Ken Pomeroy
@kenpomeroy
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https://t.co/JsCXkq1i8L - https://t.co/Kr8X18WdOr - @forecastfactory - @kenpomgolf
Salt Lake City, UT
Joined January 2010
The field for the NCAA hockey tournament was announced on Sunday and it was totally determined by a rating system. Amazing concept! And sad that basketball refuses to consider it.
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I have a bone to pick with CBS/Turner. Their broadcasters have used my data (or something *very* similar) dozens of times in their tourney coverage so far. That's awesome! But they never credit the source of their data. ESPN is pretty good about this so it's not hard to do. (1/4).
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Manek came up gimpy after slipping on the final play. UNC played 6 guys: 3 ended up with sprained ankles and another puked.
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Congrats to the Big 12 which will finish as the highest-rated conference in my system for the sixth consecutive season.
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Whenever there is a new No. 1, why does the media always say, 'whoa this is a crazy season' instead of 'we suck at ranking teams'?.
.@KUHoops is the fifth different team to be ranked AP No. 1 this season. It's the first time in AP Poll history there have been five different No. 1 teams in a season before the new calendar year.
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Houston won 1 Quad 1 game. Illinois won 6 Quad 1 games. I can't believe this is happening!.
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Such a fun sport where making the playoffs doesn't depend on a team's accomplishments but a few gatekeepers evaluating whether the QB has enough arm talent. Imagine if the NFL playoffs were determined that way.
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In the 64-team era, there have been 36 teams to enter the tournament as a 1 or 2 seed that weren't ranked in the preseason AP poll. They have combined for zero Final Fours, averaging fewer than 2 wins per tournament. Good luck to Purdue and Marquette.
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The non court storm is the ultimate show of disrespect to your opponent.
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I'm feeling a strong urge to see USC/Gonzaga.
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College basketball venues by name. Centers: 146.Arenas: 101.Coliseums: 25.Gym/Gymnasiums: 19.Pavilions: 14.Halls: 11.Fieldhouses: 10.Domes: 6.Complexes: 6.Courts: 4.Forums: 3.Stadiums: 2.Spectrums: 2.
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when the people say "preseason ratings are useless" or "how can you have ratings before any games are played?", tell 'em that 10 of my preseason top 12 made the sweet 16.
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Can confirm.
Feel like this has to be the only time ever that two teams in a game both scored their pregame kenpom ranking.
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Jamie Dixon has coached six seasons at TCU. He has four of the best five seasons in TCU history.
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The next time there won't be a college basketball game on Tuesday is April 9.
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A March tradition: Gonzaga over-performing its seed and twitter crybabies making pathetic excuses for it. This makes 13 of the last 16 seasons the Zags have beat the win expectation for their seed. Twitter crybabies, unite! This is your time to shine. Fill up the replies, plz.
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The kenpom cron jobs have been turned off so my work here is done. Thanks to everyone who supported my work during this unusual season. Let's do it again in 6.5 months.
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Portland took a 3 down 4 when you "didn't need a 3" but they made it and that gave them a chance to make another 3 to send it to OT and that's why you need a 3 when people on TV say you don't need a 3.
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While people are on the subject of complaining about tennis rules, I'd like to say I think 15-30-40 is a poor way to count to 3.
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When an 0-11 Big East team beats the preseason title favorite, you have to at least be open to the idea that the new Big East is as good as the old Big East.
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Not surprisingly, Doug is wrong here. Home teams won 60.2% of home conference games in Nov/Dec. Home teams have won just 56.4% of conference home games over the past week.
That is because there have been so many home conference games in Nov/Dec when no one is there.
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Just checking in on how NIL is helping the rich get richer and noticing that Duke is an underdog tonight to a 1-7 ACC team in a historically bad year for the ACC.
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Almost everyone hates the idea of an 80 team tournament but if you count up all the teams a broadcaster says should be in the tournament over the next 3 weeks, I think you will get to about 80.
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The last minute of the Purdue/Michigan State game took 19 minutes.
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Unbeaten teams remaining: 353. As usual, good luck to everyone.
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This is the first year in history that every power conference team lost at least 6 games.
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Part of Edey's incredible value is that he's one of the rare 7-footers that can play 40 minutes. Clingan can't.
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Congrats to Mississippi State (53), San Francisco (101), Colgate (115), Belmont (125), and Lamar (358) who finished exactly where I had them in my preseason rankings. Thanks for behaving. I'll do better on the rest of the teams next year.
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I haven't seen a single expert pick Houston over Illinois in the 2nd round despite the fact that Houston will probably be favored in that game.
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And it's not just me. CBS/Turner has been citing other esoteric stats without credit. In addition to being the right thing to do, as a fan, I'd love to know where I can get that information. In short, CBS/Turner's policy of citing things w/o attribution is lame. Do better. (4/4).
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The last minute of Purdue/Michigan State lasted 21 minutes.
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Did the head of the selection committee say the committee considered Bill Self's absence in Kansas's seeding? An absolutely terrible consideration. I'd love to hear how the committee evaluated Norm Roberts' coaching ability.
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OK, kenpom out. As always, thanks for all the support, especially from all the Providence fans. Enjoy the offseason, everybody.
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By finishing off BYU in 1 hour, 59 minutes, Gonzaga has played 22 straight games in under 2 hours.
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Congrats to Saint Peter's for being the lowest seed ever to advance to the Sensational Six. Duke 36.1%, Villanova 30.0%, Kansas 21.5%, North Carolina 9.5%, Miami 2.3%, Saint Peter's 0.5%.
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The NCAA has built a successful business model making billions off the free/cheap labor of others but just because you are covering their event does not mean you have to follow in that tradition! Mention your source every 20th usage or something. It's not too much to ask. (3/4).
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Unbeaten teams remaining: 362 (Sorry, Mississippi Valley St.).
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i am famous.
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And Manek might have been concussed like twice before that. Never seen anything like it.
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Fun fact: Tennessee’s conference strength of schedule has been easier than Santa Clara’s and Washington State’s.
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Courtside for the nation's last home game, Cincinnati at Utah Valley.
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Congrats to UConn. In a year of parity, one of the most dominant runs in tourney history. Now, let's remember some tweets.
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Ahead of the NBA awards show, here were the best players in the NBA in 2018-19.
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Syracuse passes the eye test (which is why the eye test is dumb).
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Gonzaga outperforms its seed yet again. 16 times in 24 years under Few and 12 of the last 15 years.
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This will never not be weird to me about college hoops: In each of the past 45 seasons, the best team has lost at least once (and usually more). Yet when the consensus best team loses a game, the next day it is an outrageous opinion to think that team is still the best.
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Y’all can do whatever you want with your polls and narratives, but Duke, Kansas, and Michigan State are the best teams in the country.
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Don't worry Jalen Johnson fans, you can still cheer on Wake Forest's Jalen Johnson or Mississippi State's Jalen Johnson or Alabama A&M's Jalen Johnson or UIC's Jalen Johnson.
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Unbeaten teams remaining: 351. Good luck everybody. We can all be undefeated if we try.
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Gonzaga 27.8%, Kansas 13.4%, Houston 10.1%, Arizona 9.1%, UCLA 8.2%, Villanova 7.4%, Purdue 7.0%, Texas Tech 6.2%, Duke 4.8%, North Carolina 1.3%, Iowa State 1.0%, Providence 0.9%, Michigan 0.9%, Arkansas 0.9%, Miami 0.8%, Saint Peter's 0.04%.
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Seconds per possession, average height, minutes continuity, adjusted offense/defense/tempo are not facts like FG%. They are computed using someone's home-grown formulas, for which you paid basically nothing to get that info. (2/4).
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That's a wrap for the season. Congrats to all the teams for trying but especially the teams that finished in the exact spot that I had them in the preseason. (6) Arizona.(113) Hofstra.(307) Robert Morris.(315) Charleston Southern.(362) Mississippi Valley State. Game #6243:
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Fun fact: Peter Kiss led the country in both scoring and technical fouls (9).
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There can be only one. The solution where Jim Boeheim is using the eye test to choose between his buddy Rick Pitino or Josh Schertz isn't it.
Ken wants at larges to be awarded totally by numbers. Rick Pitino wants "basketball people" on the committee. Can they both be right?.
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I will stan Iowa basketball all day long. Their games are hella entertaining. Sure, they are flawed in major ways, but aren't we all?.
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Here's my computer's top 10 for 2019 assuming everyone in @DraftExpress top 40 leaves: 1) Kansas, 2) Duke, 3) Villanova, 4) Auburn, 5) Kentucky, 6) North Carolina, 7) Nevada, 8) West Virginia, 9) Gonzaga, 10) Virginia, 11) Maryland.
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I apologize for ranking Virginia too low in the preseason.
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Congrats to the real champs, Merrimack, who join a select group of non-tourney winners in modern times to finish the season with sole possession of the nation's longest win streak: 2017 Grand Canyon (7), 1992 UNLV (23). The Warriors are 12.5% of the way to the all-time record.
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Future generations will look back on the AP polls from the season and wonder why USC was ranked every week.
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Kind of surprising that the Ivy League cancelled its entire 2021 season and it did not affect the quality of men's basketball at all. Arguably having its best season in decades.
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Forfeits are dumb. Penalizing teams for getting sick and rewarding teams for wins they didn't earn are both terrible ideas.
DePaul’s game against Creighton canceled, which means the Blue Demons will forfeit — under the current Big East rules. I spoke to a Big East source yesterday who told me that this could ultimately be changed — depending on how many forfeits there are.
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The final 5 minutes of Rutgers/Purdue took 38 minutes of real time. A full game at that pace would last 5 hours and 4 minutes, and that's without halftime.
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Since I don't hear a lot of talk about them, worth noting that Tennessee is the SEC team most likely to get to the Final Four.
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Most postseason wins since 2016:.1. Villanova 20.2. Gonzaga 19.3. North Carolina 18.4. Kansas 16.5. Michigan 15.6. Coastal Carolina 14.
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5 Elite 8's in the last 8 tourneys, lol. And a 1 seed taken away by covid in the middle.
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If you want to argue about something, I ranked every D-1 program from 1-353. A handy reference if you get multiple head coaching or scholarship offers.
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Coaches and commentators have said for years the 'transfer epidemic' will cause the rich to get richer yet somehow we have Dayton and San Diego State competing for one-seeds this season, while UNC and UCLA are barely in the top 100.
“This will be the death of college basketball.” . Coaches and players weigh in on the one-time transfer waiver proposal that could change the landscape of college hoops:.
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One of the perks of being a Media Darling™ like Miami is that if you get run off the floor by a quality team, the media will give all the credit to the opponent instead of reevaluating its opinion of you.
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My favorite teams are the ones that finish the season ranked the same as they were in the preseason. Shout outs to:.Gonzaga (1).Kansas (3).Charlotte (201).Florida Gulf Coast (208).Purdue Fort Wayne (237).Northwestern State (330).
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