nothing about, seems over
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Dimensionals FP is sitting at 3 ETH
There's many reasons why it did so well but their tiny supply is a huge factor
There's only 790 NFTs in circulation
Low supply mints are the new trend & often the best choice even if u want to grow a large community
Let's look at why 🧵
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I went through all the '2023 Web 3 Gaming Predictions'.
Here are the highlights.
I've also added my thoughts + how this'll affect my investing.
🧵
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Delabs just raised $4.7M.
In the 12hrs since that announcement they’ve had… 7 sales
For a total of less than 0.5ETH volume.
Not even funding news is moving gaming NFTs anymore.
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I'm going to write up my thoughts on the upcoming Overworld mint soon but here's the tldr
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My last tweet 2x'd my followers so in the spirit of giving ppl more of what they want, I'll post an upcoming free gaming mint each day for the next few days.
I'll let you know how keen on them I am & how hard they are to mint so u can decide if they're worth the effort.
Day 1⬇️
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If u don't get why a project's being weird about their token, let me help
Q: Why's the team making so little noise about the token? A: They're from the US
Q: Why won't the team give me details about the token? A: They're from the US
Q: Why's there no DEX? A: US
Q: Why- A: US
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So everyone's talking about the GTA trailer
And GTA 6 is set in Miami
And the Web 3 GTA is set in Miami
And its first playable, 'Night in Wiami', is unveiled this week
Huh.
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.
@GuildOfGuardian
announced another NFT sale and their community is NOT happy.
Floor price is down and I expect it to drop further.
Let's look at:
--> The details of the drop
--> How OG supporters got screwed
--> The pro's and con's
🧵
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One of the best things about Play2Airdrop is that it requires an actual game to play
So it's an option that's only available to teams with a product.
It rewards builders and excludes vaporware.
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FCFS spots are such an absolute meme right now
20x overallocated, 100% botted
We owe it to ourselves as a space... to see how ridiculous we can make this
I want to see a mint with 10k FCFS spots for like 100 NFTs
We can do this
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Recent gaming mints
KuKu: 0.39 ETH --> 2.5 ETH
Poglin: 0.05 ETH --> 0.18 ETH
Army of Fortune: Free --> 0.8 ETH
Wanderers: 0.055 ETH --> 0.15 ETH
AneeMate: 0.43 BNB --> 1.9 BNB
The gaming NFT cycle's still alive and strong
Next up Overworld takes us to Valhalla
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I think Wildcard is THE Web 3 game with the best shot at mass adoption
A good game does not always = a good investment though
With 24hrs until their first mint, here's my thoughts on their NFTs as an investor 🧵
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Here's a 🧵 on
@Tearing_Spaces
, a promising game w/ an upcoming free mint.
It's a project that needs a lil thought to evaluate.
Team's mostly undoxxed & we don't know exact funding #'s.
Still bullish.
Learn the rules so that u know when to break them.
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Web 3 is all about community but almost every project is doing it wrong.
Here's my tips for building a STRONG community 🧵
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The
@WolvesDAO
has been stacking Infinigods infinipasses for the last mth
Preparing for a possible token airdrop.
I think more Wolves are invested in Infinigods than any other web3 game.
It's been my number one bag for 12 mths+ - I've got a mammoth thread otw explaining why.
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Fun fact: everyone that bought a new gaming token is down... all of the recent TGEs except one are at ATL's
G3 -14%
KARRAT -43%
SAGA -62%
BLOCK -71%
APRS -78%
MOJO -80%
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The GRAPE token launch was a success
Pre-sale buyers are sitting up ~7.5x
The NFTs are still sitting at a very healthy 2 ETH+
This was the first big test for the gaming NFT -> token airdrop meta and its success means a few things:
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If people create great content for your project
--> entirely unprompted
--> w/ no expectation of reward
--> just to share the project w/ their community
And you're NOT giving them one of your 3000WL's...
But you ARE giving them for RT & Like quests...
WTF are u even doing?
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The more work u make people do for an airdrop the more they expect
The more work they do the more likely they dump - they want to realise gains for their time spent
And if u don't airdrop them enough they'll redirect all their efforts towards fudding u... don't fuck it up :)
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Some projects think that a free mint gives them unlimited slack.
That they can do no wrong because they didn’t profit off the mint.
Here’s the thing:
It’s only free to the original minters. There’s this place called a secondary market where the NFTs are very much NOT free.
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Many projects are out of money
They're downsizing & praying for a miracle
This is the important bit: VERY FEW will tell u when this is happening
Start checking the team's linkedins if u want to get out in time
Selling mostly worthless bags > holding actually worthless bags
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Last bull the space was saturated with awful games
This bull we'll be saturated w alright games that aren't feature complete & are still a tier below their web2 competitors
They'll look prettier but suffer the same fate as the last batch
On the brighter
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In less than a month we've added
-> Maplestory coming to Web 3
-> Unity integrating Web 3
-> Pokemon hiring in Web 3
-> Amazon's move into Web 3 rumoured to be gaming focused
The pieces are in place
We're primed for a gaming bull run
The market's pumping & big news keeps dropping
--> Sony's NFT patents & plans
--> Amazon moving into Web 3
--> Saudi x Sandbox
--> Square Enix & Polygon
If we see a gaming bull run, here's what to expect 🧵
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Fusionist, a gaming project backed by Binance Labs, launched & listed on Binance today.
Their current mc went over $350M.
Overworld, a game backed by Binance Labs, is launching their token soon.
Just saying...
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The projects most suited to gamifying airdrops are, obviously, games.
Play-to-Airdrop is where it's at right now and the design space has barely been touched.
Invite code incentives & live points tracking are the basics, but what about:
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There's a growing number of generic Web 3 shooters that are the same as Web 2 shooters but worse.
All they offer in distinction is the fact they're Web 3.
This isn't enough.
It's not CLOSE to enough.
"Worse but Web 3" will not bridge a quality gap of any meaningful size.
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Wait wait wait let me get this right
You want me to play your game for FREE?
No rewards, no airdrop, not even any points??
The audacity... next thing you're gonna be asking ME to give YOU money when playing
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A lot of games have spent the last 2 yrs building, made good progress... and are still nowhere near launch.
This bull, if you're buying into new projects to hold until launch, be aware that's AT LEAST a few years away.
"But the roadmap says-"
lol you sweet summer child
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Step 1: Make a list of all the new gaming coins ~10m mc
Step 2: Filter out any with huge unlocks the next 6mths
Step 3: Filter out teams who've put little effort into communicating or working to boost price post-tge
Step 4: Select those w upcoming catalysts on roadmap
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There's no gamers in Web 3?
How many gamers do u know that are keen to play pre-alpha's w/
-> bare bones game mechanics
-> zero progression
-> no ranking system or skill-based matchmaking
These "pre-alpha's" are more like prototypes & gamers aren't enthused to play prototypes.
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I love seeing teams PREACH about community building when they're launching a mint with
-> no details on the game
-> no details on utility
-> no preview of the art
Always best to have a community of people who've no fucking idea what you're building or what their nft is.
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I'm happy to be helping Shadow War with their web3 strategy 🫡
Fun fact: the founder reached out to me about advising them straight after I came on here and tweeted about the issues with their previous mint.
Big green flag tbh.
ADVISOR ANNOUNCEMENT
Introducing
@sparkcsays
as an advisor for SHADOW WAR
A veteran in Web3 gaming circles, SparkC advises the team on GTM strategy, provides in-depth industry counsel, and brings his wealth of experience to push the project to the next level. 🐺
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The highlights of the Shadow War mint debacle 🍿
--> Tried to raise 8M from the mint
(10k supply, avg price 0.4ETH)
Community: "lol wut"
--> Mint goes live: proceed to mint a total of 40 NFTs
--> Team closes mint, announces on discord that they'll stop building the game if
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Most gaming coins are down or flat on the day but PRIME's up 14%
Why?
Because it's not just a gaming token, it's an AI token too & AI coins are going on another run
Games that tap into multiple narratives have a big advantage & AI's THE narrative atm
What's the next PRIME?
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I'm long Guildfi (GF)
The thesis is that almost none of this is priced in ⬇️
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They say the higher the fp the better the art looks
For Ubisoft's sake I hope these are going to 10ETH quick
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There's going to be a bunch of shiny new gaming coins launching this month, many of which you'll get just a few days notice of.
I've got some liquidity parked just for the occasion
It's the festive season after all.
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I just bought some SHRAP
Becker's next gaming video is almost guaranteed to be about gaming on AVAX and mention Shrapnel
I was planning to pick up a position anyway, after coming to terms with the fact they'll avoid mentioning their token whenever possible
The quick thesis ⬇️
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AI's one of the most drop dead obvious sectors to gigapump this cycle
Nearly all my followers would agree that Gaming is too
Getting in on projects at the intersection seems a nobrainer & we're still crazy early to them
PRIME $240M mc
AI Arena $1.6M NFT mc
todaythegame - soon
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-> Digi had Gabe
-> Dimensionals had Sasha
-> Now Overworld has Jeremy
Don't underestimate the importance of having a vocal figurehead on CT for drawing attention to your project
The Overworld mint is going to PRINT and this is definitely part of the reason why
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Everyone seems to love the idea of just monetising via cosmetics
It's easy to understand, there's Web 2 examples of skins worth big $$$ & there's no P2W
The thing is, a game needs to be REALLY FUCKING POPULAR to survive off skins
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My biggest win of the cycle so far...
My rule for the bear was to buy no NFTs unless the game was about to launch
You learn the rules so u know when to break them tho
I made 1 exception near exactly a yr ago
And today it's up over 20x
$50 -> $1100
@_LouisBloom
Definitely a consideration and I've been holding off on buying into any games that aren't near launch.
Tatsu was an exception because the rock bottom SOL sentiment actually put prices at what I think may have been a bottom.
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I'll keep shouting this from the rooftops:
U NEED A WEB 3 DEGEN ADVISING YOUR PROJECT OR U'LL DO STUPID SHIT.
Example
#571
:
Having FIVE different collections for your NFT, 1 for each rarity...
And this is just the FIRST character. There's gonna be 15+ collections by the end!
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There's always talk about how Web 3 is full of speculators not gamers...
How many people do u know in the space that've been grinding Diablo 4 the past week?
For me it's a lot.
I think there's plenty of gamers in Web 3, there's just not many willing to compromise on quality.
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The Fableborne mint was faded so hard it didn’t sell out 2k supply at $30.
Now it’s up 7x from mint, getting mentioned in Becker videos & still only at 350k mc.
My bags are comfy.
I picked up 30 at an average price of ~61 MATIC
First game I've thrown more than change at in... over a year?
I wrote up my mint plans and thoughts on
@fableborne
over on ft pre-mint.
It's a longer term hold for me.
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I have a really complicated thesis on Overworld but let me try and explain it all:
It's very likely to get a Binance listing.
If it does then the fp could be 0.01 and the airdropped tokens will still take me to valhalla.
/end
Bookmark for when you have time to read it all.
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This opportunity to work with Infinigods is genuinely the best thing my twitter account has brought me
I'm very anti-maximalist but inside the Wolves i'm known as an Infinigods-maxxi because of how often i've sung their praises over the years
To Valhalla
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$5.5M raise from
@fableborne
Clash of Clans meets Diablo on mobile.
Lots of promise in the concept, they've a quality team and I've heard nothing but positive comments from all the testers.
If their NFTs have real utility then they'll be one of the few I bet on long term.
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WL spots 1-500 = click 'join discord' early
WL spots 500-3000
--> mass crew3 social spam +
--> make memes +
--> win demos +
--> grind chat +
--> sacrifice newborn
I'm often early so this benefits me.
The instant change up though between one click & max effort is hilarious.
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The market slowing & forcing all these teams to push TGEs back is a blessing in disguise
So many zero hype no community projects were going to speedrun 2mth campaigns built on social spam & be DOA
Now they've more time to build some genuine excitement... watch how few try to
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