Nology
@nology3000
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Investments and trades into #BTC and #altcoins . Have a plan, don't panic, and switch bias when new data hits. It's that simple.
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Pinned Tweet
This is going to be a long post.
My structural guide for the coming
#altcoin
explosion. Because you can't deploy capital across all during
#altseason2024
and there will indeed be capital rotation amongst alts.
This should crystalize visually what I've been alluding to in
Look at the
#altcoins
that released in 2024 that have strength, vs legacy ones that look 'tired' that's the biggest clue I can drop.
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#RealioNetwork
I'm adjusting my perspective here on $RIO as more data has hit and momentum slows down.
I'm looking at a wave 1 top at ~ $2.10 - time based fibs suggest Oct 2nd.
We'll correct for about 5 days to a week afterwards in my opinion.
This chart I watch closely,
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Just a drawing because no one wants to look at price right now.
They call it
#Altseason
for a reason.
Note the green rectangles.
#BTC
is farther up in it's wave cycles than most
#Altcoins
and I don't mean
#Total3
here. You can reference my post earlier today on alternation
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#Realio
$RIO follows the path after a wave (ii)
This is my outline for the next few weeks. Deepest retrace I can see is to ~ $0.87 after which we continue on.
My wave (3) target is perhaps a bit too aggressive.
Let's see.
Good Luck on this
#RWA
play .
$RIO
Notice something? These charts all have the same set ups, completed wave 2's.
These line's I've drawn, were all ideas at specific points in time.
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#FET
/ $ASI
Great moves on $FET here. Again not worried about the prospect of this coin, this one has been consistently strong.
My current POV on $ASI below. If we blow past $1.70 we are in a 1-2/1-2.
This chart deserves more updates as we go long.
I hope you
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#LINK
Fantastic break out of the trend line for $LINK.
An aggressive scenario is reaching over $16 then retracing into a 2.
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$QNT. I can't describe how mega bullish this set up is for $QNT. 2 nested 1/2 waves in a huge 1/2 that started in summer 2022.
Target hit at $126, more than likely we won't touch the invalidation point. Buckle up.
Retweet appreciated.
LFG!
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#FET
Long Term Forecast
When $FET, $OCEAN and $AGIX merge into $ASI next week, I don't expect there to be much deviation from price. Especially given $FET holders are going to get 1:1 for $ASI.
It all depends on where $ASI lands in the wave up, which is supposed to be in
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#RENDER
When $RENDER goes into beast mode, it likes to run in a series of nested 1-2's and 3-5's. I don't expect anything differently this time.
The two scenarios are yellow and white, if yellow is true we don't make it below $5.30.
The path looks something like this - we
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$EGLD
Was amazing in the previous run. But I feel bad for $EGLD holders not having any action but downside all year, almost 71%.
My current outlook is similar to that of $SUI when I called in early August that a macro wave 2 was completing.
$EGLD needs to stay above $21
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#FET
$ASI / $FET had a harsh wave iv correction and comes very close to invalidation of this longer term count.
Chart shows late January of 2025 for a completed wave v should we not get invalidated.
Press buy and sell wisely. $FET proves volatile, if you every held a
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$PYR
#VulcanForged
Cryptogaming was all the hype last cycle and it'll be just as strong this cycle.
#PYR
waking up. Bearishness for
#altcoins
right now is unwarranted.
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@CarlZha
It's a beautiful city. I was there last year, I've never seen anything like it anywhere.
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#ROSE
I haven't looked at $ROSE's chart in a long time.
If you follow me you know I pay attention to when something retraces to the 3.618.
I think we're ready for blast off here folks.
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#BTC
Thursday chop to a Friday Pop! We did it fam, $BTC followed this scenario well and we're not too far from the wave 5 target.
The next question is how much of a retrace and how long. I expect us to pump out of the retrace by early next week, maybe even the weekend.
#BTC
Late longs are going to get punished here. I've seen some posts showing $BTC open interest at really high levels right now and believe lots of positions are going to be under.
I wouldn't be surprised if we went sideways for Thursday with short sellers thinking this is a
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#ROSE
$ROSE is still on track. If we get out of $0.1455 sustained above then this isn't a corrective wave.
And we're just watching it V-Bottom out.
#ROSE
This coin does not care that the market is dumping and is following this impulsive scenario without invalidation as of yet.
Should we continue on, I expect it to reject around its previous local high, after which we will get mania.
Be like $ROSE, low key making
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#ROSE
This coin does not care that the market is dumping and is following this impulsive scenario without invalidation as of yet.
Should we continue on, I expect it to reject around its previous local high, after which we will get mania.
Be like $ROSE, low key making
#ROSE
It's stared in my the last post. The send is coming now.
$ROSE's price structure looks very similar to $PYR at the moment, V bottom out of here.
My expectation looks something like the orange.
To time the market means that you spend time in market.
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#POOH
I can't even...
I can't describe the price potential for $POOH without sounding like I'm paid to schill this thing.
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#ONDO
The bull argument for $ONDO holds onto to its last thread.
We can get invalidation of this count very quickly based on the 4hr close.
#ONDOFinance
I haven't given the $ONDO chart some love in a while.
That was a very awkward wave 3 in my opinion, but I'm going with it.
'Uptober' but only for certain coins. Capital rotation is real.
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$QNT Early Dec I was convinced this was going to mid $70's. Glad I was wrong. Entirely a bullish set up IMO at the moment. $116 invalidation point.
LFG.
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I want to thank
@tonythebullBTC
again for reposting this, because we are literally at the cusp of this.
I want folks to note the date here, April 12th, when $BTC was retracing again- and hit my target spot on in fact - and people were collectively losing their shit calling the
Just a drawing because no one wants to look at price right now.
They call it
#Altseason
for a reason.
Note the green rectangles.
#BTC
is farther up in it's wave cycles than most
#Altcoins
and I don't mean
#Total3
here. You can reference my post earlier today on alternation
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@SuspendedRobot
The Sinophobic phenomenon writ large. I've never seen so many people who've never been to a country have such strong perceptions and opinions that were so skewed.
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#FLOKI
Upwards, yet a slow stair case up. My invalidation level is marked.
I still have a bullish bias on $FLOKI until invalidated.
#FLOKI
Almost invalidated my count but $FLOKI is performing beautifully.
This dog is still on track for more green candles IMO with several closers above my EMA ribbon.
Follow the scenario until it doesn't, but still moving on strong.
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#SEI
Let $SEI settle and finish off it's wave 2, my current read is a retrace to around $0.3250
$SEI has a very strong future head some of the targets here remind me of $SOL back in 2020.
This coin goes to $1 for its wave 5 on its i. Some serious potential here and I'll
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@bennyjohnson
The US government is up for sale to the highest bidder, make no mistake of that. I don't care Republican or Democrat.
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#Aptos
I've been very vocal for sometime about how I did not like $APT chart and that $SUI >$APT.
Why? $APT was a in a corrective structure since the initial wave after launch. (First shot)
But know an argument that a new impulse has started is becoming valid. (2nd
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#ZEPH
Ok $ZEPH, my orders hit, lets see what you can do now.
@ChifoiCristian
#Zeph
I don't hold $ZEPH. But I think I will. Chart looks too good right now and the risk to reward is fantastic.
What does this thing do? I don't know, but just by the chart looks great.
I want to see a close by the candle wick. If it hits $6.60 I'm aping.
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Uptober might not be to your expectations.
First week of October looks corrective to me for major
#altcoins
.
Expecting some local tops for the next 2-3 days.
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$MOTHER
Seeing some new scenario's on $MOTHER here.
The scenario's all depend on the correction.
White: The C leg in the bullish (white) scenario subdivided into two corrective waves, giving us an impulse wave into a 1 and a near completed 2.
Orange: The most recent
$MOTHER
Mother gives. But right now
#MOTHER
is on a retracement to finish wave 2. It'll certainly go back up and I have some levels marked off.
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$MOTHER
The orange scenario seems more likely now, I'm satisfied we have a wave 4.
Let's see how well $MOTHER follows this scenario.
If we shoot past the target I'll revert to the other more bullish scenario.
We can now leverage trade $MOTHER....
Good Lord...
I have a an orange and white scenario. White scenario is super bull, orange scenario falls in line with what I see with most
#altcoins
.
Shorter term I think the correction is done. A lot of coins want to pump out and
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I haven't looked at an
#AVAX
chart for a very long time. I no longer hold this but I'm considering some positions here.
$AVAX could have a bumpy start a month with renewed impulse moves - time based fibs suggest sometime end of this week or early next week if the current
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$FIL
In a previous post, I mentioned that a leading diagonal was the only bullish argument I could find.
Taking into account
#FIL
previous price action, below is another way to view the price action over the last couple of years.
First Scenario: Moves from 2023 have been
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#METIS
Some great action here on $METIS and one of the strongest in L2's. No loss of EWT structure here at all.
We have a level at $33.4 that I want to see us sustain above for bullish PA.
Otherwise, this thing is mooning.
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#SEI
It's time for $SEI to make the call on whether it wants to further correct or impulse its way out of here.
The 4hr closes above my slow (red) ema are promising.
Should we go below $0.36 it invalidates my alternate count. Which I'd be totally fine with given that the
#SEI
Short Term Update
I'm seeing two scenario's for $SEI as of now.
The first is a new count - I considered this before but didn't love it.
We've completed a 5 wave move upwards and are on a C leg of the correction. The correction can further subdivide lower to ~$0.31 if
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$DXY target remains the same $94, I give it a ~ year.
$EURUSD will push this index lower. You know what this means?
The count does suggest that after the drop, $DXY goes back up... way way up...
NFA
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#FLOKI
[Short Term and Long Term Update]
Nothing has changed with my long term $FLOKI count and price targets. Everything is going as planned.
Search for confluence anon. The fib targets match the pitchforks. Time base fibs match the pitchforks. It's all there, you just
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#EGLD
Buying this $EGLD chart right now is akin to buying $SOL at $7 again.
The risk to reward here is phenomenal.
$EGLD
Was amazing in the previous run. But I feel bad for $EGLD holders not having any action but downside all year, almost 71%.
My current outlook is similar to that of $SUI when I called in early August that a macro wave 2 was completing.
$EGLD needs to stay above $21
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#Bitcoin
a month later.
A strongly pounced B wave, past the 0.618 fib level, none considered this $BTC scenario seriously. The market always humbles you.
I've seen the best on this app get 2024 wrong.
Longer term, a 5th wave is needed to complete this picture.
It's
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All my serious spot buys have been executed. No more buying.
I'm in sit back and watch mode for
#Altseason
and $BTC.
We're all just printing money at this point.
Only trading portfolio will be managed.
Good Luck.
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#INJ
$INJ did not make that 5 wave move down. Instead had a more awkward correction.
Anything above $9 is still extremely bullish for this coin. I'm not getting scared out of this.
I don't think the herd is ready for a $280 $INJ.
#INJ
$INJ looks to want to complete 5 waves down for a C wave.
I'm a buyer of $INJ at ~$13 with a triple digit target should the count stay valid.
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#HNT
My feed is completely silent on $HNT. But you shouldn't be fading it at this point into the run.
After finishing a wave i from July to Aug, $HNT is now beginning a lesser degree wave 1 into the parent wave iii.
One more retrace after 5 making (1), then its parabola
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Everyone want's mania in the charts.
It's mostly boring up and down until you get to that mania, especially for
#altcoins
and upcoming
#altseason
.
You have to spend time in the market to time the market anon. There's no way around it.
I try to front run the big
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I've got some $SOL meme bags but I want to hear from the hive mind.
What am I missing?
$HAMMY
$HARAMBE
$MUMU
$POPCAT
$NOMNOM
$KPOP
Open to some suggestions have some powder I can throw around.
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#TIA
I've not held $TIA. But the chart from 2023 looks fantastic.
If past performance is any indication, then $TIA likes to have short wave 1's and even longer wave 5's, quite uncharacteristic from most coins.
Measuring $TIA for targets proves unconventional. So I'm
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#SEI
We've washed out the 4hr bearish div with RSI hitting 50% and back into the bull zone.
There are two corrective scenario's at the moment for $SEI.
ABC is complete at $0.4339 or we further divide into a WXY with a target of $0.4015.
With momentum indicators strong
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#Bitcoin
long term forecast.
Basically nothing has change with the count, just the path to get there. Some notes to highlight here.
1. $BTC should reject ~ $92K late August/early September.
2. That wave 4 will be sharp and violent given the duration of wave 2 that I
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#XRP
$XRP is going into full send mode.
It probably reaches the target much faster than I've outlined here.
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$BTC.D
May 2022 - almost 2 years in the making.
#BTC
dominance wicked to 57% and now is experiencing a bearish div on the weekly and 2 weekly TF on both Stochastic and RSI.
You KNOW what this means.
$BTC is King, always will be- but now it's time for
#Altcoins
.
I
$BTC.D is looking at its last leg IMO
Target is still within the 54% area. Get ready.
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$FIL
I haven't posted on
#Filecoin
in quite some time.
I never liked the structure to be honest, looks super awkward hard to anticipate with lots of strong wicks.
But with all that said my current read on $FIL is below.
The max potential for $FIL IMO is at its ATH with
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@ChifoiCristian
This is the most unique take I've seen on CT in some bro. My hats off to you.
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@MuricanOriental
You can provide logical answers like
1) Extreme high cost of living
2) Longest working hours in the OECD
3) Intense competition in education, corporate and professional life - see reasons 1 and 2
4) High cost of education for children
But ya, misogyny.
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#FET
/ $ASI
And we did it fam. $FET decided to pump up instead of correct further.
This is an insanely bullish chart imo. But for right now, it looks we're due for some sideways chop for $ASI.
I count 3 nested 1-2's. And each corrective wave is getting shallower and
#FET
/ $ASI Short Term Update
We have some great follow through here on a move indicating a 1-2,1-2 wave. Beginning the 3!
$FET is highly volatile which makes it great to trade or blow up your account.
Either this is the full send opportunity or one smaller leg down.
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#ONDO
My followers like $ONDO better than $PENDLE. Not sure why, both are great.
The correction on $ONDO is quite a mess particularly from Aug 11th. But we're seeing some relief.
If the correction isn't done, I'm looking to buy up hard in the low 0.50's.
Otherwise
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@Kanthan2030
United Fruit... That was the first case study I went in depth on of CIA installing governments overseas.
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#WIF
A minor leg down left for $WIF then resumption of the uptrend.
There are a lot of awkward wave 3's out there that aren't measuring up to how I normally approach my targets, but this looks some what sane to me.
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#RENDER
I've had to rework the $RENDER count because all my $RNDR charts aren't available anymore.
We're still on track. Wave iv's are horrible and designed to test your conviction. I'm comfortable calling this a wave iv given that wave ii was only a month. There's
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#Bitcoin
Great move on king
#crypto
here. This chart visualizes my sentiment. Yes, higher, but no reason to enter long here. Bears licking their wounds are sidelined for now.
I expect $BTC to hit around $72K-$74K to complete wave 1 then a retrace.
At that point in time
Yes higher, we are nowhere near cycle highs. The question is do you enter long right here.
And my answer is absolutely not.
Wait for a retrace or if you buy spot and don't mind volatility you're fine.
Only bears that don't know how to do TA think we're done in the cycle.
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$imgnAI It's almost as if Fibonacci levels work. 🤷
Great set up. I reckon we are beginning Wave 3. Great project IMO that actually produces something despite the multitude of
#AI
scamcoins.
I'm not fading this at all. LFG!!
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@ChifoiCristian
Successful people don't hang with OF models. They support their families and loved ones.
That's it.
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#RUNE
Stays on track with the scenario, moving into a lesser degree wave 3.
$RUNE is going to melt faces.
Depending on how we top, I can reconsider price action as corrective from Aug - September instead of an impulse.
This is important as it has a lot of implication
#RUNE
Are you paying attention? I was giving you this alpha while people were screaming for a $30K $BTC.
$RUNE blazed past the 0.786 fib marker and is beginning it's wave 3.
The train is leaving. Did you pack?
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$GME
It's crazy when you think about it. The first completed impulse wave for $GME was back in 2021 Feb.
It's been in a long and complex wave 2 for about 3 years now.
Only back in April of 2024 did we begin a new impulse wave.
Here's the insight. From the first two
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#OndoFinance
#Ondo
wants to stay bullish!!!! Pumped out of what I can call a 3 wave move so far.
I expect the first wave to finish soon. I've cleaned up my short term target for $ONDO, we don't break $1 just yet, just a hair below, but after that it's wave3.
If we surpass
#ONDO
The bull argument for $ONDO holds onto to its last thread.
We can get invalidation of this count very quickly based on the 4hr close.
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5
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You're going to see me be annoying bullish on
#altcoins
for the next few weeks.
This is the time to set yourself up. If you've held for years and haven't seen your choices run up, this time is for you.
#altseason2024
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#Dogecoin
Going in depth on $DOGE I'm reading this as a wave (4) that should resolve soon.
Target still remains the same.
It's going to bumpy in the next corrective wave, I expect some long sideways.
#DOGE
No change to the scenario and targets. Good!
Not as strong as $SHIB right now but still gains to be had.
There are some targets for a $10 $DOGE floating around. I say its achievable in my most aggressive scenario. It all depends how you measure.
Either way you
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#FET
/ $ASI Short Term Update
We have some great follow through here on a move indicating a 1-2,1-2 wave. Beginning the 3!
$FET is highly volatile which makes it great to trade or blow up your account.
Either this is the full send opportunity or one smaller leg down.
#FET
/ $ASI
Great moves on $FET here. Again not worried about the prospect of this coin, this one has been consistently strong.
My current POV on $ASI below. If we blow past $1.70 we are in a 1-2/1-2.
This chart deserves more updates as we go long.
I hope you
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1
16
Honestly, CT is too quiet right now given all the price action. Either most folks are sidelined because they were too bearish or everyone is quietly busy working on their trades.
I hope it's the latter.
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$TSLA
I hold no $TSLA, so I have no skin in this game.
Long term structure on $TSLA looks fantastic. I've got some conviction that the high in 2022 was a lesser degree wave 1 in a larger degree wave 3.
Shorter term however the picture is a bit more ambiguous.
After a
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#NEAR
Let's go $NEAR. Finish off the 5 as planned.
I'm adjusting the count on
#NEAR
A lot of these awkward wave 3's are throwing me off a bit, but we still find the most plausible scenario in the tea leaves.
One more up to around ~$6.50. We had a Monday pump day on $NEAR last week, let's see if that day is significant.
My
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#Bitcoin
Not looking as strong as my super bullish scenario. $BTC likely to top in the $70's.
Depending on how you measure wave 5 is stopping at $70,800 - $73,500. My current bet is the lower range.
In the short term there's still downside risk to king
#crypto
.
If
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$METIS
Been a while since I've given
#METIS
some attention. Hit the target within a hair. Still feels like it can reach $112 before going into wave 4.
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We're about to embark on gains that we haven't seen since 2020.
Special respect and shout out these folks on CT that helped me keep a sane head throughout the bear market.
2022
@rickus_trades
@decodejar
@Woo_Minkyu
@AdithiaKusno
These were perhaps the only folks on CT
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#ONDO
That was the last line of defense for $ONDO's impulsive move.
A retrace down to the 0.886 level to complete wave 2.
I want to see sustained action above $1.18 as confirmation that we are going towards Wave 3.
If so then the scenario below, or some variant of it is
#ONDO
This is not a bearish post.
$ONDO is playing out a few scenario's to me at the moment.
Scenario 1: Correction done and the latest move is impulsive.
Scenario 2: Prolonged Correction WXY
Scenario 3: ABCDE Triangle
I'm not bearish on $ONDO. Sitting on my hands
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$TAO
This is a strong chart. And, my final targets are much too ridiculous - I don't believe it.
I don't hold a bag, but it has my interest and my attention.
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#RNDR
/
#RENDER
Primary count for $RNDR/ $RENDER remains unchanged. Very strong bounce off of the channel completing a WXY correction.
Concerns regarding the move to the
#solana
chain were unwarranted. Posts across CT last week were panicking that the migration to $SOL was a
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#STX
I like $STX. After the invalidation a nested 1/2 is likely.
Get ready for action outside the channel.
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$COIN
One more minor leg down. Not expecting a lower low and worst case scenario is still ~$117. I will buy up again if it hits that level.
Bigger picture, my wave 5 target for $COIN is ~ $460 late December or early 2025.
$COIN
The last levels of retracement I'll entertain on $COIN is around $135, there is some confluence at around $125.
Below $112, this count becomes invalidated.
Great place to watch $coin for confirmation to get in what is potentially the last leg up.
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@rickus_trades
I see where you your $120K target now.
Those numbers I'm assuming are angle degrees?
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