Rugbycology
@rugbycology
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Performance and efficiency analytics for rugby union.
Brisbane, Queensland
Joined February 2011
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Key take away from RWC is that rugby union needs to seriously address 3 issues:
How to respect referee decisions.
How to win with humility.
How to lose with dignity.
Most people in real life are kind of good with this but on social media everyone has to be a dickhead?
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All Blacks handle the ball on average 7.9 times each time they attack. The average for elite games measured so far this year is 2.69.
Now try and defend that for 80 minutes.
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Rugby league attack sequence:
Phase 1 - run into first person you see
Phase 2 - run into first person you see
Phase 3 - run into first person you see
Phase 4 - run into first person you see
Phase 5 - be the wizard of Oz
Phase 6 - kick
Basically the Bulls circa 2008
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U14 rugby: Ball in play ave 18 mins
Events per minute: 27
Tries: 6.4
Time to convert: 1 min per try
Conv time as % of ball in play: 35%
Potential learning events sacrificed for conversions: 172
Should we drop conversions at junior level in the interest of player development?
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Best tournament I think will be Oz, NZ, Jap, Arg and Fiji in 5 Nations Rugby. Ticks a great many boxes.
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How will the 50/22 add value to rugby? Well have a look at this!
@thepaulwilliams
@RugbyKino
@Rugbyonslaught
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This Drua V Tahs W game is an absolute pleasure to code. Less stoppages, less water breaks, less scrum penalties and proper use of the ball. It honestly is a better product than mens rugby right now.
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Bok fans should feel bloody proud. So too Kiwis for once more taking the silverware, and the Wallabies for coming back from 2 losses. Argentina on a different journey and I hope it comes together for them soon. Thanks TRC, it was a great one!
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Leichard Oval takes 1500 people more than the RDS, where Leinster, one of the most successful rugby teams in the world - play most of their games. In an era of super slick TV production it makes sense that live venues need to be smaller, personal and family friendly.
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Run straight, draw your man, quick hands. All the stuff the old fellas told us about. Post Covid Reds are a joy.
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For every clip you screenshot of a ref supposedly denying your team a win, I will show you 10 where your team denied themselves.
#deal
#stopmoaning
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Odd conversation with my sister over why I would not mind Wales to win. True rugby country. Working class lads play the game. Under threat from soccer. I love rugby more than the countries that play it, and a Wales win will be great for the game?
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Whose smart idea was it to shock and beat the All Blacks 2 years out from the WC? Now they are forced to get better, and have time to do so.
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Red cards will remain controversial when you can openly shove a player in the face and pull hair (thuggery with real intent) and escape Red, while mis-timing a tackle at full speed and getting your height wrong sees straight red, despite there being zero malice.
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Scotland lost because they are junkies for the 5 pointer. How many times, even when still with a huge lead, did they say NO to 3 pointers off penalties and drop kicks?
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Perth and Leichard venues better for Super Rugby? Looks like a loved community sport, not a corporate 'product'?
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Is it just me or is rugby on Twitter no longer fun? Far too toxic. And that was before the Boks lost. I am a bit over it to be honest and would love a platform where we discuss and analyse and debate games again, not focus on ref and choosing ideological sides.
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Right now the world of rugby is split between 2 main philosophies:
Tactical/Risk averse: France, Boks
☝️ England
👇All Blacks
Momentum/distribution: Ireland and Oz
I see the two extremes as reaching RWC semis, with the two in the middle struggling for identity.
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Is it just me or is Super Rugby Pacific suddenly getting some purr....
Not one dud game this weekend so far. Cmon Brums take us home!
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A key refrain in the
@Springboks
campaign in
#RWC2023
was the 'others did not know what they know'.
I think the fact that they went from a purely territory focussed outfit in 2019 to becoming best attacking side from turnover possession, is one of the secrets.
@Oom_Rugby
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Footballers like Campbell are rare and special. Not all great things have to come from New Zealand.
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Ooh ANZ stadium is looking good. Imagine
@lionsofficial
parking off here for a game in 25' 😜
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Guys New Zealand has a larger land mass and 7% of the UK's population. NZ is also isolated from much of the world. It's disingenuous to draw comparisons between the two.
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This is the law that if actually enforced, will change the entire game. Truth is I see very few rucks where anyone's head is above their hips. Jacklers with arses in the air, cleaners diving over with heads in free-dive. And that free kick- it solves everything!
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Franco Smith's Italy will win one 6N game this year with this young team, and will be in top 10 within the next year. Save this tweet
@thepaulwilliams
@SquidgeRugby
@Oom_Rugby
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My first world cup living in Australia. Very odd to be in a place where sport is absolutely everything, yet rugby union hardly registers. But it makes the small union community a special one. We see another in the streets.
1/2
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On a final note, can all of us in World Rugby agree that Sweet Caroline can now be retired from stadiums? There are many great songs out there people.
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The Rugby Championship should be hosted in one country each year.
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Boks have kicked 70% of all possession so far. Back to their strengths. Make 0.79 passes for every ruck they set-up. This is text-book. Have made 15 passes in first half - least this year. Kiwis on 69, also least. Guess who is dragging who to the gutter?
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If Raelene Castle looked like this, she would have been handled very differently by everyone in the game. That is our reality still in 2020. Think about this next time you debate 'merit' or 'knowing the game'.
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Just had to analyse a schools game for a client in NZ. U19 level. Its very frustrating to see boys coached to look like pro teams. Great attack 'shape'. Everything looks great, until the ball is in play. Lads not having fun. Coaches need to take a chill pill.
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@Julius_S_Malema
Could be worthy research. Apartheid was very good at using symbols/music etc to drive white nationalism. Of course these things stick in the minds of some. Similarly struggle songs keep perpetuating a struggle mentality.
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Love it when a ref allows a scrum to be completed. Just check the rugby that happens with 16 players engaged. Make scrums great again please.
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Narrabri in New South Wales has a population of 13000. They hosted a Super Rugby pre-season game tonight. Juts look at the vibe. Behind posts young lads play touch. Thats how you grow the game. Well done
@NSWWaratahs
and
@Reds_Rugby
- may we see loads more of these!
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This gentleman does more for nation building than any SA politician.
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Ok, so few things on St Michaels V Newbridge - statistically this marks a new benchmark for schools game. 341 ball handles for Newbridge - 2 handling errors. Yes, 2. 5 phases per attack. St Michaels 2.8 is very high (average u18 is 2.1). 4.6 passes per phase. 1/4
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Harry Wilson is what happens if you cross Duane Vermeulen and Richie McCaw. I think we are about to see that once in a generation player.
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And now when I show my 9 year old girl this, rugby is not so intimidating anymore. She loves the game. Proud day
@RugbyAU
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I watch a lot of rugby at all levels and will say one thing: the women's game at elite level is the best rugby union product available right now. Pick a team, get behind them and watch the games- your eyes will open!
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I don't think a runaway SA win over Wallabies is all that likely. I honestly think the Wallabies are a better side than what scores V Kiwis suggest. But thats the beauty of it. We get to see for ourselves soon. May Qld stay open with big crowds and a great series!
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Makes for a nice change from usual cliche-ridden drivel!
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We don't know who will win the second Lions test. What we do know is that the losing side will spend the rest of the week posting stills to show why refs are evil. If it's SA, even coaches will get involved. Just stop this crap now please.
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As
@brumby_fan
just reminded me .
It's perplexing how rarely 10's make this play. Low risk, high reward, and even if you fail, you get possession via restart.
You also add variety and keep defence honest.
Fantastic from Willemse.
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Brumbies have Super Rugby Pedigree. It's something the Reds just don't have yet. In these big games the Brumbies just seem calm. It takes decades to build that.
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For the first time in history a Fiji side will get to plan long term and play games other than exhibition games. The Drua will now get time to settle and get a proper 15's culture established. The rest of the world, beware!
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Well I am going to France and like in 2007 won't bother getting match tickets. Go for the buzz. Watch the games on the telly and rather spend the match fees on good food and wine!
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Great, so not only do we condone ref baiting but we also say that if you act the dick some rich lawyer will bail you out. How about you all just grow a bit off class and accept outcomes, even if you lose?
I have a team of New York lawyers ready to take care of Rassie and SA Rugby. Let us put World Rugby on trial . . .
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@ghook
80 year old views. 80 year old white mindset. Blah blah blah without offering any insight. But in full employment. Soon your era is over. Thank heavens.
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Data does not lie. The Wallabies are improving in aspects of their game we used to seriously suck at. Stick by the team and go on the journey as we evolve our game from 'crash n bash' or 'pass till we die' to something more varied.
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That is the best try ever scored. Call off the search. Fact that he rather turned to avoid contact is already super. That pass, the support...
OK, it's gone past 11PM...
I'm Irish and have played second row, so you're just going to have to indulge me when I say Ryan Baird has scored the greatest try of all time here
#LEIvDRA
#RainbowCup
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It will be an awesome
#RWC2019
or it can become just one massive whinge-fest over refs. Can we all agree that if our team loses they were just not good enough on the day?
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I am no fan of team's not training against opposition. This simulation of a defensive line moving at the same pace as the attack proves why. Also explains why during average U13 game the
#13
will only be passed the ball 7 times.
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Question for those who get a kick from science around skills-transfer in sport:
How can a team like Portugal be so fluid with ball in hand if they hardly ever play?
Are T1 nations spending too much time on structured play and not enough on basic skills?
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Boks re-unite potent centre pair with Cannot Pass at 12 and Willnot Pass at 13.
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From a data analytical perspective Super Rugby AU was not that far behind kiwis after week 2. The big crowd and having a broadcaster who actually like the sport and present it better, makes a huge difference. I look forward to the game this weekend.
#Ozzierugbyrocks
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And just like that, 1000 boys and girls in Uruguay will now consider playing the game. Thanks
@RugbyURY_
for a a fantastic game!
#RWC2019
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Its been a tough week for me. I have to grow my facebook page but each critique (stats based and factual) has someone telling me to go fuck myself. Lads I am not 14. I get tired.
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Scary stat:
For every turnover you concede against the All Blacks they will score 1.25 points. By contrast the Boks will only cost you 0.28 points.
Its a lot less risky being turned over by the Boks. Expect NH teams to attack the Boks a bit more freely than what Lions did.
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Can we spare a thought for the Vunipola parents who had to buy groceries and feed those two lads each day.
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Rennie:
"There were a couple of times our guys got clocked in the head, but they did not go down. Maybe thats the difference."
And there we have it. The era of diving in rugby union starts tonight. If there is reward in diving, then teams will do it.
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5 odd months ago Brad Thorn assembled a bunch of teenagers and came within a whisker of beating the Crusaders in Christchurch. Those lads are becoming men, and I would advise you to not NOT write off Aus rugby at all.
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Stunning piece of play during
@ExeterChiefs
V
@SaracensWomen
game. Wrugby is the men's game of the 80's!
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The average high school wing is passed the ball 2.67 times per game. At 12 games a year, that's 32.04 balls a year, and just over 160 during career. Maybe its time that tries scored in the tram-line counts more points to increase balls shifted to wings?
#rugbycology
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My 70 year old neighbour reads Murdoch papers, so he has been very anti rugby since I met him 2 years ago. Himself an ex prop. "Mate, the ticker. The heart. It's all back with this lot.", His words in passing this morning. 💪
#wallabies
#pride
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Super rugby Aotearoa sata showed that if you make the 3rd pass, the chance of a line-break increases by 186% - displayed clearly here:
Run straight, draw your man, quick hands. All the stuff the old fellas told us about. Post Covid Reds are a joy.
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This is a new metric I will track during
@SixNationsRugby
- Any ruck that occurs in the 'drop zone' (2m either side of posts up to the 22m line) is counted to see which teams attempt a drop goal from there, and the success rate thereof. 1/2
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I hear lots of ref-blame over Argentina game. They had 24 attack chances in France half, while France only had 11 in Argy territory. You have to convert the chances you get lads. Not moan about the ones you think you were robbed from? 57% kick rate does not win games at top level
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That indigenous jersey is a beaut and we did it proud tonight. Wallabies and OZ rugby in a better place at end of 2021 than at end of 2020. Thats important.
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Simple yet beautiful little strike play from a scrum. 12 in as receiver, 10 deep on loop, hands.
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SA scores a clear cut try that any schools ref will call. 8 minutes and 23 angles later and try is given. Well done Rassie and the ref-bait gang for this great new game you gave us. We have this, or we can allow refs to call a game and accept outcomes like adults?
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4
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Mehrtens just ran the
@ek_rugby
Koroibete play without giving due respect to the analyst.
@StanSportAU
be nice if due respect is afforded these guys who work their arses off to tell rugby's story online.
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My two cents:
5 nations as was
5 new nations in Italy, Romania, Georgia, Germany and Spain. Each top nation adopts one below and shares coaches and data etc. Lets lift the bottom up?
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Brumbies V Reds game totally on par with anything in NZ. Variation, breaks, low error rate - the works.
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Is it possible that Eddie Jones, like Woodward post world cup, suffers from having too many resources and too much sports science at their disposal- that they forget to just go out and play what is a simple game?
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I am looking for a student who wants to earn money doing TV stats for schools rugby production. Training provided. Will be paid and fuel provided. Must work Saturday.
@LionsRugbyCo
@BlueBullsRugby
@jwcoetzee
@BrendenNel
urgent please RT.
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Not sure anyone does a rugby sky like Perth? Its like you can eat that.
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Best rugby team : Ireland
Best world cup prep: England
My home: Australia
My roots: South Africa.
My desired WC final: Ire v Oz
Winner: Ire
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Boks have kicked 63% of all possession. Wales, 64. This is rugby-tennis.
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Make no mistake, Super Rugby Pacific is a big deal, because it allows for a clear split in playing philosophies.
EuroSA in a camp
Pacific in another (with Japan soon)
🙋can MLR include Argentina build something great out west as well?
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Fondest memory of the All Blacks - met Colin Meads as a 9 year old (after a Freestate game in Bloem) and he gave me a silver fern pin. Wore it on my school blazer for a good 5 years! Always had nothing but respect for the All Blacks!
#NZLvRSA100
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I know it's also healthy for Tier 2 teams to play Tier 1, but after pool rounds it would be cool if Tier 2 can have its own QF > Semi > Final tournament running alongside main one.
@T2Rugby
you agree?
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Will say it again: if you think the ref can be the sole reason why your team loses, then also admit to the ref being the sole reason why you win. In short, just don't do it.
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So, will players start going low at some stage, or do we need to see a few more contests ruined?
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Somehow my strongest memory from the game is May not able to round Scott Barret. Comes from having to chase Beauden and Jordi in the backyard.
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Do the All Blacks still stick to their 'no dickheads' policy? Coles acting like a young footballer with a side coke addiction.
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My thoughts with the people of New Zealand who for one weekend became a normal country that also loses at things.
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To beat the
#Lions2025
, the Wallabies will need to spend the next 2 years finding this:
1) a clutch kicker.
2) a simple but effective defence system.
3) a scrum, lineout and restart exit that holds it's own.
1/5
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3
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In absence of an U20 World Cup, would it not be good for Oz to host an under 20 Super Rugby comp this year and give more opportunities to the young lads to push for contracts?
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Dont get why the English media is having a go at the Boks and not the Lions? This squad is a like Ferrari but driving like a Fiesta and it's by choice. Nothing to do with Boks.
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The shitty takes we used to have to endure. Dude has not played for weeks.
Vunivalu sensationally left out of Super Rugby final as O’Connor returns as captain against Brumbies
👉
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Anatomy of the Boks kicking game.
Boring as shite, but massively effective. Gain territory 73% of the time, and this is with penalty kicks excluded! Retain possession from 1 in 3 contestable kicks.
@Oom_Rugby
@SimonBorchardt
@paultreu
1/2
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Would love the red card brigade to explain the Koroibete red. Bonkers
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