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Pautatoes | Sovrun
@pautatoes
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⚖️ JD turned Web3 · 💸 Investments @SovrunOfficial · 🕹️ RWA, DeFi & Gaming Enjoyer · 🤝 Opinions = mine.
onchain
Joined July 2021
Wen pamp? Wen dump? Just some market ramblings. January kicked off with RWA leading at +9.79%. • DeFi: +1.85% • Meme: -1.35% • DePIN: -13.18% • AI: -18.18% • Gaming: -19.84% Halfway into February, RWA is still holding up at +4.12%. • DeFi: -11.71% • Meme: -15.45% • DePIN: -27.27% • AI: -30.87% • Gaming: -32.19% Are we oversold, or is there more pain ahead? Wen altcoins pamp? Didn’t BTC almost double YTD? Bitcoin’s price has historically oscillated between bubble peaks (euphoria) and long-term fair value zones (reaccumulation). Currently, BTC is in the middle of that range. Historically, this has preceded strong rallies—but also prolonged sideways movement. Markets move in cycles, yes—if trends persist. But trends can also evolve. Is retail back? Doesn’t seem so. While the $TRUMP token launch encouraged over 200,000 new users to sign up, I’d assume most of them likely lost money and left when the token crashed shortly after $MELANIA launched. And despite compelling catalysts, Social Risk Metrics are still hovering at range lows—not quite like what we see in bull markets. To add to that, gwei has mostly stayed below 3 these days. We are in the most pro-crypto administration yet, but we’re also still in QT. A rally isn’t inevitable, but neither is stagnation, especially considering that just earlier, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cast doubt on the possibility of further interest rate cuts very soon. There are many winners in the market, but there are even more losers. While I remain optimistic about the tech, I advocate for cautious optimism when it comes to your bags for the sake of your mental health. I do believe we’re going higher, but wen? That’s the million dollar question. Probably after max pain, just like always.
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RT @ari_bau_: GM! Hard to believe we're already nearing mid-February—2025 is flying by! Here’s a quick recap to keep you in the loop:
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@milesdeutscher It’s going to be relatively tempered once more monetary policies roll out. We’re still in the grey zone.
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