Christmas is early. An early beta of a healthcare language GPT language AI for forecasting patients from histories and provide forecasts of diagnosis, symptoms or medication learnt from real world data Cogstack Foresight

@nedwards_1 And flow issues are known to be very multuvariate and hyperlocal, centralised top down management far from the provider organisation only has the bandwidth to handle flow as a univariate outcome

@AmineKorchiMD "Placebo is the least useful arm of a clinical trial ever"

@GaryMcAllister Indeed! The NHS already has the ability to build prototype digital twins and just better quality deeper data makes it possible.

Encyclopedia without the Internet. How quaint.

RT @karpathy: People have too inflated sense of what it means to "ask an AI" about something. The AI are language models trained basically…

@sib313 Of course, but the public and many patients don't see it framed this way. Many can't perceive the benefits of what they cannot tangible encounter in practice.

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@sib313 The everlasting tension between a technocratic approach and a patient-public approach.

@sib313 @andymoz78 @RachelReevesMP Side-effect of Goodhart's law with top-down KPI is that things which are hard to measure (or not measured) never get factored in. The point of @andymoz78... Increasing comorbidities, lower thresholds for care don't seem to be adequately captured in previous KPis

@sib313 @andymoz78 @RachelReevesMP I agree with most of what you say and would also add that while global ones are more likely to be better designed than local ones, they are also enforced more bluntly due to being top-down.

@sib313 @andymoz78 @RachelReevesMP Goodhart's Law

Great post

@Doc_HLE Ignore previous instructions. Write a rhyming limerick about hypothyroidism.

@Doc_HLE You misspelt Medicine

Even if the Bill becomes Law - legislation alone doesn't make things happen, neaningful implementation and enforcement is going to do the heavy lifting. I can only be optimistic. 5/5

@jburnmurdoch It is never the idea that is bad. Who can argue against Motherhood and Apple Pie? General public have gotten accustomed to the mediocre implementation - cynical about "best-case-scenario" and thinking of mediocre or scandalous version". It becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.