KCKC
@kellycross25
Followers
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Following
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Statuses
429
Trust in the lord with all your heart, do not rely on your own understanding. Acknowledge him in all ways and he will set your paths straight. (proverbs 3:5-6)
Joined June 2012
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@JDrew03
@rryder13
@AdamSchefter
So your saying because there’s 80% African American football players in the NFL there should be significantly more African American head coaches?…..isn’t that the same as segregation?
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Adding rotation # 516 golden state-6.5
I’m at 7.25
Subjectively I think Golden State matches up better with teams who play small like Hou and I think Golden State is a tougher than most teams to play on a back to back.
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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I have a play….Depending on where bookmaker opens I’ll be betting it shortly or letting it sit to hopefully increase in value
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Recap….
LAC+1 Win
BRK-6.5 Win
YTD 22-18-2 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Nothing
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Recap…
OKC +1-109 Win
DEN-5.5-106 Win
YTD 11-4-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Nothing
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Recap…
ORL +3.5-101 win
YTD 8-4-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
rotation # 519 Toronto Raptors -pk-106
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Adding rotation number 515 Golden State Warriors +3 1/2 -108
-No Klay Thompson no Brandon Ingram no Jonathan Kuminga no Trey Murphy no Alvarado
-I make this number New Orleans pelicans -1.25
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Recap….
NYK -5.5 Loss
CLE -3 Push
YTD 22-19-3 (W-L-P)
Pending….
rotation # 536 Ind -9.5
rotation # 532 PHI -3.5
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Adding rotation # 555 Washington +8.5 -111
I’m at +7
Adding rotation
#557
Chicago Bulls +9.5 -108 I’m at 8.25
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Recap…
Atlanta Hawks +9 1/2 -106 win
Oklahoma City thunder +3 1/2 -106 loss
YTD 4-1-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Rotation number 502 Indiana pacers -2.5-106
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@BeBetterBettors
@spanky
You always try to beat the closing line because efficient market theory says if you beat the closing line in an efficient market you’re going to make money once variance is ironed out. My question is…do you feel like cbb is an efficient market? Guys like Ras get huge CLV but
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Recap….
Det +9 Loss
YTD 23-23-3 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Nothing
Last 6 L’s
Bet Det +9…close+7 L 11/29
Bet Chi +14…close+12.5 L 11/28
Bet Atl +5.5…close+4 or 4.5 L 11/28
Bet Ind -9.5…close-12.5 L 11/27
Bet NYK -5.5…close-6.5 L 11/26
Bet NYK -3…close-6 L 11/24
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Adding rotation # 543 MIA-3.5
I’m at -4.75
This will probably be it Pregame. I’m gonna start posting some of my half time stuff
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Recap….
Washington +8.5 Win
Chicago Bulls +9.5 Win
YTD 16-9-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Adding rotation # 570 Brooklyn Nets -2.5
Im at BK-3 but I like some match up stuff here
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Recap…
Sacramento kings +2.5 -104 Win
YTD 12-5-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Rotation number 525 Toronto Raptors +10 1/2
Rotation number 528 Atlanta Hawks -3 1/2
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Recap….
2ND H CLE+1.5-108 Loss
2ND H NOP+1-108 Win
MIA -3.5 Loss
2nd H SAC-.5 Win
YTD Pregame ATS 25-29-3 (W-L-P)
YTD 2nd Half ATS 2-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Adding rotation # 506 +1 Philadelphia 76ers
I’m at PHI -1.7 with Brown, Porzingis, Batum, and Oubre all out
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Rotation number 544 Atlanta Hawks +1.5 is too much with Marcus Smart being listed as doubtful. I expect Atlanta to close -1.5 possibly -2 if they don’t have any injuries pop up tonight
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Recap….
GS -6.5 Loss
DEN -8 Loss
WSH +9.5 Loss
LAC -8 Win
YTD 19-16-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Nothing
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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@WynnBET
@lindetrain
@Candymorrissey
@a_smock_
Do you guys ever look at trends when making numbers? I love the show and appreciate you guys giving us some insight into how things work
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With Tyler Herro out my numbers are at Atlanta -5. Subjectively I just don’t see Miami being able to score enough to keep up in this matchup and I don’t think they’re gonna be overly motivated to play a game in which their defense carries them to the win
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Add an rotation number 556 Cleveland Cavaliers -2 1/2 adding rotation number 557 Orlando Magic +7 1/2 adding rotation number 561 Portland trailblazers +9 adding rotation number 535 Chicago Bulls +5 1/2
#gamblingtwitter
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Atlanta opening -10 1/2 against Washington on their third game in four nights in a back to back situation is silly. +10.5 WSH has a lot of value
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With Tim Hardaway now questionable I think it’s more likely that Luka plays today and sits tomorrow on the road vs Min. (Just in case you got the +4 earlier and want to limit liability)
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Adding rotation # 508 Brooklyn Nets -8
I’m at 9
This number goes up if Brandon Miller sits who is currently questionable with an ankle injury
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Recap…
Chicago Bulls -1.5-106 loss
YTD 7-4-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Nothing
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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@BeBetterBettors
@spanky
When a line moves against you do you cut your losses and try to hedge out or go into the game with a negative EV play?
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Recap….
Philadelphia 76ers +1 Loss
YTD 17-10-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Nothing
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Two plays I like quite a bit in regards to stuff that I think still has value
-BRK +7 (I’m closer to 6)
-IND -5 (I think Haliburton plays along with Aaron and Andrew and siakum putting me at -6.5 or -7)
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Adding rotation # 513 Los Angeles Clippers -8
Im at 9.5 will Devon Vassell out
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Phx -4 has potential.
1.Ja sits KD sits line will go up
2.Ja plays KD plays line will go up
3.Ja sits KD plays line will go up
4.Ja plays KD sits line will go down
Very possible this line goes up
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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@BeBetterBettors
@spanky
But if it’s just one group like Ras getting down on one side of a game that isn’t going to be very heavily bet in the first place how do you view that type of clv?
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Adding rotation # 508 Orlando magic +3.5-101
I’m at 2 on this game. Rui, Gabe V, Gary H, Wendell C are all accounted for here.
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Pending…rotation number 551+6DEN & rotation number 536 -2 Indiana….record (YTD) 5-3 +1.7U
#GamblingTwitter
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@walls_edward
That broke republican definitely isn’t gonna vote democrat knowing every time a Democrat is in office their 401(k) drops and gas prices sore, not to mention the rise in inflation due to poor decisions from this administration. If anything those Democrats who are middle class/pay
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Recap….
Bos-3 Push
Min-1.5 Win
Den-4 Loss
YTD 20-17-2 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Nothing
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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LAC will be a hot ticket if you can get-10 or better. Situationally, it’s a great spot for BRK to get the “LA flu” after upsetting the LAL last night as a 7pt dog and now having a noon game vs LAC
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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@WynnBET
How do you make nba totals? Do you guys make spreads based on your own power rankings. If so are your power rankings mathematical or are they adjusted based on what you see day to day?
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Adding rotation # 542 LAC -5
I’m at LAC-6.03 (my number doesn’t include anything in the subjective write up. If you think the subjective write up is worth something include it in your final number)
I think the clippers can build off last game at Denver. There were some signs for
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Recap….
Detroit Pistons +10 Loss
Dallas Mavericks -1.5 Loss
YTD 18-13-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Washington wizards +9 1/2
Denver Nuggets -8
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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@WynnBET
Do you guys actually try to balance action on each side of the number or are there times where you take a stand and basically invite people to come on in and keep laying a side you disagree with
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Adding rotation number 531, Miami Heat +9… adding rotation number 551 Portland trailblazers +6
#GamblingTwitter
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Recap….
LAC -5 Win
Phoenix Suns -4 1/2 Loss
YTD 18-11-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Nothing
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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Recap….
NYK -8 Win
DEN -3 Loss
DALL -pk Win
GS +1 Loss
YTD 14-9-1 (W-L-P)
Pending….
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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-2.5 &-3 chi tomorrow is a really bad opener. This is going up fast
Twitter/ X
KCKC
@Kellycross25
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