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@jethrow0211
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21 // mediocre sports bettor // coacher of hoop // Robbin’ Books capper // one may say i really like sports // sub to that👇🏼
Joined July 2015
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NFL Free Play🎯
AJ Brown o66.5 receiving yards🏈
-REALLY not understanding this opening line for Brown after being priced 71.5 in his return from injury vs CLE where he finished with 6-116-1, playing 92% of the snaps.
-Matchup-wise this is a soft one vs NYG and IMO Brown has
1
10
158
Waldron primarily uses what now?
WE ARE BACK
PROFESSOR’S 1ST MLB PLAY OF FRIDAY 🏆
⚾️👤: 𝐌𝐚𝐭𝐭 𝐖𝐚𝐥𝐝𝐫𝐨𝐧 𝐎 𝟏𝟕.𝟓 𝐏𝐎 {𝟓🌟} {𝐒𝐃}
📔(-) 𝟏𝟏𝟗 𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐞𝐬𝐚𝐫𝐬
- 𝟖𝟎% 𝐡𝐢𝐭 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐥𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝟏𝟎 𝐠𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐬 𝐜𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐧 𝟖 𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐬 𝐚𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝟏𝟖.𝟓 𝐏𝐎.
56
20
216
16
4
89
MNF Free Play🎯
Saquon Barkley o17.5 rec yards -110🏈
-There was a lot of buzz around Saquon being used in the passing game throughout training camp and it showed up in Week 1 in the form of a 66% route participation.
-In that game vs Green Bay, Saquon was priced at this exact
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6
90
MNF Free Play🎯
Garrett Wilson o5.5 receptions -135🏈
-Wilson was over this line in 8/17 games in 2023 despite absolutely HORRIBLE quarterback play
-This season the Jets have a healthy Aaron Rodgers who has built up a well-documented connection with Wilson throughout training
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Sunday Week 6 of the NFL is HERE🔥
✈️Week 6 Twitter Card✈️
Ja’Marr Chase o72.5 receiving yards
Terry McLaurin o57.5 receiving yards
Zay Flowers 5+ receptions
Tank Dell 55+ receiving yards🎯
Drake London 6+ receptions
Tre Tucker o36.5 receiving yards
LEAVE A “❤️” IF YOU’RE
2
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MLB Free Play🎯
Dylan Cease o6.5 K’s -133⚾️
-Seems like a bit of an extreme adjustment to his price last game vs this same Giants team where he was ~7.5 even.
-Yes he went under in that start, but he looked sharper towards the end of that outing and his stuff itself was on
8
3
75
MLB Free Play🎯
Max Scherzer o5.5 K’s -120⚾️
-Feels like a big overreaction to his blowup last start
-Line is right around where he was priced against BAL, this time he gets a dreadful CHW lineup
-CHW: 3rd highest K% vs RHP in July (26.3%)
GL🫡
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MLB Free Play🎯
Jacob deGrom o5.5 K’s -130⚾️
-Not a ton of analysis here, deGrom is an elite strikeout arm that is continuing to ramp up pitch count. This is too low of a line, even with it being another matchup vs SEA.
-Already up to 6.5 juiced over on FD. Grab this at 5.5
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5
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MLB Free Play🎯
Kevin Gausman o5.5 K’s -104⚾️
-Gausman simply does not profile as a 5.5 even guy in very many matchups
-Coming off being priced 6.5 even vs LAA and finishing with 10
-Solid matchup again vs a MIN team that has struck out at an above MLB average 22.9% vs RHP
0
3
58
MLB Free Play🎯
Dylan Cease o17.5 outs -150⚾️
-3 of SD’s L4 games have been extra inning games. Bullpen very taxed.
-MIA 12th lowest WRC+ vs RHP L14
-Didn’t expect Cease to be anywhere near playable o17.5 outs in this spot, will easily take him here.
GL🫡
3
1
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MLB Free Play🎯
Cole Ragans o15.5 outs -130⚾️
-Not a price we ever see Ragans at and for good reason
-The ‘24 All-Star has been elite in run prevention this season, ranking in the 80th percentile of pitchers with a 3.31 xERA
-Yankees are a very tough matchup, however they
5
2
54
MLB Free Play🎯
Nathan Eovaldi o4.5 K’s -125⚾️
-Price makes no sense. Regularly priced 5.5 when healthy
-Only time he’s been 4.5 lately was in one of the worst possible matchups (7/2 vs SD). Was still -140 o4.5 & finished with 6
-STL 21.3% vs RHP L30 (nowhere near SD-level)
GL
2
1
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MLB Free Play🎯
Jack Flaherty u5.5 K’s -130⚾️
Let’s go for back-to-back😈
-Similar logic to yesterday’s Knack play. Playoff-type game in a brutal matchup vs SD. Leash will be a bit shorter than usual given the stakes.
-Was recently this exact same price at home vs CLE. This
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MLB Free Play🎯
Collab w/
@BallgameBets
👨🏻⚕️🐐
Matt Waldron o16.5 outs -115⚾️
MATTY KNUCKS BUMP DAY🔥🔥
-Love targeting Waldron supports when a team is seeing his knuckleball for the first time
-Was just priced here in a tough hitter’s park at COL, finished with 17
-MIN
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MLB Free Play🎯
Chris Sale o8.5 K’s -120⚾️
-If there’s any pitcher in MLB where an 8.5 even line is too low, it’s one of the two overwhelming Cy Young favorites and that’s the case here for the one out in ATL
-Smash matchup of all smash matchups against the road Rockies who
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MLB Free Play
#2
🎯
Reynaldo Lopez u17.5 outs -110⚾️
Collab w/
@BallgameBets
👨🏻⚕️
-Braves have been careful with his pitch count all year after converting from RP to SP
-Now has the All Star Game coming up on 7/16; could see a limit here
-SD 126 WRC+ vs RHP at home L30 (7th)
GL🫡
4
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MLB Free Play🎯
Kolby Allard u3.5 K’s +110⚾️
-First MLB start in 2024
-Career 7.5 K/9 in 6 seasons. 8.3 K/9 in AAA this year
-CLE 12th lowest K% vs LHP L14
-Bad K guy vs team that does not K much. Not sure why this is + money u3.5
GL🫡
1
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48
MLB Free Play🎯
Zach Eflin o3.5 K’s -130⚾️
-TOR middle of the pack in K% vs RHP L30 (22.3%), up from their season % of 21.5%.
-Should never see him at this price unless coming off injury or an impossible matchup. This is neither.
GL🫡
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MLB Free Play🎯
Jack Flaherty o17.5 outs -130⚾️
-Making his Dodger debut against the Oakland A’s
-LAD rank 5th worst in bullpen ERA L14 (6.05) & just covered a 4 inning start by Gavin Stone
-Team needs SP length, Flaherty been a great innings eater all year
GL🫡
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Got tomorrow’s Free Play locked and loaded👀
A collab w/
@BallgameBets
👨🏻⚕️🐐
35 likes and I’ll drop it🤝
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MLB Free Play🎯
Gerrit Cole o17.5 outs -163⚾️
Collab w/
@BallgameBets
👨🏻⚕️🐐
-Should not be anywhere near playable odds in this smash spot vs WSH
-Below average offense vs RHP this year with a team WRC+ of just 97 vs righties
-Consistently priced w/ even heavier juice over
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NFL Free Play🎯
Jaxon Smith-Njigba o43.5 rec yards🏈
WE ARE SO BACK🔥🏈
-Expected to have a massive role in Ryan Grubb’s new scheme going into year 2
-DK Metcalf will draw the Pat Surtain shadow. Brutal matchup for him, should open up JSN
-Tyler Lockett is dealing with a
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MLB Free Play🎯
Jeffrey Springs o4.5 K’s +115⚾️
-First start of the year. Solid lefty with great stuff
-9.6 K/9 in his last full season; 10.1 K/9 in minor league rehab this year
-Ramped up to 82 pitches in AAA, should be full go against a MIA lineup w/o Jazz/Bell
GL🫡
1
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MLB Free Play🎯
Tarik Skubal o6.5 K’s -135⚾️
-Priced -130 o6.5 in a much tougher matchup vs KC last start
-Smash matchup vs SEA
-No idea what the books are doing here, snag this while you can at 6.5
GL🫡
2
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MLB Free Play🎯
Gavin Stone o5.5 K’s -111⚾️
-Already up to -140 on MGM, believe this is a more accurate price
-Stone’s stuff profiles as a guy who should be solid strikeout pitcher, but has just a 20th percentile K% (18.7%) despite a high chase rate of 31.8% (84th %ile) and a
2
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MLB Free Play🎯
Jack Flaherty o5.5 K’s -145⚾️
We go for 5 in a row!😈
-Very surprised to see Flaherty at 5.5 again after books priced him 5.5 even in a brutal K matchup vs CLE and in a similarly tough matchup vs ARI in his L2 starts. Mowed them both down for a combined 13 K’s.
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MLB Free Play
#2
🎯
Tyler Glasnow u7.5 K’s +100⚾️
Collab w/
@VishyDFS
&
@BallgameBets
🏏👨🏻⚕️
-Was priced right around here last time he faced the Giants (6/29), finished with 1
-This time he is coming off IL without a rehab assignment; expect some sort of pitch count limit
GL🫡
11
3
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SNF Free Play🎯
Zay Flowers o4.5 receptions -115🏈
-This line feels like a significant overreaction to last week’s game vs DAL which saw the Ravens in a bizarre game script which resulted in just 15 pass attempts from Lamar Jackson.
-Needless to say, I do NOT think the Buffalo
3
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MLB Free Play🎯
Julian Aguiar u3.5 K’s -166⚾️
Let’s bounce back!
Another edition of ‘juice worth taking’🧃
-Since being called up to the majors to make his MLB debut on 8/19, Aguiar has made 3 starts and only extended past 78 pitches in one of the 3, striking out just 7
9
1
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MLB Free Play
#3
Nick Lodolo o5.5 K’s +100🎯
-Big overreaction to B2B tough matchups, most recently vs KC where he was priced right around here
-This time he gets PIT who rank 4th highest in team K% vs LHP over their L30 (30.7%!)
-Love this bounce back spot for Lodolo
GL🫡
1
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MLB Free Play🎯
Zack Wheeler o18.5 outs +100⚾️
Revenge time😈🐟
-Targeting a weak Miami lineup once again, this time vs the right-hander Wheeler. MIA ranks 17th in MLB in team WRC+ vs RHP over the last month
-Wheeler coming off being priced even line o18.5 against the Atlanta
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MLB Free Play🎯
Robbie Ray o6.5 K’s -125⚾️
-Another obvious misprice for Ray in a smash matchup vs SEA
-Just priced 7.5 vs CHW, finished with 9.
-SEA 28.8% K% vs LHP L30 (7th highest in MLB)
GL🫡
1
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Late Night MLB Free Play🎯🌙
Gerrit Cole o6.5 K’s -130⚾️
-Easiest matchup he’s had since TB where he was priced 7.5 +105/-135
-DET vulnerable to K’s against righties; 23.3% K% vs RHP L30 (13th)
-Simply too low in this spot
GL🫡
6
2
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MLB Free Play🎯
Tyler Anderson o16.5 outs -130⚾️
-Softest PO’s price for Anderson in months and it doesn’t feel warranted at all in this spot
-TEX without Corey Seager and have struggled badly vs LHP over the last month ranking 5th worst in team WRC+ in that span at just 71
6
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42
We’ve hit two straight Free Plays🔥
Who’s ready for another👀
25 likes and I’ll drop.
0
1
41
MLB Free Play🎯
Cole Ragans o6.5 K’s -120⚾️
-Elite 29% K% guy in 2024
-DET top half of the league in K% vs LHP L30 (23%)
-Coming off being priced 7.5 +105/-135 last start vs CHC, this is way too big of a drop off in another solid spot
GL🫡
1
1
40
MLB Free Play🎯
Matthew Boyd u5.5 K’s -140
-First start of the season coming off Tommy John surgery
-Only got up to 63 pitches in his latest rehab start, fully expecting a pitch count limit
-Career 8.8 K/9 guy, not quite sure why he’s priced 5.5 in his first start
GL🫡
2
3
40
MLB Free Play🎯
Nathan Eovaldi o18.5 outs +145⚾️
-This is far too deep into + money in the best possible matchup vs CHW
-CHW own a brutal 77 team WRC+ over their L30 games, the worst mark in MLB
-Eovaldi was recently priced 18.5 +105/-150 in this same matchup, finished with
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Spring training POTD🚨
Nestor Cortes o2 K’s. This was 2.5 all morning which I thought was a great line. Should go at least two against a pretty weak Twins lineup.
Available on both UD and PP!
GL if tailing🤝
9
5
37
MLB Free Play🎯
Chris Sale o7.5 K’s -105
-Soft matchup vs SFG; 4th highest K% vs LHP L30
-Was just priced a bit steeper than this in a tougher matchup vs MIL, finished with 10
GL🫡
1
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NFL Free Play🎯
Malik Nabers o62.5 rec. yards🏈
-The 2024 6th overall pick is PRIMED for a breakout in a soft matchup against the Washington Commanders.
-Will draw Benjamin St-Juste as his CB matchup in this one.
-St-Juste allowed the 4th most targets and 3rd most receptions
2
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39
17 10x’s cashed today.
17.
That isn’t a typo.
Doing it DIFFERENT in Robbin’ Books‼️
Get in here!!! You won’t regret it, TRUST.
Link for 10% off:
I JUST SNAPPEDDD!! WHAT AN INSANE DAY!! ✅💰
2 DAYS IN A ROW!! FOOTBALL GOAT🐐
49
40
638
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3
36
Got a Free Play locked in👀
Let’s go for 4 straight, shall we?😈
25 likes and I’ll drop it
2
1
38
MLB Free Play🎯
Ben Lively u17.5 outs -110⚾️
-This price makes absolutely no sense
-Was just priced 15.5 even in a home matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates in which he did not survive the 5th inning…
-This time he faces a KC team on the road who boasts a 110 team WRC+ at
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1
37
MLB Free Play🎯
Freddy Peralta o6.5 K’s -130⚾️
-ATL adding high K% Jorge Soler as their new leadoff hitter tomorrow. Already 26.3% vs RHP L14 (3rd highest)
-K/9 slightly higher in home starts at 11.4 (!)
GL🫡
2
2
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FREEST CASH YOU’LL EVER SEE✅
Pulled after just 6 pitches and 0 K’s😈
One Free Play down, one to go✈️
For access to ALL my plays+many more at 10% off:
MLB Free Play🎯
Keider Montero u2.5 K’s -125⚾️
-Would take this to -145
-Montero has made one appearance so far in the playoffs and it was for 2 innings in relief just 4 days ago.
-While he may be able to handle 4-5 innings, I would expect the leash to be very short with him
4
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7
1
36
Free Play time😈
Got a spicy + money look for y’all🌶️
25 likes and I’ll drop🤝
1
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CFB/NFL slips have already started dropping from both
@PropGeekZeke
and I in the Discord!💰
Made OVER 10 UNITS last week🤯
Don’t miss out on the action! Sign up today and let’s cook this weekend😈 Link for 10% off:
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BAAAAAAAANG✅
About as free as a +145 is gonna get🤪 only needed 78 pitches to go over🔥
(Link below/in bio for access to ALL my plays+many more🤝⬇️)
MLB Free Play🎯
Nathan Eovaldi o18.5 outs +145⚾️
-This is far too deep into + money in the best possible matchup vs CHW
-CHW own a brutal 77 team WRC+ over their L30 games, the worst mark in MLB
-Eovaldi was recently priced 18.5 +105/-150 in this same matchup, finished with
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Bailey Falter u15.5 outs✅🎯
Matt Waldron o3.5 K’s✅
Matt Waldron o16.5 outs✅
Ranger Suarez o4.5 K’s✅
Luis Medina u15.5 outs✅
Seth Lugo u6.5 K’s✅
Joe Ryan o5.5 K’s✅
Emerson Hancock u17.5 outs✅
Kyle Harrison u4.5 K’s✅
+5.55u, 9-1 on MLB book bets.
PURE. ELECTRICITY.⚡️
2
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@CJMPadres23
The most incredible environment I could ever imagine. I love our city so damn much man.
1
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MLB Free Play🎯
Bailey Ober u5.5 K’s +110⚾️
-Brutal matchup vs TOR who ranks bottom 7 in MLB in team K% vs RHP over the L30 days
-Has been struggling lately, going under this line in 3 straight games and coming off a short 2 inning, 9 earned run blowup vs the Braves
-Very
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2
34
Not much I like in today’s MLB slate…
I do have a look that
@whitegusjohnson
and I really like for tomorrow though👀
30 likes and I’ll drop a write-up😈⚾️
0
2
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BAAAAAAAANG✅
MAKE IT 4 STRAIGHT FREE PLAY CASHES🔥✈️
About as sweat free as it gets🤪
Dude finished with 1 and got yanked at 63 pitches💀
(Link below for access to all my plays+many more⬇️)
MLB Free Play🎯
Kolby Allard u3.5 K’s +110⚾️
-First MLB start in 2024
-Career 7.5 K/9 in 6 seasons. 8.3 K/9 in AAA this year
-CLE 12th lowest K% vs LHP L14
-Bad K guy vs team that does not K much. Not sure why this is + money u3.5
GL🫡
1
6
48
2
3
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MLB Free Play🎯
Tyler Mahle u6.5 K’s -160⚾️
-Believe this line is an overreaction to his 7 K game vs BOS where he was priced 4.5 -140/+110
-Just his 3rd game back from major injury. Did throw 92 pitches to try and get thru 5 last start, but TEX shouldn’t push him here with
5
1
32
MLB Free Play🎯
Tyler Anderson u4.5 K’s -110
-Tough matchup at NYY who have just a 20.3% K% vs LHP L14 (10th lowest) and a 20% K% vs LHP at home on the year (10th lowest)
-18th %ile K% guy in a tough matchup? Sign me up for the u4.5 at minimal juice.
GL🫡
4
2
33
No chance 1K of y’all put up with my nonsense🤣
If you’re reading this, thank you🥹🥂
6
1
32
Got a Free Play locked in for today👀
We go for 5 in a row😈
25 likes and I’ll drop🫡
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2K Followers🥹
You guys are absolutely nuts, man.
If you’re reading this I’m super grateful for the love and support y’all have shown.
Thank you.🫶
8
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MLB Free Play
#2
🎯
Dylan Cease o17.5 outs -119⚾️
-Padres were able to give Cease a 5th day of rest heading into this matchup vs SF. Expect his stuff to look much better than in his previous 3 games where he pitched on minimum rest. Should have a long leash as well
-Giants have
0
0
31
Got a Free Play locked in👀
We go for back to back😈
20 likes and I’ll drop🤝
0
0
31
Who’s ready for the first NFL Free Play of the week?👀
20 likes and I’ll drop🫡
0
0
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MLB Free Play🎯
Jose Quintana u15.5 outs -160⚾️
-Short and simple here. There is NO reason he should have a pitching outs line above 14.5 in an elimination game. NYM bullpen will be all hands on deck. Any trouble and he’s getting pulled. Snag this while you can.
GL🫡
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Spring training play🚨
Seth Lugo o2.5 K’s⚾️
Facing a B team Cleveland lineup, slated for 3 innings🔥
GL if tailing🤝
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Chris Sale o17.5 outs✅
Max Scherzer o5.5 K’s✅🎯
Clayton Kershaw o4.5 K’s✅
+3.2u💰
AN OLD MAN BOOK SWEEP👴🧹🧹🧹
Completely DOMINATING the books in the month of July🔥✈️📚
Don’t miss out on the fun! (Link below and in bio to join the Discord today!⬇️)
3
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AND THERE’S ANOTHER BANG✅
FOUR. IN. A ROW.🔥
Despite facing them in back-to-back starts, Cease absolutely dominated the Giants. Only needed 13 outs to get it done🐐
Free Plays are COOKING🔥✈️
For access to ALL of my plays+many more at 10% off:
MLB Free Play🎯
Dylan Cease o6.5 K’s -133⚾️
-Seems like a bit of an extreme adjustment to his price last game vs this same Giants team where he was ~7.5 even.
-Yes he went under in that start, but he looked sharper towards the end of that outing and his stuff itself was on
8
3
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4
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Got a Free Play locked in for tmr👀
New streak starts now😈
25 likes and I’ll drop!
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As if a +10u football weekend wasn’t enough😂
@PropGeekZeke
did it AGAIN with a 10.5x CASH on MNF✅🐐
Unreal run we’re on to start football season🔥
Don’t miss out any longer!! Join up and take advantage of our plays for Week 5 and beyond😎 Link for 10% off:
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Tarik Skubal o6.5 K’s✅🎯
Freddy Peralta o5.5 K’s✅
Chris Sale o6.5 K’s✅
Michael King o5.5 K’s✅
+3u💰
+14u on the month🔥
ZERO losing days so far in August😳
Discord is absolutely COOKING right now.✈️
Join today! (Link below/in bio⬇️)
4
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✈️NFL SUNDAY IS FINALLY HERE✈️
My FULL card of straight bets for today’s games⬇️🔥
Tyreek Hill anytime TD
Aaron Jones o52.5 rushing yards
Drake London o4.5 receptions
Mike Evans o4.5 receptions
Terry McLaurin o4.5 receptions
Jaxon Smith-Njigba o43.5 receiving yards
Hunter Henry
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Got an early NFL look that I LOVE for MNF😈
25 likes and I’ll drop it🤝
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Who’s ready for an NFL Free Play👀
25 likes and I’ll drop a write-up🤝
0
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Got an NFL look I LOVE for TNF👀
25 likes and I’ll drop a write-up for it🫡
1
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Who ready for a Free Play?🫣
Got a spicy + money look🌶️👀
Lemme get a quick 15 likes to drop it
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