Rob T
@robtFPL
Followers
13,849
Following
226
Media
568
Statuses
1,648
Sharing market data to help with fantasy football decisions
Joined July 2022
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
#Pump_Up_The_PLAVE
• 215624 Tweets
NuNew x Butterbear
• 88950 Tweets
#ฤดูของเธอนุนิวหมีเนย
• 85282 Tweets
声優さん
• 69332 Tweets
田中さん
• 65983 Tweets
田中敦子さん
• 59713 Tweets
#ZMZM生配信
• 29163 Tweets
ネルフェス
• 24241 Tweets
초코우유
• 23995 Tweets
Leao
• 21190 Tweets
攻殻機動隊
• 16494 Tweets
攻殻機動隊
• 16494 Tweets
ドーピング
• 13931 Tweets
キャスター
• 12942 Tweets
メディアさん
• 12100 Tweets
小泉進次郎氏
• 11971 Tweets
Top projected scorers for the 23-24 Premier League season, via season-long spread betting goals markets
Will be interesting to keep track of these over the next few weeks - typically some movements (and new entries!) with pre-season developments
17
34
283
Spread markets adjusted quickly to João Pedro taking that penalty - he's now projected top Brighton scorer and top scoring FPL midfielder/forward under £6.5m.
Also added Hojlund (10.75 projected goals) + Jota (7.50).
(Richy, Son, Mitro+ Jesus markets currently suspended)
#fpl
Joao Pedro taking a penalty with Gross on the pitch is massive news. He’s a serious option at £5.5m on pens.
11
4
665
12
24
264
A big thank you for the support this year - it's been lovely to see the graphics bring shared + popping up in different bits of FPL content
Enjoy the break and see you all next season 😎
19
1
248
Well this is new 👀
Will collect and share if and when they add new season-long markets
12
5
213
Jackson + Sterling goal projections were notably bumped after the Nkunku news.
Jackson's total has been creeping up all summer.
(Travelling from tomorrow so probably the final preseason update on these - but will be doing some GW-level team + player spreads when I'm back)
#fpl
Big blow for Chelsea this, Nkunku not likely to be available until December.
Hope he comes back strong - was excited to see him.
I think it’s a slight plus to mins for Jackson but does make Chelsea attack worse overall - would be a bit worried.
Fixtures still great.
26
4
316
14
19
198
And now we have defender, midfielder and forward FPL season-long points projections
I guess this is just an extra layer on top of their existing goals/assists projection markets, but very interesting to see 👇
Looks like they're adding some more players gradually, here's what they've got so far 👇
Requires players to make 10 PL appearances, and seems like it will just be a pre-season market (goals/assists are usually traded throughout the season)
6
8
86
12
15
175
There are season-long (Opta-style) assist markets available for around 30 players so far - for those posted, here are the total projected goal involvements
Will add to this as we get more player markets + update on noteworthy trends in goal projections as pre-season develops
7
20
151
More season-long assist markets dropping daily, so here are all the latest numbers with additions highlighted
Still a few players missing assist markets (Nkunku, Armstrong, Diallo, Minteh) - will update when they're available and any new signings like Füllkrug are added
4
9
145
A look at some market-implied "stage of elimination" odds for different AFCON teams
A few caveats here, but useful as a guide
For Salah, if we take the cumulative odds, this would imply:
~ 13% chance of being back before GW22
~ 39% by at least GW23
~ 65% by at least GW24
Great graphic from
@robtFPL
for AFCON/Asia Cup and how many Gameweeks players could miss.
Egypt and S.Korea are around 6/1~ to win their respective tournaments so Son/Salah quite likely to miss at least 2-3 Gameweeks.
15
60
690
12
18
142
#euro2024
: final update to the MD3 projected goals and clean sheets, via spread betting markets
Notable changes from Friday - Portugal projections dropping off after their second win, France projections strengthening and a boost for Czechia too
2
21
137
💹 Updated: rest of season
#FPL
goals + goals / game projections
The latest spread betting projections for season-long goals + goal rates, with trend from last update shown
(Players with markets suspended due to injury/uncertainty include: Isak, Wilson, Eze, Jesus, Awoniyi)
12
11
129
Niclas Füllkrug (WHU) and Ismaïla Sarr (CRY) added
Oscar Bobb was added yesterday (4.1 goals, 3.4 assists) but doesn't make the list
Some small downward adjustments to Chelsea attackers with transfer rumours still swirling, while Brennan Johnson and Chris Wood were adjusted up
11
5
125
Solanke (TOT) added back in - was projecting higher at BOU (15.3 Gls/3.6 Ast), so markets taking the view that uncertainty on pens and playing time will offset the step up in team output
Rogers, Jota & the Bourmeouth attackers creeping up since last update, Füllkrug down a touch
Yankuba Minteh (BHA) added, with similar season-long GI projections as Mavididi, ESR & Morgan Rogers
Solanke markets pulled, and a notable downgrade for Son (TOT) over the last 24 hours (-1.5 season goals)
Semenyo (BOU) gets a slight boost - waiting on Ünal (BOU) markets
5
7
91
13
18
173
💹 Spread market projected season-long assists
A few people asked about these, so here are some assist projections
To note:
- These are Opta-style assists, which don't map perfectly to FPL (don't include, eg, winning a pen)
- Player coverage isn't as wide as goals markets
#fpl
6
10
115
The latest projected Premier League standings from spread betting markets, after today's games
4
13
115
The latest projected Premier League standings, via spread betting markets
6
17
113
A lot of extra season-long assist markets priced up yesterday, inevitably 😅
Here's an updated look at players with G+A markets, DEF highlighted for info (no Gabriel ast market yet, he's on 4.1 goals) - these are unweighted, goals obviously more valuable for most fantasy formats
There are season-long (Opta-style) assist markets available for around 30 players so far - for those posted, here are the total projected goal involvements
Will add to this as we get more player markets + update on noteworthy trends in goal projections as pre-season develops
7
20
151
11
12
108
Just 10 player markets available for this so far
Probably dipping their toes in - one to keep an eye on
A couple of line movements since they were first posted - turns out neither Salah or Haaland are projecting as top FPL points scorer 😅
Well this is new 👀
Will collect and share if and when they add new season-long markets
12
5
213
10
8
111
Nkunku & Armsrong assist markets added (Rashford back up after being pulled)
Plus some new signings:
- Cyrenceso Summerville (WHU) - in above Kudus (Bowen -1.5 projected goals with this + Füllkrug)
- Ben Brereton Díaz (SOU) - comes in above Adam Armstrong for goal involvements
More season-long assist markets dropping daily, so here are all the latest numbers with additions highlighted
Still a few players missing assist markets (Nkunku, Armstrong, Diallo, Minteh) - will update when they're available and any new signings like Füllkrug are added
4
9
145
4
8
108
A month to go until the Premier League 24-25 season kicks off - here's an early look at some projected standings and team points totals, via longer-term spread betting markets
5
6
105
💹
#GW23
: Spread market goals projections
Top projected scorers this GW👇
- Álvarez goal share higher than midweek - plenty of market uncertainty around Haaland mins
- Richy goal share slightly lower with Maddison
- Gordon given a big boost with Isak/Wilson doubts (possible CF)
1
12
99
Spread markets now predict Havertz to score more goals than Martinelli this season - make of that what you will!
Nkunku's total finally creeping up (Sterling going the other direction) & João Pedro's goals projection has also been bet up.
And a DCL goals market at last 🥳
#fpl
13
13
98
Some updated season-long player goals totals, via spread betting markets
A few movements since opening lines were posted (usually the result of initial betting patterns or in-house adjustments)
New markets for Harvey Barnes and Villa's Leon Bailey & Morgan Rogers
Top projected scorers for the 23-24 Premier League season, via season-long spread betting goals markets
Will be interesting to keep track of these over the next few weeks - typically some movements (and new entries!) with pre-season developments
17
34
283
5
15
90
Yankuba Minteh (BHA) added, with similar season-long GI projections as Mavididi, ESR & Morgan Rogers
Solanke markets pulled, and a notable downgrade for Son (TOT) over the last 24 hours (-1.5 season goals)
Semenyo (BOU) gets a slight boost - waiting on Ünal (BOU) markets
5
7
91
💹 Updated PL team projected points
Spread market inferred pts projections for each team after 1st round of fixtures, versus pre-GW1.
NEW + BHA projections were given a boost, while AVL, TOT + SHU were notably downgraded.
Will update these weekly to track market trends.
#FPL
10
3
90
#GW26
: Spread market goals projections
The top projected scorers for the upcoming GW👇
- Saka goal share boosted from season average of ~20%, having taken last two pens (slight drop for Øde)
- Wolves goal shares suggest markets are hedging between Hwang & Sarabia for penalties
6
12
86
The latest projected Premier League standings from spread markets, after the most recent round of games
1
11
86
If anyone's wondering how Man Utd's season is going, this is probably a good summary
5
6
85
Looks like they're adding some more players gradually, here's what they've got so far 👇
Requires players to make 10 PL appearances, and seems like it will just be a pre-season market (goals/assists are usually traded throughout the season)
Just 10 player markets available for this so far
Probably dipping their toes in - one to keep an eye on
A couple of line movements since they were first posted - turns out neither Salah or Haaland are projecting as top FPL points scorer 😅
10
8
111
6
8
86
💹
#GW21
: Spread market goals projections
The top projected scorers for the first half of this split GW👇
Haaland included with large 'assumes a start' caveat!
For what it's worth, I think Álvarez's projections would be a lot lower if markets thought a Haaland start was likely
12
15
81
#GW24
: Spread market goals projections
The top projected scorers for this week's fixtures 👇
- Haaland goal share suggests no lingering mins concerns
- Quite aggressive goal share for Son (28%), given short turnaround from Asian Cup
- Garnacho = Rashford for goals this week
5
16
80
Initial market reaction to potential Álvarez move is a two goal bump for Foden (false 9 anyone?) & some smaller adjustments for other MCI attackers
No Oscar Bobb markets yet & assume they're allowing some chance of late transfer activity
Zirkzee (MUN) and Smith Rowe (FUL) added
Julian Álvarez was projecting 16 season goal involvements as of this morning, but markets have been pulled with news that he's closing in on a move to Atlético
Will be v interesting to see how those goal involvements are shared among Bobb and other attackers in the next few days
10
2
25
11
7
82
#euro2024
: final update of the MD1 goals & CS odds projections, via spread betting markets
Poland projections dropping off after Lewa news, Germany clear on proejcted goals - & a 🤏 bit of market cooling on France while we wait Mbappé updates
3
12
80
#FPL
GW33: PL goals projections
The top projected scorers for the upcoming round of Premier League games, via spread betting markets
Big upgrades to Álvarez & Mbeumo goal shares, essentially priced as pen takers - markets are hedging against Haaland & Toney uncertainty for now!
7
18
79
#euro2024
: player assist markets are up, so here are the top players by projected goal involvements for the QF round of games, via spread betting markets 👇
6
9
79
In terms of goals at least, spread markets have Bryan as king of the 6.5 mids. He's now level with Odegaard + above Martinelli.
Diaby total added (8.00) - in just behind Eze (8.25) who's been rising, & ahead of Barnes (7.50) & Mitoma (7.25).
Wissa total (7.75) also added.
#fpl
It's getting increasingly tricky to pick a £6.5m mid of choice ✅
🐝 Mbeumo : On pens but bees attacking numbers could drop
🕊 Mitoma : very attacking but goals could be more spread out
🦅 Eze : Talisman and will be on pens
🟣 Diaby : Explosive start but new to the PL
54
15
485
7
5
76
#DGW25
: Spread market goals projections
The top projected scorers for the first round of DGW25 fixtures 👇
- Major 'assumes a start' caveat for Salah!
- Would expect Gordon to get a big boost near KO with Wilson injury
- Richy goal shares surprisingly low, early sub concerns?
7
11
75
Hojlund & Rashford season-long goals markets have now been pulled
Zirkzee's projections have shot up and Amad Diallo has been added on 7 projected goals - ahead of Rogers & in line with Brennan Johnson, MGW & Kudus
Here are the other latest goal projections and 7-day trends 👇
🔴🏴 Marcus Rashford, down in pain and also subbed off for Man United.
One more potential injury to check after Leny Yoro (3 months out) and Rasmus Højlund (6 weeks out).
⤵️🎥
@espnfc
1K
3K
35K
2
10
74
#euro2024
: final update on the R16 projections - slight increases for Spain and France, but markets still have France capped at 1.5 projected goals for their matchup with Belgium
2
6
75
💹 Update: PL player goalscoring spreads
A lot of change this week, after a weekend of penalty-taker drama!
- A new projected top scorer for Arsenal
- Jackson + Sterling totals up in the absence of new CHE signings
- Álvarez still rising
- Richarlison + Watkins slip down
#fpl
8
9
74
#euro2024
: final update to the MD2 projected goals and clean sheet odds, via spread betting markets
Main changes are a dropoff for France's attacking projections with Mbappé injury & slight downgrade to Germany's CS odds for today - Croatia now highest CS odds for this round
4
8
73
💹 Updated: PL team points projections
Spread market projections after the weekend's games (change from pre-season)
🔴
#LFC
now projected above Arsenal in 2nd
🔵
#BHAFC
firmly in the top 4 race
🔵
#CFC
continue dropping, now below Villa
🟣
#BurnleyFC
in bottom 3 for the first time
4
9
71
#euro2024
: final update with Dutch player markets now added
Here are your top projected scorers for the Round of 16, via spread betting markets 👇
5
11
72
