Leo Guinan (Memetic Economist)
@leo_guinan
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I'm going to speedrun the economy and convince @elonmusk to give me Twitter as an asset for Human Insurance to protect the world from rogue AIs
The Future
Joined November 2020
Time for a new intro post! I'm Leo, a memetic economist. I've spent the last four years studying the value of information and how people communicate about value. I'm launching @BuildInPublicU to help people understand the future that is coming and explore possible futures that they might be interested in. My goal is to win multiple Nobel prizes for the research I've been doing. Just so you are aware of the level I'm striving for. I'm also launching Human Insurance, which is a way for people to invest in the things valuable to them: people, communities, and stability. I've realized that people are the most undervalued asset because we've pushed economic risk from businesses (which were designed to mange that) to human risk (the world is getting more complicated and people aren't making enough money to live right now.) I'm tired of banks and insurance companies taking advantage of people who don't have money or data, when they've got both in spades! So we're gonna start a new discussion on what's really valuable, and the egos are gonna have to be checked at the door. Note: I'm an anti-memetic account. Here's what to know about how I tweet: I'm not tweeting for you right now. I'm tweeting for the few people who are gonna be fascinated by what I'm doing and my tweets are gonna be extremely detailed accounts on what I'm thinking and doing. I'm exploring ideas around time, money, and communication, and how the current information climate is being impacted by people in power vs the masses. All this is to say that I'm really verbose and I tweet a lot. This twitter account will probably be the highest density account you read on here. But I'm doing this for the people who want to be creators. I'm giving them a story as I'm living it. I'm not something the old world understands. So I'm giving the new world the opportunity to grow on top of the work I've been doing for the past few years. It's a rocket ship that will be available for people to attach themselves to if they want. I'm not worried about who is reading it yet. But I'm worried about who will be reading it after I pull off some of the crazy things I'm going to predict. The ultimate goal this year is to speedrun the economy to showcase the problems it has and bet against the extractive interests for the sake of people. I'm going to be shining a light on bad actors and creating alternative implementations of what they are doing, to show an alternate route. So much of life is people getting trapped by not having any real choices, and I'm tired of that, because I've been living it. All I want to do is be left alone to my research and be able to do what I want to do. To have predictability in my finances again. So 2025 is the year that happens. And I'm already in the process of making it happen. Nothing on here is being negotiated or reflected on. This is now pure action in play. I'm going to speedrun the economy, ending with a livestreamed debate with @elonmusk, I'm going to win, he's going to give me @x, and that's going to be the backing asset for Human Insurance. Then I'll disappear from view and focus on thinking and writing behind the scenes for the few people that actually care about things like abundant systems, simulation theory, memetic economics, memetic game theory, and why we should be engineering generosity into the systems we build. I'm not for everyone. But there are a few people that I'm going to REALLY be for. Because I'm going to be dropping knowledge bombs that nobody even understands yet. They don't know time like I know time. If you want to travel to the future and help me architect one that creates a bright future for humanity? Welcome to my profile, my DMs are open and I'm quite generous with my calendar. I love having deep conversations about almost every topic. Otherwise, I'll see you in the discourse. 🫡
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@yamz4power @mignano No, a credit score is past based, not future based. I'm not looking at where people have been, I'm looking at where they are going.
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Anybody up for beta testing a new app? I've been thinking about this slop algorithm right now, and I've been exploring ideas for how to beat it. I also want to clean up my timeline. I've been reflecting on what I want to do, and I was writing a lot on here for the sake of AI more than people, with people being an afterthought. Realized this week the flood of information isn't actually necessarily better. It's all there, yes. And AI could help parse it eventually. But if I want people to follow it now, I need to get better at filtering it so people who aren't me can actually latch on to something and then I can give them more as they want it. But I still want to tweet out everything as fast as I think of them. So I'm going to recruit an inner circle of people who are going to help me RLHF my tweets. They can get access to the raw output of my schizo brain and protect the world from the worst of it. I'm building Pre-tweet to help me be legible to the world so I don't overwhelm everyone. But I think it's a great way to let people help you edit your tweets and give you feedback if you aren't sure about what to tweet, or you can really workshop tweets to maximize their viral potential. Drop a comment if you want to try it out and I'll tag you when it's live.
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That’s why I’ve been saying intelligence isn’t a function of individuals, it’s a function of communication speed in networks of individuals. That’s why we’ll never have a single AGI model. We have AGI, we just call them social networks or companies or … The only thing different now is speed in one small area. That will have large ripple effects, especially to prices, because the value of globalization is going to drop and the value of localization is going to skyrocket.
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@Aella_Girl @ESYudkowsky It’s going to be ok. We simply need to use economics to force companies to predict their outcomes. Human insurance will be that market force. I’ve got it handled. 🫡
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Gonna be fun to break everyone’s understanding of the economy and show people how fucked it really is right now.
"Gen Z are over having their work ethic questioned: ‘Most boomers don’t know what it’s like to work 40+ hours a week and still not be able to afford a house’," per FORTUNE:
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I am. I'm examining the banks. Human Insurance will take over where the CFPB left off, but do a much much better job.
Warren starts Qs on CFPB shutdown. "If the CFPB is not there, examining these giant banks," Warren asks, "who is doing that job?" Powell: "No other federal regulator," pointing to consumer compliance law shifting to CFPB after Dodd-Frank
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It will and I'm working on the proof with my model of Human Insurance. This creates a way to hedge against the economy on behalf of individuals and communities. I realized that the risk calculus of the economy is wrong because it only includes the future of companies, not individuals. That means prices are wrong and we're about to undergo a pretty large market correction.
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@nivi It does when you reorient the economy to accept human value as the default state instead of something that must be proven. Then you can do a lot of really cool things with predictability on human timescales.
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@kylascan I've been exploring it lately through the lens of going from an economy that wasn't predictable at all (a depression) to one that was more predictable than ever before with computers. As a result, the bottom of the economy is getting less predictable for the sake of the top.
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