Handballytics
@handballytics
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by Julian Rux 📊🤾♂️ Data analyst and data journalist 📝 Writer for @ehfcl , @liquimoly_hbl , @ehfeuro and @handballwelt
Stuttgart, Germany
Joined May 2020
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Since we al don't know how long this platform will still exist feel free to follow the newly created Handballytics Whatsapp channel:
And we're on Instagram as well, of course:
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While Sweden has the best 7m save percentage, none of their three goalkeepers is in the top 10 because they didn’t face enough.
(The numbers are from before today’s games.)
Trying to score a 7m throw? Not under 𝐏𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐤𝐚'𝐬 𝐰𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡 🛡️🔥 Our Stat of the Day goes to the Swedish goalkeeper and his amazing saves percentage! 🇸🇪
Will he keep it up today against Denmark?
#heretoplay
#ehfeuro2024
@hlandslaget
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For
@handballwelt
I took a look at where the quarter-final teams stand from a statistical point of view.
🇬🇧
🇩🇪
#POLSWE2023
#handball
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To evaluate goalkeeper performances, usually the percentage of shots saved from all shots that went on goal is used. But some shots are harder to save that others. This is why I have built a model that considers that.
#ehfeuro2022
#handball
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I've taken a look at "advanced stats" for goalkeepers at
#EHFEURO2022
and why this "goalkeeper efficiency" that compares actual saves to expected saves might be better to evaluate goalkeepers than the usual save percentage.
➡️The article:
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Whether PlayerScore, HPI, MEP or BIDEA. According to all these metrics, Mathias Gidsel was clearly the MVP. The comparisons of the All-Star teams according to these metrics and the actually chosen: (MVP isn't included in these as well even though that doesn't make sense)
#handball
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The
#EHFFinal4
, the biggest weekend in men’s club handball arrives on Saturday. EHF Master Coach and former Olympian Mark Hawkins (
@GBHandball_MH20
) previewed
@psghand
,
@FCBhandbol
,
#aalborghandball
&
@HBCNantes
using his own detailed expected goals model:
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Jim Gottfridsson efficiency this HBL season was insane. His field goal percentage of 73.0% was among all backcourt players with at least 100 shots in a season by far the clear top value. That's even more remarkable when you consider his heavy load...
#handball
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Former Olympian and EHF Master Coach
@GBHandball_MH20
and Julian Rux, founder and owner of Handballytics, team up during
#Tokyo2020
for „Handball in Numbers – The Handballytics Podcast“.
#handball
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In my preview on
#ehfeuro2024
, which will soon be published, I took a look at the plus/minus statistic that is popular in ice hockey and basketball and how it could be used in handball.
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Since the EURO 1998 the success rate on 9m shots varied between 37% and 47%. Besides direct free throws, shooting percentages from no other position or play type are nearly as low.
Hence, to play more efficient and successful
#handball
back court shots should be limited as ...
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While everyone is familiar with the save %, the net save % only takes into account saves in which the defending team also gains possession of the ball. However, there are only minor differences between the two rankings.
👉 More on
#ehfeuro2024
:
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The year is also already over in the men's Champions League. Time for Handballytics Wrapped with the best scorers, the best goalkeepers, all minutes played and the best team of the past year.
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What a comeback by Hungary! Overall, the stats are very similar besides one thing: While Iceland had 0 offensive rebounds, Hungary remained in possession after 31.6% of their missed attempts.
#handball
#POLSWE2023
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The World Championship 2023 set a new record for goals scored per 60 minutes. The main reason: The teams are as efficient as never before.
👉 Much more on the tournament and the final:
🇩🇪
🇬🇧
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The main round is over, time to look at the Quarter Finals of
#Egypt2021
. As a preview, we take a closer look at the numbers of the eight teams still in the tournament.
#handball
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To end our EHF EURO 2024 content on a high note, here's a bit of data art. The famous cover of the album "Unknown Pleasures" by Joy Division modelled with the throwing distances and frequency of all shots of the 50 best scorers.
➡️More on
#ehfeuro2024
:
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Hit me up if you are in Cologne and want to talk stats, grab a beer or just say hi 😊
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The biggest surprise so far was Croatia having no chance against Egypt. The North Africans were extremely efficient in using their chances and had the support of goalkeeper Karim Hendawy while it was the total opposite for Croatia.
#POLSWE2023
#handball
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This is what happens when you either don't know what you're talking about or deliberately try to lead people astray.
🇬🇧 Dietrich Späte,
@ihf_info
Commission of Coaching and Methods: "In terms of quality of the Women’s Handball, we see the efficiency in attack increased from 2019 World Championship from 51.6% to 55.1%, which means the quality is rising and getting closer to men’s handball"
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For (almost) every shot made during the current
@liquimoly_hbl
season,
@Kinexon
technology determined the distance, among other things. It's not surprising that the success rate increases the closer the shot is to the goal.
#handball
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The first 9 match days of the
@liquimoly_hbl
have been played. The numbers are slowly becoming meaningful. The further to the right a team is, the better its offence (goals per 50 possessions). The further up, the better the defence (goals conceded per 50 possessions).
#Handball
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In my first article for
@ehfcl
I took a look at
@psghand
's offence and
@thw_handball
's defence:
#Handball
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For the first time I've tried to write a few words in English. The subject is of course
#Egypt2021
and advanced stats. I will post a few notes here but you can read the whole thing on my blog:
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Games this season where Peter Johannesson had a save percentage of 30 % or more:
Win vs. Coburg
Win vs. Essen
Win vs. Erlangen
Win @ Balingen
Win vs. Leipzig
Win @ Ludwigshafen
Win vs. Minden
Win @ Wetzlar
Win vs. Stuttgart
Draw vs. Göppingen
🆕Win vs. Kiel
#REWEfinal4
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🧵THREAD: As preview on the upcoming World Championship, I’m going to daily post a couple shot charts of the participating Bundesliga players from this season including some thoughts. The shot charts are always in comparison to all (qualified) players that play the same position.
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Only Elias Ellefsen á Skipagøtu was more important to the offence of his team than Andy Schmid, who announced his retirement today.
At playing time (only main round teams) there is a lot of Austria and Denmark on top…
👉My final article on
#ehfeuro2024
:
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Yesterday, one key for Iceland was to slow France down. FRA had an average of 54.0 possessions coming into the game (2nd most). But ISL limited their turnovers to just 7 and when they lost the ball, they played outstanding transition defence.
➡️Much more:
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In a rematch of the dramatic QF of the WC, DEN prevailed a little more convincingly this time. The pace was slow, but both teams still managed to get a lot of high percentage shots.
@Niklas_Landin
once again made the difference in the end.
#DEN
#EGY
#DENEGY
#tokyo2020
#Olympics
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🆕 Preview on EHF EURO 2024 with a look at the lineups and plus/minus numbers of EHF EURO 2022.
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One final look at the efficiency landscape of the
@ehfcl
2022. Champion
@fcbhandbol
were clearly the best defensive team,
@kielcehandball
, were clearly better in attack but worse in defence. Overall their numbers were on level.
#handball
➡️Much more:
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Here is the efficiency landscape (goals and goals conceided per 50 possessions). The further up on the right a team is, the better they are. The sample size is very small, but you can still read a few things off them:
#egypt2021
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The average shot quality of a player is quite closely linked to the position. However, Mathias Gidsel is breaking out of these clusters. He is shooting the same quality of shots as line players. Excluding penalties makes it even clearer.
▶️ Much more:
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In the first
#EHFFinal4
semi-final PSG are heavy favourites and with some merit, they took most shots of any team from over 60% chances, over 29 per game. From the court diagram we can see that they have a very balanced shot map.
#Handball
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@BertServaas
I don't want to repeat many good ideas (rules, competitions, ...). But my focus is of course data. Its collection, usage, presentation & availability needs to be extremely improved & extended. Both for fans & teams themselves (to get advantages as it's done in all bigger sports)
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From the article:
"The analytical coverage of the EURO 2022 will also be on a new level. Players and teams will be dissected and analysed based on these new advanced metrics in several articles as well as shows on the
@HomeofHandball
Twitch channel."
I hope you'll like it😊
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The number of possessions per game at
#EHFEURO
today is almost 20% less than 16 years ago. I’ve mentioned many reasons in the article, such as better defence, the pursuit of high-quality shots, increased workload etc. Do you see other reasons?
➡️More:
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What a goalkeeper duel. Perez de Vargas was very good but Landin was once again there in the important game.
#POLSWE2023
#handball
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In my final article on
#ehfeuro2022
I took a look at pace, how Sweden used it and how it has developed since 1998 (spoiler: it has changed significantly). 🤾♂️📊
#Handball
▶️
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To conclude with the
#POLSWE2023
, a few final looks at the numbers. We start with the most efficient players. (Charts made by
@lecyp_
)
#handball
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An offensive firework display in which Germany prevailed in the end thanks to Joel Birlehm's goalkeeping performance. More on this later.
#handball
#POLSWE2023
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It's true that handball is getting faster. There has been an upward trend again since 2020. However, it was already significantly faster at the height of the fast middle (and when there was still little defence against it) than it is today.
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One main factor for
@SCMagdeburg
winning the final was not turning the ball over. It was even the 9th best turnover performance of the season. MVP Gisli Kristjansson didn't lose the ball even once.
👉Much more on Magdeburg and especially Kristjansson:
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Great performance by Denmark to make the three-peat perfect. Their offensive stats are almost perfect even though they didn't get the best shots. But they scored much more than expected as France's GKs were no factor at all.
#POLSWE2023
#Handball
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It is not surprising that the closer the players are to the goal, the higher the shooting %. It’s noticeable, however, that from 11m the shooting % increases again. The reason: with increasing distance most shots are taken when the goal is empty.
👉More:
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Last season's top scorers by distance of shots. 7m and direct free throws were not taken into account.
👉More:
#handball
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Tonight the
@liquimoly_hbl
returns from the
#egypt2021
break. On we have analyzed all 20 teams with all numbers.
The graphic:
the further up --> the better in defense
the further to the right --> the better in offense
The best --> at the top right
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The 10 most efficient teams in a game since data is available (2016)
#ehfeuro2024
#handball
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You can find all definitions for the "Advanced Stats" I'm using and posting on here on my site:
#handball
#olympics
#Tokyo2020
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🧵Next up in our World Championship preview with shot charts of the players in the Bundesliga are Sweden and Portugal.
A few toughts:
- Jim Gottfridsson's efficiency is out of this world 🤯
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If all shots of the past season (w/o 7m & dir. free throws) are included in a graph (left), it's very confusing. The frequency display in hexagons provides much more information. The darker the hexagon, the more shots were taken from this area.
➡️More:
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#Egypt2021
is over, so we took a last deep dive into the numbers of the final, world champion Denmark, runner-up Sweden and the World Championship.
Spoiler: The best team according to the numbers won.
#handball
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#statoftheday
Going into the semi-finals ESP's GKs had the best rate of actual saves over expected saves. Against DEN
@PerezdVargas
and
@Rodrigao016
(only 1 penalty) saved 66.4% more shots than expected. Outstanding, especially against the 2nd best offence of
#EHFEURO2022
so far
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To conclude with
#POLSWE2023
, a few final looks at the numbers. Next up are the best goalkeepers.
#handball
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In a slow game Switzerland had abysmal numbers in offense. Germany’s offence is still capable of improvement. Knorr tried to take control & was responsible for 26% of Germany's attacks (field shot, 7m received or turnover). Wolff was extraordinary.
#ehfeuro2024
#handball
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Also part of this is the updated efficency landscape. Denmark is still pretty good...
#handball
#Egypt2021
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In our podcast Handball in Numbers we didn’t talk about any player during the Olympic Games nearly as much as we did about Mathias Gidsel. And I had to write a bit more about why he was so great.
#Olympics
#Tokyo2020
#Handball
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Interestingly, the reason is (even though the trend in other competitions was the opposite due to the new rules) that the pace of
#POLSWE2023
games so far was remarkably slower than 2 yrs ago
Possessions per game:
2021: 58.7
2023 (8 gms) : 53.6
Let's see how this continues🧐
The by far best thing about the World Championship so far? No high-scoring matches! No 40-32 or 35-35. That’s really nice!
#handball
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Denmark had the clearly better shooting %(including an once again outstanding Mathias Gidsel with 8/8 & 5 rec. 7m) and gk. But that didn’t matter since France just barely lost the ball (2.6 turnovers per 50 possessions is 3rd-best in all games since 2016).
#ehfeuro2024
#handball
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Crazy that the averge 7m shooting percentage, free throw shooting percentage in basketball and penalty scoring percentage in football/soccer is all roughly the same at 75-76%
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#statoftheday
🤾📊
Gidsel’s on fire! With 7.0 goals per game, Matthias Gidsel is clearly the best scorer from the field (without penalties) ot the
#EHFEURO2022
. Even more impressive is shooting percentage of 97.2%. With 36 shots, he has only one miss. No other player comes ...
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The Men's
#ehfeuro2022
is starting tomorrow. 😱🚀 Look at what
@kinexon
can bring to the sport 🖥️
@EHFEURO
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Without a doubt Gisli Kristjansson was this year's "Mr. Clutch". He is not only the player that scored most crunch time field goals with 12 (2nd placed Sergei Mark Kosorotov had 9), he also just missed once!
👉Much more:
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Gidsel's shot quality of 67.3 % is the 2nd best among all backcourt and 13th among all players (min. 4 games & 2.5 shots per game). And he uses these high-quality shots 19.9% more efficiently than expected.
▶️More:
#handball
#olympics
#tokyo2020
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Germany vs. Denmark is the duel of the best defence and best offence. However, DEN's defence is pretty good as well, while GER's offence isn’t.
👉 More on how stats can be adjusted for opponents and which NBA team this current German team resembles:
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Going into the final SWE was the team with 2nd best field shooting with 65.7%. In the final the key to beat ESP was to top that with strong 71.8%. One of the reasons was Oscar Bergendahl (5/5) who showed that he’s more than just a defensive player.
#ehfeuro2022
#handball
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When talking about the best handball players in the world, two names from
@liquimoly_hbl
often come up:
@sandersagosen
and
@gotte24
.
In the new edition of my columne for
@liquimoly_hbl
, I have analysed them: 📊🤾
#Handball
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#statoftheday
📊🤾
Yesterday
@kay_smits
scored 9 or more goals for the 3rd time at
#EHFEURO2022
. Apart from Arkadiusz Moryto (twice), nobody else is in this list more than once. With 9.0 goals per game, Smits is also clearly the best scorer of the
@EHFEURO
so far.
#handball
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These numbers show how much better Mathias Gidsel makes his team in positional attack. With him, they score ~7 goals more per 50 poss. than when he's on the bench. The numbers are best when Fabian Wiede, a 2nd left-handed player, is on the field.
➡️More:
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Much more on what this graphic shows, why these numbers matter and what they mean for
@psghand
and
@thw_handball
in my first article for
@ehfcl
:
➡️
📊🤾
#handball
#ehfcl
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Since I had a lot of fun with shot charts at
#ehfeuro2022
, here a couple more including Alina Grijseels who was the best scorer per game and Emily Bölk who was outstanding from more than 8.5m.
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Pace (possessions per team and game) shows how fast the games are. Flensburg has the fastest games, Lemgo the slowest. Magdeburg who led in this statistic for several years finished more and more towards the bottom in the last years.
👉Much more:
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Norway was simply better in every aspect than Poland. They also had luck as every third of their missed shots ended in their hands again. In doing so, they spread the load over many shoulders as 5 players scored more than 4 goals & Bergerud saved 40%.
#ehfeuro2024
#handball
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Finding the reasons for Germany's victory against Norway is easy: the Goalkeepers. The Norwegian GKs also had a good game, but Wolff and especially
@JogiBitter
were outstanding with a combined 52.4% more saves than expected saves.
#GER
#NOR
#GERNOR
#Olympics
#Tokyo2020
#Handball
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🎙️Episode 1 of "Handball in Numbers" is out now. With Jamal Naji, Coach of
@TUSEMHandball
, we are discussing the tactical aspects of Pace and Possession length with a focus on
#NORBRA
.
❗️Now on every podcast app❗️
#olympics
#tokyo2020
#handball
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Croatia played very fast (3rd shortest possession length of the tournament) and even had the better goalkeepers. But they turned the ball over way too often.
#ehfeuro2024
#handball
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In the 2nd half
#ARG
had no chance against
#SPA
. Especially GK Silvia Navarro was outstanding (nearly perfect stats), but the number of turnovers by the Argentinians was also far too high.
#Spain2021
#SheLovesHandball
#Handball
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Statistically, home court advantage has already been proven. Accordingly, this also applies to the
#ehffinals
. In the 8 times it has been held, the host has won 3 times and reached at least the final 2 times.
The way the season has gone so far for hosts SL Benfica...
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Germany has the best defence by the raw goals conceded per 50 pos. The problem at tournaments such is of course, that they faced qualitatively different opponents. The adjusted efficiency rankings consider that...
#ehfeuro2024
#handball
𝐍𝐨𝐭 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧 𝐡𝐚𝐥𝐟 of rival's possessions end in the goal when facing
@DHB_Teams
😨
Our Stat of the Day goes to Germany and their defensive excellence 🛡️ Can
@HandballAustria
beat the odds? 🇦🇹
#ehfeuro2024
#heretoplay
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.
@Johnny_Sevilla
and myself were guests in the generally worth listening podcast
@HandballHour
. We're talking (in bad English😉) obviously about our favorite subject "Advanced Stats".
Episode 110 is here!
We get stuck into the big news coming out of Denmark and the homecoming of
@mikkelhansen24
We also talk to the guys behind
@handballytics
to delve into advanced statistics in handball
Listen on your favourite app or download below:
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