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Anon Risk Addict Profile
Anon Risk Addict

@olvehe

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Following
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Retail investor in the search for return-free risk. Tweets/opinions are someone else's financial advice

Epitome of ineptocracy, Norway
Joined April 2011
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
22 minutes
At 7.45 (current trading), you create the stub for 1.77 NOK discounted, and get paid 3.38 (using put floor, no earnouts) in 3 years (cash could be paid out earlier, which would be a +) for an IRR of ~24%. I have seen worse bets.
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
3 hours
@christankerfund Will add this datapoint to the ML model
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
5 hours
@_NameValue_ P/NAV 0.55.. Not bad
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
6 hours
Carnegie today issued a PT of 45 (or 21x 2025 E, lol). This is a gym business. Where were they when the debt scare was mostly resolved in late '23?
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
16 hours
@MadsCapital Each row comment Hedged to the perfect length
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
16 hours
As for reasonably good, profitable businesses, with EV approaching 0, buybacks at HoldCo and OpCo levels, growing HSD/LDD, I have added to $OTEC. Hard to say when, but feels like a bit of a Thanos bet
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
17 hours
@Studentinvest3 I think fair value range is 7.7-8.2 somewhere
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
17 hours
@Studentinvest3 (April the last amount), but probably makes sense to deduct a few % on that as well. I used 2%.
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
17 hours
@lzab1453 Doubt he can count higher
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
18 hours
@christankerfund Pretty sure it will outperform BofA target P/B of 0.3111148301 x
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
18 hours
@christankerfund DW I helped you out with a non-linear multivariable regression analysis using splines. I used multimodal $BABA LLMs to add image data for increased accuracy
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@olvehe
Anon Risk Addict
18 hours
@christankerfund Chris.. We all know they don't teach statistics in American public schools
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