Brazil is back. Critical days ahead, challenges a plenty, but the world just became a better place.

RT @igarape_org: Igarapé together with @UNODC and @GI_TOC will be holding an event at the Munich Security Conference. Dr. @robmuggah our co…

World leaders are watching Trump’s demolition of #US government institutions like #USAID and getting increasingly anxious about what’s in store for #NATO, the #UN, the #IMF, World Bank and other pillars of the international order.

#Canada and #Mexico are the 1st and 3rd largest exporters of steel to the #US. Canada accounts for nearly 25% of #steel imported by weight, while Mexico accounts for about 12%.

La mano dura contra el crimen redujo la criminalidad en #Ecuador, pero el problema aún persiste. Con ⁦@katheaguirreCOL⁩ (⁦@ConversationUS⁩ ⁦@igarape_org⁩)

So Trump’s motivation to annex Canada is to secure access to 30+ critical minerals like #lithium and #nickel … I didn’t think the country was on the menu when I wrote this piece on #Canada’s role in the new great game back in 2022.

“Mano dura” is making a comeback across the Americas, including #Ecuador. While politicians are touting their homicide reduction effects, they’re keeping quiet on how mano dura militarizes policing, violates human rights and leads to mass incarceration.

In 2022 I estimated that #Ukraine held $26 trillion in hydrocarbon and critical mineral reserves and that over $12 trillion was in #Russian-occupied areas. Graham and Trump cited these figures. We shed more light on what's at stake. @Horizons_CIRSD @SecDev

RT @JustinTrudeau: I just had a good call with President Trump. Canada is implementing our $1.3 billion border plan — reinforcing the borde…

Yet another symptom of the decaying global order. The Rwandan-backed #M23 just took #Goma in #DRC and is unlikely to stop there. The taboo against annexing territory is crumbling. Wrote about the M23 ten years ago:

RT @igarape_org: O Relatório de Riscos Globais de 2025, produzido pelo Fórum Econômico Mundial (@wef) , está em sua 20ª edição e contou com…

RT @igarape_org: Divulgado nesta quarta (15), o relatório mapeou os principais desafios mundiais e apontou três grandes ameaças de curto e…

Armed #conflict is the top current short-term risk in 2025, the first time it reached top spot since I started advising the @wef. It’s followed by extreme weather events and misinformation. Latest article: Latest 2025 report:

The maintenance of a global order - liberal or otherwise - requires that larger states play by the rules. When countries like the #US drop even the pretense of respect for sovereignty (#Canada, Greenland, Panama) than there is no order. 2025 will be very weird and very dangerous.

A record-breaking 70 #elections in 2024. So what’s the summary? A good year for the far right, a terrible year for incumbents, and a challenging year for democracy. More volatility ahead in 2025 with Germany and Canada set to take a turn to the right. @AP

The 6 biggest banks in the #US, the world's largest economy - Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Citi, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan - have all left the Net Zero Banking Alliance in the last month in thr wake of Republican threats. Brutal.

Canada’s ongoing political drama officially shifted from “exposition” to “rising action”. A series of climaxes to follow in the coming months.

Russia has expanded its targeting campaign across #Europe. multiple attacks against deep-sea cables, munitions factories, logistics facilities, and public utilities. Sabotage events also doubled in #Russia in 2024 compared to 2023. It’s looking less and less like a shadow war.

While the #greentransition is critical, the case of #Tibet (and other countries) reveal its real and potential negative externalities. Check out the great work of Turquoise Roof for geospatial #OSINT at Kudos to @meta_lab and @turquoiseroof.org.