4-Point Checklist To Winning The WH
@mets1992
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The 4-Point Checklist accurately predicted that Trump would win the 2024 election & I believe it is the #1 election model to forecast presidential elections.
Joined October 2010
4 point checklist: 1. Incumbent is seeking re-election 2. Avg Approval rating of incumbent > 50% 3. No recession in last 2 years 4. Stable economy as shown by real gdp higher in election year than first year in office. 2/4 or more false incumbent loses…...
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That’s good @TaniosSaadeeAnT @ChuckArmstron11
CBS Poll: President Trump Approval 🟢 Approve: 53% (+6) 🔴 Disapprove: 47% The highest approval rating for President Trump in CBS polling history —— • Ages 18-29: 55-45 (+10) • Ages 30-44: 52-48 (+4) • Ages 45-64: 56-44 (+12) • Ages 65+: 50-50 (=) --- • White: 61-39 (+22) • Black: 33-67 (-34) • Hispanic: 49-51 (-2) --- • Male: 60-40 (+20) • Female: 47-53 (-6) --- • Dem: 15-85 (-70) • GOP: 94-6 (+88) • Indie: 49-51 (-2) --- White no degree: 68-32 (+36) White 4 year degree: 49-51 (-2) —— YouGov | n=2,175 A | February 5-7
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RT @MAGAmerica4547: Allan Lichtman 2024 Election Night - Highlights- This Is Priceless! via @YouTube
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Maybe I should add an 8th point on the governors model for @ScottPresler involvement in an election lol @TaniosSaadeeAnT @ChuckArmstron11
Last year, we — together as a family — delivered Pennsylvania for President Trump. Now, we’re working to flip the New Jersey governorship from 🟦🔜🟥. @EarlyVoteAction is committed to continue delivering wins. Hope we make you proud.
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🤔
NEW - New Jersey voter registration- February 🔴 Republicans: +10,480 🔵 Democrats: -2,433 @MichaelPruser
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@TaniosSaadeeAnT @ChuckArmstron11 Ya not saying this alone will doom republicans but it’s a compounding effect you know if we have a larger crisis.
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@ChuckArmstron11 @TaniosSaadeeAnT This is what they did during Covid and it worked by the time the election rolled around.
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@ChuckArmstron11 @TaniosSaadeeAnT GDP in q-4 wouldn’t be surprised if this gets revised down much more.
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RT @mets1992: First approval rating released from Gallup for Trump second term and he’s <50%. @ChuckArmstron11 @TaniosSaadeeAnT
https://t.c…
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