You have less than five years to make it before social mobility ossifies and you are trapped in the Perennial Underclass

@austinc3301 Sweeping generalisations like this can generally be ignored. It’s engagment bait

@Trotztd @danfaggella It just seems at odds with a lot of his other writing on the topic. It feels like it was written to placate

@NeelNanda5 Ah, through that lens it makes much more sense

@BDStallardPhys @MTabarrok No worries! Sorry for any perceived animosity on my part as well

@charles_robots @FischerKing64 Thanks! I’ll try this

@charles_robots @FischerKing64 Alas, I do use lists, but they’re chronological. I want the best posts pushed to the top, and I want to stumble upon posts from people not on my list discussing things I’m interested in

@zemotion @ChristiesInc Yeah I agree

@hamandcheese @nntaleb Given that it’s not a planet killer, it might be a good dress rehearsal to run a deflection mission regardless in case we ever need to deflect a big boy

@BDStallardPhys @MTabarrok Fine, but they’re illustrative of what will happen within narrow verticals where AI is a perfect substitute for the human labour of a specific job. I’m not sure why you’re fixating on the relevance of the chart rather than the substance of my argument

@BDStallardPhys @MTabarrok Perhaps in an economic sense, yes, but I’m talking about the concerns of real people, not abstract economic theories. I’ve yet to see my point addressed

My point is that it will be a perfect substitute for human labour for certain jobs, and that for many people this is the primary issue. Careers destroyed overnight. People will be forced to retraining (if they have the luxury to) in a world moving so fast it’s not clear if their newly chosen career will exist by the time they finish their training. Others who have families and dependents, and therefore no time to retrain, will be forced to work more hours at lower pay as “unskilled” workers

It’s that all of this will happen much more suddenly and sweepingly than it did in previous technological revolutions. And with robotics hot on the heels of AI, it’s hard to imagine a “safe” career

@stanfordNYC @JeffLadish Why? Genuine question. I think the ending is a little weak and unrealistic, but the rest seems to be plausible

If you read one thing today, make it this. It’s long, and it’s harrowing, but if you’ve ever wondered how AI could gradually take over—what that would look like in concrete, tangible terms—I imagine it would play out something like this

@joshua_clymer Thoroughly enjoyed this. Captivating and well-written