Michael Joseph
@m0joseph
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Political Science, IR, intel & national security. UCSD. Also woodworker, ice cream maker, and concert enthusiast. Tweets count as peer-reviewed publications.
DC and San Diego
Joined June 2012
@BonnieGlaser No matter what you think of US policy it is thoroughly irresponsible to gode our allies into siding with China. The only thing that can come of your actions is to harm us.
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This is an awesome paper. Very interesting partisan implications that would complicate the strategic logic of crying wolf. Love it.
Excited to see this in print @apsrjournal! Do politicians benefit from making false claims of misinfo after a scandal? Short answer: they do. Important for accountability in an era with increasing awareness of deepfakes and genAI content @purduepolsci @PurdueLibArts @EmoryPolisci
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RT @kaylynjackson: Excited to see this in print @apsrjournal! Do politicians benefit from making false claims of misinfo after a scandal? S…
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Such an honor to win this award with @DanKrcmaric and @MichaelGoldfien. This PDB data is so rich that we won an award with summary statistics! Special thanks to the men and women of the IC who provided extensive background insights that helped us focus.
Excited my paper with @MichaelGoldfien & @m0joseph just won the Palmer Prize from @PeaceScienceSoc @cmpseditors. We use some fun data on leader biographies from the CIA. Here’s a summary of “When Do Leader Backgrounds Matter? Evidence from the President’s Daily Brief”: 1/
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Conditional marginal distribution of piecewise functions can go to hell. All the way to hell.
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RT @CIA: Today, John Ratcliffe was sworn in as the 25th Director of the Central Intelligence Agency. https://t.co…
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RT @EPerkoski: I'm thrilled to be the recipient of a grant from @SchmidtFutures to study the implications of Artificial Intelligence for te…
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This is bad for the US and represents a policy failure. We must unite our allies on this.
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It is rare for a rebel group to act so politically astute, controlling banks, accepting pm surrender and political messaging, etc. This seems like something someone with covert operations experience would advise them on. I hope it's @CIA, but if not, it's concerning
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Hot take: If my daughter was convicted of a felony, and I had the lawful power to pardon her, I would do it. But I would not make up a BS, reason. Performative nonsense is what is wrong with dem elites right now. Just be honest.
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@jonmummolo Do you have evidence for this? Wait, if not you don't need it because the statement becomes evidence of itself.
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