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Rusholme Capital
@rusholmecapital
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Investment nerd 😎
Toronto, Ontario
Joined November 2015
MY INVESTMENT FRAMEWORK I'm looking for 10-baggers. Not interested in 20-50% gains; I'll leave those to value investors 😂 Over long periods, stocks follow (or lead) earnings, so looking for companies growing EPS at >15% CAGR. That's usually a combination of 7%+ revenue growth plus improving margins, usually from pricing power Never forget rule #1, don't lose money. So avoid: - High valuation - Poor FCF conversion - Potential for EPS decline over 5 years (ie anything that would scare your lender away) Identifying winners is easy. Timing and portfolio construction is harder. Lots to be said, but the key here is technical analysis! I know it sounds stupid, but it does work This framework probably sounds too simple, but the most successful credit investor I know grew to $20B AUM on a 3 criteria investing framework. Simple works!
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@SimeonResearch_ @RobinSpeziale Interesting, thanks for the insights. Agreed that the low insider ownership is not great, but I'll have a deeper look nevertheless. If I can get behind the team being good capital allocators, I might get over the low ownership
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@SimeonResearch_ @RobinSpeziale That's super compelling. The stock isn't cheap, but also not insane for a marker leading VMS. What about the open source risk that you mentioned? Is that a real threat or more of a theoretical one?
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@RTelford_invest Awesome, i'll give you a try and will definitely owe you a beer if this works out 🤣
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@StonkStreets Canada is much less competitive than the US, but it's also a very small market because the banks are much more willing to lend in Canada. Most mid-market LBOs in Canada are bank-financed, that's not the case is the US
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When I bought in 2021 both earnings and earnings estimates were on an upswing. They also had grown nicely pre-COVID, so I was betting on that trend to continue Funnily enough, I bought it 2021 after the stocks had gapped down on concerns of weakening Asian demand, which only materialized in 2024. That's probably why I was slow to sell
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Top 3 Errors of Omission in 2024 1/ $ZOMD.V +121% since Sept. It caught my eye after a stellar Q2 (revenue +58% & substantial margin improvement), but I was turned off by their volatile end markets & 33% top customer concentration which proved a costly mistake 2/ $PNG.V +93% since August The real mistake is being so late to the party, but even when I did discover it, I got cute on valuation and my limit order was never hit 3/ $BAM.TO +53% since July Proven winner in early real estate cyclical recovery. This was a no brainer, I'm not sure how I missed that Despite missing 3 of the top 5 stocks I reviewed this year, I managed to capture the other two ($DLCG.TO +197% and $FORA.TO +38%)
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