R. Ramakumar
@ramakumarr
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Economist, with above normal interest in politics. Tweets, when put out rarely, are personal.
Mumbai, India
Joined January 2010
Kerala's Chief Minister making a clear political statement today -- while inaugurating 53 new hi-tech school buildings. An all-girls school choir singing a secular welcome song -- "thank you for this world, a house of love" -- wearing their school uniforms!. #KarnatakaAgainstHate
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A thread in response to different views expressed against my tweets and articles on Covid #vaccines. Many were abuses; I ignore them. I try to take the reasonable questions and try to answer them here. One question and one answer in each tweet below. Its a long thread, btw! 1/n.
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This is absolutely laughable. There is no data on income poverty in India after 2011-12. All data cited afterwards are deceitful extrapolations. The data for the 2017-18 round were not released by the government. But leaked data show why the government wanted to block it. 1/n.
This is just an incredible graph. India is making absolutely amazing strides against poverty. (ht @scienceisstrat1)
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Ok, now that Mr Pai has thrown his hat into the ring, can he show one place in any budget document that provides an estimate of the "net proceeds" or the "divisible pool"? A CAG report would also do! I request Mr Pai not to make a bad situation worse for his bosses in Delhi.
Hiding? What a stupid joke by this Yellow Rag @thenewsminute every year a Budget is presented to parliament which has full details of all collections,accounts audited by CAG. Nothing is hidden. This Yellow Rag does not the ability to read budget papers. What a Shame.
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This phenomenon of providing more doses than received, as I learn, is called "negative wastage" of vaccines. Squeezing out an 11th vial out of a pack of 10 vials. #Kerala's wastage rate is -4.36%. On the other hand, the wastage rate in Punjab is +4.9% and in Tamil Nadu is +8.8%.
Kerala has received 73,38,806 doses of vaccine from GoI. We've provided 74,26,164 doses, even making use of the extra dose available as wastage factor in each vial. Our health workers, especially nurses have been super efficient and deserve our wholehearted appreciation!.
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1/ <Thread> A major news today was the decision of @shailajateacher, former Minister for Health in Kerala, politely declining the offer of the Ramon Magsaysay award for 2022. A newspaper, however, editorialised the news and called it a "second historic blunder".
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A thread on the allocation of vaccines across Indian States. Some argue that the existing allocation of #vaccines is fine, that the new system of States being free to buy vaccines directly would be equally fine, and that there is nothing to worry. Is is true? Hardly. 1/n.
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BASIC FACT: If the Indian economy shrinks by 7.7% in 2020-21 and then grows by 11.1% in 2021-22, the economy would have grown only by 2.2% over 2 years i.e., between 2019-20 & 2021-22. So, friends in the media, this is a terrible condition. Please report the truth #EconomicSurvey.
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Rather pathetic PR work that unnecessarily raises suspicions on WHO's action & Covaxin's effectiveness. When will we in India learn the real meaning of the words "objectivity" & "professionalism"? Why does India's leadership revel at sensationalism rather than scientific temper?.
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The term agriculture is mentioned in the Union Budget speech just 7 times. It would be only 5 times if we left out 1 heading & 1 appendix. Of the 5, 2 are under natural farming, 1 is under customs duty, 1 is under NABARD & 1 is under stubble burning. That's all! #UnionBudget2022.
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Just by selecting the people it selected as members of its committee, the Supreme Court (SC) has disincentivised farmer's groups from cooperation. All 4 members have positions supporting government's Farm Acts. It shows the SC is not genuinely interested in resolution. #FarmLaws.
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The Sri Lankan breakdown we witnessed today - to reiterate - is a product of long history, but also of the utter failure of IMF's neoliberal loan packages over five decades, the rise of right-wing authoritarian politics and the official embrace of pseudo-science. #SriLankaCrisis.
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WRONG. The Swaminathan panel suggested fixing MSP at 50% over the C2 cost of production. The government fixed it at 50% over the lower A2+FL cost of production. Due to this, farmers lose about Rs 300-500/Q in MSP. I had written about it in 2018:
#FarmBills2020 | Swaminathan Panel report recos were not implemented by previous govts for 8 years, we implemented Swaminathan Panel Report recommendations, says Prime Minister @narendramodi
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A democratic & people's govt listens to people & their views. An authoritarian & arrogant govt considers people as subordinate & minions. As #Kerala withdraws amendment to its Police Act, this difference b/w Kerala and others reveals itself starkly. Well done, @vijayanpinarayi.
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Extraordinary admission of failure. Pile on supply where no demand exists; and cut supply where ample demand exists. This was the so-called "liberalised vaccine policy" of the vishwaguru! There is still time. Disband it. Make vaccination truly free and universal.
Taking on the private sector for failing to pick up the 25% #COVID19 vaccines quota allotted to them, Commerce and Industry Minister #PiyushGoyal said that government will ensure everybody gets a free vaccine in the country with or without their help.
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The @guardian had asked me to write an obituary for M. S. Swaminathan. Here it is, online. I am told that it would appear in print soon.
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The big news from #Kerala is the closure of #BJP's account. It has scored a big ZERO. The bigot Kummanam lost to V. Sivankutty in Nemom; the thug K. Surendran lost both seats; the clown E. Sreedharan lost in Palakkad. Phenomenal vote for secular politics; Kerala is now BJP-mukt!.
"We are going to close that account this time", said Pinarayi Vijayan today morning. Voted in the Nemom constituency, Thiruvananthapuram. Against the icon of Kerala's fascist thugs. For V. Sivankutty, a comrade who will show the fascists their real place in the city.
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On the IP related issues in Covaxin, see Clearly, the way GoI used its leverage with BB was disappointing. And given the way BB has now over-priced Covaxin, disappointment gives way to suspicion. We need transparency. h/t for the link: @tjayaraman 12/n.
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In a "Cut the Clutter" video, @ShekharGupta argued that due to #APMC reforms in Bihar, it's agricultural growth rate surpassed Punjab's. In this blog, I argue that Gupta's enthusiasm is misplaced. After 2011-12, Bihar's agricultural growth was negative.
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1/ The former CEA is acting smart by pointing to India's investment rate under constant prices rather than investment rate under current prices, which Prof Basu (@kaushikcbasu) is referring to. And he then calls it "clearly incorrect" and all. Is he right? No.
What data are we quoting for India’s fixed capital formation being 29% now? That’s CLEARLY INCORRECT! See from the NSSO estimates👇it is 34%! 🤦🏻♂️. On employment too, see piece by @surjitbhalla in @TOIIndiaNews news today to know incorrect data are peddled to suit fake narratives!
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In @scroll_in, I argue that by liberalising #vaccine sales & deregulating vaccine prices, the Union government has allowed vaccine manufacturers to make super profits. Vaccine prices will rise, excluding millions from access to vaccines. #VaccineShortage.
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What can be more heartening than receiving the cover of your new book! The book, published by @Tulikabooksdel, has a longish introduction from me, and 16 chapters from leading scholars in agrarian studies and agricultural economics. I will keep posting updates!. #EconTwitter
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I spoke to Karan Thapar on India's one billionth vaccine dose. I tell him that the celebrations are premature & misplaced; India has fully vaccinated only 31% of its eligible population. Public health milestones are not political spectacles. @thewire_in.
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