James Downs
@jamesd0wns
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House races for @nationaljournal @njhotline; currently @gwucolumbian; @saintmichaels alum; email [email protected]
Joined March 2012
Q3 FUNDRAISING THREAD: As always, going to try to compile as many House candidates hauls as possible. Campaigns, my DMs are open or email jdowns@nationaljournal.com to share totals!.
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#CO03: Holy cow. 2022 nominee Adam Frisch (D) raises $3.4 million in Q3 against Rep. Lauren Boebert (R)
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That's two Maryland Republicans launching Senate bids today between Rosendale and Hogan.
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State Sen. Sarah McBride (D) makes her much anticipated campaign to replace Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE AL) official. McBride would become the first openly transgender member of Congress.
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#IA03: Internal poll for Lanon Baccam shows him leading Rep. Zach Nunn . Baccam 50.Nunn 46.Undecided 4. Harris 50.Trump 43.Other 6. Sept 19-22; 400 LVs; +/-4.9%
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New @njhotline #PA10: DCCC internal shows Janelle Stelson (D) and Rep. Scott Perry (R) statistically tied. Stelson 48.Perry 47 . July 30-Aug. 2; 600 LVs; +/-4%
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Kamala Harris up 14 points in #CA22, according to new Emerson poll. Salas 47 .Valadao 45.Unsure 8. Harris 56.Trump 42.
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New @njhotline this AM: House Majority PAC out with six battleground polls that show Democratic candidates leading or within the margin of error
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New @njhotline #VA02: DCCC internal poll shows race tied . Kiggans 47 .Cotter Smasal 47.Reid 1 .Unsure 5. Harris 50.Trump 46. Oct.19-20; 373 LVs; +/-5.1%
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AP has yet to call, but Kevin Coughlin (R) concedes to Rep. Emilia Sykes (D) in #OH13 in close race—2 points . Suspect this will enter 2026 a top target for Republicans.
I want to congratulate Congresswoman Sykes on her re-election. While the result is not what we had hoped for, the values that drove this campaign – safety, security, and affordability – will still motivate us to create change. Ohio's 13th is a special place, and we deserve.
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New @njhotline #VA07: internal poll for Derrick Anderson (R) shows largely unchanged result from last . Vindman 43.Anderson 42.Undecided 15 . Prez. Harris 47.Trump 47.Undecided 6
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#WA03: Source familiar tells @njhotline that Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez raised $3.56 million in Q3, bringing her to over $10 million for the cycle.
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A staggering $2.6 million quarter for Adam Frisch (D), who's seeking a rematch against Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO 03). The campaign says the average donation was $32 from 81,000 donors, and ended the quarter with $2.5M on hand.
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I listened to days, weeks even, of conservative members' podcasts and tracked the rumblings of McCarthy's fall. From me, a glimpse into a reconfiguration of populist politicking. Free to read! .
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Long Island to be represented by four Italian American Catholics, three Republicans and one Democrat. LaLota.Garbarino.D'Esposito .Suozzi.
In Italian American-related news, Tom Suozzi's campaign and organizations condemn Mazi Pilip for calling Suozzi "the godfather of the border crisis."
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#NY03: Tom Suozzi expected to announce run soon for 3rd Congressional District via @CityAndStateNY.
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Inbox: A new poll (Aug. 8-15; 801 LVs; +/-3.5%) from Keating Research showed 2022 nominee Adam Frisch (D) leading Rep. Lauren Boebert (R) in #CO03
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New @njhotline: Derek Tran internal poll shows him leading within MOE in #CA45. Tran 47 .Steel 45.Unsure 8 . Tran +6; Steel +3 from June iteration . Sept 14-19; 600 LVs; +/-4%
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House Majority PAC lays its initial groundwork for '26, highlighting new additions to its target list: AZ-02, CA-03, MI-04, VA-01. Also highlights its races to watch in GOP-leaning districts, below:
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#MT01: 2022 nominee Monica Tranel (D) announced raising over $730,000 in Q3 as she looks to take on Rep. Ryan Zinke (R). Quite a good haul for the former Olympian
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New @njhotline #VA07: Anderson internal poll, again, shows not a ton of movement in congressional ballot, tight race . Vindman 44.Anderson 42 .Unsure 14. Harris 48 .Trump 43.Unsure 9. Oct. 20-22; 400 LVs; +/-5%
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#NY01: Strong 24 hour numbers for Nancy Goroff in her bid against Rep. Nick LaLota (R).
I launched my campaign for NY-01 yesterday, and we’ve already raised $325k! Thank you to all who donated. With your help, I’ll go to Congress to solve problems, not add to the chaos and dysfunction in Washington like @nicklalota
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New @njhotline Scott Baugh (R) internal of #CA47 shows tight race in two survey average. Baugh 32 .State Sen. Dave Min (D) 29. With leaners: .Baugh 42.Min 39 .Undecided 21. Prez: .Trump 46.Biden 45
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New @njhotline #MI07: GOP poll shows Tom Barrett leading Curtis Hertel in most competitive open seat in the country . Barrett 48.Hertel 43.Unsure 9 . Limited polling in district, but inline with earlier @InsideElections survey . Read more here:
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The new seat in #CO08 is one of the GOP's best pickup opportunities, and one that gave some Democrats worry down the stretch. Caraveo won with the lowest vote share of any member elected in 2022. It's close, again!
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#IA03: Former USDA official Lanon Baccam (D) announces raising over $250,000 in the first 24 hours of his challenge to Rep. Zach Nunn (R)
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Full list: .Kirsten Engel .Adam Gray .Rudy Salas.George Whitesides .Will Rollins.Adam Frisch .Christina Bohannan .Lanon Baccam .Curtis Hertel .Monica Tranel .Tony Vargas .Tom Suozzi .Mondaire Jones .Josh Riley .Janelle Bynum.Michelle Vallejo .Missy Cotter Smasal.
Democrats endorse their first slate of challengers in the fight for the House majority via @sahilkapur.
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In Italian American-related news, Tom Suozzi's campaign and organizations condemn Mazi Pilip for calling Suozzi "the godfather of the border crisis."
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Good morning. The AP just called #MI08 for Kristen McDonald Rivet (D). A crucial win for Democrats and one of their best recruits—if not their best—for the cycle
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Rep. Don Bacon (R) trailed for most of the night in #NE02. Not anymore. Bacon's lead has ballooned as the more conservative counties trickled in overnight. It's as close to a must-win as you can get for Democrats
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New @njhotline #PA10: Janelle Stelson poll shows Stelson and Perry neck and neck . Perry 51.Stelson 48 . Generic Ballot: .GOP 52.Dem 44
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New @njhotline: Internal poll for MT-01 nominee Monica Tranel (D) . Rep. Ryan Zinke (R): 46 .Tranel: 45.Hayes (L): 4.Unsure: 5. Oct 14-17; 500 LVs; +/-4.4%
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New @njhotline #AKAL: GOP poll with first public survey since Dahlstrom dropped. Republicans encouraged by Begich's favorability—see room to grow. Peltola 38 .Begich 35. Leaners: .Peltola 46.Begich 45. Trump 53.Harris 43. 400 LVs; +/- 4.86%.Read more:
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The DCCC's Red to Blue challengers posted strong hauls in their first quarters as top candidates. Average raised of $971,000 with $1.7 million on hand.
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#NY01: Former CNN anchor John Avlon (D) announced raising $1.1 million in his challenge to Rep. Nick Lakota (R) (and George Santos?) .
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#CA41: Rollins internal poll shows Will Rollins and Rep. Ken Calvert statistically tied. Rollins 45 .Calvert 44.Unsure 9 .Won't vote 2
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New @njhotline #NH01: NRCC/Russell Prescott internal poll shows Rep. Chris Pappas leading within margin of error. Pappas 46.Prescott 42.Undecided 11. Gov ballot.Ayotte 49.Craig 39. Sept. 26-28; 406 LVs; +/-4.85%
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#CA45: Technically start of Q4 but impressive $250,000 first 24 hours for Derek Tran (D), who just launched a challenge to Rep. Michelle Steel (R)
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#AL02: House Minority Leader Anthony Daniels ‘strongly considering’ run for Congress in 2nd Congressional District.
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New @njhotline: Internal poll for Derrick Anderson shows dead heat, with decent amount still undecided. Race largely unchanged from last iteration of poll . Anderson 43 .Vindman 43.Undecided 14. Sept 15-17; 400 LVs; +/-5%
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Food for thought: If Mike Sapraicone is the GOP nominee in #NY03 and wins, Long Island will be entirely represented by Italian American Catholics: . NY01: LaLota.NY02: Garbarino .NY03: Sapraicone .NY04: D'Esposito.
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DCCC news this morning . New Red to blue via @MelMcIntire .Shomari Figures.Kristen McDonald Rivet .Ashley Ehasz .Janelle Stelson.Peter Barca. New Frontline via @maxpcohen .Rep. Josh Harder (CA-9).
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@maxpcohen From earlier this week in #NY01: John Avlon (D) raises 2.5 million in his campaign against Rep. Nick LaLota (R)
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In #CT05, Emerson shows Rep. Jahana Hayes up 4, but prez ballot tied. Hayes 49.Logan 45.Unsure 6. Harris 48.Trump 48.
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New @njhotline: Internal #MI08 poll for state Sen. Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) finds a neck and neck contest. 2022 nominee Paul Junge (R): 45.KMR: 44.Undecided: 11 . July 29-Aug. 1; 500 LVs; +/-4.4%
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Here's the Q2 numbers for the 18 Biden-won Republicans. Average raised was $739,000
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NEW from me: The political and fundraising fallout from McCarthy’s ouster. — NRCC, CLF remain focused on ‘24.— McCarthy’s political operation “irreplaceable” .—“Republicans are praying that McCarthy stays in the money game” . Free to read! .
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Q3 FUNDRAISING THREAD: With third quarter concluded, I’ll be compiling as many House numbers as possible here, and also over at @njhotline.
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#NJ08: Bhalla has banked a massive $509k for possible primary challenge against Menendez son
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Sean Patrick Maloney offered to withdraw from 2022 NY-17 primary, but Mondaire Jones turned him down via @CityAndStateNY.
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#MT01: Monica Tranel internal poll shows within the margin of error. Zinke 46 .Tranel 44.Libertarian 4.Unsure 5. Aug. 26-29; 500 LVs; +/-4.4%
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#NV04: Former North Las Vegas Mayor John Lee (R) launches a challenge to Rep. Steven Horsford (D).
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Correction there on CA-22—that's Rudy Salas (D), 46%, Rep. David Valadao (R), 44%.
New @njhotline this AM: House Majority PAC out with six battleground polls that show Democratic candidates leading or within the margin of error
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#IL07: Kina Collins "reported more than $600,000 for her campaign coming from ticket sales from an upcoming benefit concert to be held for her by The Strokes on March 8.".via @craigrwall.
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Which would make Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (R), who ran for Congress and was a highly touted recruit but withdrew after finishing behind Nick Begich, governor.
New: Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy has been in talks with Trump's transition team about Interior Secretary, per 3 sources. W/ @riley_rogerson .
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New from me: Swing-seat Republicans post strong Q2. The NRCC's 25 most vulnerable raised an average of $777,000 and had an average of $1.2 million on hand. The DCCC's 29 most vulnerable averaged $499,000 and had an average of $758,000 on hand.
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Inbox: State Sen. Kevin Thomas (D) officially launches bid against Rep. Anthony D'Esposito (R-NY 04). D'Esposito defeated Laura Gillen, who is running again, by about 3.5 points last year.
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Rep. Tony Gonzales (R) has fallen to 46% in #TX23 against gun YouTube Brandon Herrera, Medina Co. GOP Chair Julie Clark, former Border Patrol agent Frank Lopez, and former CE agent Victor Avila
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#PA10: Marine veteran Mike O’Brien (D) launched a challenge to Rep. Scott Perry (R) this morning. In his launch video, O’Brien talks about his service and Perry’s role on Jan. 6. I would expect that contrast to continue throughout the campaign.
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Not even close. The 19th century Court had several days with 10+ decisions, including 28 on May 4, 1874.
The Supreme Court announced SIX decisions today! (But none of the big ones.) Court watchers, is that a record?.
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#WI01: Congressional Leadership Fund poll shows Rep. Bryan Steil (R) up 10 on former Rep. Peter Barca (D) . Steil 52 .Barca 42 .Unsure 5. Trump 49.Harris 45. DCCC released poll last week with Steil up just 3, under 50%/Trump and Harris tied. Big spenders not on TV to this point
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DCCC announces raising $14.5 million in February and has $59 million on hand
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#CT05: Logan internal . Hayes 43.Logan 41 .Undecided 16 . MOE: 4.9%.
New: A new internal poll in the race for Connecticut's 5th Congressional District shows a tight battle between three-term incumbent Rep. Jahana Hayes and George Logan, a Republican who lost by just over 2,000 votes last cycle.
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I guess you could say this crowded #MISEN GOP primary is now Amash pit.
When I established an exploratory committee for Senate, I understood the challenge ahead. Running for office requires an extraordinary commitment, not just from the candidate but also from family, friends, volunteers, and donors. A campaign puts them through so much. That’s.
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A potential sign that Sanders will run for reelection, but, with a May filing deadline, a lot can change until then. Sanders didn't announce until May in 2018.
U.S. Rep. Becca Balint, D-Vt., is officially running for reelection.
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DCCC Frontliners raised an average of $832,000 and ended the quarter with an average of about $2 million on hand. Check out individual totals below:
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#NY19: A top recruit of national Republicans, the former NY Lt. Gov. candidate joins the race to take on Rep. Pat Ryan.
🚨I've taken on criminals in the streets of NY & now it is time to take on the Washington political machine. I'm excited to announce I'm running for Congress #NY18! 🇺🇸. We must reclaim our American dream & save our beloved state & country. Get involved ➡️
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#NY17: Former Rep. Mondaire Jones announces $1.15m in his bid to take on Rep. Mike Lawler.
Scoop: @MondaireJones raised $1.15 million in the third quarter of 2023. He has $840,000 cash on hand, per his campaign. He’s making a comeback bid in swingy NY17. If he wins the Democratic primary, he’ll face first-term Republican Rep. Mike @lawler4ny.
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#IA01: 2022 nominee Christina Bohannan (D) announces raising over $276,000 in the first 24 hours of her comeback bid against Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
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Democrats endorse their first slate of challengers in the fight for the House majority via @sahilkapur.
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New @njhotline #MI10: GSG/House Majority PAC poll shows close race. James 47.Marlinga 44 . Aug. 8-12; +/-4.4%. James defeated Marlinga by 1,600 votes in 2022.
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#CA47: Internal poll from Joanna Weiss (D) show her leading Scott Baugh (R) 43%-42%. Baugh leads Dave Min (D) 43%-42% .
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Inbox: State Sen. Melissa Hurtado (D) makes her challenge to Rep. David Valadao (R-CA 22) official. She joins 2022 nominee Rudy Salas (D) in the all-party primary.
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#NC01: Army veteran Laurie Buckhout (R) launches challenge to Rep. Don Davis (D) with $1 million of her own money
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New #VA10 in @njhotline: State Del. Michelle Maldonado (D) is planning a bid to replace retiring Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D). Maldonado won reelection by 13 points on Tuesday.
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2022 nominee Rudy Salas (D) announced his challenge to Rep. David Valadao (R-CA 22). Salas lost to Valadao by 3 points last year. His campaign launch video:
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#WI01: Former Rep. Peter Barca (D) announces $250,000 raised in his first 24 hours of his challenge to Rep. Bryan Steil (R)
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State Treasurer Colleen Davis (D) enters race for Delaware's at-large House seat, joining state Sen. Sarah McBride (D) in the primary via @delawareonline.
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Massive win for Democrats in #NY19, where both parties saw as a tipping point in New York. Second most expensive House race of the cycle, and the second flip for Dems in NY tonight
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Fundraising roundup returns for Q1! Follow along as I compile House candidates' hauls. Campaigns, send me your totals: jdowns@nationaljournal.com.
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We’ll start in #MI07, where former state Sen. Curtis Hertel (D) announced $730k in his first quarter of fundraising. A good haul in what’s likely to be among the most expensive/competitive races .
Insider: In #MI07, Democrat Curtis Hertel raised over $730k for his congressional bid during the last quarter, his campaign said Saturday. via @detroitnews.
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#WI03: 2022 candidate Rebecca Cooke (D) announced raising over $400,000 in her first quarter of fundraising against Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R).
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Hell yeah.
Some ducklings take advantage of the Lincoln Memorial duck ramp to follow their mother out of the reflecting pool.
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Emerson poll of #MI07: . Barrett (R): 47.Hertel (D): 45.Unsure 7. Harris 49.Trump 49. Oct. 24-25; 535 LVs; +/-4.2%.
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New: A look into how the Blue Dog Coalition is navigating its political present and future . The group looks to expand its ranks into rural America while working to reelect its own members in some of the most competitive seats in the country. Free! .
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Inbox: Nevada Assemblywoman Heidi Kasama (R) announced her challenge to Rep. Susie Lee (D) in #NV03
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NRCC raised $8.2 million, spent $5.9 million, and ended February with $45.2 million on hand. DCCC announced today raising $14.5 million in Feb. with $59.2 million on hand
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