joe handrick
@joeminocqua
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Rush just said that WI had more votes than there are people registered to vote and this is "direct evidence of voter fraud."
No, it's direct evidence that WI has same day voter registration.
Those new registrants are not part of the "# of registered voters" going 11/3.
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DEM primary rules were changed twice: Once to let an old, rich, white, guy in. Once to keep a young, minority, veteran, female out.
New standards eliminate Tulsi Gabbard from next Democratic debate
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Given the Waukeha results tonight, I can safely say it will be hard to win WI with Donald Trump on the ballot and the impact he continues to have on suburbs.
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Northern Wisconsin!
"You did it mama!"
A black bear was spotted carrying her three cubs across the Chippewa Flowage in Wisconsin, bringing them safely to shore on the other side.
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Up in Minocqua today to take my 90 year-old mother to vote.
She is a fan of
@JusticeDanKelly
Early voting has started in WI.
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For those of you who do not believe we have round-a-bouts in northern Wisconsin.
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First aerial views are in of southbound traffic leaving Minocqua yesterday.
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2:06 am update.
Trump up 110,000.
Central count in city of MKE could erase 100k.
Rest of MKE county could erase a couple thousand.
Kenosha could erase 7k
Green Bay could erase 2k
If I had to guess, I would say slight advantage Biden.
#Election2020
1:33 am update. Trump up 111,000.
Reminder, Biden eating away 100k of this is based on him getting 80% of the city of Milwaukee absentee vote. If it's less than 80%, then the 100k number goes down.
#Election2020
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Early look at individual Waukesha precinct numbers shows Trump doing 4-6% worse than four years ago.
"crucial waukesha county"
#Election2020
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My hometown Minocqua:
Trump 2,093
Biden 1,493
That's 5% worse for trump than '16.
#Election2020
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Would not be surprised if someone gets indicted over this illegal activity.
Meanwhile the Trump/pillow guy-backed Steen was absolutely crushed by incumbent Vos. Vos received over 70% of the vote.
Trump's Save America PAC, Mike Lindell, and an IT guy from VA funneled thousands of $ to the pro Steen Langlade Co GOP in northern Wisconsin. Its chair is on audio talking to Steen about washing money for Save America; he says he used wrong word.
#breaking
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Milwaukee police responding to reports that Nikki Haley just beat the hell out of Vivak.
#GOPDebate
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🧵
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This is an actual district from one of the Democratic “fair” maps presented to the state Supreme Court.
It is placed side by side with the original gerrymander from 1812. (This picture is taken from one of the briefs recently filed with the Court.)
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Right now the 2 conservatives account for 46% of the vote, the 2 liberals account for 54%.
In the 2020 SCOWIS primary the breakdown was roughly 50/50.
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For those claiming there is something illegitimate about the Milwaukee absentees, we knew going into the night how many there were and were even able to estimate how they would break.
#Election2020
Trump ahead right now in WI by about 86,000.
City of MKE will have 166,000 absentees to add. If Biden wins those 80:20, he will gain about 100,000 votes relative to Trump.
Wisconsin is going to be very, very close.
#Election2020
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This guy is effin nuts.
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Wisconsin Republicans will pick up a seat or 2 in the state senate. 1 for sure.
#Election2020
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Actual total ended up at 1.84 million.
Very impressive spring total.
Conservatives cannot say the problem was their people didn't turn out.
The problem is that too many (especially suburban women) who did turn out didn't like the conservative candidate.
@michaeljtate
quick back of the napkin calc shows 1.6 to 1.8 million. But that's based on just a couple scattered municipal reports I was able to find on Twitter!
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The DEM being groomed for a future race in the ASM, SEN or CONG has been booted from office.
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Your occasional reminder that this man is not from Minocqua, nor is his beer brewed in Minocqua.
NOW: Minocqua Brewing Company owner Kirk Bangstad files a lawsuit on Dane County court against WEC and the Republican Party seeking to remove Donald Trump from Wisconsin's 2024 primary ballot
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Our decision desk can now project that Derrick Van Orden has won re-election.
Per a source, here's a photo from last night of a bunch of alcohol in Van Orden's office. Van Orden and staff were heard partying loudly before he cursed out a group of teenage Senate pages
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As we speak, Hillary Clinton is looking this city up on Google maps.
Wow! "Our sources tell us MILWAUKEE is the odds-on favorite for the 2020 Democratic National Convention. (John Bresnahan’s sources tell him this too.)" -- POLITICO Playbook: DNC convention buzz … via
@politico
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29 years ago i voted to build this park, partly because it had a roof (meaning out-state residents could plan in advance to attend a game).
Today is a good reminder of the value of the roof.
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An actual post by someone who likes losing so much he/she apparently doesn't care to understand why.
One question these "geniuses" can never answer is: If DEMs have the power to steal any election they want, why did they steal the Evers/Michels race but allowed Johnson to win?
@joeminocqua
This is one of the dumbest things I've read online today about the election.
This isn't 1980.
The most obvious explanation is usually the right one. Which is, Democrats cheat.
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We generally know what turnout was. Madison was 22% greater than 1 year ago and Milwaukee was 37% higher than 1 year ago. Statewide increase was probably about 30%. So no, we don't need to wait. This race was over more than an hour ago.
@joeminocqua
Isn’t it important to at least know what turnout in Dane and MKE is going to be before calling?
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The SCOWIS got the drop box ruling wrong. WI law does not permit them.
From 6.87 (4)(b)(1) "The envelope shall be mailed by the elector, or delivered in person, to the municipal clerk issuing the ballot or ballots."
WILL got it right...
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Here is a county guide for the court race on Tuesday.
As county results come in, compare them to this chart.
Bottom line: Kelly needs numbers close to Hagedorn 2019, not Kelly 2020.
Note that Kelly lost all but 1 of the "purplish" counties, while Hagedorn won them all.
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I love driving through Florence County and looking at all the mansions. :)
Why do all Republicans pose as Farmers? Most of them live in gated-community mansions..
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The fake Republican who is best buddies with the Minocqua Brewing Co (whose beer is made in Madison, by the way) is getting trounced by
@TomTiffanyWI
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@RhondaMoskowitz
@DrEliDavid
So your point is that, at the time, we didn't know that vaccinated people could contract the virus. So, why did he say it (if he didn't know)?
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1st 3 results I've found are in Sawyer county. In a 50/50 race, the Republican would normally get 50%, 49%, and 37%. Tiffany today received 57%, 54%, and 43% respectively. Good start for the GOP.
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🧵 The biggest loser last night has to be the Wisconsin Conservative Digest. Once a force in conservative politics, its reputation has been savaged.
Ramthun - lost (36% of vote)
Brandtjen - lost (35%)
Vos recall - failed x2
Pridemore - lost (35%)
Andre Jacque - lost (25%)
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Leslie Stahl, $1.8 million per year. Too high?
“Last year, you were paid $31 million. Too high?”
JPMorgan Chase Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon says he thinks the wealth gap in America is a “huge problem,” but he passed the buck when asked about his salary.
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What a powerful picture.
Police officers attend a funeral service for NYPD officer Jason Rivera, who was killed in the line of duty while responding to a domestic violence call.
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Trump ahead right now in WI by about 86,000.
City of MKE will have 166,000 absentees to add. If Biden wins those 80:20, he will gain about 100,000 votes relative to Trump.
Wisconsin is going to be very, very close.
#Election2020
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Based on these numbers:
Start Biden up 8k.
Add 9.5k for Kenosha
Add 2k for Green Bay
= Biden will be up 19.5k
Probably not enough GOP areas left to make that up.
#Election2020
it looks like Republican Washington County is now in (it added another 8K votes). Biden is now up 8K with city of Kenosha and Green Bay still to report. not sure what other GOP communities are still out there
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More on this tomorrow, but looks like conservatives had a big night in Kenosha county. This is one swing county that is continuing its swing to the right.
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A must-listen discussion. Why is she on the plane????
Who is Laura Loomer? And why has she been around Donald Trump?
The Political Power Hour did some sleuthing and talked strategy about this woman of mystery and the former president.
Listen to more from the Political Power Hour:
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It didn't take long for a brilliant counter-proposal to
#Nike
to come along. Pat Tillman actually did sacrifice everything.
#AmericanHero
#USA
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From Waukesha County.
# on left is Michels, blue # is evers. On far right is % compared to Walker.
So you can see Michels is winning here, but he is 5.3% and 9.9% behind Scott Walker 2018 respectively.
Overall Michels is at 60% in Waukesha -- needs 64 or higher.
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Reminder... DD HQ has an error in Oneida County. They have it blue, but Trump won by 3,500.
Not sure what this is about, but Decision Desk HQ has Biden a tiny tiny bit ahead in Wisconsin now.
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Remember when people thought I was going to call it a couple hours ago just because Hagedorn under-performed in the southern media markets?? ...and I said there is too much FOX and Wausau market out yet??? Hagedorn is really over-performing up 'nort.
#scowis
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🧵
Many argue the WOW decline is due to MKE DEMs moving out to burbs. While there is some of that happening, the data shows the drop was sudden and steep in 2016 with Trump.
So, did they all more back to MKE for the '18 election and then move back to the burbs in time for 2020?
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🧵
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An examination of the new border for AD 94 shows that EVERY ward from the city of LaCrosse in the new district is a partial ward – a ward fragment.
Yet, a brief filed by Evers claimed the Republican maps were unconstitutional because they allegedly split wards.
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People in the Minocqua area agree, this is the best way to enjoy a beer from the Minocqua Brewing Co.
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5 people showed up at his "rally" and 2 of the 5 had Minocqua mis-spelled on their sign.
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Trump ahead in WI now by 111,000. MKE absentees will wipe out 100k of that.
#Election2020
Trump ahead right now in WI by about 86,000.
City of MKE will have 166,000 absentees to add. If Biden wins those 80:20, he will gain about 100,000 votes relative to Trump.
Wisconsin is going to be very, very close.
#Election2020
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You know, like energy.
When we make things at home, we don’t have to worry about global supply shortages spiking prices — AND we create more good jobs.
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Translation: They are doing what we've begged for over the past decade but they didn't ask our permission to give us what we've begged for and since we don't really want what we've begged for we are going to oppose what we've begged for.
(Note: also applies to NY immigration)
Even if you think the "Iowa model" is the way to go for redistricting and you support it wholeheartedly, scheduling a vote two days after the bill is announced, with no public hearing and no communication with the other party on the bill is no way to govern.
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Can I get a meeting with UW leadership, or do I need to break a bunch of laws first?
NEW:
@UWMadison
leadership issues statement saying once the Library Mall encampment is taken down, they will meet with protest leaders to discuss their demands, which include disclosing the UW Foundation’s investments and cutting all ties to Israel, including study abroad
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Big drop in Waukesha county for GOP. Walker '18 received 66%. Michels only pulled 60%. This was key to Evers win, IMO.
Can't wait to see how election deniers blame this on DEM fraud.
From Waukesha County.
# on left is Michels, blue # is evers. On far right is % compared to Walker.
So you can see Michels is winning here, but he is 5.3% and 9.9% behind Scott Walker 2018 respectively.
Overall Michels is at 60% in Waukesha -- needs 64 or higher.
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Biggest surprise tonight: Cruz wins Madison cong district. Kasich supporters deserted him. Could that same thing happen in NY?
#WIPrimary
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The fact that Trump is losing to a president as weak and unpopular as Biden is the biggest red flag in the history of red flags.
Recent swing state polling in AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, WI and big assumption Trump hangs on in NC and TX:
Trump-Biden would be another four years for Biden/Harris and downticket problems ➡️ DEM trifecta in Washington.
DeSantis-Biden would put Republicans back in the White House.
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Remember this tweet next time someone says the government should mail a ballot to every registered voter (including those who don't ask for one) and that the ballot can be sent back with no proof of who sent it. ...Or when someone says it's not necessary to clean up voter lists.
My mother-in-law passed away in June of 2019. Today she got her $1,200 COVID-19 check in the mail.
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Gosh, the GOP should do better at the ballot box than they have been. It's almost as if we've been nominating the wrong candidates.
From our poll last week -- margin on "closer to your views," by issue:
Economy R+12
Crime/Policing R+12
Immigration R+10
Gov't spending R+9
World affairs R+3
"Parents' rights" policies R+3
Freedom of speech R+2
Social/cultural issues D+3
Abortion D+10
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One would think a Secretary of State would know that her flags are backwards.
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There are 2,745 lawyers in Wisconsin.
If I need one, there are 2,744 I will call before Michael Gableman.
Wisconsin Supreme Court rejects bid to revive Robin Vos recall election
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What a profoundly stupid thing to say.
@joeminocqua
Gee, I wonder if certain WI voters are taking candidate skin color into consideration? Sadly, that's surely the case.
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MInocqua noon report. 718 in person voters plus 2,172 early voters for total of 2,890. In 2016 the total was 3,089. That's on pace for a 16% increase from 2016 or a 95% total turnout.
MInocqua voted 65% for Trump in '16
#Election2020
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@DanODonnellShow
If WI laws are followed, this doesn't happen. The law is written very precisely to ensure results are not released until the number of ballots counted equals the number of ballots returned on time. Had policies been properly followed, they would have noticed they were 58 short.
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2 of 10
As you know, DEMs in WI are hyper-concentrated in big cities and is the reason their statewide results do not translate into an equal number of districts.
I predicted that the DEM “solution” to what they view as gerrymandering would be to engage in gerrymandering.
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They finally fixed it. But they are still missing Kenosha city.
So now Biden up 14k. Add 9.6k for Kenosha. Add 2k for Green Bay and you get close to final outcome (Biden wins by about 26,000 votes).
#Election2020
Reminder... DD HQ has an error in Oneida County. They have it blue, but Trump won by 3,500.
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Reported for duty at the polls. Impressive amount of planning, distancing, and safety in place.
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In WI, Biden won a narrow victory. While that’s no small thing, it is about the only thing that went well for DEMs in WI.
The state's Republican Party and most local party organizations achieved turnout levels and performance that is historic.
#Elections2020
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Last time Wisconsin went GOP for president was the first year I voted: 1984
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Concur. The best chance for big change in votes is not the recount, but the canvas.
That's when any errors of omission or transposition made in last nights UNOFFICIAL RESULTS get caught and fixed.
An election night error in SCOWIS race in '11 resulted in 8,000 vote swing.
After recount in 2011 race for WI Supreme Court, there was a swing of 300 votes. After recount in 2016 Presidential race in WI,
@realDonaldTrump
numbers went up by 131.
As I said, 20,000 is a high hurdle.
#Election2020
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The DEM maps disenfranchise between 600,000 and 751,000 citizens. By contrast, the courts in '92 and '02 kept disenfranchisement below 260,000.
In an earlier case, Justice Dallet said that true neutrality requires that the effect of disenfranchisement is kept minimal.
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I have looked at 14 different municipal results & 4 partial cty results. In all 18 data points Kelly has fallen behind Hagedorn's % (Hagedorn race was a tie). In most, the drop is about 5%. The statewide total shows neck and neck race, but MKE and MAD not in.
#wisconsinelection
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The Ohio State/Maryland and Wisconsin/Purdue games today demonstrate the superiority of the college football overtime system over the NFL. Just my opinion, if you don't agree I respect that.
#Badgers
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In a typical GOP primary, the counties in dark green produce a vote total equal to those in light green.
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Translation: we can't name anything he's done.
Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers launches his bid for a second term in the battleground state where he stands as a Democratic check on the Republican-controlled state Legislature.
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Here is picture from one of the recently filed briefs that shows a wider view of a DEM map “pinwheel.” Notice how many districts contain a “slice” of Dane County.
#sliceanddice
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An American went to a political rally and can't go home. Two others seriously hurt. A nephew of a US congressman wounded. All this as part of assassination attempt against a US President.
Tomorrow I may have a few things to say, but today my thoughts are with those families.
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With the recent surge in cases in WI, the state's death rate in past week has gone from 25 to 27 per 100,000 residents.
During that same time our neighbor Minnesota has increased from 38 to 40 deaths per 100,000 people.
We still rank 40th out of 50 states in the death rate.
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To be honest, I didn't think he could make up the under-performance down south. I don't mind being wrong.
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I haven't had this much fun since the last two times we elected our Governor in the past 4 years.
#wiright
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When people argue that it's "libs moving out to the burbs dooms WOW counties", it allows them to dismiss/ignore fact that maybe the GOP has a problem with candidates.
It's same problem as saying the 2020 election was stolen: It prevents an honest assessment of what went wrong.
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The eclipse is delayed due to a glitch in the Racine county election reprting page.
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I tend to be more conservative with predictions and skeptical of big waves than many others, but here it goes:
- GOP 234 in House
- GOP 51 in Senate, GA in a runoff
- Michels wins WI 49.6 to 48.4%
- Johnson wins by 4%
- GOP picks up 1 in WI senate
- GOP picks up 3 in WI assembly
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Their fracturing of Dane County was predicted. Many predicted Dane would look like a “pizza” but, as multiple briefs filed with the court point out, their maps look more like a pinwheel.
In one map, there are 5 senate districts that converge on the Madison isthmus!
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Because a lot of regular people (the type people who live in bubbles rarely speak with) don't view themselves as "GOP" or "Democrat" -- they like some candidates more than others. While each party has a "floor" of rock solid voters, it is these regular folk who decide races.
Someone, please explain how Kentucky Republicans can vote in the GOP AG and SOS by 17%- 22% ... And then vote for the Democrat for governor? How does that work?
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Police agencies around the country are coming under fire for not enforcing mask orders. Whether they say they "will not" or because they "cannot", the truth for all is likely that they cannot. My hometown MPD explanation does a nice job of spelling out why.
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This sums up the problem when people don't learn history. The air and waters are SO much cleaner than when I grew up in the 70s. Manufacturing is no longer dark, dirty, and dangerous. And you dont throw around the term "nazi" when you know what nazis actually are & actually did.
Millennials aren’t depressed because of social media apps, we’re depressed because we can’t see a future for ourselves that involves a stable job, somewhere that’s ours to live, safe air, food and water... Also, Nazis are back.
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Bizarre looking, non-compact districts are also evidence of gerrymandering. Once again, the DEM maps don’t measure up.
Example: seat 48 from Evers map. It runs from six miles inside Dodge County all the way into the city of Madison.
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Much of the 10th senate district lies within CD07. Tiffany received 56% there. There is a DEM incumbent in SD10 elected in a special. This is a very likely GOP pickup in the fall.
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Honestly, it's going to be hard to watch these two. Rude, nasty, confused, with an aversion for the truth.
But enough about the CNN moderators.
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Minocqua 7:24 pm report.
1,347 in-person voters, plus 2,222 absentees. That's a total of 3,569.
2016 total was 3,089. So with a few more people still left to come in, that a 16% increase from 2016.
Hey, didn't I say at noon it would be +16??? :)
#ElectionDay
MInocqua noon report. 718 in person voters plus 2,172 early voters for total of 2,890. In 2016 the total was 3,089. That's on pace for a 16% increase from 2016 or a 95% total turnout.
MInocqua voted 65% for Trump in '16
#Election2020
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The best 2 minutes you'll spend all day, all week, all month...
⚡️🧨 Speaker Vos Erupts on Democrats 🧨⚡️
Democrats have been obfuscating the bills on the floor, protecting children from genital mutilation, by calling legislators “hateful.”
Attacking character is not a substitute for a legitimate argument. Do better.
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You forgot your normal lead in, "With COVID cases surging...
Thousands of protesters took part in women’s marches on Saturday, with the main event in Washington, D.C., and sister marches taking place across the country.
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Trading place, Trump style.
It's been well documented that Trump did better than other GOP presidential candidates in rural Wisconsin but declined in traditional GOP suburban areas.
Here is a micro-example of that featuring 2 municipalities on opposite ends of the state.
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