Space Weather Watch
@spacewxwatch
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Aurora forecasts by a space weather physicist working at NASA. For official forecasts, please visit NOAA SWPC. Opinions do not represent those of NASA.
Joined June 2020
The 2024 YR4 asteroid is currently a 3 on the Torino scale (code yellow), an integer scale from 0 to 10 for categorizing the likelihood and consequences of a potential impact event: "A close encounter, meriting attention by astronomers. Current calculations give a 1% or greater chance of collision capable of localized destruction. Most likely, new telescopic observations will lead to re-assignment to Level 0. Attention by public and by public officials is merited if the encounter is less than a decade away." More on the Torino scale:
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A minor geomagnetic storm is ongoing now due to effects from a coronal hole high speed stream. Folks at high northern latitudes and possibly the northern-most fringes of the U.S. may potentially see some aurora tonight! If you see anything, be sure to let us know!
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Our Instagram is looking a bit empty and dull... if you have any aurora photos from May or October where we helped notify you, we'd love for you to tag us as a contributor!
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@atranscendedman Hope you and your daughter feel better soon! I am joining RECOVER-AUTONOMIC next week and am anxious to get started!
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2.3% doesn’t seem extremely low
While still an extremely low possibility, asteroid 2024 YR4's impact probability with Earth has increased from about 1% to a 2.3% chance on Dec. 22, 2032. As we observe the asteroid more, the impact probability will become better known. More:
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RT @spacewxwatch: I have gotten confirmation from my sources that it is a large asteroid the size of a small asteroid
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I have gotten confirmation from my sources that it is a large asteroid the size of a small asteroid
NASA says there's a 1.9% chance an asteroid will hit Earth in 2032, up from 1.6% yesterday. Estimates will likely go up and down for a while as more data comes in.
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Huge if true. That’s like a gigantic percentage. I don’t know how big the asteroid is 😂
NASA says there's a 1.9% chance an asteroid will hit Earth in 2032, up from 1.6% yesterday. Estimates will likely go up and down for a while as more data comes in.
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HAPPENING NOW: M8.8-class solar flare from explosive spot region AR 3981:
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absolutely stunning, would be so cool to be alive when it merges with the Milky Way
The beautiful Andromeda Galaxy photographed from my garden. 10 hours of integration time in total.
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RT @astromarkc1: The beautiful Andromeda Galaxy photographed from my garden. 10 hours of integration time in total.
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My money’s on the groundhog not seeing its shadow. Happy Spring! 💐🌷
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RT @spacewxwatch: SOLAR HIGH SPEED STREAM IMPACTING EARTH NOW: As expected, Earth has come under the influence of a solar coronal hole high…
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