Red Sox Payroll
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Tracking Red Sox payroll since 2011. Salaries are AAV. In partnership with : Master sheet:
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💰 Master payroll google sheet:
⚾️ SoxProspects Payroll page:
📝 Medium Blog:
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In the next 6 months, two potential contracts. Who says no?
1. Xander: 7/$175MM ($25MM AAV) to play shortstop at least 1-2 more years until shifting as needed to LF/3b/2b/1b
2. Devers: 8/$280MM ($35MM AAV) to play 3b 2-3 more years until shifting as needed to 1b/DH.
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Portland gets:
Marcelo Mayer
Nick Yorke
Blaze Jordan
Roman Anthony
Kyle Teel
It may not last more than a few months, but that's a lot of fun in the daily lineup.
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Brennan Bernardino
31 yrs old
$720k min salary
5 more years of control
1 option remaining after 2023
0.5 WAR
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Jaren Duran (making league minimum, under team control thru 2027) is now 3rd in MLB in offensive WAR since being recalled on April 17 (source: Fangraphs).
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Bryce Harper signed for 13/$330MM before 2019. This is year 5. He'll be 31 this month.
He has 8 more years with a $25.38MM AAV.
Not bad.
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The catch-22 of an Ohtani deal is that even $500MM+ is a wise investment for a team in terms of ROI (marketing, tickets, merch, etc). But it could be a nightmare on the back end regarding opportunity cost to the rest of a team-building process down the road.
All of that said, a
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-$2B spent on player salaries in the 2010s
-4 titles since buying the team
-Top 4 in payroll 17 straight years and going
It's not my money and I'd love if they blew past tax lines and such, but this narrative is rough every time. What gets this group the benefit of the doubt?
Things Red Sox ownership cares about:
- money
- making money
- not spending money
- money
End of list.
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The remorse and sadness here is not that Boston didn't match or rise to the Padres offer this week.
It's in the fact that we very realistically still have him if we had come early to the party before the market blew up with a 7 or 8 year offer and $25-27MM AAV in the last 12 mo.
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I'm sort of shocked at the news today about Bloom. That said, it feels like two things are at play.
1. The last 4 years were a rebuild. That word wasn't used publicly by the team, but that's what it was. Only difference was they spent up to the tax, which teams generally don't
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Derrick White for Josh Richardson, Romeo Langford, a 2022 1st, and a 2028 1st-round swap.
Jrue Holliday for Malcom Brogdon, Robert Williams, 2024 1st and 2029 1st.
Kristaps Porzingus (along with 2023
#25
and 2024 1st Rd pick) for Marcus Smart, Danilo Gallinari, Mike Muscala and
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Hosmer, pending cash return:
'22: $5.94MM (player opt-out)
'23: $13MM AAV / actual pay
'24: $13MM AAV / actual pay
`25: $13MM AAV / actual pay
It'd be hard for him to find 3/$39MM on the market. Likely to not opt out.
If SD pays almost all, it's like having a rookie for 3 yrs.
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Red Sox 9-inning CGs in the last decade:
2024: 1 (Houck)
2023: 0
2022: 3 (Wacha, Eovaldi, Pivetta)
2021: 0
2020: 0
2019: 1 (Sale)
2018: 3 (Porcello, Price, Sale)
2017: 2 (Fister, Johnson)
2016: 6 (Wright 4x, Porcello 2x)
2015: 3 (Hill, Miley, Buchholz)
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3 vs. Oakland
~~All star break~~
3 @ Cubs
3 @ Oakland
2 vs. Mets
Time to rise up. This is the season.
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Valdez is a guy
Duran is a guy
Wong is a guy
Winc (pen) is a guy
Crawford looks like a guy
Casas may yet be a guy
Total cost < $4.5MM in 2023
Estimated cost of < $5.1MM in 2024
Hamilton, Mata, etc., would also just cost the minimum this year next year.
Not bad for a bridge yr.
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Pretty significant that Slaten is the 8th inning guy before Kenley at Yankee Stadium in such a big game.
Two Rule 5 successes in four seasons, both making significant impacts and without being the 8th guy in the pen.
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Tomorrow:
Preister 5.0
Winc 2.0
Martin 1.0
Slaten 1.0
Gasper hits first or second and get 5 ABs to get that hit.
Empty the bench for final ABs
Need to lose.
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Overreaction alert.
Can't wait for July Red Sox buyers mode.
They can bring in ~$60MM in contract AAV (1/3 of the season proration) without going over the CBT threshold. :)
Can't imagine the below comments will be healthy.
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Just catching up here. Sox were one of 8 teams at Yamamoto's last start.
He'll be 25 next Opening Day and likely to be posted.
Seen total contract estimates upwards of $150M-$200MM.
All in on this one.
Red Sox reportedly among teams that scouted Japanese pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s latest start
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Verdugo Trade evaluation, 5 April:
Verdugo: -0.1 WAR
Weissert: 0.1 WAR
Fitts: (AAA)
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Two starting pitchers, a 2B, and a RH bat - all by January 15th.
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With Casas, Grissom and the trade deadline all coming up, what on earth do you do with LHH Dom Smith?
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Are we penciling in Romy on the 2025 bench already?
Seems pretty ideal with the positional flexibility and RH bat.
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Red Sox catching costs the team just short of $2MM this season for the below performance thus far.
Wong has five more years of control after 2023. McGuire has two more.
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Aaron Civale (Cleveland):
-$870k owed the rest of '23 + 2 more yrs of control
-2.54 ERA / 3.61 FIP in 71.0 IP this season, good for 1.5 WAR in 12 starts
Alex Verdugo:
-$2.1MM owed the rest of '23 + 1 more yr of control
-108 wRC+, 11 DRS and 2.0 WAR in 93G
Let's make a deal?
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Imagine Boston trading for a starter (or two) and bumping Whitlock to the pen:
Jansen
Whitlock
Schreiber
Martin
Houck
Rodriguez
Barnes
Swingman (pick a name)
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Packaging Paxton/Verdugo returns + others to get these 2 would make us better in `23 and beyond:
Rafaela
Yorke
Bleis
W. Gonzalez
Paxton return
Dugie return
Robert:
-$13.67 AAV
-$4.5MM rest of '23
-2 add'l yrs + 2 $20MM team options
Cease:
-$1.88MM rest of '23
-2 add'l yrs
The
#WhiteSox
are listening to offers on SP Dylan Cease and OF Luis Robert, per
@Ken_Rosenthal
Rosenthal notes perception around the industry is that Cease and Robert are untouchable, but rival executives view their willingness to listen to offers as a small opening for a deal.
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Players who bat left-handed:
Devers
Casas
Yoshida
Duran
Verdugo
Abreu
Meyer
Anthony
Valdez
McGuire
Kavadas
Hamilton
Scott
Teel
Rosier
Romero
Players who bat right-handed:
Story
Reyes
Wong
Urias
Ref
Rafaela
Yorke
Meidroth
Dalbec
Jordan
Somewhere in the next 14 months, we need
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That's a ton of cash. $17MM is a large portion of the $25.6MM CBT hit that Sale would have cost the Sox for 2024.
Sox move on from the final year of Sale's deal and shed $8.6MM off their CBT ledger.
Grissom (22 years old, 0.8 projected fWAR in 2024) has two options remaining
The deal: Chris Sale and $17 million to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom, who has the full 6 years of team control remaining.
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What if Boston activates Story, Booser, and Hendriks all on Saturday or Sunday and they just sneak Campbell on the bus with them.
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This lineup, but with Cooper and Grissom swapped for Dalbec and Valdez next week, is actually pretty calming. Granted you'd prefer Story and Casas of course.
Red Sox tonight:
Duran CF, Devers 3B, O’Neill LF, Abreu RF, Wong C, Yoshida DH, Valdez 2B, Dalbec 1B, Rafaela SS
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2024 OF conversation is getting more interesting by the week.
-Yoshida needing rest (LHH)
-Duran 2023 follow-up (LHH)
-Verdugo trade chatter (LHH)
-Duvall FA (RHH)
-Rafaela on the cusp (RHH)
-Abreu looks good (LHH)
-Ref was extended, but ABs by month: 46, 35, 46, 34, 19 (RHH)
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Rob has been a steal.
Salaries of $800k / $1.2MM / $1.85MM (with a $2MM team option for next year).
Rob Refsnyder's 3 years in Boston:
2022-24, MLB OBP Leaders
1. Aaron Judge
2. Juan Soto
3. Freddie Freeman
4. Yordan Alvarez
5. Shohei Ohtani
6. Yandy Diaz
7. Ronald Acuña Jr.
8. Mookie Betts
9. Bryce Harper
10. Jose Altuve
11. Rob Refsnyder
(min. 600 PA)
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Anxiously awaiting news on Pablo Reyes today.
If they activate him, someone loses a roster spot since none of Chang, Kiké, Arroyo or Reyes have options.
All RHH. All can play 2B.
Chang and Reyes are acceptable SS.
Kiké can play good CF.
Story coming will boot one more later.
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$2MM team option on Refsnyder for 2025.
I wonder if the retirement talk was supposed to be leverage.
They'll pick that up (an/or trade it).
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What would it cost to have Bill Burr in the booth every night?
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I would do anything to get a player like Yamamoto to agree to an opt-out in the first 4-5 seasons.
Short of big deferrals, adding years is another recent trend to lower AAV (Harper, Turner, Xander, etc.) and giving opt outs, while player-friendly, can protect the team too.
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I wonder what Ryan Braiser has on this front office that he still has a roster spot.
Arguably now 10/11th on the pen depth chart.
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Pablo Reyes
.305 avg, .706 OPS, .327 BABIP
84 wRC+
11% K; 5% BB
0.1 WAR
SS: 78inn, 0 DRS
2B: 57inn, 1 DRS
League min; 4yrs control after 2023
Great in-season supplement. Seems ripe to have AVG & OBP drop. No clue how long he'll be here this summer but thx for the service.
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The entire offense is under contract for next season except Tyler O'Neill.
C Wong
1B Casas
2B Grissom
3B Devers
SS Story
LF Duran
CF Rafaela
RF Abreu
DH Yoshida
Bench: McGuire/Hamilton/Refsnyder/González/Dalbec/Valdez
Assuming the big 3 (Teel/Mayer/Anthony) starts in AAA,
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Pham
Verdugo
Xander
Devers
Martinez
Story
Casas
Hernandez
Wong
That's as fun a lineup as we've run out all year. Hoping to see it this week.
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MLB
2021-2023
LF
Minimum 700 innings played
Outs above average
3. Tyler O'Neil (6)
24. Alex Verdugo (-4)
36. Masataka Yoshida (-8)
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Feels like Wong and an arm from Worcester need to replace Braiser and Plawecki soon. That's both a now and later thing.
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inury report had some est return dates today. Pre-all star break additions that will cost $0:
Whitlock - Saturday
Arroyo - ~May 29
Chang - ~June 1
Schreiber - Early June
Duvall - mid-June
Mills - late June
Mondesi - early July
Story - mid-July
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In the offseason, Justin Turner signed a 1yr/$8.3MM contract for 2023 plus a $13.4MM player option for 2024. The option comes with a $6.7MM buyout.
This means that once the option comes due in early November after the World Series, he'll have what seems to be an easy decision to
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Thanks for another fun year on this increasingly weird app.
People sharing in my fan hobby and getting value out of it along with me is really cool and I appreciate the experience with those who interact and use my stuff for any purpose.
This should be an active and interesting
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Removes Verdugo's $9.2MM estimated arbitration salary.
Weissert is on the 40-man and has 6 years of control remaining and two options.
Other two are minors guys.
Projected payroll drops to ~$184MM.
BREAKING: The New York Yankees are acquiring outfielder Alex Verdugo in a trade with the Boston Red Sox for right-handeres Richard Fitts, Greg Weissert and Nicholas Judice, sources familiar with the deal tell ESPN.
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Players who hit left-handed:
Devers
Casas
Yoshida
Abreu
Duran
Anthony
Teel
Mayer
Montgomery
And right-handed:
Rafaela
Wong
Grissom
Story
Campbell
Bleis
Yorke
Cespedes
It looks ok, but the every day guys, highest ranked prospects and MLB regulars skew lefty in a big way now and
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Sox being paid $5MM or more in 2023:
Sale - woof
Story - IL
Yoshida - slow start
Devers - fine
Jansen - fine
Turner - slow start
Kluber - struggling
Kiké - woof
Martin - fine/slow start
Duvall - Beast -> IL
Verdugo - Good
Whitlock - IL/slow start
Pivetta - Good
Paxton - IL
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MLB wRC+ leaders since 5/1/2023 (Salary in actual $):
Ohtani - 202 ($30MM)
Seager - 184 ($35MM)
Freeman - 181 ($27MM)
Soto - 169 ($23MM)
Betts - 166 ($20MM)
Acuna - 161 ($17MM)
Robert - 158 ($9.5MM)
Casas - 157 ($720k)
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Joely, a lefty, returns tomorrow.
Crawford returns Friday.
Whitlock is 10 days out or so.
We currently have 6 starting pitchers.
What does the staff look like in two weeks?
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So Boagaerts himself says he was told he won't be traded.
This makes potentially losing him in FA after an opt-out pretty unforgivable.
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says Rafalea, 23, is now under control through the 2031 season which means the extension starts this year.
The contract AAV will be $6.25MM per season, a hugely affordable payroll number the entire way.
Subject to updated reporting or additional options
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Kiké shown in the dugout looking salty about being pinch hit for.
Down to .237/.313/.358. wRC+ of 83. 0.0 WAR.
Has just over $6.5MM owed the rest of 2023. Feels like if anyone finds value there you can get more room under CBT by sending cash. Much like Vazquez last yr.
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O'Neill injuries this season:
4/15 - Head - collision in the field (IL)
5/25 - Knee soreness from a swing (IL)
6/7 - Tweaked knee while fielding
8/7 - Illness+infection (IL)
8/23 - Finger inflammation
In 101 games (and counting):
.258/.349/.546
142 w/RC+
30 HR
2.8 WAR (likely
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Another szn in the books. Thanks to all who follow.
The goal of this hobby has always been to have informed, rational debate and chatter about the Red Sox and to stay connected to a former career.
The offseason will be fun and I'm excited to keep tally of what's to come. Cheers
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Projected fWAR for 2024:
Chris Sale: 2.6
James Paxon: 2.3
With a 1yr deal at an affordable rate, the Paxton thing seems more like a reasonable Sale replacement (in addition to adding one more high-impact SP via FA or trade).
Just want to make
@LouMerloni
happy.
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🔴Justin Turner:
.271 BA, .347 OBP, .438 SLG, 114 wRC+
1B: 22g (2 DRS) | 3B: 5g (0 DRS) | 2B: 8inn
1yr/$8.3MM + player option
WAR: 1.0
------------------
🔵JD Martinez:
.267 BA, .310 OBP, .586 SLG, 136 wRC+
LF: 12 inn
1yr/$10MM
WAR: 1.2
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Sox SP depth is now:
Has a spot:
Giolito
Bello
---
Has a spot for now:
Crawford
---
Depth/swingmen/pen:
Pivetta
Houck
Whitlock
Sale had been penciled in in every projection for a rotation spot. What seemed like a definite need for one more SP now likely moves up to two. But 2B
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Easily.
If Texas waived Eovaldi, he'd fit in the Red Sox $5MM+ payroll space.
The bigger question is if he'd make it to them on waivers. Seattle, Atlanta, NYM, Cards, etc have priority at the moment.
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I can't even.
Fenway Sports Group has completed a deal — worth up to $200 million — to sell a minority stake of Liverpool FC private equity firm Dynasty Equity.
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If Bregman is willing to play all over the infield, I'd be open to the Red Sox looking into him to balance the lineup and alleviate some bad defenders with days off at DH.
Still could require evaluation of the Yoshida role.
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Missed it
Two starting pitchers, a 2B, and a RH bat - all by January 15th.
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Really pumped about this.
The great folks at SP have enhanced my experience as a Red Sox fan for many years and I'm thrilled to contribute to the site.
We’re excited to announce a partnership with Wade Hilligoss of
@RedSoxPayroll
! He’s been analyzing & reporting on Red Sox payroll & the CBT since 2011 via Twitter & Google Sheets. Working with Wade, we’ve put together a new “Payroll” page linked off our top menu to
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If we win 2 games in every series the rest of the season, we'll finish with 89 wins.
We have to make up one game on the Royals per week the rest of the way to get a WC spot.
Silver lining - KC has a brutal next few weeks, but the math is starting to look hard.
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Justin Turner is 0-for-2 against Craig Breslow in his career. Their next matchup is an option conversation in November.
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Trey Turner
133 wRC+
5.2 WAR
0 DRS
Bogaerts
137 wRC+
5.3 WAR
1 DRS
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From the ESPN free agent rankings - their commentary on Yoshinobu Yamamoto:
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Potentially available SP options on the trade market and the salaries owed to them (in AAV) for the rest of the season.
With $6-7MM in CBT space right now, we could absorb $ for any of these outside the top 4 without asking for cash or sending out additional contracts.
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Watching Don Orsillo call Xander Bogaerts games for the next decade was always the goal.
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Boston has ~$5MM under the tax the rest of the way, give or take some bonus payments.
17.7% of the season remaining, meaning they would each cost:
Giolito - $1.84MM
Moore- $1.34MM
López - $641k
Renfroe - $2.11MM
Grichuk - $1.82MM
BREAKING: The Los Angeles Angels have placed starter Lucas Giolito, relievers Matt Moore and Reynaldo López, and outfielders Hunter Renfroe and Randal Grichuk on waivers, sources tell ESPN. Huge potential playoff implications: All can be claimed by teams for free on Thursday.
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If we get to the end of July and are right in it, how would people feel if we just get healthy and add a veteran back end starter?
Story, Schreiber, Bleier, Joely, Reyes, Sale, Whitlock, Houck, vet SP
Still a version of buying and selling without actually burning any assets.
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Bloom built a team that pushed the upper limit of what we all expected. Doesn't feel good now, but we're in a better spot today than we were two years ago to sustain.
Offseason begins 5 days after the World Series with options due for JDM, Richards, Schwarber, Perez, Vazquez.
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Sox have ~$12.25MM in projected room below the first CBA threshold.
Should the FO seek to improve later this month and that number matters to them as a hard cap, they can bring in ~$36-37MM in salary, which is prorated down to fit below that projected space.
We could also send
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With ~$30MM in room under the CBT line and 2-3 moves left to field a minimum viable roster, it's entirely possible to grab a Segura/Eovaldi-esque combo (swap out names as you wish) to hug the line.
That said, sort of looks like
@redsoxstats
' "middle class shopping" nightmare. 😬
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Service time: 9.057
He needs 115 days in MLB to unlock the 10 year benefits. It won't happen this year, but inches him closer to the pension payout upgrade:
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Grissom's Fangraphs projections are updated now that he's likely to see a lot of the field without being blocked in Atlanta.
Their two models now spit out 2.1 and 2.3 fWAR.
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I mentioned this the other day, but since JD wasn't traded today, he'll be just the 4th player this century to complete a 4+ yr contract with Boston (no extensions):
Price
Manny
Crawford
Story (ongoing)
JDM**
Dice-K**
Panda
Hanley
Lackey
Rusney
JD Drew**
Renteria
Lugo
Damon**
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They:
1. Are trying to get SP prospects into the system
2. Don't believe in Schreiber
Yeah it thins the pen a bit, but the projected outcomes for everyone after Kenley/Martin/Whit/Houck are similar in terms of value.
There's no financial motivation here.
Personally, I don’t get the trade. You’re dealing a good pitcher with three years of team control for a single-A mid round pick who hasn’t popped at any point.
It’s one thing if you’re dealing rentals, trading Schreiber I just don’t get.
Selling in February…
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20 days, 19 games.
That's what's standing between the CBT reset and this year's trade deadline. Slowly becoming the two most enticing parts of the season for this crew.
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Criswell has an option remaining(!) so this adds up/down pen depth, but also 5 additional years of control beyond 2024.
Also - the league min is $740k this year, so this is really not a big deal. Even a DFA at some point and another team could shave some of the burden off of he
Right-hander Cooper Criswell and the Boston Red Sox are in agreement on a one-year, $1 million contract, a source tells ESPN. Criswell, 27, spent the last two seasons in Tampa Bay and was DFA’d but found a solid market and leveraged it into a fully guaranteed big league deal.
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Sox are currently at ~$201MM+ in projected CBT payroll for 2024. If they were to add a few rumored guys like Imanaga (~$18MM AAV) and Soler (~$16MM AAV), they would be at or slightly below the first threshold with a need for one more SP. This is why there are likely rumors of a
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Chatter today that Jordan Montgomery is likely to sign by next Thursday.
Heyman recently reported Boras is using Carlos Rondon's 6yr/$162MM figure as a target ($27MM AAV).
As much as we need a starter, and as much as this is the cost of doing business in free agency, it's no
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Rich Hill enters today with 118.1 IP. He already earned a $250k bonus two starts ago for achieving 110IP for the season.
Today in his final start of the year, if he finishes just 1.2 innings, he would earn another $250k which would unlock at 120IP overall.
#DickMountainDollars
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Things have really gone off the rails when The Nation (TM) goes nuts after Teoscar Hernandez signs a one-year deal with a team in the other league.
Imagine reading that in early November and expecting to care this much.
I get the factors at play. This ride has been...magical.
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One of the geekiest things I enjoy each April is
@SoxProspects
updating their visual of the next season's projected roster with guys under contract. It helps to show what the team looks like at the top two levels. Missing here is Giolito, who will return at some point in 2025.
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Nick Pivetta is T-15th in the AL in strikeouts with 160 and with a rotation spot the rest of the month, could finish top 10.
What was once a longshot now seems like a lock to tender him a 2024 contract and arbitration worth $6.5MM-8MM.
The question is where on this staff he
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With Rafaela coming up, the only two guys to be on the 40-man and haven't yet appeared in the big leagues for Boston this season are recent waivers pickup Zach Weiss -- and Bryan Mata.
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7 highest paid P (actual salary / IP / FIP / WAR):
Scherzer $44.3MM / 27.2 / 5.65 / 0.1
Verlander $44.33MM / 17.0 / 5.47 / 0.0
Cole $36MM / 62.2 / 3.01 / 1.7
Strasburg $35MM / n/a
Ohtani $30MM / 53.0 / 4.22 / 0.9
deGrom $30MM / 30.1 / 1.58 / 1.4
Sale $27.5MM / 50.1 / 3.70 / 1.1
1
1
102
28 yrs old, 3 options, owed a little less than $2MM the rest of the year.
Has a 7.59 ERA in 5 starts but has been hella unlucky. .410 BABIP and 4.51 FIP.
The Cleveland Guardians have designated right-hander Zach Plesac for assignment.
95
94
407
13
4
101
Boston has spent $26.75MM (AAV) on the 2023 roster thus far, all in the pen:
Jansen $16MM
Martin $8.75MM
Rodriguez $2MM
3
5
100