Willyston Riellander
@nylanderthews
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stats and analytics | tweet what I hear | noted Passion haver ™️ | dm’s open if you got info
Toronto, Ontario
Joined April 2017
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Frank Seravalli on SN590 says Auston Matthews wants to allow enough money on the Leafs' cap to build a team that has a chance to win. His next contract is not about setting a record, it's not about getting 4x$15M.
He wants to win and he needs to find a spot that pays him
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In the entire history of the NHL, only 5 players have scored 120 even-strength goals in their first 280 career games. Those players are:
Wayne Gretzky, Mario Lemieux, Brett Hull, Eric Lindros,
And...
Auston Matthews.
Let that sink in.
#LeafsForever
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Shea Weber and Carey Price went from dragging the Habs kicking and screaming to the Stanley Cup finals to never being able to play hockey again.
I don't want to hear anything about Matt Murray not actually being injured.
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Some of Jason Spezza's best goals as a Toronto Maple Leaf
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Chris Johnston on the CJ Show says it's not going well between the Leafs and William Nylander, they just see the world differently.
Nylander believes he should be a $10 million player or just a little above that on his next contract, whereas the Leafs have come at him with a
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this is the NHL’s fault for not suspending xhekaj after he glove on attacked pare, he shouldn’t have even been playing in this game
i hope they throw the book at him, this is back to back disgusting incidents
Arber Xhekaj was ejected from tonight’s game for this hit on Tim Stützle. ⬇️
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Domi, Bertuzzi, and Reaves
I do believe Toronto and Max Domi are working at this too. We will see.
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Don't think Oilers fans are ready for this conversation yet
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this was legit one of the most insane plays i’ve ever seen a leaf make and it happened when the leafs needed their best players to step up the most
matthews and domi are so back to being serious
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2022-23:
Bunting-Matthews-Marner
Nylander-Tavares-Malgin
Engvall-Kerfoot-Jarnkrok
2023-24:
Bertuzzi-Matthews-Marner
Domi-Tavares-Nylander
Knies-Minten-Jarnkrok
What a difference a year makes...
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I don’t have a problem with the Clifford suspension – what he did was bad and he should’ve been punished for it.
But what are we doing here? How is this play any different? And nothing.
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My favourite Jake Muzzin play as a Leaf
They just didn't have anyone like him (and still don't). Someone who could quarterback a powerplay, but also embodied "fuck around and find out"
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Morgan Rielly was my choice to be captain of the Toronto Maple Leafs.
I went to the same high school as Zach Hyman.
It makes me sick that Mitch Marner is going to price these guys out of Toronto.
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Robertson-Domi-Jarnkrok at 5v5:
- Scored a goal
- Out shot-attempted TB 10-3
- Controlled 64% of the expected goals
Thinking this trio is going to stick for a while.
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Elliotte Friedman on the Jeff Marek Show:
"I'll say my prediction right now - Kyle Dubas is going to be in Toronto. That is my prediction"
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don’t know if i’ve ever seen redemption arc quite like ryan reaves this season
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The only players with a higher market value than Mitch Marner per
@domluszczyszyn
's player cards:
1. Auston Matthews
2. Connor McDavid
3. Cale Makar
4. Brad Marchand
That’s it.
Marner’s arrived as a top 5 player in the NHL.
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Tippett, Smilanic, 2 1sts, a 3rd, & a 4th for 2 months of Giroux and Chiarot has to be an all time horrendous deadline lmao
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Darren Dreger on First Up says it sounds like Matthew Knies wants to play in the NHL this season.
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Seravalli on SN590 says under no circumstances do the Leafs have any interest in extending Marner. If a trade happens there's a strong likelihood it happens this week
"I think the Toronto Maple Leafs are going to do everything within their power to try and make something happen"
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tonight could be the night he sets the record for goals in a season in the salary cap era and also ranks in the 98th percentile for defensive impact among forwards
matthews was literally designed in a lab to dominate the NHL
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Will always fascinate me how good Jake Muzzin was right up until the very end. One season he's an *elite* two-way force, the next it's all over.
Might be one of the most underrated defensemen of the 2010s, and one the Leafs still haven't quite adequately replaced.
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Pretty crazy how the Leafs let Hyman walk and signed Hyman-lite for 17% of the AAV.
Then let Hyman-lite walk and drafted a 6"3, 215 lb offensive version of both, with ridiculous hands, who never loses a board battle.
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it’s so beautiful watching knies realize he’s a fucking tractor, he’s gonna be a PROBLEM
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If this Marner ever shows up in the playoffs, it's so over
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Elliotte Friedman on NHL Network:
“I do think that the Maple Leafs are going to consider a bold move or two this offseason”
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Elliotte Friedman on the Jeff Marek Show says one player that is being talked about right now who may go unqualified is Dylan Strome.
If he does, I'd say it's time to bring the noted Passion Haver home, Kyle.
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Year 6 of 7 and he's still essentially worth his contract
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legitimately best moment of the series, matthews goal close second
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The Hurricanes are the 28th most valuable team in the NHL, worth $640M, with an operating income of $19M.
The Leafs are the 2nd most valuable team in the NHL, worth $2B, with an operating income of $116M.
Just imagine what Eric Tulsky can do with the Leafs' resources.
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Pierre LeBrun on Insider Trading says the Leafs may be open to an 8-year contract extension with Michael Bunting in order to bring down the AAV.
Though no discussions have taken place just yet, Bunting's camp may be open to 8 years as well due to him already being 27 years old.
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Spezza says NHL Network and I don't even think he's joking lmao
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league isn't ready for full-time top four timothy liljegren
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it's early, but the leafs top four of rielly-tanev and OEL-mccabe are shredding opponents
among pairs with 30+ minutes together, OEL-mccabe are controlling 74% of the expected goals (2nd) and rielly-tanev are controlling 67% (4th)
good start for treliving's two biggest signings
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O'Rielly coming to the Leafs with a cap hit of $1.875M
Have to wonder if Dubas has something else up his sleeve
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favourite leafs tonight:
- OEL
- stolarz
- pacioretty
- holmberg
least favourite leafs tonight:
- can’t believe tavares-nylander is a thing in the year 2024
- timmins
noticeable difference in the overall physical play tonight, hope that continues
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Goals Above Replacement 2022-23:
1. Auston Matthews - 24.9
2. Mitch Marner - 22.3
3. William Nylander - 13.2
4. John Tavares - 10.3
5. Tim Stutzle - 7.9
What even is this conversation on my timeline?
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Friedman on the 32T podcast says after the Leafs beat Tampa, ownership had committed to the idea of bringing Dubas back
Adds they're talking about extending him & at the end of the day, he believes Dubas wants to be Leafs GM
Terms/conditions & power still need to be worked out
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According to
@TFP
, the Toronto Maple Leafs have expressed interest in Columbus Blue Jackets goaltender Joonas Korpisalo. CBJ would have interest in TOR’s Alex Kerfoot or Andreas Johnsson to bolster their top six.
Korpisalo has 2 years left on his $2.8M AAV deal.
#LeafsForever
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How can Seider be the best rookie if he isn’t even the best rookie defenseman
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Morgan Rielly quietly leads all defensemen in Goals Above Replacement this season.
In his entire career, he's never been a positive player defensively by GAR...except for this season so far.
He deserves to be mentioned more often in the early Norris conversation.
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Jakob Chychrun, who is a borderline top-pair defensemen at 25 years old and had 2.5 years left on his contract at the time at $4.6M, was moved for one high-end asset (a first-round pick) at last year's deadline.
The number of mock trades having the Leafs move a first *and* a
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the level of disrespect here is actually insane
i didn't have a problem with some of the other results, but how does a player who might finish with 70 goals and rank in the 99th percentile for defensive impact among forwards NOT FINISH IN THE TOP FIVE
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you better believe i’m going to be making caveman noises the second he does this to tkachuk or marchand round 1
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line brawl after a bad hit against your teammate.
this team is dripping in Passion ™️.
treliving cooked.
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Friedman on the Jeff Marek Show says the Leafs are there on Tanev "in a very big way" & that Tanev is the guy Treliving likes the most
Bertuzzi is likely gone but the Leafs are still working on Domi, whose ask is in the 4x$4M range and wants to stay in Toronto
Marner status quo
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Gentle reminder:
Zadorov + Tanev both 50% retained = $4.125M
Klingberg = $4.15M
If Treliving can figure out the necessary picks and prospects, the cap can work.
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I don't know who needs to hear this but:
1. John Gibson has not been good for a few years now
2. The Leafs cannot afford a $6M goalie
3. Even if they could they're not trading Nylander for said goalie
4. And even if they were the $6M goalie to trade him for is Connor Hellebuyck
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elliotte name dropping vegas and theodore/thompson for marner, i’m starting to feel like that’s the team to circle in these discussions
fantastic market, a cup contender, and always in on stars
a top pair PMD at $5.2M and a tandem at ~$1.5M would do wonders for the leafs cap
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CJ on overdrive says the leafs will still look to make a change to the core four even though they have hired a new coach
running it back is over
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Kyle Dubas stole Matthew Knies at 57th overall at last year’s draft.
Imagine what he’s going to be able to do with a first round pick this year.
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Hakanpaa is 6"7 and 222 pounds every time he touches the ice, which should make an extremely physical and mean bottom pair with Benoit
Dreger says it's two years at $1.5M AAV, which probably ends Timmins' time in Toronto, but also raises questions about the Liljegren extension
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This is legitimately hilarious. Imagine the conversation around this team if they had just even average goaltending.
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This was the last game Simmonds played.
Have to wonder if it’s the last game he’ll ever play, and if so, what a vintage Wayne Simmonds way to go out.
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A lot of people weren't familiar with the Matthew Knies and Fraser Minten picks and the spot they were taken.
Let's just give Wes Clark and his team a chance here.
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Frank Seravalli on the DFO pod on Marner:
"I think the Leafs are going to make a play and they're going to basically back him into a corner over the next three weeks that says Mitch it's been great but we're moving on, so whether it's now or eight months from now your times up"
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per CJ, there’s an expectation the leafs and tavares will talk contract extension in the near future
i think this gets done before camp at an extremely team-friendly number, there's little reason to have this drag out - the leafs want him to stay and he wants to retire here
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per kyper, "sounds like the Leafs are so impressed with Steve Lorentz’s start to the season that they would like to extend his one-year deal at some point in the new year."
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- Two goals from the fourth line
- Samsonov only surrendered two goals against
- First time giving up less than four goals at home this season
- Leafs scored five and only one came from the Core Four
- Leafs immediately came to the defence of their teammates after two open ice
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mvp chants in his opponents barn.
he is literally HIM.
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friedman says the leafs want a right shot defensemen. that rules out hanifin and chychrun.
he says the leafs don’t want to trade their first round pick for a rental. that rules out tanev.
legitimately have no idea who treliving is going to acquire and it’s quite exciting
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nylander is a different breed when he’s playing with two scrubs
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Tyler Bertuzzi leads all Leafs forwards in:
- Expected goals (61%)
- Shot attempts (57%)
- Scoring chances (61%)
- High-danger chances (62%)
And is third in Goals For at 58%
I'd be looking to get him extended as soon as possible. His number on a four- or five-year deal
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wonder if TOR's in on tarasenko
familiarity with berube/savard & he's the only UFA left with a strong track record of putting the puck in the net & *could* play on the 2nd line
he might be this years bertuzzi/domi, waiting out the market after day 1, TOR needs to clear cap tho
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Elliotte Friedman on the Jeff Marek Show:
"We talked about Toronto’s fourth line, I'm going to be very curious to see if Knies or Abruzzese get chances in the NHL with the Leafs in April"
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Highest surplus value per Dom's player cards:
1. Tage Thompson - $10.6M
2. Roope Hintz - $9.4M
3. Patrice Bergeron - $9M
4. Jason Robertson - $8.7M
5. Nathan MacKinnon - $7.9M
6. Mark Giordano - $7.7M
7. Rasmus Sandin - $7.7M
8. Michael Bunting - $7.6M
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Still thinking about this play and what would've happened to the building if he scored and who does this is in their *first career playoff game*
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Among forwards at even-strength, Auston Matthews is currently projected to be the league's best offensive *and* defensive player by GAR.
But they'll tell you he isn't the best player in the NHL.
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Mitch Marner since returning from COVID protocol:
•30 GP
•53 points (1st)
•21 goals (T4th)
•36 5v5 points (1st)
•2+ points 18 times
•TOR has outscored opponents 70-48 with him on the ice at 5v5
Marner's making an underrated case for the MVP. Won't win but he's a sleeper.
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Noah Gregor is on pace for 14 goals while averaging the fourth most shorthanded minutes per game among Leafs forwards.
They're getting some real good value out of his $775K.
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Pierre LeBrun on TSN1050 says Sam Gagner was a name that came across to him this week as a potential bottom-six fit for the Leafs, as a local guy who's best friends with John Tavares.
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i think my biggest pleasant surprise with OEL so far isn't how good of a skater he is or how impressive he's been defensively, but just how nasty he can play
not afraid to mix it up, it's a lot different from some other puck-moving D we're used to seeing
i already love him
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Best defensemen since the beginning of last season at suppressing chances against by RAPM:
1. TJ Brodie
2. Jared Spurgeon
3. Chris Tanev
It makes very little sense for the Leafs to move on from Brodie to bring in Tanev and Zadorov, you add those two players *to* Brodie.
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Elliotte Friedman on the Jeff Marek Show on Hall's fine:
"I heard it was brewing in Leaf Land about how, look, we got two guys suspended this year for retaliation so this is retaliation and then when it was a fine...I could only imagine what's going on in there right now"
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Bring me the kid line:
Knies-Holmberg-Robertson
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Mirtle says his understanding is there is mutual interest between the Leafs and Laurent Brossoit 👀
Brossoit's top priority at 31 will be to go to a good team where he can start frequently and he believes the Leafs fit the bill
His guess: a relatively short-term deal around $3M
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Rumblings, per Siegel/Mirtle
- Leafs were runners-up for Markstrom, their 1st round pick was part of the offer
- Tanev is the Leafs top choice
- Leafs interested in Roy despite ~$6M AAV
- Leafs like Perron/Joshua/Debrusk
- Bertuzzi/Domi looking likely to head to market on Monday
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This is why TSN games are elite. Obviously they're local broadcasts so it's different but you don't get this type of pro-Leafs energy with Sportsnet
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jon cooper getting fired after back to back first round exits and keith pelley giving him the absolute bag might restore my faith in this franchise
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I am once again asking to get John Tavares a new winger
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ROR almost made up for leaving this team in the dust last offseason
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the amount of people twisting themselves into believing matthews isn't deserving of a hart nominee is insane
he's earned 57% of his points at 5v5 (best of the bunch) & has 90 primary points, which is two back of mcdavid
he's also *easily* the best defensive player of the group
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kind of quietly, knies finished the season tied for the second most 5v5 points among rookies. he & marco rossi are at 33 5v5 points, which is just one back of bedard for league lead
he moved around the lineup a ton, essentially playing on every line. all-around impressive season
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mirtle on the leaf report says the leafs were really, really close to getting matt roy (would’ve been instead of OEL) and i’m going to turn into the joker
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Knies looks so much faster and a way better skater than the last time we saw him
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it’s an *extremely* low bar, but i feel like lyubushkin is not nearly as bad with the puck on his stick and moving his feet as people make him out to be
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It's frustrating to see NYR just come off a conference finals appearance and are now dumping *THEIR CAPTAIN* in his prime and it's looking like the Leafs are running back a core who's won one round in 8 years
if Marner isn't moved it's because Treliving didn't try hard enough
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