nestay
@nestayxbt
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the golden is my religion.
Trade alts with me:
Joined March 2019
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The start of a new golden cycle.
I believe in the golden to be the most influential level in markets. Last cycle i published the same idea and it worked like a charm. Let's do it again, here's the road to $48850. Read more:
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8 years in crypto but i don't think i've ever seen a setup this explosive.
#Bitcoin
is a ticking time bomb.
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The first ever golden break before halving.
We are deviating from the 4 year cycle.
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This is what happened after each golden break.
Are you bullish enough?
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$BTC is down 20% since the golden rejection so far and history tells us that the drop is not over yet.
$BTC's last golden (61.8) rejections resulted in a -30% drop. Are you prepared?
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An oversold daily is rare, it happened only 40 times to Bitcoin in 14 years time.
This combined with a hidden bullish divergence is even more rare, this is only the 3rd time.
A golden opportunity?
#Bitcoin
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The fractal that has been guiding us for the 3rd cycle suggests a top as early as August.
Be prepared.
#Bitcoin
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This is the 3rd bullrun that starts with a black swan.
From there we copy each structure in the fractal.
Mark-up next.
#Bitcoin
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It's time.
Fasten your seatbelt.
#Bitcoin
Historically we saw high volatility just below ATH consolidating for the god candle into price-discovery.
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$BTC 2017 vs 2024
Golden (61.8) rejection ☑️
ATH deviation ☑️
Price discovery ⏳
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In the past, the time span from golden break to cycle top was 10-13 months.
If we repeat this sequence, we can expect this cycle's top in Q1 2025.
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2023 was just a warm-up.
2024 will be a year we will never forget.
I am grateful for all the new people on here. Although i have a busy life outside crypto, i'm taking a step back out of everything to fully focus on the market again. Thanks to all of your support my account has
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before / after
$BTC this is how I see the next few weeks playing out.
The textbook bullflag long will be an overcrowded trade and we won't extend higher than x1.236-x1.382. A Christmas dump will occur before we enter the final leg into the golden tap ($48k) on ETF approval. It's difficult to
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It's about to get very wild.
Just fasten your seatbelt, sit back and enjoy the ride.
#Bitcoin
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If we manage to break the golden here, it will be the first time ever that it happens before halving.
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2025 will be a copy of 2017 if we continue the sequence.
This is the calm before the storm.
Everything is aligned, just bullieve.
#Bitcoin
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2023 vs 2024
Same structure sequence, a year apart.
Final shake-outs before the impulse higher.
Time to pay attention.
#Bitcoin
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$BTC 2017 vs 2024
Dips are for buying, $60k is around the corner.
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Send it back turbo.
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$BTC: we are here (2020 vs 2024)
$BTC's road to ATHs. (2020 vs 2024)
So far, we have been copying the structure of the previous cycle before price discovery and i expect us to continue doing so. S/R flip of the re-accumulation range should be next, followed by vertical accumulation before the bull-run into new
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2016/17 vs 2023/24
1. zigzag ABC✔️
2. flat ABC ✔️
3. zigzag ABC✔️
New highs next?
#Bitcoin
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Are we entering a 2017-style post-halving parabolic run?
#Bitcoin
We seem to be following this 2017 playbook:
1. cycle bottom 17 months prior to halving
2. ca +376% pre-halving mark-up
3. post-halving retrace dipping W-RSI back below 50
4. new high after +3 months of re-accumulation next?
#Bitcoin
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Max fear = max opportunity.
All the ingredients for an explosive move are here.
We just need a little more patience.
#Bitcoin
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$BTC we are here:
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2 months later and we have arrived at the mark-up zone.
It could happen anytime now in the coming weeks.
Be ready.
#Bitcoin
Yes, i think the bottom is (close) to in.
No, i'm not expecting new highs straight away.
A failed mark-up into HTFs entering oversold is usually followed by a period of re-accumulation which can take several months.
Patience will be rewarded, a successful mark-up will come.
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Memes season 2.
Time for expansion.
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The bull keeps running for another 9-12 months from here.
#Bitcoin
In the past, the time span from golden break to cycle top was 10-13 months.
If we repeat this sequence, we can expect this cycle's top in Q1 2025.
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In the past, the time span between golden break and reaching a new ATH was 34-72 days.
Will we see a first ever pre-halving ATH, which is estimated to be in 61 days?
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This kind of vertical accumulation has always led to expansion.
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Parabolic build-up into $80k-$100k.
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$BTC's golden rejected. How deep can we go now?
I believe we keep following the '15-'17 cycle and retest the re-accumulation range. If we repeat it exactly, by correcting 48.5% of the pre-cycle rally, we would come out on 32700. A perfect retest of the re-accumulation range
$BTC: how i see the next few months playing out.
So far, our current golden cycle is most similar to the '15-'17 one. We started off with a crash, but it recovered fast, a re-accumulation period followed and now we are heading into the golden rejection. If we do reject, i expect
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Gold's vs Bitcoin's ETF price action.
In both cases we saw a rally in anticipation of the approval. Many believe gold went up-only after its ETF launched but the reality is that it corrected at least 0.5 of its anticipation rally first. A long period of re-accumulation followed
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The very last dip.
These are the very last dips gathering fuel for the god candle into price-discovery.
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We are here in the golden cycle:
The start of a new golden cycle.
I believe in the golden to be the most influential level in markets. Last cycle i published the same idea and it worked like a charm. Let's do it again, here's the road to $48850. Read more:
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$ETH we are here.
This seems like a failed breakout and we might drop back into this ascending triangle while the market re-accumulates into BTC's halving. The real breakout comes later this year imo. Just a little more patience.
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We are still in a -30% drop.
$BTC's last golden (61.8) rejections resulted in a -30% drop. Are you prepared?
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Last cycle, it took 7 weeks from the golden break to the price discovery mark-up.
This cycle's golden break is also 7 weeks ago.
Hopium of the day.
#Bitcoin
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First of many god candles.
This is what happened after each golden break.
Are you bullish enough?
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An oversold daily post-halving has always been a golden opportunity before the parabolic run kicked off.
This time is not different imo.
#Bitcoin
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Deja-vu.
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$BTC we are here.
After previous cycle's 5 motive waves into the golden an ABC correction took place where C wave revisited the support level of the 2nd motive wave. This would mean that we re-visit $33-35k in the coming months.
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Gold printed this structure during high volatility in markets leading up to the 2008 elections.
Now, Bitcoin is replicating the same structure, in the same environment.
Guess what's next.
#Bitcoin
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$BTC is halfway through the -30% drop.
$BTC's last golden (61.8) rejections resulted in a -30% drop. Are you prepared?
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Many ask about my cycle top target.
Tbh, i don't think anyone has a clue and it's mostly just guessing. Last cycle, no one thought we would only reach 70k and then re-visit 20k. But this fractal that i published more than 5 years ago (by just copying historical PA) did indicate
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This is a sequence that happens all the time in a corrective section:
A wave takes out the low of 4th motive wave
B wave is a deadcat
C wave retests the low of 2nd motive wave
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This whole ETF move we we're 2 steps ahead.
1. signaled the mark-up to 48k
2. the consolidation period
3. the next impulse to 44.7k
4. the send after golden ping
5. the retrace back to 40k
6. the send back to the high
7. the next high at 46k
8. the 1.236 rejection
9. the final
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Calm before the storm.
Reminder that memes are going a lot higher.
2nd mark-up is loading.
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$BTC's last golden (61.8) rejections resulted in a -30% drop. Are you prepared?
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Breakout candle waiting room.
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After the initial -30% drop following last golden rejections, an even deeper retrace took place.
In 2016 we retraced -38%, which would take us to 30,4k now. In 2019 we retraced -54% (excl covid), which would take us to 22,5k now.
Although this is worst-case scenario, you
$BTC is down 20% since the golden rejection so far and history tells us that the drop is not over yet.
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Previous (old) ATH deviations led to a golden tap.
Not a guarantee. Dips are for buying.
2 possible scenarios from here:
A) we lose $69k and see a final dip before continuation
B) we hold $69k and break out of vertical accumulation from here
Which outcome do you think is next?
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The golden is my religion. The fractal is my guide.
The start of a new golden cycle.
I believe in the golden to be the most influential level in markets. Last cycle i published the same idea and it worked like a charm. Let's do it again, here's the road to $48850. Read more:
66
191
1K
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$BTC's road to ATHs. (2020 vs 2024)
So far, we have been copying the structure of the previous cycle before price discovery and i expect us to continue doing so. S/R flip of the re-accumulation range should be next, followed by vertical accumulation before the bull-run into new
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We are here in the golden cycle:
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Just a breather before the next mark-up.
$BTC will see a pre-halving ATH if it keeps copying previous cycle's post-black swan fractal.
After the FTX crash, we copied each phase that occurred after the COVID crash. If this continues, we'll see a new ATH early 2024. The ETF catalyst could make it happen.
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Reminder that memes are going a lot higher.
2nd mark-up is loading.
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Insert killer fractal.
It's time for the killer fractal. A timeline full of H&S calls is coming. Our path to the golden.
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$BTC is fueling up for 6 figures.
Yes, i think the bottom is (close) to in.
No, i'm not expecting new highs straight away.
A failed mark-up into HTFs entering oversold is usually followed by a period of re-accumulation which can take several months.
Patience will be rewarded, a successful mark-up will come.
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