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+EV & arbitrage bets tools, odds screen, free picks, & more. Follow @OddsAssist_ to make sure you donโt miss out๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ
Joined May 2021
๐ฐ Football Season 2024-25 Best Bets Recap ๐ฐ We had our best football season yet, going 75-53 (58.6%) on our best bets, good for +15.07 units On our picks of the week, specifically, we went 24-12 (66.7%), putting us at +10.65 units We're not done yet, though. We'll continue to have picks for college basketball, NBA, NHL, and more in the coming weeks ๐ Be sure to follow us to make sure you don't miss out
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๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฉ๐๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐๐ญ & ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ข๐๐ค๐ฌ ๐ We're down to TWO. The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs will play in Super Bowl LIX in New Orleans on Sunday night to see who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy. Will Jalen Hurts and the Eagles get revenge for their Super Bowl loss to the Chiefs two years ago, or will Patrick Mahomes lead the Chiefs to their third straight win? We won't know for a few more days, but we've got you covered with 6 picks either way. We've had an incredible football season, going 71-51 (58.2%) on our best bets and 23-12 (65.7%) on our picks of the week. Let's close it out strong with one best bet and five prop picks for Super Bowl LIX.
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๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐๐น ๐๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐: ๐จ๐ก๐๐๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ฐ.๐ฑ ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ณ ๐ Games the Eagles are in are averaging just under 21 total points in the first half this year. Those games have gone over 24 points in the first half just 7 times in 21 games. The Chiefs have also gone over 24 points just 7 times in 20 games this year, and their games are averaging 21.6 points in the first half this season. The Eagles and Chiefs are two of the top defensive teams in the league. The Eagles ranked 1st, allowing only 278.4 yards per game in the regular season. The Chiefs ranked 9th, allowing just 320.6 yards per game. Both teams will want to control the ball and set the tone early. That could mean long opening drives and limited possessions in the first half for both teams. The Chiefs have had opening drives that have lasted 4:54 or longer 10 times this season. The Eagles, on the other hand, have not had much success on first drives, scoring a touchdown only 5 times this year, with most of those coming on short fields set up by the defense. So donโt look for them to come out of the gates fast. Neither team turns the ball over, though, so short fields will be at a premium. Both teams have turned the ball over just 15 times the entire season. These offenses are capable of finding the end zone, but in a game of this magnitude, neither team will take unnecessary risks early. Look for the first half of Super Bowl LIX to stay UNDER 24.5.
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๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฉ๐๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ข๐๐ค ๐: ๐๐ฉ๐๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ข๐๐ค๐จ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐จ๐ฎ๐๐ก๐๐๐๐ค: ๐๐ (+๐๐๐) ๐ฐ Touchbacks, while still relatively common, have been less frequent this year. Taking a flyer on the โNoโ is worth a shot, especially if the Eagles kickoff first. The Eagles have struggled with kickoffs this year. Also, the players will be jacked up to start the game, and someone could look to make a big play to start the game.
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๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฉ๐๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ข๐๐ค ๐: ๐๐ซ๐๐ฏ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐) ๐ฐ The Eagles struggled to defend Commanders tight end Zach Ertz in the NFC Championship game, giving up over 100 yards to him. Kelce could be in for a big game if the Eagles continue to struggle to cover the position in the Super Bowl. If they are going to spy Mahomes, it could leave even more openings for Kelce, especially with the Eagles having very good cornerbacks to defend the Chiefs receivers.
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๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฉ๐๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ข๐๐ค ๐: ๐๐จ๐ญ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ (-๐๐๐) ๐ฐ This one has a better price than the fumble prop and both quarterbacks also take good care of the ball. Patrick Mahomes has just 11 interceptions on the year and hasnโt thrown one since November 17, making it 8 straight games without an interception. Jalen Hurts has thrown just 5 interceptions this year and none since November 10, making it 9 straight starts without an interception.
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๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฉ๐๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ข๐๐ค ๐: ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐
๐ฎ๐ฆ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐) ๐ฐ The Chiefs and Eagles have combined for just 12 fumbles the entire season, with the Chiefs having only 3. While the price is high, it seems very unlikely that all of a sudden, two teams that take really good care of the ball will start fumbling it.
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๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฉ๐๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ข๐๐ค ๐: ๐๐ข๐ ๐ก๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ โ ๐๐๐๐จ๐ง๐ (-๐๐๐) ๐ฐ We outlined that these two teams typically donโt score a lot in the first half with our best bet. However, they are both plenty capable of putting up points or getting a big scoring drive quickly if they need one late to keep themselves in a game. If the scoring opens up, I expect it to be in the second half, so Iโm taking it to be the highest-scoring half.
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๐ ๐ก๐๐ ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ ๐ช๐ถ๐ป๐ป๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ The NFL Awards winners were announced last night, headlined by Josh Allen taking home the MVP Other winners: โ Arik Armstead โ Walter Payton Award โ Kevin O'Connell โ Coach of the Year โ Josh Allen โ Art Rooney โ George Kittle โ Salute to Service โ Ben Johnson โ Assistant Coach โ Jayden Daniels Hail Mary against Bears โ Jayden Daniels โ Rookie โ Josh Allen โ Air Player โ Ja'Marr Chase โ Ground Player โ Trey Hendrickson โ Deacon Jones Award Who do you think got snubbed?
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๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐๐น ๐๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐: ๐จ๐ก๐๐๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ฐ.๐ฑ ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ณ ๐ Games the Eagles are in are averaging just under 21 total points in the first half this year. Those games have gone over 24 points in the first half just 7 times in 21 games. The Chiefs have also gone over 24 points just 7 times in 20 games this year, and their games are averaging 21.6 points in the first half this season. The Eagles and Chiefs are two of the top defensive teams in the league. The Eagles ranked 1st, allowing only 278.4 yards per game in the regular season. The Chiefs ranked 9th, allowing just 320.6 yards per game. Both teams will want to control the ball and set the tone early. That could mean long opening drives and limited possessions in the first half for both teams. The Chiefs have had opening drives that have lasted 4:54 or longer 10 times this season. The Eagles, on the other hand, have not had much success on first drives, scoring a touchdown only 5 times this year, with most of those coming on short fields set up by the defense. So donโt look for them to come out of the gates fast. Neither team turns the ball over, though, so short fields will be at a premium. Both teams have turned the ball over just 15 times the entire season. These offenses are capable of finding the end zone, but in a game of this magnitude, neither team will take unnecessary risks early. Look for the first half of Super Bowl LIX to stay UNDER 24.5.
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